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3
1 Jett Lawrence
I think I'm with you. Jett, Tomac, Sexton?
Tomac, sexton, and Jett with at least one most likely more.
It would be super hard to count out Barcia if he’s back to 100%, the guy was on rails last year before he got hurt.
Anderson I believe is feeling a little less stressed this year and he likes the new Kawi, I think he is about to surprise some people this year.
Hunta looks like he’s gelling with the 450, wouldn’t surprise me a bit if he got one.
Something about me is saying Dylan on that Honda could likely do some damage.
I think Webb and Roczen’s winning days in AMA Supercross are over unless the stars align perfectly.
just my 2 cents, time will tell.
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Statistically, it's 5.
Most Winners in a Season (8)
1985: Johnny O'Mara, Broc Glover, Ron Lechien, Mark Barnett, Bob Hannah, Jeff Ward, Rick Johnson, David Bailey
Seasons with 6+ Winners
7 in 1997: Greg Albertyn, Doug Henry, Jeff Emig, Damon Huffman, Jeremy McGrath, Ezra Lusk, Kevin Windham
6 in 1979: Jim Weinert, Mike Bell, Bob Hannah, Steve Wise, Mark Barnett, Kent Howerton
6 in 1980: Mike Bell, Kent Howerton, Chuck Sun, Rex Staten, Broc Glover, Mark Barnett
6 in 1982: Donnie Hansen, Mark Barnett, Bob Hannah, Darrel Schultz, Mike Bell, Broc Glover
6 in 1983: David Bailey, Bob Hannah, Mark Barnett, Mike Bell, Ron Lechien, Broc Glover
6 in 1984: Johnny O'Mara, Jeff Ward, Rick Johnson, David Bailey, Bob Hannah, Ron Lechien
6 in 1990: Damon Bradshaw, Jeff Stanton, Larry Ward, Jeff Ward, Jeff Matiasevich, Jean-Michel Bayle
6 in 1991: Jeff Stanton, Jean-Michel Bayle, Damon Bradshaw, Mike LaRocco, Jeff Ward, Doug Dubach
6 in 1998: Sebastien Tortelli, Ezra Lusk, Jeremy McGrath, Larry Ward, Kevin Windham, John Dowd
Least Amount of Winners in a Season
1996: Jeremy McGrath, Jeff Emig
2001: Jeremy McGrath, Ricky Carmichael
MODERN ERA (450 CLASS/2006 TO PRESENT)
Most Winners in a Season (6)
2015: Ken Roczen, Eli Tomac, Trey Canard, Ryan Dungey, Chad Reed, Cole Seely
Seasons with 5 Winners
2008: Chad Reed, James Stewart, Kevin Windham, Davi Millsaps, Josh Hill
2010: James Stewart, Ryan Dungey, Ryan Villopoto, Davi Millsaps, Kevin Windham
2011: Ryan Villopoto, James Stewart, Trey Canard, Chad Reed, Ryan Dungey
2012: Ryan Villopoto, Ryan Dungey, Chad Reed, James Stewart, Andrew Short
2013: Davi Millsaps, Justin Barcia, Ryan Villopoto, Ryan Dungey, James Stewart
2014: Ken Roczen, Ryan Villopoto, Chad Reed, James Stewart, Ryan Dungey
2017: Ken Roczen, Ryan Dungey, Eli Tomac, Marvin Musquin, Jason Anderson
2019: Justin Barcia, Blake Baggett, Cooper Webb, Eli Tomac, Marvin Musquin.
2020: Justin Barcia, Ken Roczen, Eli Tomac, Cooper Webb, Zach Osborne
2021: Justin Barcia, Eli Tomac, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, Marvin Musquin
2022: Ken Roczen, Jason Anderson, Chase Sexton, Eli Tomac, Marvin Musquin
2023: Eli Tomac, Chase Sexton, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, Justin Barcia
Least Amount of Winners in a Season
2006: James Stewart, Ricky Carmichael, Chad Reed.
2007: James Stewart, Ricky Carmichael, Chad Reed
I wanna say 10.
Probably 5
4
6, Eli, Chase, Jett, Hunter, Mookie, and Plessinger.
Eli, jett, chase, roczen, anderson.
Going for a 6 winner season
Tomac
Lawrence
Lawrence
Sexton
Webb
Roczen
I say 4
Jett Lawrence
Eli Tomac
Chase Sexton
Jorge Prado
- Jett
- Sexton
- Tomac
- Roczen
- Hunter
Jett, Eli, Sexton, Kenny, but i think under right circumstances Webb and Anderson could get one too.
Starts are going to be massive this year given how deep the field is.
I’m going 4. Jett, Tomac, Sexton. The fourth will be a wildcard one time winner
A lot depends on attrition.
But if the top guns are healthy, I would say 3 : Jett, Tomac, Sexton.
With these 3 on the gate, I think a podium for the other riders is like a win.
Mav’s post gives us a dose of reality; yet, many of us seem to think that this year is gonna be “VERY DIFFERENT”…?
Jett
Tomac
Sexton
Roczen
Really going out on a limb with this one
You may be underestimating Hunter.
Pit Row
3
The 18, 3 and 4.
Its going to be boring. By race 7 there will be a clear leader with a 2nd place guy just keeping 1st honest. The press will constantly refer to 2023 season to show that "you never know what can happen" even though we will all know whats about to happen.
I've been on the "Hunter is going to be really good, better than people think" train for over a year since before it was cool and I think he'll be really good, just not sure if he's up to winning in his first year
Five…maybe six
Tomac, J. Lawrence, Sexton, H. Lawrence, and Roczen.
I can see Barcia if he’s back 100% or maybe Anderson if the planets align.
Good stats. That’s a lot of stuff👍
It’s remarkable how often the answer is 5…. I think this field will produce 6.
I think there will be one or two (Hunter), if Jett has a mechanical or something. This will be like going from 1992 to 1993, only if Jeremy had a brother that was about as fast as he was.
*Eli may get one toward the end, but no way to tell.
Six (6)
At least 6, the rubbing in the 1st half is going to nuts, unless Jett gets starts. Looking at Maverick's awesome stats, how could you not wish for at least 6, maybe 8. Prado will mess up some plans, so much talent in the 450 class, combined with egos/expectations. What a season it should be.
Great info. I've probably heard that stat before somewhere; I clicked on the thread title thinking it's usually about five winners.
Those couple of years James, Ricky and Chad had every one so outclassed...
Recent race days when we see qualifying times with the top ten on the same second have me convinced that the field is far more level now. Teams, trainers and athletes have the formula pretty much figured out now and the bikes are better.
Going with five also based on those stats.
Not sure why people are throwing Prado in there tho...dude doesn't even have one SX race.
Starts are the main reason, unless he just wants to cruise around.
4
Jett, Eli, Chase, Hunta
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