Does Chase ride out the 3 years?

aees
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2/16/2026 11:46am
Falcon wrote:
Too early to tell how he'll fare on the Kawasaki, but history shows us he will ride out this contract, be unhappy, and switch to another...

Too early to tell how he'll fare on the Kawasaki, but history shows us he will ride out this contract, be unhappy, and switch to another brand when the ride is up. He will win a lot, but come up short on championships. 

The precedent that Prado set is a dangerous one for a guy like Sexton, however. If and when the mood turns sour (like it often does for him,) will he also try to jump ship? 

Well, he didn't ride out his contract with KTM. Took some kind of extended vacation, before "crashing" out of SMX and MXoN.

No championship rider, will stay and ride out 4-7 for 3 years, if they know they can find something better elsewhere when it comes to results.

Prado is the biggest proof of that, creating probably the biggest voluntary pay gap in history. Tomac won championships, Chase has done it. They all left because they thought they could be better. That's despite millions and championships.

Chase staying to be a top 7 guy, with an occasional win? 

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RDnutz
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2/16/2026 11:49am Edited Date/Time 2/16/2026 11:49am
toroP wrote:

Chase has the same crashes no matter the brand. Seems he needs to focus on technique and let someone else set up the bike.

compare his MO to Roczen who doesn't complain about an older platform (hell even deliberately chose that) and they barely even do any tweaking round by round. Maybe Sexton needs to see a hypnotist to ingrain Roczen type traits into his consciousness.

Zucchini Nibs
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2/16/2026 12:05pm Edited Date/Time 2/16/2026 12:05pm

Those Geico Honda’s must’ve been so good they got Sexton chasing a feeling that isn’t even on this planet

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aees
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2/16/2026 12:34pm
toroP wrote:

Chase has the same crashes no matter the brand. Seems he needs to focus on technique and let someone else set up the bike.

RDnutz wrote:
compare his MO to Roczen who doesn't complain about an older platform (hell even deliberately chose that) and they barely even do any tweaking round by...

compare his MO to Roczen who doesn't complain about an older platform (hell even deliberately chose that) and they barely even do any tweaking round by round. Maybe Sexton needs to see a hypnotist to ingrain Roczen type traits into his consciousness.

I don't see roczen matching Chase speed in a heads up race. Chase has qualifying times in him, during racing. It's that extra 0.5sec Chase is chasing. Not the 3-7 consistent speed.

And to be honest, he needs it to beat Jett and I don't see anyone else being able to get to that point.

So sitting here and telling the only rider in USA that can match Jetts speed, to settle and deal with the bike as is, becomes a bit funny. Chase knows what he needs,  and it ain't going to be enough by being Dungey.

2 guys, on the planet ever (?) to go that fast and Win championships. Roczen is great, but even him ain't touching Chase when he is on Think about that.

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The Shop

umagumadog
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2/16/2026 12:58pm
Gravel wrote:
His triple clamp bolts just need the right spacers! 

His triple clamp bolts just need the right spacers! 

IMG 0863 5.jpeg?VersionId=gyRKln b2cu

You gotta be shitting me!! That’s where those go ?!?! I just cut my bolts down. Oh well saved some weight. 

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2/16/2026 1:16pm
wvumounty wrote:
wvumounty9/13/2025 9:16pmWho cares how awesome his form looks on a bike.Cannot get it done. Not a grinder. About one season away from being a consistent 5-8...

wvumounty

9/13/2025 9:16pm

Who cares how awesome his form looks on a bike.

Cannot get it done. Not a grinder. About one season away from being a consistent 5-8 guy who mails it in fo next 5 years.

161 1833 | Quote

Said it before and will say it again. Kid does not have it takes to be a champ. Beat Shane  and Eli gifted him one. 

What a dumbass opinion. Chase has always had elite fitness. His main issue is crashing which is probably from trying too hard. Either say you don't like the guy or at least use a valid reason. 

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Falcon
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2/16/2026 1:29pm
Falcon wrote:
Too early to tell how he'll fare on the Kawasaki, but history shows us he will ride out this contract, be unhappy, and switch to another...

Too early to tell how he'll fare on the Kawasaki, but history shows us he will ride out this contract, be unhappy, and switch to another brand when the ride is up. He will win a lot, but come up short on championships. 

The precedent that Prado set is a dangerous one for a guy like Sexton, however. If and when the mood turns sour (like it often does for him,) will he also try to jump ship? 

aees wrote:
Well, he didn't ride out his contract with KTM. Took some kind of extended vacation, before "crashing" out of SMX and MXoN.No championship rider, will stay...

Well, he didn't ride out his contract with KTM. Took some kind of extended vacation, before "crashing" out of SMX and MXoN.

No championship rider, will stay and ride out 4-7 for 3 years, if they know they can find something better elsewhere when it comes to results.

Prado is the biggest proof of that, creating probably the biggest voluntary pay gap in history. Tomac won championships, Chase has done it. They all left because they thought they could be better. That's despite millions and championships.

Chase staying to be a top 7 guy, with an occasional win? 

He was officially a RedBull KTM rider until the day his contract term expired; that's what I meant. I think he will do the same for Kawasaki, whether he "rides" or not. 

Tyler D
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2/16/2026 3:57pm Edited Date/Time 2/16/2026 3:58pm
sandman768 wrote:

Dude is just one bolt or engine hanger with holes away from wins….maybe even some grease on the threads will help….

Gravel wrote:
His triple clamp bolts just need the right spacers! 

His triple clamp bolts just need the right spacers! 

IMG 0863 5.jpeg?VersionId=gyRKln b2cu

Maybe those allow more precise application of torque (which is itself overated for tuning rigidity), though that wouldn't explain why they're so thick. 

 

Whose bike?

Spoonguy
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2/16/2026 4:17pm
The only rider dumb enough to walk out on a multimillion dollar contract to prove a point with a bonus only deal is currently sitting at...

The only rider dumb enough to walk out on a multimillion dollar contract to prove a point with a bonus only deal is currently sitting at home nursing yet another shoulder surgery today.

What’s dumb about that if your life isn’t money oriented? That was commendable to say no to all of that money for something he believed should...

What’s dumb about that if your life isn’t money oriented? That was commendable to say no to all of that money for something he believed should be better

I’m not independently wealthy, so my perspective might be different than yours.  If I had the opportunity to do something for three years that would allow...

I’m not independently wealthy, so my perspective might be different than yours.  If I had the opportunity to do something for three years that would allow me to never have to think about money for the rest of my life, I wouldn’t walk away from it.

I have found situations like that become available because of your own abilities, not the employer you have chosen for one moment in a long life. 

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Gravel
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2/16/2026 4:53pm
sandman768 wrote:

Dude is just one bolt or engine hanger with holes away from wins….maybe even some grease on the threads will help….

Gravel wrote:
His triple clamp bolts just need the right spacers! 

His triple clamp bolts just need the right spacers! 

IMG 0863 5.jpeg?VersionId=gyRKln b2cu
Tyler D wrote:

Maybe those allow more precise application of torque (which is itself overated for tuning rigidity), though that wouldn't explain why they're so thick. 

 

Whose bike?

It’s a keefer thing from a couple years back.

 

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RDnutz
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2/16/2026 5:43pm
toroP wrote:

Chase has the same crashes no matter the brand. Seems he needs to focus on technique and let someone else set up the bike.

RDnutz wrote:
compare his MO to Roczen who doesn't complain about an older platform (hell even deliberately chose that) and they barely even do any tweaking round by...

compare his MO to Roczen who doesn't complain about an older platform (hell even deliberately chose that) and they barely even do any tweaking round by round. Maybe Sexton needs to see a hypnotist to ingrain Roczen type traits into his consciousness.

aees wrote:
I don't see roczen matching Chase speed in a heads up race. Chase has qualifying times in him, during racing. It's that extra 0.5sec Chase is...

I don't see roczen matching Chase speed in a heads up race. Chase has qualifying times in him, during racing. It's that extra 0.5sec Chase is chasing. Not the 3-7 consistent speed.

And to be honest, he needs it to beat Jett and I don't see anyone else being able to get to that point.

So sitting here and telling the only rider in USA that can match Jetts speed, to settle and deal with the bike as is, becomes a bit funny. Chase knows what he needs,  and it ain't going to be enough by being Dungey.

2 guys, on the planet ever (?) to go that fast and Win championships. Roczen is great, but even him ain't touching Chase when he is on Think about that.

nice redirect. Wasn't talking about head's up racing just between the 2 as that's not a thing here. Chase's problem is in his head and he's never going to consistently win until that is fixed. Comparable speed to Jett? Ok, in spurts but that's not the only thing needed to win titles. There has to be consistent podiums and high finishes instead of crashing out of too many winnable races. The Webb formula I guess you could call it. Tomac has lost titles too with multiple DNFs or finishing out of the points even with multiple wins over a season. He's not doing that this year and staying near the points lead. I also don't believe chase is the ONLY guy that can stay with Jett as long as Eli gets good starts and he is still the fastest guy on the track many times too.

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aees
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2/22/2026 12:17pm

Would have been interesting to have a slider that shows likely hood of them breaking up prematurely.

If he goes into outdoors, and they haven't fixed SX before, and outdoor continues like for Prado. I really can't see Chase staying after year 1 unless Kawi moves the complete team over to PC or someone else.

 

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2/22/2026 1:09pm

well, we've got the Prado deal.

We've got Ando having a mystery illness which has never been covered by moto media that knocked him out for a season and a half roughly.

The way I see it, he really only needs to survive till mid 27 supercross, and then he can "pull a hammy" and ride the couch till the contract expires. Sorta did the same thing with KTM when he got pissy with them and took off '25 nats.

Gotta say I feel bad for the Kawi crew.

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RG437
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2/22/2026 2:23pm Edited Date/Time 2/22/2026 2:24pm
aees wrote:
Would have been interesting to have a slider that shows likely hood of them breaking up prematurely.If he goes into outdoors, and they haven't fixed SX...

Would have been interesting to have a slider that shows likely hood of them breaking up prematurely.

If he goes into outdoors, and they haven't fixed SX before, and outdoor continues like for Prado. I really can't see Chase staying after year 1 unless Kawi moves the complete team over to PC or someone else.

 

Bare in mind that Prado actually thought the bike was decent in SX but no good outdoors, it doesn’t bode well for Chase’s season outdoors if this is where they are in SX

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2/22/2026 3:01pm

It’s too bad there wasn’t a chance for testing prior to signing, $$$ so good he had to say yes and embrace futility. 

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bvm111
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2/22/2026 3:10pm

On the broadcast they stated that they believe they found the one single part that was causing the issue… however they still  need to do more testing to be sure 😂

kennyc
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Fantasy
2/22/2026 3:16pm
bvm111 wrote:
On the broadcast they stated that they believe they found the one single part that was causing the issue… however they still  need to do more...

On the broadcast they stated that they believe they found the one single part that was causing the issue… however they still  need to do more testing to be sure 😂

that one single part is all of the chassis...

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AZ35
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2/22/2026 3:20pm
bvm111 wrote:
On the broadcast they stated that they believe they found the one single part that was causing the issue… however they still  need to do more...

On the broadcast they stated that they believe they found the one single part that was causing the issue… however they still  need to do more testing to be sure 😂

That one single part that was causing the issue, is the person riding it.... 

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OR Racer46
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2/22/2026 3:21pm

I believe its the part that goes in his helmet 

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Darrin Willis
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2/22/2026 3:26pm

I would love to here the hurricanes take on this.

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wrc777
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2/23/2026 5:56am

It’s too bad there wasn’t a chance for testing prior to signing, $$$ so good he had to say yes and embrace futility. 

You never know what you have until you race it. It might feel fine on a practice track but either the bike has no track toughness and can't handle track changes or maybe it feels fast but isn't once you line up against other riders.

Mikep147
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2/23/2026 7:04am

I don't think he leaves . I mean where would he go at this point. I don't see many factories fighting over him after all the issues he's had at HRC,KTM and now Kawi . Im a sexton fan I hope he figures it out.

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aees
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4/22/2026 2:05pm
1000013057.jpg?VersionId=F13r6sZBRuXlz8aMO2 lj

Half of the people might be right as it sounds? 😄

 

4/22/2026 2:50pm
aees wrote:
Half of the people might be right as it sounds? 😄 
1000013057.jpg?VersionId=F13r6sZBRuXlz8aMO2 lj

Half of the people might be right as it sounds? 😄

 

Care to share a bit more on your silly season predictions?

johnk408
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4/22/2026 3:38pm
kylemenz1 wrote:

Care to share a bit more on your silly season predictions?

in observations Matthes hinted that he may try to get out early and Star may go after Chase. At least I assume Bobby is the cowboy who owns a yamaha team he was alluding to.

From Racer X Matthes' observations:

But don't be fooled; at no point has he looked like the OLD Chase Sexton out there. Well, maybe San Diego SX, I suppose, which was round two. I talked to a couple of people in the orbit of Sexton, and for most of this year, I know it's not been good for Kawasaki and Sexton; I still had faith they'd all figure it out. Well, after this weekend, after a few things I heard, I am, for the first time, not convinced he makes it through the rest of his three-year contract with Kawasaki. It would be amazing for Chase to bail early, as well as not good for Kawasaki to have a rider get out of a three-year contract after year one (Prado last year, duh) for a second time, but that's where we might be here. MIGHT is the key word; I'm just saying that I'm closer to that line of thinking than ever before.

There's a cowboy out there in the pits who owns a Yamaha team and is not scared to go get what he wants. So, stay tuned...

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matze
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4/22/2026 3:45pm
kylemenz1 wrote:

Care to share a bit more on your silly season predictions?

johnk408 wrote:
in observations Matthes hinted that he may try to get out early and Star may go after Chase. At least I assume Bobby is the cowboy...

in observations Matthes hinted that he may try to get out early and Star may go after Chase. At least I assume Bobby is the cowboy who owns a yamaha team he was alluding to.

From Racer X Matthes' observations:

But don't be fooled; at no point has he looked like the OLD Chase Sexton out there. Well, maybe San Diego SX, I suppose, which was round two. I talked to a couple of people in the orbit of Sexton, and for most of this year, I know it's not been good for Kawasaki and Sexton; I still had faith they'd all figure it out. Well, after this weekend, after a few things I heard, I am, for the first time, not convinced he makes it through the rest of his three-year contract with Kawasaki. It would be amazing for Chase to bail early, as well as not good for Kawasaki to have a rider get out of a three-year contract after year one (Prado last year, duh) for a second time, but that's where we might be here. MIGHT is the key word; I'm just saying that I'm closer to that line of thinking than ever before.

There's a cowboy out there in the pits who owns a Yamaha team and is not scared to go get what he wants. So, stay tuned...

damn if thats true hes quitting even way faster than prado did lmao 

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Spoonguy
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4/22/2026 6:19pm

Ward, Hannah, Glover, RV and any number of factory riders on bikes they knew were not as good as their competition are freaking out over this shit. Glover took on Bailey's works Honda 500 on a stock air hammer Yamaha 490. Sorry Chase is disappointing. 

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2
4/22/2026 6:57pm

Those Geico Honda’s must’ve been so good they got Sexton chasing a feeling that isn’t even on this planet

I think Chase was always searching on the GEICO bike as well, didn’t he have Kenny ride it once or twice to get his opinion on it?

The power of the 450 probably exacerbates his issues and makes them much harder to hide. 

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Motofinne
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4/23/2026 12:33am

You don't have to be an insider of the sport to understand that there is zero chance that Sexton stays with Kawasaki for 3 years unless something drastic happens. Maybe the 2027 bike is the saviour? I doubt it because it's the same team that will be developing the race bike.

 

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1
4/23/2026 1:02am Edited Date/Time 4/23/2026 1:03am

As others have said, whether or not the team themselves is the problem or if it’s just the bike and factors outside the teams control, they’ll be held responsible for another top tier pro exiting early.  That’s wild and unheard of once, but back to back, there would be some serious restructuring whether it’s they’re fault or not.


Chase and his dad do NOT seem like they’d do well at Star based on how they seem to operate in general.  I don’t know them personally but that sounds like it’d be a ticking time bomb to me.

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