Eli Tomac Drop-Off

zippytech
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7/13/2025 6:54am
brocster wrote:

His bike is beating the ever living shit out of him

I was thinking the same thing, his bike did not look to be absorbing the sharp edge stuff like Jet's bike hit and his fender did not move but Eli's bounced.

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sandman768
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7/13/2025 6:54am

As Jody would say… the fire is out……

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KurtJ99
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7/13/2025 7:32am

I think RC was the only champion to go out on top. At some point Eli will go from Championship contender to race win threat only to retirement. Reed was the only past champ to rebound and be a championship contender on his 22 team after being dismissed by the factories. I hope Eli rebounds too and has a second act. 

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davis224
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Fantasy
7/13/2025 7:37am

Seeing Jett catch and blow past him then fade back was like watching someone beat up your dad.

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The Shop

7/13/2025 8:00am Edited Date/Time 7/13/2025 8:03am
971_Fan wrote:
He’s past his prime. It’s as simple as that. I’m glad he’s sticking around for another season, but we’ll never see the Eli of a few...

He’s past his prime. It’s as simple as that. I’m glad he’s sticking around for another season, but we’ll never see the Eli of a few years ago again. It’s happened to all the greats if they stayed in it long enough. 

How do you explain how fast he was at Pala at Hangtown?  That was a few weeks ago so I guess he got old in a...

How do you explain how fast he was at Pala at Hangtown?  That was a few weeks ago so I guess he got old in a month?

As the elite fast guys get older, they still have the ability  to win/podium when everything is right, but they lose the ability to win and/or podium regularly.   Weege has talked about this before.

 

He is 32 years old and has been  racing professionally  since 2010.

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971_Fan
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7/13/2025 8:42am
971_Fan wrote:
He’s past his prime. It’s as simple as that. I’m glad he’s sticking around for another season, but we’ll never see the Eli of a few...

He’s past his prime. It’s as simple as that. I’m glad he’s sticking around for another season, but we’ll never see the Eli of a few years ago again. It’s happened to all the greats if they stayed in it long enough. 

How do you explain how fast he was at Pala at Hangtown?  That was a few weeks ago so I guess he got old in a...

How do you explain how fast he was at Pala at Hangtown?  That was a few weeks ago so I guess he got old in a month?

As Jeremy Martin proved, you can be fast for a race or two.  But just like Martin, Eli is past his prime.  It's called age, and it happens to the best of them.  

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brocster
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7/13/2025 8:51am
brocster wrote:

His bike is beating the ever living shit out of him

zippytech wrote:
I was thinking the same thing, his bike did not look to be absorbing the sharp edge stuff like Jet's bike hit and his fender did...

I was thinking the same thing, his bike did not look to be absorbing the sharp edge stuff like Jet's bike hit and his fender did not move but Eli's bounced.

Notice that when his bike is shit he rides with his shoulders boxed up near his neck which in turn makes his upper body too rigid.  When he rides with relaxed shoulders is when he is fastest. 

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7/13/2025 9:24am

Another nit picky thread . It’s Mx racing top 3,s all the time is tough.   The pro pace is crazy fast now . Even am racing  everyone jumps everything & can ride a bike . You need to start in the front & hv some luck . 

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Nairb#70
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7/13/2025 11:54am Edited Date/Time 7/13/2025 11:56am

Tomac has 15 yrs. Between his first national moto win and his most recent. I think that is a record.

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7/13/2025 12:39pm

having a bike blow up on you and the poor setup he looks like he has takes a toll. Probably a mental thing "why risk it". His bike is beating him up physically and mentally.

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Bradshaw Fan
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7/13/2025 12:58pm

He’s hiding an injury. The way he rode Southwick sitting down and letting Hunter by it was obvious.  He is letting dudes not even close to his speed by now.  He injured himself trying to catch a bull on his property.  

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7/13/2025 12:59pm
He’s hiding an injury. The way he rode Southwick sitting down and letting Hunter by it was obvious.  He is letting dudes not even close to...

He’s hiding an injury. The way he rode Southwick sitting down and letting Hunter by it was obvious.  He is letting dudes not even close to his speed by now.  He injured himself trying to catch a bull on his property.  

How do you know he hurt himself doing that? If he is hurt, I think he did it in one of the motos at southwick by dragging his leg in one of the ruts.

Titan1
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7/13/2025 1:21pm

I think Jett is making that Honda look really good!!!  (But, that’s what Honda pays him to do…). 

Eli lost too much speed in the past few weeks for it to be “Father Time”…something is off…injury? Illness? Out of the championship, on his way out with the team, not having fun, no reason to take risks, so just riding out the season?  Id say one of those three is far more likely than he suddenly lost 3-5 seconds a lap because of age (no matter what the Tomac haters or GP fanboys-who love seeing anyone but an American winning in America-hope/think/wish)…

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motodad805
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Reno, NV US
7/13/2025 2:27pm
H4L wrote:
It looked like they detuned the Star Yamaha’s so they wouldn’t blow up.  Even Cody Shock’s 450 looked faster. I was surprised to see the #18 Honda...

It looked like they detuned the Star Yamaha’s so they wouldn’t blow up.  Even Cody Shock’s 450 looked faster. 

I was surprised to see the #18 Honda pull ET3’s Yamaha easily up the massive Martin Hill with authority..

I caught that too. Jett landed off that triple and just yarded him. I keep saying it, Honda is on another level with bike setup. The...

I caught that too. Jett landed off that triple and just yarded him. I keep saying it, Honda is on another level with bike setup. The riders on them are elite but there is more going on than that.

SoCalMX70 wrote:
More like, the Lawrence family is on another level with setting up their bikes and communicating effectively with their team. How much does Tomac collaborate with...

More like, the Lawrence family is on another level with setting up their bikes and communicating effectively with their team. How much does Tomac collaborate with his teammates? I bet the culture between the teams, staff, etc. is a night and day difference.

Also, make no mistake, if there is a lonely bump on the track, Tomac will be sure to angrily smash into it. So, he always looks a bit more "ragged". I say this as a massive Tomac fan who dreamt of crazy battles all Summer after what we all witnessed at the first round. I wanted to see the battle of 2 completely different styles, a generation apart, down to the final round, but alas it never materialized.

On the note of getting yarded up a hill, I have a quick story... Some buddies of mine were surprised at how much I was pulling them (or at minimum staying even) on my 250 2-stroke vs their 450s going up Mt St Helens at a race a month ago. I explained it along the lines of: "I'm standing, you guys were sitting. I also use my legs all the way through my ankles to soak up everything, keep the rear wheel down, and get maximum traction." They seemed a bit surprised and I took some pride in that haha. Look, I'm slow AF, but finding speed on a dirtbike isn't just horsepower, it's technique. I am not implying Tomac has "bad" technique... I just don't think hes putting his all into it right now. It takes a lot more energy/effort to do some of those little things and he's over it.

The first paragraph is exactly what’s happening. Communication and years to come of developing the Honda for the Lawrence boys. Hunter looks amazing as of late as well on the bike. Hunter is currently the next best to Jett 

Herr Lich
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7/13/2025 2:34pm
gregyou wrote:

People saying it’s time caught up with him, everyone is faster etc did you not watch the first two rounds ? 

there is clearly something going on 

I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is faster than he was in the first two rounds. And everyone, except Hunta to a degree, has not kept up. That's what's going on.

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Herr Lich
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7/13/2025 2:40pm

I think he’s either sick or injured. If he continues to ride like this, KTM is going to want a refund. 

I think it will be mutual. I think Eli's come back to racing buoyed by his win over Jett in SX and has thought he's the guy to take him down indoors and out going forward. He's now experienced what he's up again and knows he's not going to beat him. Further to that, he also knows he's not willing to risk going those speeds. I think he'll do 26 SX and then call it. 

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Herr Lich
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7/13/2025 2:45pm
Titan1 wrote:
I think Jett is making that Honda look really good!!!  (But, that’s what Honda pays him to do…). Eli lost too much speed in the past few...

I think Jett is making that Honda look really good!!!  (But, that’s what Honda pays him to do…). 

Eli lost too much speed in the past few weeks for it to be “Father Time”…something is off…injury? Illness? Out of the championship, on his way out with the team, not having fun, no reason to take risks, so just riding out the season?  Id say one of those three is far more likely than he suddenly lost 3-5 seconds a lap because of age (no matter what the Tomac haters or GP fanboys-who love seeing anyone but an American winning in America-hope/think/wish)…

The larger point is this. I don't think he'd be beating Jett, or for that matter Hunta, even if he wasn't supposedly injured from 'wrestling a bull on his property' (WTF). He wouldn't be pissing about in the tail end of the top 10 but that doesn't mean he'd be at the front. 

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7/13/2025 2:46pm Edited Date/Time 7/13/2025 3:08pm
Herr Lich wrote:
I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is...

I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is faster than he was in the first two rounds. And everyone, except Hunta to a degree, has not kept up. That's what's going on.

Getting beat by guys like Jett, Hunter and Sexton is one thing, but yesterday he got beat by Malcom, Barcia and Guillod. No offence to those guys but you’re not going to convince me that they’ve stepped it up to where Tomac just can’t run with them anymore. I don’t know if it’s an injury, the bike, him being mentally checked out or maybe a combination of everything but it’s obvious we’re not seeing the same Tomac that we were when the season started. 

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lumpy790
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7/13/2025 3:24pm

From my viewpoint over the years if a racer (often from GP heritage)  wasn’t in the points chase after the first 3 or 4 rounds they would back it down just a notch so they were still scoring a decent amount of points for the entire series moving them up the board past any injured racers by playing it safe and not risking injury so they are in it healthy for the next series start.

Playoffs might relight the fire on ET because in a few weeks the playoffs with BIG $ kick in.

Risk versus reward?

David Villiamin was the first that I had noticed doing it and its actually pretty smart if your not going to be in the top 3 bonus $$$ range.

Thinking it may be Bam Bam contract time the way he seems to have kicked it up a notch?

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GBS
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7/13/2025 3:33pm

It looked like something went wrong as he came up and passed Stewart and then Stewart passed him back and then his charge ended

 

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7/14/2025 1:19am
ando wrote:
Hopefully he hasn’t put himself in a tough position with KTM.  Committed to a two year contract but knowing he just isn’t at the top of...

Hopefully he hasn’t put himself in a tough position with KTM.  Committed to a two year contract but knowing he just isn’t at the top of his game anymore.

Why would they sign Tomac for two years, but only offered Sexton one year? That is inexplicable. Sexton is the only guy out there that has shown he can run his pace when not getting in his own way. I think if Tomac does ride the next two years, his results will be worse than Chase’s, though I think Chase would do better staying on the KTM. I don’t blame Sexton for leaving with them only offering one year to a guy in his prime that is very fast and is not in trouble off the track ever. 

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7/14/2025 1:33am
ando wrote:
Hopefully he hasn’t put himself in a tough position with KTM.  Committed to a two year contract but knowing he just isn’t at the top of...

Hopefully he hasn’t put himself in a tough position with KTM.  Committed to a two year contract but knowing he just isn’t at the top of his game anymore.

Why would they sign Tomac for two years, but only offered Sexton one year? That is inexplicable. Sexton is the only guy out there that has...

Why would they sign Tomac for two years, but only offered Sexton one year? That is inexplicable. Sexton is the only guy out there that has shown he can run his pace when not getting in his own way. I think if Tomac does ride the next two years, his results will be worse than Chase’s, though I think Chase would do better staying on the KTM. I don’t blame Sexton for leaving with them only offering one year to a guy in his prime that is very fast and is not in trouble off the track ever. 

Probably 1 year to get used to the bike, the next is back to racing normally and not so worried about the bike. Just my thoughts, and maybe it won’t take that long for him to get used to the bike, but i don’t know. He’s the exact opposite of prado’s situation, been on aluminum japanese bikes for a while, never been on a steel framed bike. Feel free to correct me if any of this info is wrong.

gregyou
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7/14/2025 1:53am
gregyou wrote:

People saying it’s time caught up with him, everyone is faster etc did you not watch the first two rounds ? 

there is clearly something going on 

Herr Lich wrote:
I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is...

I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is faster than he was in the first two rounds. And everyone, except Hunta to a degree, has not kept up. That's what's going on.

Bro no one’s comparing him to Jett, he finished 7 qualified well down the order.

He’s getting beat by riders he could normally beat one footed. 

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gregyou
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7/14/2025 1:55am

I think he’s either sick or injured. If he continues to ride like this, KTM is going to want a refund. 

Herr Lich wrote:
I think it will be mutual. I think Eli's come back to racing buoyed by his win over Jett in SX and has thought he's the...

I think it will be mutual. I think Eli's come back to racing buoyed by his win over Jett in SX and has thought he's the guy to take him down indoors and out going forward. He's now experienced what he's up again and knows he's not going to beat him. Further to that, he also knows he's not willing to risk going those speeds. I think he'll do 26 SX and then call it. 

You’re a nuffy

Herr Lich
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7/14/2025 2:36am

I think he’s either sick or injured. If he continues to ride like this, KTM is going to want a refund. 

Herr Lich wrote:
I think it will be mutual. I think Eli's come back to racing buoyed by his win over Jett in SX and has thought he's the...

I think it will be mutual. I think Eli's come back to racing buoyed by his win over Jett in SX and has thought he's the guy to take him down indoors and out going forward. He's now experienced what he's up again and knows he's not going to beat him. Further to that, he also knows he's not willing to risk going those speeds. I think he'll do 26 SX and then call it. 

gregyou wrote:

You’re a nuffy

Sweet, and very ironic response, mate. 

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Herr Lich
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7/14/2025 2:40am
Herr Lich wrote:
I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is...

I'll tell you what's going on. In the first two rounds Jett was returning from a major injury and still figuring out the bike. Jett is faster than he was in the first two rounds. And everyone, except Hunta to a degree, has not kept up. That's what's going on.

Getting beat by guys like Jett, Hunter and Sexton is one thing, but yesterday he got beat by Malcom, Barcia and Guillod. No offence to those...

Getting beat by guys like Jett, Hunter and Sexton is one thing, but yesterday he got beat by Malcom, Barcia and Guillod. No offence to those guys but you’re not going to convince me that they’ve stepped it up to where Tomac just can’t run with them anymore. I don’t know if it’s an injury, the bike, him being mentally checked out or maybe a combination of everything but it’s obvious we’re not seeing the same Tomac that we were when the season started. 

I agree with that. But the original poster was comparing his races where he was somewhat competing with Jett to now. That's what I was responding to. As for the the present drop off in form, I put it down to a combination of beating mentally dazed by the ass whooping he's been getting combined with something else - perhaps a small injury. 

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scootch
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Fort Worth, TX US
7/14/2025 5:53am

To me, he's out of the championship and he knows it so he's racing for moto wins. Each time he gets a shit start and see's Jett out front he just checks out, probably due to a mix of frustration with his start and knowing he can't beast mode his way up to and around Jett. The winds are definitely out of his sails at this point though and that's a bummer.

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7/14/2025 6:04am

put a fork in him, and i'm a giant ET fan. His spirit is busted and it's painfully obvious. He knows he can't match Jett and he knows everyone in the sport groans when JL passes him and gaps him in 2 corners. It's kinda like Chase when he would tuck the front over and over...it was in his head and he knew everyone was waiting for "When will he crash?" and ET is hearing "How bad will Jett beat him?" 

I think he mails it in this year and will get 5th place and then he'll make a strong push for SX26 but if Jett drops the hammer again...he'll ride out '26 and put it to bed.

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7/14/2025 6:50am

cooksey reporting (I know, I know) that ET3 took Star's offer, shopped it, didn't get quite what he wanted and went back to sign with Star...but they pulled the offer. Who knows if true or not, but sure could explain a bit of this. Being on a team/bike that are going through a divorce while getting slapped around by alien boy would sure take the wind out of my sails, too.

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TAUTOG
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7/14/2025 7:21am
GBS wrote:

It looked like something went wrong as he came up and passed Stewart and then Stewart passed him back and then his charge ended

 

I noticed this too. I thought "man Eli is rolling" to a few seconds later thinking "WTH just happened!"

He looked totally different.

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