How high are the chances of Ferrandis to win it ?

karsmakers
Profile picture for user karsmakers
Posts
757
Joined
5/24/2013
Location
Yuba City, CA US
karsmakers 6/3/2021 3:39pm
6/3/2021 3:39pm
Ferrandis has the best conditioning of any rider out there. He is always charging at the end of moto's regardless of conditions and he takes risks to pass people that most riders wont. He has the speed to win any race but he will need to be in the top 5-6 riders out of the gate to win. He may crash himself out going for the W rather than settling for a decent finish. The guy has more desire to hang it out and win than anyone and better conditioning
7
1
JOE_SPROCKETS#1 6/3/2021 3:57pm
6/3/2021 3:57pm
He’s had some run ins with riders before. maybe his only weakness I see. Rooting for him.
bigk218
Profile picture for user bigk218
Posts
1449
Joined
1/2/2018
Location
Summerville, SC US
bigk218 6/3/2021 4:13pm
6/3/2021 4:13pm Edited Date/Time 6/3/2021 4:14pm
karsmakers wrote:
Ferrandis has the best conditioning of any rider out there. He is always charging at the end of moto's regardless of conditions and he takes risks...
Ferrandis has the best conditioning of any rider out there. He is always charging at the end of moto's regardless of conditions and he takes risks to pass people that most riders wont. He has the speed to win any race but he will need to be in the top 5-6 riders out of the gate to win. He may crash himself out going for the W rather than settling for a decent finish. The guy has more desire to hang it out and win than anyone and better conditioning
He got caught by chase and won the first Moto by a quarter knobby. Let’s just pump the brakes a little.
3
6

The Shop

See All »
reynardfan1
Profile picture for user reynardfan1
Posts
813
Joined
7/28/2014
Location
Gretna, NE US
reynardfan1 6/3/2021 4:21pm
6/3/2021 4:21pm
Ha. 0%. I’ll put money on it. And I like the guy...he has heart
2
4
evansteinberg 6/3/2021 5:24pm
6/3/2021 5:24pm
Watch, he will go 8-8 on Saturday.
3
8
captmoto
Profile picture for user captmoto
Posts
5805
Joined
4/22/2009
Location
Rancho Cucamonga, CA US
captmoto 6/3/2021 5:37pm
6/3/2021 5:37pm
Rooster wrote:
Thinking with a racer's mentality, he's got a 50/50 chance.

He'll either win it or he won't.
He seemed surprised that he won but now he knows what it takes. He'll be in there barring injury.
2
USA
Profile picture for user USA
Posts
2536
Joined
9/4/2016
Location
Richmond, TX US
Fantasy
1096th
USA 6/3/2021 8:08pm
6/3/2021 8:08pm
Oh man it's come full circle. GPs are sending their outcasts to AMA now and they are winning our championships and banging our women.
11
kage173
Profile picture for user kage173
Posts
2957
Joined
11/27/2015
Location
TX US
kage173 6/3/2021 8:15pm
6/3/2021 8:15pm
Low probability. Rookies don't win 450 championships. But it's not 0. Dylan is a legit threat.
6
FlaNard
Profile picture for user FlaNard
Posts
3620
Joined
10/13/2009
Location
Layton, UT US
FlaNard 6/3/2021 10:53pm
6/3/2021 10:53pm
USA wrote:
Oh man it's come full circle. GPs are sending their outcasts to AMA now and they are winning our championships and banging our women.
Laughing
kaidodragon 6/3/2021 11:32pm
6/3/2021 11:32pm
karsmakers wrote:
Ferrandis has the best conditioning of any rider out there. He is always charging at the end of moto's regardless of conditions and he takes risks...
Ferrandis has the best conditioning of any rider out there. He is always charging at the end of moto's regardless of conditions and he takes risks to pass people that most riders wont. He has the speed to win any race but he will need to be in the top 5-6 riders out of the gate to win. He may crash himself out going for the W rather than settling for a decent finish. The guy has more desire to hang it out and win than anyone and better conditioning
That's what DV is telling him to do : you have to get the better result you can have depending on how the race is going. Perfect example was race 2 at Pala. His better result considering his start was a third place (Ken and Aaron were gone already). He was in fourth at one point, which was good enough for the overall win and as a rookie for your first ever race on the 450 you might want to settle for 4th and take the w more than try to pass a tough guy like Barcia and crash. David pushed him to get third, to make sure Dylan had the overall even if Plessinger passed Ken, and to get the maximum point for the championship. The situation was like : winning is great, but winning in a better position is what I chose to do. That's a part of DV's program for Dylan...
7
Thisusernameisavailable 6/4/2021 3:26am
6/4/2021 3:26am
Falcon wrote:
I don't see it happening. Then again, I would never have called it for Dungey to win his first 450 outdoor campaign, either. Still, I think...
I don't see it happening. Then again, I would never have called it for Dungey to win his first 450 outdoor campaign, either. Still, I think the long-term beat down of the 450 class is going to wear on him. I think this year still belongs to someone old guard, like Tomac, Roczen, Osborne or Webb. Next year it's Webb, Cianciarulo, Sexton or Ferrandis. (Webb is on the fence between new guy and old guy.)
LouisianaMotocross wrote:
I don't even consider webb as a guy who is a possibility.
Neither was McGrath, until he was..
5
dsmith
Profile picture for user dsmith
Posts
4556
Joined
3/29/2011
Location
way north, IN US
Fantasy
482nd
dsmith 6/4/2021 4:15am
6/4/2021 4:15am
Low
3
Motofinne
Profile picture for user Motofinne
Posts
11375
Joined
1/4/2014
Location
FI
Motofinne 6/4/2021 4:59am
6/4/2021 4:59am
The thing that speaks for Ferrandis is that he had multiple races in SX where he had race winning or at least podium speed but shitty starts and crashes resulted in midpack results.

I don't think he'll struggle with those issues as much outdoors. But i would still say it would be a huge surprise if he's able to win the title.
resetjet
Profile picture for user resetjet
Posts
2537
Joined
3/16/2012
Location
Tampa, FL US
resetjet 6/4/2021 5:07am
6/4/2021 5:07am
This one belongs to sexton after thst hero ride.
6
fullysicmate 6/4/2021 5:20am
6/4/2021 5:20am Edited Date/Time 6/4/2021 5:20am
I am a massive fan of DF, I love his aggressive style, but he has to be aggressive cause he is pitiful at starts. If he could start up front he would be hard to bet against every week.....

LEARN TO START FRENCHY....fuck sake
1
5
Up Wind
Profile picture for user Up Wind
Posts
381
Joined
4/6/2021
Location
Auburn, CA US
Up Wind 6/4/2021 1:15pm
6/4/2021 1:15pm
evansteinberg wrote:
Watch, he will go 8-8 on Saturday.
That would be a great day for someone.
1
1
Cru_Jones
Profile picture for user Cru_Jones
Posts
30
Joined
4/1/2008
Location
Moorpark, CA US
Cru_Jones 6/4/2021 1:28pm
6/4/2021 1:28pm
So high

Pit Row

See All »
TeamGreen
Profile picture for user TeamGreen
Posts
36604
Joined
11/25/2008
Location
Thru-out, CA US
TeamGreen 6/4/2021 4:56pm
6/4/2021 4:56pm
motomike137 wrote:
14%
bigk218 wrote:
1.4 maybeeeeee
MotoMike is saying he has 1 chance in 7.
You’re math is “1 chance in 71”.

I think Mike ain’t too far off.

Grinning
1
Spudnut
Profile picture for user Spudnut
Posts
1943
Joined
6/25/2018
Location
WA US
Spudnut 6/4/2021 5:26pm
6/4/2021 5:26pm

Talisker
Profile picture for user Talisker
Posts
886
Joined
10/25/2018
Location
Houston, TX US
Talisker 6/4/2021 6:15pm
6/4/2021 6:15pm Edited Date/Time 6/4/2021 6:18pm
Chances are high!!! Dude learned how to go fast on GP tracks. Those tracks are not groomed. Not to mention they are all vastly different. He knows how to adapt, that’s his biggest strength!!!
blockhead17 6/4/2021 6:22pm
6/4/2021 6:22pm
He was clearly the best guy on at rd1 but it’s the opener so I’m not ready to make claims yet. But if he wins this weekend I’m all ready to jump on the bandwagon as him being a title contender.
1
visser62
Profile picture for user visser62
Posts
2455
Joined
5/2/2013
Location
Seattle, WA US
visser62 6/4/2021 6:31pm
6/4/2021 6:31pm
He has the skills to do it (as do AC, Sexton, Roczen, and more). He can't ride like he did last year though. He was much faster than JMart and yet that title got way too close because of his mistakes.
2
TeamGreen
Profile picture for user TeamGreen
Posts
36604
Joined
11/25/2008
Location
Thru-out, CA US
TeamGreen 6/4/2021 6:35pm
6/4/2021 6:35pm
McGinnis_339 wrote:
[img]https://p.vitalmx.com/photos/forums/2021/06/04/496438/s1200_chronic_snoop.jpg[/img]

Laid back
With my mind on my money and my money on my mind
1
ATKpilot99
Profile picture for user ATKpilot99
Posts
10416
Joined
4/13/2010
Location
Lake Geneva, WI US
ATKpilot99 6/4/2021 6:44pm
6/4/2021 6:44pm
McGinnis_339 wrote:
[img]https://p.vitalmx.com/photos/forums/2021/06/04/496438/s1200_chronic_snoop.jpg[/img]

TeamGreen wrote:
Laid back
With my mind on my money and my money on my mind
Burnin one with Snoop Dogg .... gotta be on a lot of peoples bucket list.
TeamGreen
Profile picture for user TeamGreen
Posts
36604
Joined
11/25/2008
Location
Thru-out, CA US
TeamGreen 6/4/2021 6:45pm
6/4/2021 6:45pm
McGinnis_339 wrote:
[img]https://p.vitalmx.com/photos/forums/2021/06/04/496438/s1200_chronic_snoop.jpg[/img]

TeamGreen wrote:
Laid back
With my mind on my money and my money on my mind
ATKpilot99 wrote:
Burnin one with Snoop Dogg .... gotta be on a lot of peoples bucket list.
Or even a Gin-n-Juice...?
Grinning
1
THE mx addict 6/6/2021 12:45am
6/6/2021 12:45am
I think we all have the answer, now...
Ferrandis is the real deal for this 2021 Outdoor Championship.
9
Secret_Squirrel27 6/6/2021 1:37am
6/6/2021 1:37am
After Lakewood. I’m going to put his percentage at 85%. He’s slicing through a stacked 450 field like he did in the 250 class and that’s no fluke. His confidence is now at 100% and if he can manage top 8 starts he’s going to be on the box every weekend.

I’m still unsure about roczen and his late series fades.
10

Post a reply to: How high are the chances of Ferrandis to win it ?