How high are the chances of Ferrandis to win it ?

ipbrew
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ipbrew 6/7/2021 8:22am
6/7/2021 8:22am
I'd pick him as the favourite at this point given Kroc's history of fading later in the series but still a lot of players in the game and a lot of moto's to go and this is racing.
5
TbonesPop
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TbonesPop 6/20/2021 2:56pm
6/20/2021 2:56pm
If he can keep it on two wheels, I'd put him as the favorite right now. Love Ken, but he's got his 2 outdoor titles already. I just think Dylan wants it more and has more to prove. Still lots of racing left. Lets see how Ken and Dylan do on their bad days. That's where the championship will be won.
7

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gt80rider
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gt80rider 6/20/2021 4:11pm
6/20/2021 4:11pm
Seems like 50/50 at this point.... him and kenny... but df reallyyy wants it! Odds are looking really good right now
2
Crush
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Crush 6/20/2021 6:10pm
6/20/2021 6:10pm
Don’t know about 0-100 but he has no quit in him, and historically that puts you in a good chance at running with Kenny.
7
IWreckALot
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IWreckALot 6/20/2021 6:45pm
6/20/2021 6:45pm
gt80rider wrote:
Seems like 50/50 at this point.... him and kenny... but df reallyyy wants it! Odds are looking really good right now
Ferrandis will win or risk it all trying. I don’t think Kenny will anymore. Barring injury, Ferrandis takes this one IMO.
neysbo
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neysbo 6/20/2021 6:56pm
6/20/2021 6:56pm
Ya he is looking like the favorite to win it at this point. I mean he is 27 years old and just now in the 450 class.
bowl
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bowl 6/20/2021 7:16pm
6/20/2021 7:16pm
Kr 51% better starter.
Ferrandis 49% animal
mirramaxx
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mirramaxx 6/21/2021 11:00am
6/21/2021 11:00am
After High point, the number 14 is going to be hard to beat. I love seeing the sportsmanship between him and kroc also.
Dylan went 1st, 2nd then 1st pretty damn good start to his season!
2
Dirty Points 6/21/2021 12:41pm
6/21/2021 12:41pm Edited Date/Time 6/21/2021 12:51pm
I've been watching Ferrandis a bit this season, and I couldn't help but notice that Dylan is pretty good at riding a dirt bike.

I believe this will aid his chances of a championship.
21
fullysicmate 6/21/2021 1:19pm
6/21/2021 1:19pm
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is.

If he figures out how to start it will walk away from the field, I hope he doesn't figure the start out so I can watch him come through the pack.
1
SilverSpurs
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SilverSpurs 6/21/2021 6:59pm
6/21/2021 6:59pm
fullysicmate wrote:
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is. If he figures out how to start it will walk away...
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is.

If he figures out how to start it will walk away from the field, I hope he doesn't figure the start out so I can watch him come through the pack.
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
13
Chris_Buehler 6/21/2021 7:36pm
6/21/2021 7:36pm
fullysicmate wrote:
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is. If he figures out how to start it will walk away...
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is.

If he figures out how to start it will walk away from the field, I hope he doesn't figure the start out so I can watch him come through the pack.
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
But not consistently
fullysicmate 6/21/2021 7:36pm
6/21/2021 7:36pm
fullysicmate wrote:
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is. If he figures out how to start it will walk away...
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is.

If he figures out how to start it will walk away from the field, I hope he doesn't figure the start out so I can watch him come through the pack.
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
That is rarely a fact in 2021.
4
-MAVERICK-
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-MAVERICK- 6/21/2021 7:43pm
6/21/2021 7:43pm
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
Considerably faster?

Round 1 Pala Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:21.862
Slowest Lap: 2:27.081
Average Lap: 2:23.842

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:20.231
Slowest Lap: 2:24.535
Average Lap: 2:22.390

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:23.578
Slowest Lap: 2:28.579
Average Lap: 2:25.170

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:21.586
Slowest Lap: 2:28.732
Average Lap: 2:23.999

Round 2 Thunder Valley Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:13.273
Slowest Lap: 2:19.344
Average Lap: 2:15.912

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.511
Slowest Lap: 2:15.733
Average Lap: 2:12.606

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:17.048
Slowest Lap: 2:21.531
Average Lap: 2:18.358

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.581
Slowest Lap: 2:17.437
Average Lap: 2:14.312

Round 3 Mt. Morris Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:06.882
Slowest Lap: 2:13.906
Average Lap: 2:09.583

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:06.384
Slowest Lap: 2:12.435
Average Lap: 2:08.195

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:03.580
Slowest Lap: 2:08.886
Average Lap: 2:06.244

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:05.128
Slowest Lap: 2:08.771
Average Lap: 2:06.377
13
mirramaxx
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mirramaxx 6/21/2021 7:48pm
6/21/2021 7:48pm Edited Date/Time 6/21/2021 7:49pm
Guys, can you imagine going moto warpspeed for an average lap of 2:06 ?!?! Just damn !!

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Kelz87
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Kelz87 6/21/2021 8:18pm
6/21/2021 8:18pm
I don’t want to get into probability and statistics, but it’s safe to say his chances are getting higher with each weekend so far Tongue
2
WCRider
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WCRider 6/22/2021 3:40am
6/22/2021 3:40am
He will probably crash before the end of the season because his riding style. I love Dylan but at equal speed Roczen is in total control compared to Dylan so i put my money on Ken. 30% to DF to win it.
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SilverSpurs
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SilverSpurs 6/22/2021 7:42am
6/22/2021 7:42am
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
-MAVERICK- wrote:
Considerably faster? [b][u]Round 1 Pala Lap Times[/u][/b] [b]Moto 1[/b] Tomac Fastest Lap: 2:21.862 Slowest Lap: 2:27.081 Average Lap: 2:23.842 Ferrandis Fastest Lap: 2:20.231 Slowest Lap: 2:24.535...
Considerably faster?

Round 1 Pala Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:21.862
Slowest Lap: 2:27.081
Average Lap: 2:23.842

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:20.231
Slowest Lap: 2:24.535
Average Lap: 2:22.390

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:23.578
Slowest Lap: 2:28.579
Average Lap: 2:25.170

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:21.586
Slowest Lap: 2:28.732
Average Lap: 2:23.999

Round 2 Thunder Valley Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:13.273
Slowest Lap: 2:19.344
Average Lap: 2:15.912

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.511
Slowest Lap: 2:15.733
Average Lap: 2:12.606

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:17.048
Slowest Lap: 2:21.531
Average Lap: 2:18.358

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.581
Slowest Lap: 2:17.437
Average Lap: 2:14.312

Round 3 Mt. Morris Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:06.882
Slowest Lap: 2:13.906
Average Lap: 2:09.583

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:06.384
Slowest Lap: 2:12.435
Average Lap: 2:08.195

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:03.580
Slowest Lap: 2:08.886
Average Lap: 2:06.244

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:05.128
Slowest Lap: 2:08.771
Average Lap: 2:06.377
There it is.

Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05

Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04.

I heard Dylan somewhere recently say there is everone else then Tomac when he is on it.

He has made other utterances of admiration for ET3's beast mode.

That said I do think that the #14 is the title favourite.

7
Dirty Points 6/22/2021 8:14am
6/22/2021 8:14am Edited Date/Time 6/22/2021 9:12am
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
-MAVERICK- wrote:
Considerably faster? [b][u]Round 1 Pala Lap Times[/u][/b] [b]Moto 1[/b] Tomac Fastest Lap: 2:21.862 Slowest Lap: 2:27.081 Average Lap: 2:23.842 Ferrandis Fastest Lap: 2:20.231 Slowest Lap: 2:24.535...
Considerably faster?

Round 1 Pala Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:21.862
Slowest Lap: 2:27.081
Average Lap: 2:23.842

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:20.231
Slowest Lap: 2:24.535
Average Lap: 2:22.390

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:23.578
Slowest Lap: 2:28.579
Average Lap: 2:25.170

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:21.586
Slowest Lap: 2:28.732
Average Lap: 2:23.999

Round 2 Thunder Valley Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:13.273
Slowest Lap: 2:19.344
Average Lap: 2:15.912

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.511
Slowest Lap: 2:15.733
Average Lap: 2:12.606

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:17.048
Slowest Lap: 2:21.531
Average Lap: 2:18.358

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.581
Slowest Lap: 2:17.437
Average Lap: 2:14.312

Round 3 Mt. Morris Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:06.882
Slowest Lap: 2:13.906
Average Lap: 2:09.583

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:06.384
Slowest Lap: 2:12.435
Average Lap: 2:08.195

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:03.580
Slowest Lap: 2:08.886
Average Lap: 2:06.244

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:05.128
Slowest Lap: 2:08.771
Average Lap: 2:06.377
SilverSpurs wrote:
There it is. Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05 Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04. I heard Dylan somewhere...
There it is.

Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05

Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04.

I heard Dylan somewhere recently say there is everone else then Tomac when he is on it.

He has made other utterances of admiration for ET3's beast mode.

That said I do think that the #14 is the title favourite.

You're cherry picking one moto out of six, when in all five other motos Dylan's fast lap was "considerably faster" of the two by far.
5
keinz
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keinz 6/22/2021 2:56pm
6/22/2021 2:56pm
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact

9
WhatsStoppingU 6/22/2021 3:00pm
6/22/2021 3:00pm Edited Date/Time 6/22/2021 3:02pm
fullysicmate wrote:
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is. If he figures out how to start it will walk away...
He's the favourite to win it, he's the best in the class as it is.

If he figures out how to start it will walk away from the field, I hope he doesn't figure the start out so I can watch him come through the pack.
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
Dillon? Hey little buddy, check in with Pulp. They are worried about you…
2
1
Radical
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Radical 6/22/2021 9:17pm
6/22/2021 9:17pm
I'm rooting for Roczen this season, then AC, then Ferrandis.
I love the fact that he's always smiling.
He's always pushing himself, even his English. I can understand him now.

I'm stoked that he's doing well, but hoping Ken's the champion for 2021.
This last race was completely awesome!
SilverSpurs
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SilverSpurs 6/23/2021 5:11am
6/23/2021 5:11am
-MAVERICK- wrote:
Considerably faster? [b][u]Round 1 Pala Lap Times[/u][/b] [b]Moto 1[/b] Tomac Fastest Lap: 2:21.862 Slowest Lap: 2:27.081 Average Lap: 2:23.842 Ferrandis Fastest Lap: 2:20.231 Slowest Lap: 2:24.535...
Considerably faster?

Round 1 Pala Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:21.862
Slowest Lap: 2:27.081
Average Lap: 2:23.842

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:20.231
Slowest Lap: 2:24.535
Average Lap: 2:22.390

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:23.578
Slowest Lap: 2:28.579
Average Lap: 2:25.170

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:21.586
Slowest Lap: 2:28.732
Average Lap: 2:23.999

Round 2 Thunder Valley Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:13.273
Slowest Lap: 2:19.344
Average Lap: 2:15.912

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.511
Slowest Lap: 2:15.733
Average Lap: 2:12.606

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:17.048
Slowest Lap: 2:21.531
Average Lap: 2:18.358

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.581
Slowest Lap: 2:17.437
Average Lap: 2:14.312

Round 3 Mt. Morris Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:06.882
Slowest Lap: 2:13.906
Average Lap: 2:09.583

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:06.384
Slowest Lap: 2:12.435
Average Lap: 2:08.195

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:03.580
Slowest Lap: 2:08.886
Average Lap: 2:06.244

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:05.128
Slowest Lap: 2:08.771
Average Lap: 2:06.377
SilverSpurs wrote:
There it is. Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05 Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04. I heard Dylan somewhere...
There it is.

Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05

Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04.

I heard Dylan somewhere recently say there is everone else then Tomac when he is on it.

He has made other utterances of admiration for ET3's beast mode.

That said I do think that the #14 is the title favourite.

Dirty Points wrote:
You're cherry picking one moto out of six, when in all five other motos Dylan's fast lap was "considerably faster" of the two by far.
Ferrandis- and Ciaciarulo- have both said or strongly inferred recently that Eli is a step above them.

That will do me when those two say he is quicker.
5
cappelmans
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cappelmans 6/23/2021 5:18am
6/23/2021 5:18am
He does not seem to get tired at the end of the motos, finishes are consistent. Almost the same as Roczen is riding at the moment. 52% chance Ferrandis, 48% chance Roczen.
Ranman68
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Ranman68 6/23/2021 8:23am
6/23/2021 8:23am
With each round, his chances look better and better for sure. My prediction is that its gonna be a dog fight between Roczen, Ferrandis, and AC. I believe one of those 3 will be the champ when the dust clears.
ProbablyDave 6/23/2021 8:32am
6/23/2021 8:32am
SilverSpurs wrote:
Tomac is considerably faster than Ferrandis. Fact
-MAVERICK- wrote:
Considerably faster? [b][u]Round 1 Pala Lap Times[/u][/b] [b]Moto 1[/b] Tomac Fastest Lap: 2:21.862 Slowest Lap: 2:27.081 Average Lap: 2:23.842 Ferrandis Fastest Lap: 2:20.231 Slowest Lap: 2:24.535...
Considerably faster?

Round 1 Pala Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:21.862
Slowest Lap: 2:27.081
Average Lap: 2:23.842

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:20.231
Slowest Lap: 2:24.535
Average Lap: 2:22.390

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:23.578
Slowest Lap: 2:28.579
Average Lap: 2:25.170

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:21.586
Slowest Lap: 2:28.732
Average Lap: 2:23.999

Round 2 Thunder Valley Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:13.273
Slowest Lap: 2:19.344
Average Lap: 2:15.912

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.511
Slowest Lap: 2:15.733
Average Lap: 2:12.606

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:17.048
Slowest Lap: 2:21.531
Average Lap: 2:18.358

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:11.581
Slowest Lap: 2:17.437
Average Lap: 2:14.312

Round 3 Mt. Morris Lap Times

Moto 1

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:06.882
Slowest Lap: 2:13.906
Average Lap: 2:09.583

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:06.384
Slowest Lap: 2:12.435
Average Lap: 2:08.195

Moto 2

Tomac

Fastest Lap: 2:03.580
Slowest Lap: 2:08.886
Average Lap: 2:06.244

Ferrandis

Fastest Lap: 2:05.128
Slowest Lap: 2:08.771
Average Lap: 2:06.377
SilverSpurs wrote:
There it is. Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05 Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04. I heard Dylan somewhere...
There it is.

Tomac on it at 2'03 was considerably faster than Ferrandis' best of 2.05

Kenny squeezed out a low 2.04.

I heard Dylan somewhere recently say there is everone else then Tomac when he is on it.

He has made other utterances of admiration for ET3's beast mode.

That said I do think that the #14 is the title favourite.

This is motocross. We don't run 24 motos, and then choose the champion from who had the fastest single lap of a moto selected by a Tomac fan.
5
GabeM
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GabeM 6/23/2021 8:58am
6/23/2021 8:58am
50/50 he wins the championship or doesn't
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