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Motocross Illustrated
12/27/2013 2:48am
12/27/2013 2:48am
Edited Date/Time
12/30/2013 3:39pm
Hope he can pull of some wins in 2014. I really start to get excited at the prospect of both Reed and Ferris standing on top of a AMA SX poduim in 2014.
The Shop
Ferris winning a SX main would,
until
Go Chad!
Pit Row
Comparing Reed to Short though?, That's just silly.
However, I will agree with you I would like to see him have enough success this year to keep the 22 team alive because Reed has an unique approach to making the sport interesting.
to simplify my argument:
If Windham can get 2nd overall with 2 wins and 8 podiums at 31 years old
Then
Reed has a great shot at exceeding what Windham did at the same age, 31
I don't think this field is any different than then what it was in 2010.
A field of Reed, Stewart, Dungey, Villipoto is pretty tough. Yeah, 5 through 10 is better now but the top 5 from 2010 are equal to the top 5 in 2014
I'm also cheating a bit due to that hindsight 20/20 thing. I get to look back at 2010 and see that 3 of the top contenders didn't finish the season.
Here are the top 10 in points for the 2010 season in the 450 class:
1. Ryan Dungey, 363
2. Kevin Windham, 293
3. Davi Millsaps, 268
4. Ryan Villopoto, 266
5. Justin Brayton, 238
6. Josh Hill, 233
7. Nick Wey, 197
8. Tommy Hahn, 186
9. Ivan Tedesco, 183
10. Kyle Chisholm, 177
There is no way the top 5 from 2010 are the same as this year. You can't compare 2010 to what we hope 2014 will be. Keep in mind, although RV finished 4th, his season ended in STL.
I think the 2014 Reed can exceed that. If healthy he should consistently beat Tomac, Barcia and Roczen edge out Dungey and give Villipoto and Stewart a good run for their money.
Also the deeper the field the more likely complete pandalirium will break out ala 2011
I think the top 5 of 2010 were a fair amount better than the projected top five of 2014.
Do you think a
2014 RV is better than 2010 Stewart?
2014 Stewart better than a 2010 Reed?
2014 Dungey better than a 2010 RV?
2014 Barcia better than a 2010 Dungey?
2014 Tomac better than a 2010 Windham?
Personally I think the 2010 top 5 are much better.
RD5
KW14
DM18
RV2 (left the series after STL)
JB10
And yes, I think aside from RD and RV, the other 3 of the top 5 from 2010 will struggle to get top 10 this year so IMO, there is no comparison between 10 and 14.
My prediction, Reed will finish the season somewhere between 5th and 7th. I'll bookmark this thread and check back in May to see if I was close or not.
Post a reply to: Reed, Reed, Reed!!!