Injuries: Is it really the 450?

aFACEdismembered
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8/21/2012 2:03pm
Power means nothing when it comes to lap times, per say. A Bugatti Veyron will go faster than a Zonda R in a straight line (like a 450 will to a 250f) but it won't handle better. Better handling/less power usually allows drivers/riders to get out of sketchy situations a little easier/push the limit a little more. There's not as much raw power and weight to affect what you are attempting to do (not get hurt) when a rider loses temporary control. The average age of the class also comes in to play when talking about healing from injuries or riding through pain.
Skip376
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8/21/2012 2:05pm
SO why all the injuries in 1998 on two strokes?

So many we had 4 factory riders at Vegas.
dkg
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8/21/2012 2:06pm
Overdrive wrote:
I see your point on the times, but let me ask this. Would the lap times be faster if they were riding 750 or 1000 cc...
I see your point on the times, but let me ask this. Would the lap times be faster if they were riding 750 or 1000 cc 4 stokes. Probably not because they are pushing the limits of speed as it is with the power of the 250 and 450. Now ask yourself would there be more injuries with a 750 or 1000 cc? I think there would be due to weight and the amount of power that would cause you to get into trouble and out of control easier.
I agree with this analysis. However, applying it to the difference between the 250 and 450 just causes me to wonder on a few issues. The weight difference between the bikes I understand to be in the area of approximately 8-10 lbs. Power to weight ratio is dramatically greater in the case of the 450. Certainly, the lap times are close enough to make one question if the power differential is being used or in fact if it is even an usable power differential. One would expect a greater difference in the times if the power of the 450 was being completely used. The weight differential and gyroscopic affect I can easily see making it more difficult to control or recover after getting out of shape on the 450 (I am conceding that a little over use of the throttle will make it easier to get out of shape on a 450). However, is the difference really that great between the two classes to lay a high percentage on the bike. Frankly, after reading your's and others comments, I am beginning to feel that the bike differential plays a lesser role with the majority role simply being an example of Murphy's Law in action.

I am really bginning to question the advantage of a larger, stronger motor in our sport. I doesn't seem based solely on lap times that the extra power is being completely used. It would be interesting to get the top 10 riders in each class to race 3 combined races, all on 250s, all on 450s and one in their designated class. Probably would give an interesting perspective of the need for more powerful bikes.
Hank_Thrill
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8/21/2012 2:18pm Edited Date/Time 9/15/2012 6:33pm
Skip376 wrote:
SO why all the injuries in 1998 on two strokes?

So many we had 4 factory riders at Vegas.
How many people broke their back that year? I think we have had two riders break their back in the past month, Hahn and Wey. That's as many top professionals I can recall breaking their back the entire decade of the 90's (Henry and Emig, though I'm sure there are a few more lesser known riders).

1998, was obviously a bad year for the sport, but the past two out of three years in the 450 class have turned into a survivor competition. Heck, only one rider so far has competed in every 450 event of 2012.

The Shop

aFACEdismembered
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8/21/2012 2:27pm Edited Date/Time 8/21/2012 2:39pm
UpTiTe wrote:
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy? Personally I can't think of one...
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy?

Personally I can't think of one 450 rider that got hurt because his bike was to fast.

Canard? Nope, he crashed rolling a triple.
Reed? Nope, he crashed changing up lines and his bike stuck in the mud.
RV? Nope, he put his foot down and twisted his knee.


So who then got hurt because the bike was to fast?
I had a discussion about the Reed thing on here a few months back. Had he been on a smaller bore machine he might not have had the power, RV also (obviously I don't know). If a rider KNOWS they don't have the power to jump something they won't. If they THINK they have the power to jump something they might/will depending on thought process at the time. We've all been there making a stupid decision knowing the odds are not in our favor.

With a 450 that's where I think the problem lies. The bikes are much more capable of doing things a human being cannot do consistently, unrelated to the bike. The bike will always do what you tell it to do because you are controlling it. That doesn't mean it works every time though and maybe the minor differences between a 250f and 450f are where a hazy line of consistency and "riding within ones limits" get hard to control (for someone who wants to win).
Overdrive
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8/21/2012 3:28pm Edited Date/Time 8/21/2012 3:30pm
Overdrive wrote:
I see your point on the times, but let me ask this. Would the lap times be faster if they were riding 750 or 1000 cc...
I see your point on the times, but let me ask this. Would the lap times be faster if they were riding 750 or 1000 cc 4 stokes. Probably not because they are pushing the limits of speed as it is with the power of the 250 and 450. Now ask yourself would there be more injuries with a 750 or 1000 cc? I think there would be due to weight and the amount of power that would cause you to get into trouble and out of control easier.
dkg wrote:
I agree with this analysis. However, applying it to the difference between the 250 and 450 just causes me to wonder on a few issues. The...
I agree with this analysis. However, applying it to the difference between the 250 and 450 just causes me to wonder on a few issues. The weight difference between the bikes I understand to be in the area of approximately 8-10 lbs. Power to weight ratio is dramatically greater in the case of the 450. Certainly, the lap times are close enough to make one question if the power differential is being used or in fact if it is even an usable power differential. One would expect a greater difference in the times if the power of the 450 was being completely used. The weight differential and gyroscopic affect I can easily see making it more difficult to control or recover after getting out of shape on the 450 (I am conceding that a little over use of the throttle will make it easier to get out of shape on a 450). However, is the difference really that great between the two classes to lay a high percentage on the bike. Frankly, after reading your's and others comments, I am beginning to feel that the bike differential plays a lesser role with the majority role simply being an example of Murphy's Law in action.

I am really bginning to question the advantage of a larger, stronger motor in our sport. I doesn't seem based solely on lap times that the extra power is being completely used. It would be interesting to get the top 10 riders in each class to race 3 combined races, all on 250s, all on 450s and one in their designated class. Probably would give an interesting perspective of the need for more powerful bikes.
We will probably never know because the people who actually make the calls are not going to go back to smaller bore machines in the premier class. So all this is purely academic.

As to your last comment I agree, I think the racing gets better, closer and more aggressive with smaller bore machines where racing skill determines who wins instead of who is the last man standing.

To me all the top guys battling and dicing on 125s is way more exciting to watch compared to 450's running in a single file line.
40Plus_922mx
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8/21/2012 3:30pm
2 points (man this is gettng old!)

1). Go watch any 125 and any 250 2 stroke race. They are poking around the track compared to today.

2). More momentum = more injuries. Some law somewhere in physics?
PressPassP
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8/21/2012 4:23pm
Is say that the 450 is more point and shoot,it delivers its power and acceleration more violently and the braking aspects are different too as you have the inertia of the engine to take into account,inbetween these areas you're most likely hitting higher speeds too,whereas the 250 lends itself to a more flowing ride.

Some riders like the 350 because they feel its somewhere between the 2 and that's where they're most comfortable,the 450's more challenging characteristics are what's more to blame for the injuries I'm pretty sure
sam111
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8/21/2012 5:42pm Edited Date/Time 8/21/2012 6:32pm
There has been a lot of pro's injured this year, but it is impossible to determine whether this is a trend or just a coincidence - comparing a single year to another is not a fair analysis. The pace is undoubtedly faster now than it has ever been, meaning the risks associated with racing at the top level are greater. The 450's could be a contributing factor, but I don't think they are entirely to blame. No matter what size bikes are being ridden, everyone will still push the limits in order to gain an advantage over their rivals.

Journalists should ask some pro riders this question - I would be interested to hear their thoughts about it. I think they would laugh at the suggestion their bikes have too much power for them.

Bottom line, Motocross has always been and will always be dangerous.
Deetsmx
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8/21/2012 6:04pm
This weekend's 450 race summed it up perfectly, track was rough and rutted and 450's were dropping like flies, even Dungey, when guys were pushing it. Whenever I decide to hop on a 450 again it baffles me how heavy those things are, yet how easy they are to go fast on. We have some rollers on our local track and those things sketch me out every time I go through there on one knowing that if it starts to swap I'm SOL.
newmann
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8/21/2012 6:16pm
sam111 wrote:
There has been a lot of pro's injured this year, but it is impossible to determine whether this is a trend or just a coincidence -...
There has been a lot of pro's injured this year, but it is impossible to determine whether this is a trend or just a coincidence - comparing a single year to another is not a fair analysis. The pace is undoubtedly faster now than it has ever been, meaning the risks associated with racing at the top level are greater. The 450's could be a contributing factor, but I don't think they are entirely to blame. No matter what size bikes are being ridden, everyone will still push the limits in order to gain an advantage over their rivals.

Journalists should ask some pro riders this question - I would be interested to hear their thoughts about it. I think they would laugh at the suggestion their bikes have too much power for them.

Bottom line, Motocross has always been and will always be dangerous.
Jimmy Button told me that his lightswitch powerband YZ400/426/540???.....cranked out 76 hp on the dyno and was pretty much unrideable. There was work to be done.LOL

He seemed pretty well convinced that the big, heavy and powerful open class thumpers were to blame for some of the carnage we've been seeing. His injury however was a simple low speed tipover where he just landed on his head at obviously the wrong angle. Fortunately for him he was able to recover quite well.
Hank_Thrill
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8/21/2012 8:02pm Edited Date/Time 8/22/2012 6:12am
sam111 wrote:
There has been a lot of pro's injured this year, but it is impossible to determine whether this is a trend or just a coincidence -...
There has been a lot of pro's injured this year, but it is impossible to determine whether this is a trend or just a coincidence - comparing a single year to another is not a fair analysis. The pace is undoubtedly faster now than it has ever been, meaning the risks associated with racing at the top level are greater. The 450's could be a contributing factor, but I don't think they are entirely to blame. No matter what size bikes are being ridden, everyone will still push the limits in order to gain an advantage over their rivals.

Journalists should ask some pro riders this question - I would be interested to hear their thoughts about it. I think they would laugh at the suggestion their bikes have too much power for them.

Bottom line, Motocross has always been and will always be dangerous.
I still cannot comprehend how people don't see the bikes playing a significant factor, whether due to the power, weight/inertia - or both . When only one rider competes in all the top events and only 3 riders compete in all 450 supercross mains something is apparently broken!

What I'm about to say is not to make an argument for making the premiere class the 125cc class - that would be ridiculous - but rather to make a point: does anyone really believe we would be seeing this much carnage in the 450 class if everyone were on lesser powered 125cc machines? Of course not, because now matter how fast the riders desired to go, they would be limited by the motorcycle, it would be easier to control, limit possibilities we see now, and slow the pace down as well as the force riders slam into the ground.

The 450's have pretty much an unlimited amount of power, so riders can pretty much go as fast as determined by the laws of physics and their bravery. A lot of top riders are echoing they are going as fast as possible, such as RV, and Kdub. Carmichael said the same in 2007, when apparently only himself and James were at that level. It even seems like the top pros even realize that you cannot push the limits 100% of the time on 450s, like riders do in the 250 class. I think this is why 450 racing is so freaking boring at times. If riders are not in the mood, in the zone, not feeling it, or get a bad start, they just race in a steady pace that is safe and maintainable. Take for example Dungey, in Arlington, Texas this year. He was getting smoked by Reed and Villopoto who were going at it until Reed's wreck. Which, if he were on a slower machine he probably would not have been able to do that triple in the first place (nobody in the 250f class was that night, including Roczen and Barcia who are great jump technicians). This trend has been going on for the past two out of three years, and if it continues, I hope to God the AMA steps in and does something, especially int he supercross class.

REACT!
Torco1
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8/21/2012 8:11pm
UpTiTe wrote:
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy? Personally I can't think of one...
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy?

Personally I can't think of one 450 rider that got hurt because his bike was to fast.

Canard? Nope, he crashed rolling a triple.
Reed? Nope, he crashed changing up lines and his bike stuck in the mud.
RV? Nope, he put his foot down and twisted his knee.


So who then got hurt because the bike was to fast?
I had a discussion about the Reed thing on here a few months back. Had he been on a smaller bore machine he might not have...
I had a discussion about the Reed thing on here a few months back. Had he been on a smaller bore machine he might not have had the power, RV also (obviously I don't know). If a rider KNOWS they don't have the power to jump something they won't. If they THINK they have the power to jump something they might/will depending on thought process at the time. We've all been there making a stupid decision knowing the odds are not in our favor.

With a 450 that's where I think the problem lies. The bikes are much more capable of doing things a human being cannot do consistently, unrelated to the bike. The bike will always do what you tell it to do because you are controlling it. That doesn't mean it works every time though and maybe the minor differences between a 250f and 450f are where a hazy line of consistency and "riding within ones limits" get hard to control (for someone who wants to win).
Dismembered is exactly right. 10 years ago the pros were wringing the shit out of the bikes trying to get every bit of power out of them.....especially when trying to clear certain jumps on certain tracks. It was the bikes that were holding them back. Now its the rider that's holding the bikes back (the 450's anyway). Just like Dismembered said, the bike is going to do what you tell it to do and at some point you need to make the decision between going for it all and possibly crashing your brains out......or taking it easy and being a 10th place guy. It's the risk/ reward thingy.
You cant really blame the bike when you're the one telling the bike exactly what to do......its only going to go as fast as you make it go. Dungey doesn't seem to have a problem riding fast and in control. And like someone else said, most of the injuries haven't come from the "crazy deadly" 450 speed.....they've come from twisting knees in ruts in corners or being landed on or going down in 2nd gear. I really don't buy into the whole "450's are too fast" argument. OK, you guys can rip into me now.......
UpTiTe
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8/21/2012 8:24pm
UpTiTe wrote:
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy? Personally I can't think of one...
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy?

Personally I can't think of one 450 rider that got hurt because his bike was to fast.

Canard? Nope, he crashed rolling a triple.
Reed? Nope, he crashed changing up lines and his bike stuck in the mud.
RV? Nope, he put his foot down and twisted his knee.


So who then got hurt because the bike was to fast?
I had a discussion about the Reed thing on here a few months back. Had he been on a smaller bore machine he might not have...
I had a discussion about the Reed thing on here a few months back. Had he been on a smaller bore machine he might not have had the power, RV also (obviously I don't know). If a rider KNOWS they don't have the power to jump something they won't. If they THINK they have the power to jump something they might/will depending on thought process at the time. We've all been there making a stupid decision knowing the odds are not in our favor.

With a 450 that's where I think the problem lies. The bikes are much more capable of doing things a human being cannot do consistently, unrelated to the bike. The bike will always do what you tell it to do because you are controlling it. That doesn't mean it works every time though and maybe the minor differences between a 250f and 450f are where a hazy line of consistency and "riding within ones limits" get hard to control (for someone who wants to win).
The jump Reed crashed on was not big at all and the 250 2 strokes would have been jumping it. Reed said the crash was caused by changing up lines and the soft dirt slowed his progress down. It had nothing to do with the bike having to much power, especially considering he was jumping it fine all night before that.

I agree 100% that a 450 in the hands of a less talented rider is dangerous, but I don't believe that it is in the hands of a top pro.
Faceaz
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8/21/2012 11:00pm
UpTiTe wrote:
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy? Personally I can't think of one...
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy?

Personally I can't think of one 450 rider that got hurt because his bike was to fast.

Canard? Nope, he crashed rolling a triple.
Reed? Nope, he crashed changing up lines and his bike stuck in the mud.
RV? Nope, he put his foot down and twisted his knee.


So who then got hurt because the bike was to fast?
Reed & RV are debatable:

Reed. A panic rev with the 2 strokes & even 250f's has a much greater affect. If you drop the nose on a 450, there's little chance of getting it back, the added crank mass assures it. With a lower displacement he may of at least had a fighting chance.

RV. The added bike weight & crank mass may have let the front tire wash out just a little bit easier. The added weight no doubt didn't help in buckling his knee either.


There are several here that get it. When a bike with greater mass get's out of shape, the rider has a much less ability to regain control. 250 riders have mistakes just like the 450's, the difference being the 250 riders have a much better fighting chance @ getting the bike back. Personally I would much rather have 250's or maybe 350's as the premier class. Nobody would ever miss the 1/2 second per lap, carrying momentum makes for much better racing, as does the chance of having more riders stay healthy through the series.
8/22/2012 12:11am Edited Date/Time 8/22/2012 12:27am
UpTiTe wrote:
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy? Personally I can't think of one...
can someone please inform me on which 450 rider is out because his 450 is to fast or to heavy?

Personally I can't think of one 450 rider that got hurt because his bike was to fast.

Canard? Nope, he crashed rolling a triple.
Reed? Nope, he crashed changing up lines and his bike stuck in the mud.
RV? Nope, he put his foot down and twisted his knee.


So who then got hurt because the bike was to fast?
Faceaz wrote:
Reed & RV are debatable: Reed. A panic rev with the 2 strokes & even 250f's has a much greater affect. If you drop the nose...
Reed & RV are debatable:

Reed. A panic rev with the 2 strokes & even 250f's has a much greater affect. If you drop the nose on a 450, there's little chance of getting it back, the added crank mass assures it. With a lower displacement he may of at least had a fighting chance.

RV. The added bike weight & crank mass may have let the front tire wash out just a little bit easier. The added weight no doubt didn't help in buckling his knee either.


There are several here that get it. When a bike with greater mass get's out of shape, the rider has a much less ability to regain control. 250 riders have mistakes just like the 450's, the difference being the 250 riders have a much better fighting chance @ getting the bike back. Personally I would much rather have 250's or maybe 350's as the premier class. Nobody would ever miss the 1/2 second per lap, carrying momentum makes for much better racing, as does the chance of having more riders stay healthy through the series.
The added weight no doubt didn't help in buckling his knee either

We do not know that. It was most likely completely due to the angle his leg was at when he went down.
Knee injuries are as old as the sport.

To me it's just the intensity of the riders and a certain amount of luck. I remember back in 2002 when RC was doing his thing on Honda for the first time, everyone was riding out of their skins trying to beat him. Jeremy got hurt in pre season practice and took ages to recover throughout the early rounds. Ricky himself got hurt at the first round and eventually was followed throughout the year by DV, TP (OK Travis may not count) and ML. Of course RC dug deep and was able to retain the title.

But people are increasingly getting injured because they take more and more chances these days than what they used to. At start of this year the MX2 GP class (250fs) had a couple of top guys out with injuries and now Roelants is out after getting badly injured at Matterley. Besides Frossard, the 450 field in MX1 has remained pretty much healthy this year. You can make a similar observation with Barica last year - where he hit the ground multiple times on his 250f (apparently unable to salvage those mistakes) but then immediately calmed down and was light years better on the 450. A lot of it is just chance.
sam111
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8/22/2012 12:59am
Faceaz wrote:
Reed & RV are debatable: Reed. A panic rev with the 2 strokes & even 250f's has a much greater affect. If you drop the nose...
Reed & RV are debatable:

Reed. A panic rev with the 2 strokes & even 250f's has a much greater affect. If you drop the nose on a 450, there's little chance of getting it back, the added crank mass assures it. With a lower displacement he may of at least had a fighting chance.

RV. The added bike weight & crank mass may have let the front tire wash out just a little bit easier. The added weight no doubt didn't help in buckling his knee either.


There are several here that get it. When a bike with greater mass get's out of shape, the rider has a much less ability to regain control. 250 riders have mistakes just like the 450's, the difference being the 250 riders have a much better fighting chance @ getting the bike back. Personally I would much rather have 250's or maybe 350's as the premier class. Nobody would ever miss the 1/2 second per lap, carrying momentum makes for much better racing, as does the chance of having more riders stay healthy through the series.
Scraping the barrel.
Derpin' DJ
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8/22/2012 2:04am
Faceaz, it doesn't sound like you know how panic revving works. The change in momentum of the rear wheel is offset by the bike rotating in the other direction. That's why hitting the rear brake brings the front down. The crank mass won't affect it like you described.
sam111
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8/22/2012 2:52am
Torco1 wrote:
Dismembered is exactly right. 10 years ago the pros were wringing the shit out of the bikes trying to get every bit of power out of...
Dismembered is exactly right. 10 years ago the pros were wringing the shit out of the bikes trying to get every bit of power out of them.....especially when trying to clear certain jumps on certain tracks. It was the bikes that were holding them back. Now its the rider that's holding the bikes back (the 450's anyway). Just like Dismembered said, the bike is going to do what you tell it to do and at some point you need to make the decision between going for it all and possibly crashing your brains out......or taking it easy and being a 10th place guy. It's the risk/ reward thingy.
You cant really blame the bike when you're the one telling the bike exactly what to do......its only going to go as fast as you make it go. Dungey doesn't seem to have a problem riding fast and in control. And like someone else said, most of the injuries haven't come from the "crazy deadly" 450 speed.....they've come from twisting knees in ruts in corners or being landed on or going down in 2nd gear. I really don't buy into the whole "450's are too fast" argument. OK, you guys can rip into me now.......
Agreed.
8/22/2012 7:04am
A lot is being read into an incident that most people only saw on tv and they have never met rv in person. To say it was a minor error to get his foot caught in a rut ignores the cumulative abuse the body takes when racing at the top level. Everyday the riders take a beating on the practice track.
One issue is that jumps where a 250f can barely make it are too easy for a 450. The riders overjump and land on the flat beyond the landing ramp. The track design would be better if the feeder class and the main event bikes were closer in hp level.
.
J.Saunders144
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8/22/2012 7:13am
burn1986 wrote:
Well, you have to wonder at some point, when almost all of the top guys are out for injuries.
I would have to side with it's the top guys on the best equipment attempting to push the limits and hang it out to run the pace to win. Thus resulting in mistakes and bad situations. Who honestly can say they can push themselves as hard as they possibly can and do not have moments where you either crash or are glad you somehow saved it?
Hank_Thrill
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8/22/2012 7:30am Edited Date/Time 8/23/2012 6:43am
Look, when examining the injury rates of the sport today, you cannot dissect individual crashes and expect to explain the big picture. That's like a social researcher trying to understand the high violent crime rate in a big city by cherry picking ten murders.

Instead, to explain the big picture - in this case really high injury rates in the sport, particularly the 450 class - you identify one, or very few, variables, or casual factors. In this case, 450s are the more powerful, and much heavier - especially considering gyroscopic force - compared to the 250f machines, and two-strokes of the past. The only variables differing between the 450 class and the 250 class are the machines, rider experience, and number events competed in each year.

If faster and heavier machines did not explain higher injury rates, and the more spine crushing severe injuries, we would expect to see the same injury rates that we are seeing today all throughout the 80's and 90's on much slower bikes of the past. Faster machines are not the sole cause of injuries, but may explain the higher injury rates we are witnessing (big difference between the two). Thus, if you cherry pick individual crashes, the explanation larger bikes result in higher injury rates may or may not explain that particular crash. There are always exceptions to the rule (e.g., someone having their life saved by not wearing a seatbelt, despite seatbelts overall drastically increasing the odds of surviving a crash). Injuries have been around since this sport begin, but the higher injuries we are seeing today may be explained by the bikes being raced today. To determine what kind of increase in injury rates are due to the machines (15% or 50%), a serious study would have to be done.
Faceaz
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8/22/2012 7:50am Edited Date/Time 8/22/2012 7:56am
Derpin' DJ wrote:
Faceaz, it doesn't sound like you know how panic revving works. The change in momentum of the rear wheel is offset by the bike rotating in...
Faceaz, it doesn't sound like you know how panic revving works. The change in momentum of the rear wheel is offset by the bike rotating in the other direction. That's why hitting the rear brake brings the front down. The crank mass won't affect it like you described.
No shit. As the rear wheel accelerates, the equal / opposite affect is to raise the front of the bike. If the rest of the bike weighs more (and more specifically the mass of the crank is greatly increased), the affect the rear wheel is negated, Go back and watch panic revs on 2 strokes, then 450's & watch how much more difference it has on a bike with a lighter crank. Crank mass has everything to do with it. Take a old bike wheel spin it & see how hard it is to move around. Then take the the same wheel, add 2 pounds of weight to it & see how much harder it is to move around when spun. Increase that exponentially by a crank spinning 10,000 rpm & the affect is much more so.

For motocross83, notice I said "didn't help". As a person who's had roughly 15 dislocations on each knee, I can say the knee can only withstand so much. The more forces you pile on, the less chance a knee has.

Yes, scraping the barrel Wink
8/22/2012 8:11am Edited Date/Time 8/22/2012 8:12am
Derpin' DJ wrote:
Faceaz, it doesn't sound like you know how panic revving works. The change in momentum of the rear wheel is offset by the bike rotating in...
Faceaz, it doesn't sound like you know how panic revving works. The change in momentum of the rear wheel is offset by the bike rotating in the other direction. That's why hitting the rear brake brings the front down. The crank mass won't affect it like you described.
Faceaz wrote:
No shit. As the rear wheel accelerates, the equal / opposite affect is to raise the front of the bike. If the rest of the bike...
No shit. As the rear wheel accelerates, the equal / opposite affect is to raise the front of the bike. If the rest of the bike weighs more (and more specifically the mass of the crank is greatly increased), the affect the rear wheel is negated, Go back and watch panic revs on 2 strokes, then 450's & watch how much more difference it has on a bike with a lighter crank. Crank mass has everything to do with it. Take a old bike wheel spin it & see how hard it is to move around. Then take the the same wheel, add 2 pounds of weight to it & see how much harder it is to move around when spun. Increase that exponentially by a crank spinning 10,000 rpm & the affect is much more so.

For motocross83, notice I said "didn't help". As a person who's had roughly 15 dislocations on each knee, I can say the knee can only withstand so much. The more forces you pile on, the less chance a knee has.

Yes, scraping the barrel Wink
Humm, usually when we use the phrase "didn't help", not only do we mean that it literally didn't help but that it actually contributed in a negative way. But if you didn't mean that exactly then fair enough, my mistake. I'll agree with you that it didn't help, obviously.
jeffro503
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St Helens, OR, USA
8/22/2012 8:55am
I don't so much think it's a problem with the 450's......just that the 450's let a rider choose how fast he really wants to go.

I think the injuries or more due to the fact that "the riders" themselves have evolved into pushing past certain limits.........which equals in a smaller margin of error.

When I was younger racing the 250 2 strokes......I still had my fair share of wrecks.....because I was pushing it.

AND......who says that if we would of stayed with the 2 stroke 250's they wouldn't be extremely fast as well? They would of evolved in speed just like the 450's......because the riders would of demanded it.
BobTheBuilder
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Cherry Valley, VI, USA
8/22/2012 9:21am
None of this discussion matters. The AMA/MXsports/Feld will never change bike configurations (displacement, strokes) no matter how much it is needed. They are mere puppets to the OEMs. Technology and skill will keep progressing and our leadership won't. I pray we don't see tragic accidents in the pros....
Drtbykr
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Fredericton, CA
8/22/2012 9:24am
yes, E = MC2. With their weight and power, once they decide to go if you are riding over your head or get crossed up, there isn't any wrestling them back.

That being said, MX is a dangerous sport.
sam111
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NZ
8/22/2012 11:19am Edited Date/Time 8/22/2012 2:27pm
Look, when examining the injury rates of the sport today, you cannot dissect individual crashes and expect to explain the big picture. That's like a social...
Look, when examining the injury rates of the sport today, you cannot dissect individual crashes and expect to explain the big picture. That's like a social researcher trying to understand the high violent crime rate in a big city by cherry picking ten murders.

Instead, to explain the big picture - in this case really high injury rates in the sport, particularly the 450 class - you identify one, or very few, variables, or casual factors. In this case, 450s are the more powerful, and much heavier - especially considering gyroscopic force - compared to the 250f machines, and two-strokes of the past. The only variables differing between the 450 class and the 250 class are the machines, rider experience, and number events competed in each year.

If faster and heavier machines did not explain higher injury rates, and the more spine crushing severe injuries, we would expect to see the same injury rates that we are seeing today all throughout the 80's and 90's on much slower bikes of the past. Faster machines are not the sole cause of injuries, but may explain the higher injury rates we are witnessing (big difference between the two). Thus, if you cherry pick individual crashes, the explanation larger bikes result in higher injury rates may or may not explain that particular crash. There are always exceptions to the rule (e.g., someone having their life saved by not wearing a seatbelt, despite seatbelts overall drastically increasing the odds of surviving a crash). Injuries have been around since this sport begin, but the higher injuries we are seeing today may be explained by the bikes being raced today. To determine what kind of increase in injury rates are due to the machines (15% or 50%), a serious study would have to be done.
"When examining the injury rates of the sport today, you cannot dissect individual crashes and expect to explain the big picture." You can't examine "two out of the last three years" and establish a "trend" either.

As Jeffro503 said "the 450's let a rider choose how fast he really wants to go." Strictly speaking, I don't think you can blame the bikes for allowing the riders to push the limit of what is physically possible. By twisting the throttle, they are choosing to go that fast. Also, lets not forget that rider talent and skill are still the main determinants of speed on the track.

Although I think that the four strokes have contributed to the higher race speeds seen in pro racing today, I am still not convinced the crashes and injuries this year are a direct result of the extra power and weight of the 450's.
dkg
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8/22/2012 11:21am
Comparing the performance specs between stock 2012 Honda 250 / 450, you get the following:

HP approx: 38 to 55 approx a 45% increase for the 450
Weight: 222 to 238 approx a 7% increase for the 450
P/W ratio: 5.8 to 4.3 approx 34% increase for the 450

Assuming that in race machines relatively linear performance increases are available across the machines, then the percentage increase is the most notable. Clearly the 450 has significant performance increase over the 250. However, there is no direct correlation between lap times and performance increase. This kind of calls into question the assertion that the 450 performance is the cause of the injuries as the performance increase of the bike is not resulting in a linear decrease in lap times. The performance is there but is not being used in all cases to maximum advantage. Kind of like driving your Ferrari in rush hour traffic, you can go 200mph, but other factors limit this ability.

Some comments have considered the gyroscopic effect. Not being a physicist, I did some quick looking at this. What I learned is that a motorcycle has 3 primary points of inertia. The two wheels and the crank/flywheel effect. Relevant variables in this area would be in the internal engine components. However, the nonlinear variable in this case would be the rotational speed of the engine. The 450 has roughly a 7-10 percent increase in weight in these components. (very rough estimate). However this maybe offset by the higher rpm of a 250. Tire/wheel combos may have some minor increase in inertia in favor of the 450, however, I do not think the actual math would support a highly significant gyroscopic increase in the 450.

I find it hard to blame all the carnage on the bike, and like others I don't think the classes will change. Personally, I tend to think that most of the carnage is attributable to other factors including, bad luck, rider error, track conditions, etc. I respect the opinions of those with a different perspective. I simply don't see enough events to say it is the bike that is to blame. It may have some effect but probably isn't the causative factor.
moto282
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8/22/2012 11:34am Edited Date/Time 8/22/2012 11:34am
I think it's the speed and competition, not the bikes.

In a perfect world though, I would prefer to see the classes be 125 and 250F as the premier class. No 450 class and 125s would replace the 250F class. Would make for better racing.

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