How does this thing in Iran end?

7/15/2026 8:12am

The Persian Gulf Strait Authority...

https://www.pgsa.ir/

was making arrangements for ships transiting the Hormuz Strait, as per section 5 of the MOU.

borg wrote:
When Trump declared the MOU kaput, he also said that we would take over the Straight and run it. We would also charge all ships 20%...

When Trump declared the MOU kaput, he also said that we would take over the Straight and run it. We would also charge all ships 20% because we shouldn't have to do it for nothing. 

I don't quite know what to say to that so I will say nothing and do my part to keep the thread from turning to shit.

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...

https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

image 3390

LOL, we're going to charge you for protection from ourselves!

TM

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2
7/15/2026 8:15am

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

5
Kenny Banyan
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7/15/2026 8:47am Edited Date/Time 7/15/2026 8:52am
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

Is there even anything coming back from Iran? Doesn’t Attacking in daylight show that Iran can’t defend themselves? I don’t know…..

1
LoudLove
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Location
USA
7/15/2026 8:50am
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

Is there even anything coming back from Iran? Doesn’t Attacking in daylight show that Iran can’t defend themselves? I don’t know…..

Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching in at 300’ AGL. 

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1

The Shop

7/15/2026 9:01am
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

Is there even anything coming back from Iran? Doesn’t Attacking in daylight show that Iran can’t defend themselves? I don’t know…..

LoudLove wrote:
Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching...

Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching in at 300’ AGL. 

Well, they still have small weapons that they took down on of our choppers with so there is risk. But it seems that there is still a large portion of the population that wants the government overthrown but probably are afraid to do anything as they still believe how much control the people in power have. Do they even have internet access again yet? So actually seeing with their own eyes has impact. How much information flow is there inside Iran? I don't really see ever that there is a straight line to an end, there will always be highs and lows as they will keep testing their boundaries to see what they can get away with and improve their leverage in negotiations.

TM

2
2
7/15/2026 9:07am

Iran is pissing off their neighbors like nobody's business. Is it just a matter of time before the neighbors jump in?

TM

2
2
7/15/2026 9:24am
borg wrote:
When Trump declared the MOU kaput, he also said that we would take over the Straight and run it. We would also charge all ships 20%...

When Trump declared the MOU kaput, he also said that we would take over the Straight and run it. We would also charge all ships 20% because we shouldn't have to do it for nothing. 

I don't quite know what to say to that so I will say nothing and do my part to keep the thread from turning to shit.

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...

https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

image 3390
ToolMaker wrote:

LOL, we're going to charge you for protection from ourselves!

TM

Mafia style stuff.  

 

2
1
Chance1216
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7/15/2026 9:32am
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

It’s a demonstration of air superiority. 

2
1
Chance1216
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7/15/2026 9:34am

Is there even anything coming back from Iran? Doesn’t Attacking in daylight show that Iran can’t defend themselves? I don’t know…..

LoudLove wrote:
Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching...

Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching in at 300’ AGL. 

ToolMaker wrote:
Well, they still have small weapons that they took down on of our choppers with so there is risk. But it seems that there is still...

Well, they still have small weapons that they took down on of our choppers with so there is risk. But it seems that there is still a large portion of the population that wants the government overthrown but probably are afraid to do anything as they still believe how much control the people in power have. Do they even have internet access again yet? So actually seeing with their own eyes has impact. How much information flow is there inside Iran? I don't really see ever that there is a straight line to an end, there will always be highs and lows as they will keep testing their boundaries to see what they can get away with and improve their leverage in negotiations.

TM

I’m sure the Iranian people saw what happened in Afghanistan and, what happened with the Taliban after we left. 

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2
LoudLove
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7/15/2026 9:49am
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

Chance1216 wrote:

It’s a demonstration of air superiority. 

Some might argue air supremacy if it weren’t for those pesky drones.  Not that night or day makes any difference.  

2
1
Chance1216
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7/15/2026 9:50am
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

Chance1216 wrote:

It’s a demonstration of air superiority. 

LoudLove wrote:

Some might argue air supremacy if it weren’t for those pesky drones.  Not that night or day makes any difference.  

True. 

1
Dudley
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7/15/2026 11:13am
ToolMaker wrote:

Iran is pissing off their neighbors like nobody's business. Is it just a matter of time before the neighbors jump in?

TM

Good point, seems like it’s in their interest to get rid of a pesky neighbor. Perhaps Russia and China backing have something to do with them backing down 🤷🏼‍♂️

1
mvd61
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7/15/2026 12:50pm

How? When the Greater Israel is achieved. I'm sure a few of you have heard Satanyahu talking about how Turkey is also a threat. They'll be next. I'd guess sooner than later.

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7/15/2026 1:06pm
ToolMaker wrote:
We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by...

We've gone to daylight bombing. Is this so the people actually see their skies taken over by the US military as opposed to being told by the IRGC they have everything under control? It seems like this is to show the population they are being lied to by their government.

TM

Chance1216 wrote:

It’s a demonstration of air superiority. 

LoudLove wrote:

Some might argue air supremacy if it weren’t for those pesky drones.  Not that night or day makes any difference.  

New tech is always changing war. No more swords and shields.

TM

1
early
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7/15/2026 2:12pm
mvd61 wrote:
How? When the Greater Israel is achieved. I'm sure a few of you have heard Satanyahu talking about how Turkey is also a threat. They'll be...

How? When the Greater Israel is achieved. I'm sure a few of you have heard Satanyahu talking about how Turkey is also a threat. They'll be next. I'd guess sooner than later.

It ends with a bad deal

4
whethefakawe
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7/15/2026 4:28pm

How does this thing in Iran end?

Based on 80 years of precedent... in a clusterfuck. The USA makes war by committee, and you can't do that. 

Caveat: I have half a dozen Iranian colleagues, stellar human beings all. They're NOT the same as the fanatical goatfuckers over there.  

Trump's mouth is half the problem. In what fucking universe do you TELL the enemy on live TV what you're going to do to them?  Over and over and over? His #1 problem is, he's a TRADER. He thinks everything is a business deal. WRONG. 

Certain types of people only understand one thing, EXTREME VIOLENCE. 

Africa is one. For instance the Hutus and Tutsis in east Congo, where he thinks he "made peace" 🤣  🤣  I was right in the middle of all that shit 30 years ago NOW, and it was the exact same story as today: ebola, genocide, death and destruction -- and flith, disease, stupidity and barbarism like you can't imagine. 

Fanatical muslims like the IRGC is another. They're waiting for some ghost to climb out of a well (crawl out of a cave?) and end the world  .... and they want to nudge it along. Ya think the threat of getting nuked deters them? If they get a nuke they WILL use it on Israel and/or the USA no matter the consequences. They say so, every day, but some people are tone deaf. They do NOT think like hawkers and traders, like Trump does -- and the Euro pussies, by the way. 

Because he's a trader, and doesn't understand that other parts of the world don't think like that, Trump won't do what's necessary to defeat Iran -- obliterate Kharg Island, where 90% of their oil exports go. THEIR ONLY INDUSTRY.  Then destroy every big bridge and power station and desalination plant, and wait. It won't be long. 

Hunting down 100 000 drones and rockets scattered all over a huge desert country won't do it.   

There won't be "boots on the ground".   Ever hear of "logiistical build-up"? To physically invade Iran the US military would need half a million troops plus logistics tail. Two oceans and 20 countries away. 

Ain't happenin' while Foghorn is President. 

Meanwhile back at the ranch, 'Merica is turning into a 3rd world shithole. Lovely in Detroit, Baltimore, LA, Memphis, St. Louis, NY and Mogadishu West this time of year, load up the wife and kids and go visit!

So much for "America first", eh? 

Where's my popcorn? 

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7/15/2026 4:37pm
borg wrote:
When Trump declared the MOU kaput, he also said that we would take over the Straight and run it. We would also charge all ships 20%...

When Trump declared the MOU kaput, he also said that we would take over the Straight and run it. We would also charge all ships 20% because we shouldn't have to do it for nothing. 

I don't quite know what to say to that so I will say nothing and do my part to keep the thread from turning to shit.

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...

https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

image 3390
ToolMaker wrote:

LOL, we're going to charge you for protection from ourselves!

TM

They learned from the Italians!

1
3
whethefakawe
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7/15/2026 4:42pm
Charging ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz would not be unprecedented.Egypt charges for the Suez Canal, Panama charges for the Panama Canal, Turkey charges for the...

Charging ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz would not be unprecedented.

Egypt charges for the Suez Canal, Panama charges for the Panama Canal, Turkey charges for the Bosphorus Strait, and the US/Canada charge for the St Lawrence Seaway.

Bullshit argument. 

All those except the Bosphorus  -- a narrow, natural channel INSIDE Turkey -- are man-made and cost Billions and years to build. 

Hormuz  is 21 miles wide at its narrowest point, half of which is Oman's territorial waters. Iran has NO say over that. 

1
2
7/15/2026 5:04pm
Charging ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz would not be unprecedented.Egypt charges for the Suez Canal, Panama charges for the Panama Canal, Turkey charges for the...

Charging ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz would not be unprecedented.

Egypt charges for the Suez Canal, Panama charges for the Panama Canal, Turkey charges for the Bosphorus Strait, and the US/Canada charge for the St Lawrence Seaway.

Bullshit argument. All those except the Bosphorus  -- a narrow, natural channel INSIDE Turkey -- are man-made and cost Billions and years to build. Hormuz  is 21 miles...

Bullshit argument. 

All those except the Bosphorus  -- a narrow, natural channel INSIDE Turkey -- are man-made and cost Billions and years to build. 

Hormuz  is 21 miles wide at its narrowest point, half of which is Oman's territorial waters. Iran has NO say over that. 

Why would the cost to build man made channels have an effect of fees charged, they are all inside their nations territorial waters.

It's funny the US is one of the few countries that has not ratified the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, so does not officially recognize other nations territorial waters.

6
lumpy790
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7/15/2026 5:31pm
Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

Iran was charging 1% before the MOU was signed, it's good to see both sides agreeing on something...

https://x.com/araghchi/status/2076728062662557961

image 3390
ToolMaker wrote:

LOL, we're going to charge you for protection from ourselves!

TM

Mafia style stuff.  

 

I was thinking NYC 

1
2
7/15/2026 5:40pm
ToolMaker wrote:

LOL, we're going to charge you for protection from ourselves!

TM

Mafia style stuff.  

 

lumpy790 wrote:

I was thinking NYC 

 I was picturing Mafia in NYC .    But the NYC connection makes sense. 

2
rhargrave431
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7/15/2026 6:41pm

I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job done. Let’s stop stringing it along, pretending we have a truce and peace in the region. 
The only silver lining is that it has been since the early days of the GWOT that our military truly got to go kinetic instead of being glorified police officers with all of the rules of engagement. War is really good training, and you never know when the next one will be. 

2
7/15/2026 6:52pm
I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job...

I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job done. Let’s stop stringing it along, pretending we have a truce and peace in the region. 
The only silver lining is that it has been since the early days of the GWOT that our military truly got to go kinetic instead of being glorified police officers with all of the rules of engagement. War is really good training, and you never know when the next one will be. 

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking their lives?

3
borg
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Long Beach, CA, USA
7/15/2026 6:57pm
I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job...

I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job done. Let’s stop stringing it along, pretending we have a truce and peace in the region. 
The only silver lining is that it has been since the early days of the GWOT that our military truly got to go kinetic instead of being glorified police officers with all of the rules of engagement. War is really good training, and you never know when the next one will be. 

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking...

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking their lives?

Tanks, troupes, street fighting.

Not going to happen. No way. Shouldn't happen.

7/15/2026 7:29pm
I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job...

I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job done. Let’s stop stringing it along, pretending we have a truce and peace in the region. 
The only silver lining is that it has been since the early days of the GWOT that our military truly got to go kinetic instead of being glorified police officers with all of the rules of engagement. War is really good training, and you never know when the next one will be. 

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking...

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking their lives?

borg wrote:

Tanks, troupes, street fighting.

Not going to happen. No way. Shouldn't happen.

@rhargrave431 thinks it should happen.

2
dinger212
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7/15/2026 7:49pm
bugnboo wrote:
IMG 4416 3.jpeg?VersionId=BWRqcV 3t34
T-MAC wrote:
Here is a CAPTCHA test for ya.Click any WMD you see in the picture above. If you see none. You may be a bot, or hacked...

Here is a CAPTCHA test for ya.

Click any WMD you see in the picture above. If you see none. You may be a bot, or hacked.

Not intended to turn the thread to shit. I also don't want the world to turn to shit.

When life hands you lemons, make lemonade.

Click any lemons you see in the picture above.

Speaking of lemons and governing, something CA gov did right - the lemon law.

Here is a quote I like:

“In a car you’re always in a compartment, and because you’re used to it you don’t realize that through that car window everything you see is just more TV. You’re a passive observer and it is all moving by you boringly in a frame.

On a motorcycle the frame is gone. You’re completely in contact with it all. You’re in the scene, not just watching it anymore, and the sense of presence is overwhelming.”

From the book below. I bet there's some folks here that would enjoy this read. I just finished another 400 page chapter book too, and might be more proud of that than any moto trophy 😂...Saw this one at a used bookshop in Bentonville, AR this past weekend. 

1000006653

Who's rippin this weekend?

 

I finally read this earlier in the year. Fantastic. I hope you enjoy as well. 

1
lumpy790
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7/15/2026 8:51pm

Mafia style stuff.  

 

lumpy790 wrote:

I was thinking NYC 

 I was picturing Mafia in NYC .    But the NYC connection makes sense. 

Mafia in NYC is exactly what I was thinking too 

lumpy790
Posts
11561
Joined
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Location
York, SC, USA
7/15/2026 8:56pm
I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job...

I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job done. Let’s stop stringing it along, pretending we have a truce and peace in the region. 
The only silver lining is that it has been since the early days of the GWOT that our military truly got to go kinetic instead of being glorified police officers with all of the rules of engagement. War is really good training, and you never know when the next one will be. 

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking...

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking their lives?

borg wrote:

Tanks, troupes, street fighting.

Not going to happen. No way. Shouldn't happen.

Today Drones are the street fighters now

prozach
Posts
1295
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Location
Eureka, CA, USA
7/15/2026 11:14pm

It doesn't.  The usa will eventually declare victory  And shit will be back exactly as it was, but with iran at least temporarily having a diminished miliary capacity. That's if we are lucky.  The corporate world will use it as an excuse for high prices that will never really go down.  

America will be safer or not , depending on the analysis.  It will cost a shit ton of money that could have gone to roads, the debt, healthcare or lower taxes.  

Most of our lives won't be much better or worse.  

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