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My amateur take on the track is the inside lines did not get rough enough for the outside lines to be any quicker. Example at the end of 250 moto 2 with Levi and Mossiman. You'd have to really cut people off in the turns.
Does anybody know which rider the red cross flag was out for in 450's? He looked to be down for 4 or so laps.
Speaking of that, the guy was annoying at times but I hope he is ok. I've been wondering about him for a bit now.
Was that Harrington or Pape down? Any work on how the rider is?
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Try some smelling salts and ride the track so you will see what it’s like how gnarly it is.
Are you surprised Deegan was able to clean up stupid little crashes. It’s a small club of riders who go fast and don’t crash much but is becoming more common with technology. Little mental mistakes aren’t as easy to fix with bike setup.
Im not talking about his crashes, im talking about his riding style and technique..
Jason Brooks 534
Oh shit, I hope he's ok. Local guy who just does it for fun here and there. He's a lineman for the power company
Some guys on here will look at this and say “I wish bikes still looked like that!”
I know of him from racing NESC. Was impressed with him qualifying. Sounds like he will be ok though from his FB post.
Yup they have fixed the rear swapping side to side, by the looks so far
You don’t have to manage cows to be a cowboy it’s about riding:
“A cowboy is traditionally a person often associated with the American west who works in cattle and rides horses”
The horse riding part makes AP a dirt bike horse rider with a 450 dirt bikes about 60 horse power.
I just watched the full races. Great camera work. Riders flying and sometimes crashing the ultimate test. I could even hear the bikes roar. No complaints. You aint a fan if you got any issues watching. Switch to golf. I love supercross but that beat vs cookie cutter whoops, triples, and rhythms with tuff block incidents.
Key Highlights
Jett's Best Ever: Jett Lawrence owned every stat in both motos, and it wasn’t even close. But his top lap in Moto 1 is the real eye-opener: 1.4 seconds faster than Hunter, who was another 0.5 seconds quicker than Tomac. Moto 2? More of the same.
Consistency Kings: Across both classes, only three riders managed to score 90 or higher in both motos. Hunter Lawrence, Harri Kullas, and Mikkel Haarup. All three are former MXGP riders.
450 Analysis
Jett Lawrence didn’t look like himself this past weekend, but not in the way you might expect. His margin of victory tells the story best: 13.8 seconds in Moto 1, 20.2 seconds in Moto 2. For a rider who typically manages a 3–5 second cushion throughout a race, Lawrence laid down a statement ride. James Stewart called it Jett's best ride of his 450 career. So now we’re left asking: at this point in the season, who’s going to challenge Jett? He’s yet to lose an overall, and we’re nearly halfway through the season.
Track Breakdown:
The track map above shows who clocked the fastest average sector times in each moto.
And yeah, this one’s all Jett. Still, there was one small “weakness” in Sector 3. While the map highlights average times, if you look at the fastest single laps, Jett owned every sector across both motos, except S3. Hunter Lawrence was fastest there in Moto 1, and Eli Tomac took it in Moto 2.
Even then, Jett was only losing fractions when looking at the average time, 0.08 seconds to Hunter in Moto 1. So “weakness” might be a stretch.
But here's the bigger point: out of 39 other riders on track, only Hunter managed to claim a single sector outside of Jett across both motos. That tells you everything you need to know. Jett is as close to untouchable as it gets in Pro Motocross right now. And I don't even think Jett's reached his prime yet. He is only 21.
Elsewhere, regardless of who you look at, Southwick was a war. Between changing lines, blown-out berms, and the sheer physical toll of racing 30+ minutes in deep sand, consistency scores took a dive. No one part of the track stood out as the toughest. It was all brutal. The entire place is a gauntlet.
450 Moto 1:
450 Moto 2:
Lap Time Breakdown:
The histogram above highlights two key facts. First, Moto 1 was faster. But even then, it was sluggish compared to qualifying laps, which teetered right around the 2:00 mark. Second, and more interesting, is how widely spread the lap times were. Typically, we see most lap times fall within a 10-second window from the top 10% to the bottom 10%. Not here. At Southwick, lap times easily stretched across 20–25 seconds for the field.
Moto 1 Fast Laps (15 Timed Laps)
J. Lawrence: 10
H. Lawrence: 2
Tomac, Plessinger, Prado: 1
Class Average Consistency: 68.0
Class Median Consistency: 82.0
Moto 2 Fast Laps (15 Timed Laps)
J. Lawrence: 11
H. Lawrence: 3
Tomac: 1
Class Average Consistency: 62.3
Class Median Consistency: 76.5
450 Moto 1 Analysis
Rider's sorted by median lap time.
Top Performances:
What can we say? Jett owned every stat here. It wasn’t particularly close, either. But his top lap time from Moto 1 is the real eye-opener. 1.4 seconds faster than Hunter, who was, in turn, another 0.5 seconds faster than Tomac. At what point do we start to feel bad for Hunter? If it weren’t for his pesky brother, he’d be locked in a neck-and-neck battle with 4x champ Eli Tomac, and likely have multiple overall wins. Instead, Hunter is still searching for his first overall after putting together one of his best performances of the season.
We also need to talk about Jorge Prado. Unfortunately, I walked away with more questions than answers. Sure, he was finally running near the front and looking more like himself. But was that just comfort in the sand? Or did the weekend off actually give him and Kawasaki the reset they needed? Either way, it sounds like Prado is more frustrated than confident.
RedBud should hopefully clear a few things up.
LITPro 10-Lap Consistency:
Two guys really stand out when it comes to consistency, but only one of them is expected. First, Hunter Lawrence. The guy is a machine when it comes to laying down laps. You can always count on him to be near the top. But R.J. Hampshire? A pleasant surprise. Especially after Moto 1, where he charged from nearly last place. R.J. is finding his stride on the 450 and gaining confidence. He might just be a consistent Top 5 threat for the rest of the season.
Lap 99 Analysis:
Yeah... Jett was untouchable. Worth noting here: his fastest lap in both motos was quicker than anyone else’s Lap 99.
450 Moto 2 Analysis
Rider's sorted by median lap time.
Top Performances:
Once again, Jett sat on top. But take a look at Hunter Lawrence. His median lap time was 1.4 seconds better than Tomac’s. Sure, Jett was another 1.2 seconds faster than Hunter, but still, Hunter is quietly having a stellar sophomore season. Living in Jett’s shadow might be discouraging, but make no mistake: the guy is a stud.
LITPro 10-Lap Consistency:
Just as impressive is Hunter’s consistency. Only two riders managed to score above 90 in both motos: Hunter and Harri Kullas. Speaking of Kullas, he’s not having the explosive season we saw from him last year, but the veteran from Estonia still laid down some fantastic laps in the sand.
Lap 99 Analysis:
Looking at Lap 99 times, Hunter and Tomac are nearly identical. But when you compare their fastest laps from Moto 2, Tomac’s is over half a second quicker than Hunter’s. This is where Hunter still struggles. He just doesn’t have that sprint pace in the opening laps. While he finds his speed and settles into a rhythm over 30 minutes, he's losing valuable time early on, particularly to Jett.
These breakdowns are excellent. No matter what your bias, there’s no hiding from the facts in there.
I was thinking that Hunter is riding well and may have something for Jett the way he passed Eli and gets a lot of good starts. He may end up 2nd in points if he continues to start well and stay consistent with his laps but now I am not so sure if he can chase down Jett where people say we aren’t sure if Jett has extra afterburners just in case. I didn’t realize the lap times were that different where sometimes the leader just creeps ahead with a clear track and lead but Jett lapped most of the field and now I learn he was fastest in all sections.
Southwick tends to be a little odd with performances and results stats but seeing Jett’s bike being completely dialed and Hunter running faster pace than Eli on a track that Tomac typically does well at shows me that the Lawrences will likely run 1 and 2 for the championship. I forgot that they have Europe experience with sandy tracks that may not tell the full story for the rest of the season but I also easily forgot that Jett has won almost all of his 450 races since he had to take time off after a mx crash mid season.
The question now is how Deegan will adapt to the 450 and if he can find or maintain the speed to run with Jett. So far people had to take some chances and hang it out that hasn’t worked yet even to catch up or hold position. There’s nothing Jett isn’t doing and Deegan has similarly cleaned up his riding so it’s more than just hype. If Hunter can stay running 2 that may set the stage for some kind of action if Jett makes any kind of mistake. A lot of podium riders get rewarded for consistency but Jett isn’t making mistakes to hold the points and lead. Deegan is out to win not podium so he should make it interesting.
Excellent analysis! Jett’s consistency is lethal
Pit Row
Anybody know what the prizes were for the Fantasy MX round at Southwick? I got 2nd and haven't heard anything. I got 5th for Thunder Valley, and FMF reached out to send a hat and a pair of socks. Any info would be appreciated!
I got first at HiPoint and haven't heard anything either.....
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