Malcolm Stewart Pace at End of A1

TrailMaker
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TrailMaker
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
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Stoneface
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Stoneface 1/9/2022 9:25pm
1/9/2022 9:25pm
Great post. Thanks for sharing this analysis!
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CPR
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CPR 1/9/2022 10:22pm
1/9/2022 10:22pm
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
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Teej317
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Teej317 1/9/2022 10:23pm
1/9/2022 10:23pm
This is encouraging!!!
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The Shop

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mb60
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mb60 1/9/2022 10:39pm
1/9/2022 10:39pm
Thanks for the breakdown Aldon. Last time I looked they all take off at the same time.
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TrailMaker
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TrailMaker 1/9/2022 10:45pm
1/9/2022 10:45pm
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
CPR wrote:
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
Glass half empty kind of guy are ya....?
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BS12
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BS12 1/9/2022 10:57pm
1/9/2022 10:57pm
More of this style of analysis please!
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TrailMaker
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TrailMaker 1/9/2022 11:16pm
1/9/2022 11:16pm
mb60 wrote:
Thanks for the breakdown Aldon. Last time I looked they all take off at the same time.
It was meant as a commentary primarily on his improved fitness. In prior years, a big knock on Malcolm was that he would literally just slow down about 2/3 of the way through a main for a few laps. The implication being that he was tired, and needed to recover.

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CPR
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CPR 1/9/2022 11:18pm
1/9/2022 11:18pm
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
CPR wrote:
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
TrailMaker wrote:
Glass half empty kind of guy are ya....?
Nah it was just a joke!
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gym_jackets
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gym_jackets 1/10/2022 12:12am
1/10/2022 12:12am
TrailMaker wrote:
Also check the lap chart...he crossed the line P14 on lap 15. So he came up from P14 to P7 while clocking laps that fast, and...
Also check the lap chart...he crossed the line P14 on lap 15. So he came up from P14 to P7 while clocking laps that fast, and that consistent.

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1LAP.pdf
That lap chart actually reads that he was the 14th guy to cross the finish line after Roczen, meaning that he was 10th (there were 4 lappers between himself and Roczen) but the 10th to 7th ride, at the pace he was on, is still impressive.
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TrailMaker
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TrailMaker 1/10/2022 2:23am
1/10/2022 2:23am
TrailMaker wrote:
Also check the lap chart...he crossed the line P14 on lap 15. So he came up from P14 to P7 while clocking laps that fast, and...
Also check the lap chart...he crossed the line P14 on lap 15. So he came up from P14 to P7 while clocking laps that fast, and that consistent.

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1LAP.pdf
gym_jackets wrote:
That lap chart actually reads that he was the 14th guy to cross the finish line after Roczen, meaning that he was 10th (there were 4...
That lap chart actually reads that he was the 14th guy to cross the finish line after Roczen, meaning that he was 10th (there were 4 lappers between himself and Roczen) but the 10th to 7th ride, at the pace he was on, is still impressive.
Doh...good point. I should have known he was not that far back...
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Tumic
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Tumic 1/10/2022 2:59am
1/10/2022 2:59am
This just comfirms that Malcom don’t have put in the work earlier.

The stewarts had knowlege about aldons program since James days and still Malcom have turned up over weight (for a pro athlete) each season, being fast at practice and quali and then faded like a stone in the main.

It’s good to see him finally rise to his potential, he has always had the speed so it has been frustrating to seing him lack the fitness that is way easier to find than speed.
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agn5008
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agn5008 1/10/2022 4:25am
1/10/2022 4:25am
The question shouldn’t be whether or not he has the speed to win a race. The question is can he put it all together and get it done. He hasn’t been able to yet but hopefully he can soon.
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walleyeguy
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walleyeguy 1/10/2022 4:58am
1/10/2022 4:58am
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
CPR wrote:
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
Who? Webb? Whistling
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CPR
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CPR 1/10/2022 5:09am
1/10/2022 5:09am
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
CPR wrote:
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
walleyeguy wrote:
Who? Webb? Whistling
Musquin
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luke11
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luke11 1/10/2022 5:13am
1/10/2022 5:13am Edited Date/Time 1/10/2022 5:13am
Great analysis. Would love to see more in depth, informed opinions with evidence like this on Vital.
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murph783
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murph783 1/10/2022 6:08am
1/10/2022 6:08am
Love seeing this kinda analysis as kind of a data nerd. And seeing mookie doing well. Keep it going
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motomike137
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motomike137 1/10/2022 7:15am
1/10/2022 7:15am
Data is nice but it can't explain why Webb and Barcia both notoriously average qualifiers end up on the podium. Until data can measure racecraft and heart it will just be data Wink
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profeshenal125 1/10/2022 7:27am
1/10/2022 7:27am
He was pretty pissed after the race yelling for 5 min they say. A pissed rider is a really fast rider. Look at Johnny O,s 86 last ride
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funktree
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funktree 1/10/2022 7:27am
1/10/2022 7:27am
motomike137 wrote:
Data is nice but it can't explain why Webb and Barcia both notoriously average qualifiers end up on the podium. Until data can measure racecraft and...
Data is nice but it can't explain why Webb and Barcia both notoriously average qualifiers end up on the podium. Until data can measure racecraft and heart it will just be data Wink
But that is just more data, Webb averages about 4 positions better than qualifying and has for a while.
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tvo314
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tvo314 1/10/2022 7:55am
1/10/2022 7:55am
mb60 wrote:
Thanks for the breakdown Aldon. Last time I looked they all take off at the same time.
Such a dumb comment. OP provided some very interesting insight, too bad it was lost on you.
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Heggo
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Heggo 1/10/2022 2:18pm
1/10/2022 2:18pm
I'm looking forward each race to see how Mook goes this year with the solid team bike program and contract. Don't think anybody expects a title 1st race win would be epic and that big cheese grin on podium would be massive!
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jbrow125
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jbrow125 1/10/2022 3:25pm
1/10/2022 3:25pm
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
I haven't seen std dev since I was racing RC and tracked all my practice/race laps! Nice Smile Did you throw out fastest/slowest lap? Curious. The two biggest things I am excited for 2022 SX? Mookie with Aldon and new bike, and Eli on the blue bike. Stay healthy boys, going to be a good season!
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Chase_Nelson
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Chase_Nelson 1/10/2022 3:34pm
1/10/2022 3:34pm
mb60 wrote:
Thanks for the breakdown Aldon. Last time I looked they all take off at the same time.
Wow, what an intelligent and thought out response.... You sound like the target audience for Monster Energy®
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TrailMaker
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TrailMaker 1/10/2022 4:41pm
1/10/2022 4:41pm Edited Date/Time 1/10/2022 4:58pm
TrailMaker wrote:
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv...
Nobody should consider Malcom's race as any sort of disappointment. Consider for instance his pace over the last 10 laps. Mookie was cleaned out by Marv on lap 12 of 22, which left him with 10 uninterrupted laps to finish the race. A detailed look will surprise many. I had to check the numbers twice....

https://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S2205/S1F1RID.pdf

Average Lap Time and Std Dev over last 10 laps (Laps 13-22) of the race:

Musquin: 60.747 / .601
Stewart: 60.832 / .362
Webb: 60.853 / .562
Sexton: 61.127 / 1.024
Barcia: 61.406 / 1.155
Tomac: 61.428 / .507
Savatgy: 61.476 / .862
Roczen: 61.570 / 1.067
Plessinger: 61.572 / .503
Anderson: 62.728 / 2.309
Ferrandis: 66.050 / 7.098

What is more stunning than the sheer speed at the end of the race (fitness) is the consistency. A Std Dev of .362 is something you would expect to see in elite level kart racing, not in Supercross. That is ridiculously consistent. That means he can go faster....

This is probably why Mookie was so furious with Marv. That take out cost both of them a ton. Marv probably had the speed for P2, but he got impatient. Mookie could have been P3-P5 even with that bad start.

Big picture...did you ever think you would see Mookie be one of the fastest guys at the end of the race? While P7 is not the goal, you can bet Aldon looked at his speed at the end of the race and told him everything is just fine. All Mookie needs to do is get starts, race smart, and charge hard in the 2nd half of the race.
jbrow125 wrote:
I haven't seen std dev since I was racing RC and tracked all my practice/race laps! Nice :) Did you throw out fastest/slowest lap? Curious. The...
I haven't seen std dev since I was racing RC and tracked all my practice/race laps! Nice Smile Did you throw out fastest/slowest lap? Curious. The two biggest things I am excited for 2022 SX? Mookie with Aldon and new bike, and Eli on the blue bike. Stay healthy boys, going to be a good season!
I did not throw out the fastest/slowest Just took the last 10 laps. If I did throw out the fastest and slowest for ever rider, here is how it would look....

Rider / Std Dev / Average
Malcomn / .200s / 60.790s Ave
Webb / .367s / 60.930s Ave
Musquin / .337s / 60.736s Ave
Plessinger / .396s / 61.563s Ave
Tomac / .404s / 61.396s Ave
Savatgy / .638s / 61.400s Ave
Roczen / .655s / 61.515s Ave
Sexton / .767s / 61.056s Ave
Barcia / .836s / 61.415s Ave
Anderson / 1.588 / 62.499s Ave
Ferrandis / 2.059 / 64.107s Ave


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TrailMaker
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TrailMaker 1/10/2022 4:43pm
1/10/2022 4:43pm Edited Date/Time 1/10/2022 5:07pm
Tumic wrote:
This just comfirms that Malcom don’t have put in the work earlier. The stewarts had knowlege about aldons program since James days and still Malcom have...
This just comfirms that Malcom don’t have put in the work earlier.

The stewarts had knowlege about aldons program since James days and still Malcom have turned up over weight (for a pro athlete) each season, being fast at practice and quali and then faded like a stone in the main.

It’s good to see him finally rise to his potential, he has always had the speed so it has been frustrating to seing him lack the fitness that is way easier to find than speed.
Some people just need structure..... It is not a good thing or a bad thing...it just is. What I liked about this summer was that most of the photos Mookie posted were of him fishing... Which was probably BS...because he was low- key putting in the work and keeping a low profile.
dv12.com
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dv12.com 1/10/2022 4:50pm
1/10/2022 4:50pm
CPR wrote:
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
Laughing Laughing Laughing
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TrailMaker
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TrailMaker 1/10/2022 4:53pm
1/10/2022 4:53pm
motomike137 wrote:
Data is nice but it can't explain why Webb and Barcia both notoriously average qualifiers end up on the podium. Until data can measure racecraft and...
Data is nice but it can't explain why Webb and Barcia both notoriously average qualifiers end up on the podium. Until data can measure racecraft and heart it will just be data Wink
There was nothing in the analysis about Qualifying vs Race Pace, so not sure why you bring that up. Racers get tired at the end of a race. When you get tired, you get inconsistent...so looking at this sort of info gives you a good idea who is fit, fast....

Right now it looks like Webb, Marv and Mookie are set for good seasons. We knew to expect that from Webb... Barcia? If he does not get a start, he will inevitably end up in some sort of mayhem, which over the long run is why he will never win a title.
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stiksandstones 1/10/2022 5:00pm
1/10/2022 5:00pm
Quality post trailmaker, thanks for sharing.
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CPR
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CPR 1/10/2022 8:38pm
1/10/2022 8:38pm
CPR wrote:
So you’re saying the guy who left Aldon’s was faster than Aldon’s new guy at the end of the race?
dv12.com wrote:
Laughing Laughing Laughing
At least someone here has a sense of humour.
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