Will Tomac?

Kenny Banyan
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Seattle, WA US
Edited Date/Time 2/15/2026 12:12am

Hit the 60 win mark by the end of the season?

Poll

Whatcha think?

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Radical
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2/15/2026 2:30am

63

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Woodsguy
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Lancaster, OH US
2/15/2026 5:18am

End of this season.....61.

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Nairb#70
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2/15/2026 5:54am

Depends if he hits his annual mid year slump or not.

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matze
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2/15/2026 6:31am

Would be cool but looking at webbs progress of the past weeks its scary, he does it all the time. Like literally closer and closer to the front each round until he is the man to beat.

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1

The Shop

Shaned9326
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2/15/2026 7:07am
matze wrote:
Would be cool but looking at webbs progress of the past weeks its scary, he does it all the time. Like literally closer and closer to...

Would be cool but looking at webbs progress of the past weeks its scary, he does it all the time. Like literally closer and closer to the front each round until he is the man to beat.

Think Tomac has him covered in speed but Webb does look better!!

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2
2/15/2026 7:23am

Hit the 60 win mark by the end of the season?

From what we have seen so far is that Tomac appears to have an edge over the competition. He has been pretty good everywhere. 

He could have had a pretty good points lead if it wasn't for a few mishaps.

At least six more wins for him this SX season. I have no doubt about that.

12
ZinAZ
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2/15/2026 2:03pm

tomac is good at fast tracks, seattle is a slow wet technical track and he still got first...im hopeful

19
2/15/2026 3:44pm

For him to have less than a dozen races on a new bike, he’s doing awesome and should only get better with experience.  

6
2/15/2026 3:57pm

IMO without the crashes at Houston and Glendale, he would have won both of those rounds as well. 

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PRM31
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2/15/2026 4:02pm

Tomac caught, passed, and dropped Webb. For now, the only person beating Tomac, is Tomac. Of course things can change. But he really looks good this year. 

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2/15/2026 4:03pm
PRM31 wrote:
Tomac caught, passed, and dropped Webb. For now, the only person beating Tomac, is Tomac. Of course things can change. But he really looks good this...

Tomac caught, passed, and dropped Webb. For now, the only person beating Tomac, is Tomac. Of course things can change. But he really looks good this year. 

And that was one of Webb's best track/conditions. 

13
urbanlift707
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2/15/2026 4:33pm

IMO without the crashes at Houston and Glendale, he would have won both of those rounds as well. 

100%

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FahQ
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2/15/2026 5:17pm

Thought this was going to be about Tomac bangin Will Christien

20
2/15/2026 9:52pm

As cool as it would be to see, I don't think he will catch McGrath, but man, MC has to be slightly sweating just a little. 😅

6
BS12
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AU
2/15/2026 10:03pm

From speculation the 2022 achilles was all she wrote for the career of the #3, to questions on retirement again in the 2025 post season in a McGrath-esq Bud Light KTM repeat, to STILL straight up being the baddest dude on a dirt bike in 2026. 

WTF man. 

19
tomlopez
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2/16/2026 8:49am

I think A2 has been the only round so far where Tomac wasn't the fastest guy. Of course, you need to get starts and not make mistakes, so no excuses for his final results in Houston or Glendale. But, he looked pretty invincible at those tracks on a speed basis. If he can just get an average main event start in the 3rd-5th range, I truly think he can win the majority of the races left. He's always been great in SX, but there have been a few years where he really stood out and looked to be firing on all cylinders. To me, those years are 2017 (save East Rutherford), 2020, 2022, and now, 2026. He was looking spicy to start 2025 as well, but it was a little hard to make any strong judgement since he got hurt after 4 main events.

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clem
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2/16/2026 12:48pm

I'm a huge MC fan but he really downplayed ET3 in the preseason interviews. Has anyone openly admitted to eating crow yet that wrote him off this preseason? I know AC and JB had similar takes on Eli as well.

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ZinAZ
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2/16/2026 12:59pm
clem wrote:
I'm a huge MC fan but he really downplayed ET3 in the preseason interviews. Has anyone openly admitted to eating crow yet that wrote him off...

I'm a huge MC fan but he really downplayed ET3 in the preseason interviews. Has anyone openly admitted to eating crow yet that wrote him off this preseason? I know AC and JB had similar takes on Eli as well.

AC and JB both said they fucked up underestimating tomac lol

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kxking
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2/17/2026 11:13am

He gets gets close that's for sure.

kawasa84
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Flower Mound, TX US
2/17/2026 11:25am

I can see why he wasn't and isn't ready to hang it up yet. Why he told Star he wanted to keep going what?, 2 or 3 years ago already. And then move to KTM because he still feels it inside. 

I've underestimated him. But 6 more wins this season is a tall ask. 

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EAmato88
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2/17/2026 11:43am

I said no in the pole because 6 more wins is a lot to ask, BUT I will say that I want to see him take MC's record in the worst way. Im routing for Eli to win ALOT more

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Mit12
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2/17/2026 6:23pm

If Tomac wins the SX title this year he will move into 5th all time in SX behind Dungey 4 titles, Villopoto 4 titles Carmichael 5 titles and MC 7 titles. No one with three titles has more wins than Tomac. 

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2/17/2026 6:27pm
EAmato88 wrote:
I said no in the pole because 6 more wins is a lot to ask, BUT I will say that I want to see him take...

I said no in the pole because 6 more wins is a lot to ask, BUT I will say that I want to see him take MC's record in the worst way. Im routing for Eli to win ALOT more

I thought he was at 56 after this weekend? 4 for the balance of the season isn't much at this rate.

7
Kenny Banyan
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2/17/2026 7:16pm
EAmato88 wrote:
I said no in the pole because 6 more wins is a lot to ask, BUT I will say that I want to see him take...

I said no in the pole because 6 more wins is a lot to ask, BUT I will say that I want to see him take MC's record in the worst way. Im routing for Eli to win ALOT more

Jmicmoto13 wrote:

I thought he was at 56 after this weekend? 4 for the balance of the season isn't much at this rate.

Yeah , I think you’re right, he needs 4 to get to 60 wins.

2
katooom
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Broad Run, VA US
2/17/2026 7:25pm

Tomac had Glendale on lock until Craig went down in front of him.  Yes his start was mid pack but he had the speed to cover no problem.

8
westeast
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2/17/2026 7:33pm

He's won 3 of 6 so far and probably should have won 4 or 5.  If he's gotten his bad luck out of the way and goes on a tear the rest of the season he could realistically win 6-8 of 11 remaining rounds putting him at 62 to 64 wins.  One more amazing season or 2-3 mediocre (by his standards) ones and he's at or past 72. 

14
2/17/2026 9:01pm
As cool as it would be to see, I don't think he will catch McGrath, but man, MC has to be slightly sweating just a little...

As cool as it would be to see, I don't think he will catch McGrath, but man, MC has to be slightly sweating just a little. 😅

IMHO, Tomac could make a run at it if he keeps riding the way he is (can see him getting into the low 60s by season end), but getting close to MC will be tough due to 1 exception - Jett.  When Jett gets back and IF he can stay healthy, that will make it tough to catch MC.  If it weren't for Jett's return looming at some point, MC would absolutely be sweating.  If Jett injures himself again (which is quite possible) and Eli keeps doing what he's doing right now, we could be witnessing history in the making. 

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2/17/2026 9:10pm
clem wrote:
I'm a huge MC fan but he really downplayed ET3 in the preseason interviews. Has anyone openly admitted to eating crow yet that wrote him off...

I'm a huge MC fan but he really downplayed ET3 in the preseason interviews. Has anyone openly admitted to eating crow yet that wrote him off this preseason? I know AC and JB had similar takes on Eli as well.

ZinAZ wrote:

AC and JB both said they fucked up underestimating tomac lol

I admit I did as well. I thought age had caught up with him and would not be comfy on the KTM. So glad I was wrong. 

7
2/18/2026 3:21am

Can see a few more outdoor wins coming too. I put him second best ever. 
 

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