The math

Pop Shmoke
Posts
2262
Joined
6/17/2020
Location
Boston, MA, USA
Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 8:27am

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

28
4
|
Pop Shmoke
Posts
2262
Joined
6/17/2020
Location
Boston, MA, USA
4/27/2025 12:14am Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 8:38am

Tom Vialle has 160 points

Seth Hammaker has 159 points

RJ Hampshire has 157 points


If Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. 

If Seth wins the last race he ends with 184 points and the title

If RJ wins and Tom gets second they both end with 182 points but RJ would have 2 wins to Toms 1. RJ wins. 

If RJ wins and Seth gets 2nd RJ wins the title with 182 points to Seth’s 181 points. 

So for all 3 its winner take all. This round is a shootout though so both classes together. 

Between Seth and Vialle if both finish in front of RJ, whoever ends up in front of the other one wins because Seth is only down by 1 point. 

If RJ only finishes 1 place in front of Tom in the pack he loses to Tom if Seth is behind both. 

If RJ finishes ahead of both Tom and Seth and there is at least 1 rider between him and Tom RJ wins the title. 

 

23
3
Tumic
Posts
2911
Joined
11/27/2012
Location
Sundsvall, SE
4/27/2025 12:14am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

And the only two riders that are capable of placing in between them will just roll over for them. it’s over now.

9
3
Boomslang
Posts
10140
Joined
12/22/2018
Location
Cape Town, ZA
4/27/2025 12:18am

Yup, it's pretty much over.....but there must be huge pressure on Cooper's mechanic. 

3
1
shuggs
Posts
1870
Joined
8/6/2008
Location
Dunfermline, GB
4/27/2025 2:52am
Boomslang wrote:

Yup, it's pretty much over.....but there must be huge pressure on Cooper's mechanic. 

You think? I’d have thought it would be higher last night so he could catch Chase without bike blowing up or ??

1
1

The Shop

4/27/2025 4:43am

I thought Sexton already won the title last weekend?  I mean, he beat Webb by 30 minutes so I thought that meant he won the title?  Wait, now you’re telling me that was just one race?

“Webb is dun, man, he got beet by cs4 by 5 minits in the main event!  Stamp it, sextin wining the titel!”

“Oh, and by the way, I aint a fan of rc and dif in the booth, clearlee by my complete lack of exlducashun and utter disdain for our beutiful language, id do a Lot beter in the booth.”


BTW my cuzin works at rimington.

1
27
burn1986
Posts
12246
Joined
4/16/2010
Location
bossier city, LA, USA
4/27/2025 5:35am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

1
12
plowboy
Posts
14848
Joined
1/3/2010
Location
Norwich, KS, USA
4/27/2025 5:40am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

Or Webb could get taken out or his bike could grenade or a meteor....lol.

5
1
burn1986
Posts
12246
Joined
4/16/2010
Location
bossier city, LA, USA
4/27/2025 5:47am Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 5:48am
plowboy wrote:

Or Webb could get taken out or his bike could grenade or a meteor....lol.

The could’ve been Chase’s last real chance at an SX championship. The Lawrences will be back and he’ll get smoked.

He had a pretty good run though. 

24
EVH4Ever
Posts
1857
Joined
3/6/2025
Location
Atlanta, GA, USA
4/27/2025 5:51am
I thought Sexton already won the title last weekend?  I mean, he beat Webb by 30 minutes so I thought that meant he won the title...

I thought Sexton already won the title last weekend?  I mean, he beat Webb by 30 minutes so I thought that meant he won the title?  Wait, now you’re telling me that was just one race?

“Webb is dun, man, he got beet by cs4 by 5 minits in the main event!  Stamp it, sextin wining the titel!”

“Oh, and by the way, I aint a fan of rc and dif in the booth, clearlee by my complete lack of exlducashun and utter disdain for our beutiful language, id do a Lot beter in the booth.”


BTW my cuzin works at rimington.

Says the dude with a space man’s member in his colon 

 

8
1
LoudLove
Posts
3018
Joined
7/16/2010
Location
USA
4/27/2025 5:54am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

plowboy wrote:

Or Webb could get taken out or his bike could grenade or a meteor....lol.

Locusts!

1
plowboy
Posts
14848
Joined
1/3/2010
Location
Norwich, KS, USA
4/27/2025 6:21am
burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

plowboy wrote:

Or Webb could get taken out or his bike could grenade or a meteor....lol.

LoudLove wrote:

Locusts!

Exactly...life is full of possibilities not certainties.😆

1
Kyle978
Posts
1742
Joined
10/7/2013
Location
Dirt, NM, USA
4/27/2025 6:24am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Tom Vialle has 160 pointsSeth Hammaker has 159 pointsRJ Hampshire has 157 pointsIf Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. If...

Tom Vialle has 160 points

Seth Hammaker has 159 points

RJ Hampshire has 157 points


If Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. 

If Seth wins the last race he ends with 184 points and the title

If RJ wins and Tom gets second they both end with 182 points but RJ would have 2 wins to Toms 1. RJ wins. 

If RJ wins and Seth gets 2nd RJ wins the title with 182 points to Seth’s 181 points. 

So for all 3 its winner take all. This round is a shootout though so both classes together. 

Between Seth and Vialle if both finish in front of RJ, whoever ends up in front of the other one wins because Seth is only down by 1 point. 

If RJ only finishes 1 place in front of Tom in the pack he loses to Tom if Seth is behind both. 

If RJ finishes ahead of both Tom and Seth and there is at least 1 rider between him and Tom RJ wins the title. 

 

This equation is pretty damn crazy, the last round is going to be absolutely nuts for 250 east. A championship on the line is going to bring out the most entertaining side of RJ 😂

9
1
MxAddic
Posts
5305
Joined
11/24/2022
Location
USA
4/27/2025 6:27am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Tom Vialle has 160 pointsSeth Hammaker has 159 pointsRJ Hampshire has 157 pointsIf Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. If...

Tom Vialle has 160 points

Seth Hammaker has 159 points

RJ Hampshire has 157 points


If Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. 

If Seth wins the last race he ends with 184 points and the title

If RJ wins and Tom gets second they both end with 182 points but RJ would have 2 wins to Toms 1. RJ wins. 

If RJ wins and Seth gets 2nd RJ wins the title with 182 points to Seth’s 181 points. 

So for all 3 its winner take all. This round is a shootout though so both classes together. 

Between Seth and Vialle if both finish in front of RJ, whoever ends up in front of the other one wins because Seth is only down by 1 point. 

If RJ only finishes 1 place in front of Tom in the pack he loses to Tom if Seth is behind both. 

If RJ finishes ahead of both Tom and Seth and there is at least 1 rider between him and Tom RJ wins the title. 

 

I think being east/west the math is going to be crazy. for the 250's.

3
1
plowboy
Posts
14848
Joined
1/3/2010
Location
Norwich, KS, USA
4/27/2025 6:31am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Tom Vialle has 160 pointsSeth Hammaker has 159 pointsRJ Hampshire has 157 pointsIf Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. If...

Tom Vialle has 160 points

Seth Hammaker has 159 points

RJ Hampshire has 157 points


If Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. 

If Seth wins the last race he ends with 184 points and the title

If RJ wins and Tom gets second they both end with 182 points but RJ would have 2 wins to Toms 1. RJ wins. 

If RJ wins and Seth gets 2nd RJ wins the title with 182 points to Seth’s 181 points. 

So for all 3 its winner take all. This round is a shootout though so both classes together. 

Between Seth and Vialle if both finish in front of RJ, whoever ends up in front of the other one wins because Seth is only down by 1 point. 

If RJ only finishes 1 place in front of Tom in the pack he loses to Tom if Seth is behind both. 

If RJ finishes ahead of both Tom and Seth and there is at least 1 rider between him and Tom RJ wins the title. 

 

Kyle978 wrote:
This equation is pretty damn crazy, the last round is going to be absolutely nuts for 250 east. A championship on the line is going to...

This equation is pretty damn crazy, the last round is going to be absolutely nuts for 250 east. A championship on the line is going to bring out the most entertaining side of RJ 😂

If by "entertaining" you mean he catches fire and explodes then yes it's a possibility. 🙃

1
Press516
Posts
6033
Joined
9/11/2018
Location
Gilbert, AZ, USA
4/27/2025 6:49am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Tom Vialle has 160 pointsSeth Hammaker has 159 pointsRJ Hampshire has 157 pointsIf Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. If...

Tom Vialle has 160 points

Seth Hammaker has 159 points

RJ Hampshire has 157 points


If Tom wins the last race he ends with 185 points and the title. 

If Seth wins the last race he ends with 184 points and the title

If RJ wins and Tom gets second they both end with 182 points but RJ would have 2 wins to Toms 1. RJ wins. 

If RJ wins and Seth gets 2nd RJ wins the title with 182 points to Seth’s 181 points. 

So for all 3 its winner take all. This round is a shootout though so both classes together. 

Between Seth and Vialle if both finish in front of RJ, whoever ends up in front of the other one wins because Seth is only down by 1 point. 

If RJ only finishes 1 place in front of Tom in the pack he loses to Tom if Seth is behind both. 

If RJ finishes ahead of both Tom and Seth and there is at least 1 rider between him and Tom RJ wins the title. 

 

Kyle978 wrote:
This equation is pretty damn crazy, the last round is going to be absolutely nuts for 250 east. A championship on the line is going to...

This equation is pretty damn crazy, the last round is going to be absolutely nuts for 250 east. A championship on the line is going to bring out the most entertaining side of RJ 😂

I’m a little surprised we haven’t seen it at the last 2.  So I’m not sure what to expect.

Going out on the limb, he’s going to either win it or it will be a full on yard sale…

4
TheMilkman
Posts
1502
Joined
7/6/2022
Location
Plano, TX, USA
4/27/2025 7:05am Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 9:20am

Here is another scenario for you since we are playing “What If”:

If Chase wins Denver (338 pts) and Webb finishes as far back as 12th (335 pts) then SLC is winner takes all. Webb would win the tie breaker with more 2nd place finishes. 

If Chase wins Denver (338 pts) and Webb gets 2nd (347 pts) then Webb would need to get 5th or better at SLC to still win the championship. 

Basically it is going to take something catastrophic for Chase to win the championship. Also don’t listen to people (broadcasters included) when they say that Webb “has to finish on the podium to maintain his points lead”. 

Edit to add: I love how a post with facts and no opinion gets downvoted here. Bottom line is Cooper needs to earn 39 points to ensure a championship without worrying anything about what happens to Chase. Vitards gonna Vitard!

6
2
Gary Duck
Posts
789
Joined
4/16/2019
Location
USA
4/27/2025 7:09am Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 7:11am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

Tumic wrote:

And the only two riders that are capable of placing in between them will just roll over for them. it’s over now.

Sorry, misread your first sentence.  All it takes is a mid-pack start and a cross jump in the first rhythm section. 

It sure is looking good for another "best off-season ever"

3
Chris_Buehler
Posts
8763
Joined
7/21/2019
Location
PORTLAND, CT, USA
4/27/2025 7:17am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown at Gillette being a minute ahead of Webb the last lap. He should have taken this title comfortably. 

2
1
8tensolutions
Posts
3575
Joined
11/15/2009
Location
Salt Lake City, UT, USA
4/27/2025 7:22am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown...

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown at Gillette being a minute ahead of Webb the last lap. He should have taken this title comfortably. 

All true, but he was 1 second behind Webb last night on a track that suits the KTM....and beat him by 30 seconds 7 days ago......but could not get it done.  I want Chase to win, but he just doesn't have the fight, the mental ability to dig in when needed, or something else that causes the inconsistency.  Last night was not the mistake in the whoops because he caught Webb again.  He just couldn't get it done.  Think back to RC, RV, or Stew in a race like that.  They would have done whatever it took to get there or died trying.  

3
6
Chris_Buehler
Posts
8763
Joined
7/21/2019
Location
PORTLAND, CT, USA
4/27/2025 7:27am Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 7:28am
burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown...

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown at Gillette being a minute ahead of Webb the last lap. He should have taken this title comfortably. 

All true, but he was 1 second behind Webb last night on a track that suits the KTM....and beat him by 30 seconds 7 days ago......but...

All true, but he was 1 second behind Webb last night on a track that suits the KTM....and beat him by 30 seconds 7 days ago......but could not get it done.  I want Chase to win, but he just doesn't have the fight, the mental ability to dig in when needed, or something else that causes the inconsistency.  Last night was not the mistake in the whoops because he caught Webb again.  He just couldn't get it done.  Think back to RC, RV, or Stew in a race like that.  They would have done whatever it took to get there or died trying.  

1000%. He started right behind Webb and couldn't get it done. Why couldn't he skim the whoops? Thrasher was doing it on a 250. The championship was on the line with the guy he had to beat right in front of him. Like you said, a guy like RV gets it done 

7
6
mx 219
Posts
4048
Joined
8/15/2010
Location
South Central, PA, USA
4/27/2025 7:27am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown...

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown at Gillette being a minute ahead of Webb the last lap. He should have taken this title comfortably. 

I don't believe he was a whole minute in front of Webb going into the last lap, but maybe I'm wrong.

 

The crash at Daytona hurt him and I guess when he ran out of steam in the main and went from pressuring for 2nd to 5th(?).

 

The round he tipped over and let Justin Cooper get passed him. Definitely Chase's fault here, too many mistakes. Cooper made the most of them.

Chris_Buehler
Posts
8763
Joined
7/21/2019
Location
PORTLAND, CT, USA
4/27/2025 7:31am
burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown...

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown at Gillette being a minute ahead of Webb the last lap. He should have taken this title comfortably. 

mx 219 wrote:
I don't believe he was a whole minute in front of Webb going into the last lap, but maybe I'm wrong. The crash at Daytona hurt him...

I don't believe he was a whole minute in front of Webb going into the last lap, but maybe I'm wrong.

 

The crash at Daytona hurt him and I guess when he ran out of steam in the main and went from pressuring for 2nd to 5th(?).

 

The round he tipped over and let Justin Cooper get passed him. Definitely Chase's fault here, too many mistakes. Cooper made the most of them.

I'm pretty sure it was something like 53 seconds. Yup Daytona was another one. Was it Cooper that got by him that round and even Barcia, too? That's quite the list we just made. That's not getting it done against a guy like Webb. 

crusty_xx
Posts
10318
Joined
6/8/2013
Location
CH
4/27/2025 7:47am

250 is going to be insane. Last time West riders went 1-2.
No Star rider involved, so Deegan and Davies won't care. East title is all but over unless Deegan crashes this weekend

1
Chris_Buehler
Posts
8763
Joined
7/21/2019
Location
PORTLAND, CT, USA
4/27/2025 7:54am
crusty_xx wrote:
250 is going to be insane. Last time West riders went 1-2.No Star rider involved, so Deegan and Davies won't care. East title is all but...

250 is going to be insane. Last time West riders went 1-2.
No Star rider involved, so Deegan and Davies won't care. East title is all but over unless Deegan crashes this weekend

Fuck yeah. Davies and Deegan are both going to want to show they're the man. Deegan could lay up but if the win is there, he's going to send it. You know RJ is gonna to win or die trying. I'm rooting for Seth. Mitch needs this lol

1
TbonesPop
Posts
3814
Joined
1/26/2010
Location
Gilbert, AZ, USA
4/27/2025 7:56am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

Tumic wrote:

And the only two riders that are capable of placing in between them will just roll over for them. it’s over now.

Only chance is some freak incident on a start or a mechanical for Coop. That last mudder where Coop passed Chase on the last lap is difference maker on the season.  

plowboy
Posts
14848
Joined
1/3/2010
Location
Norwich, KS, USA
4/27/2025 8:16am
The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown...

The mental mistakes killed Chase. Off the top of my head, hitting the gate that time, giving away that triple crown win, and the complete meltdown at Gillette being a minute ahead of Webb the last lap. He should have taken this title comfortably. 

I say Chase has cleaned up his mistakes a lot this season.  He's not where he wants or needs to be but he's definitely working on it.

Just as big a problem for him is that he's in a fight with a master tactician.  I don't know if Coops race craft is something he consciously thinks about...plans...or if its just a natural born talent like a lion.  Either way, he has made it work for him more than once.

I don't know if his mojo will work as well on Eli and Jett when they get back.

3
Shred
Posts
1583
Joined
10/21/2021
Location
Brighton, CO, USA
4/27/2025 8:44am Edited Date/Time 4/27/2025 8:58am

The only way, short of Webb having a bad fall or mechanical, for Chase to win is for Chase to go full BamBam.  I don’t think he has that in him, but if the rolls were reversed Webb sure as hell does….so…

*edit….He did put Anderson down earlier this season…so…maybe??

4
1
wnorton729
Posts
268
Joined
3/15/2015
Location
Vidor, TX, USA
4/27/2025 8:59am
Shred wrote:
The only way, short of Webb having a bad fall or mechanical, for Chase to win is for Chase to go full BamBam.  I don’t think...

The only way, short of Webb having a bad fall or mechanical, for Chase to win is for Chase to go full BamBam.  I don’t think he has that in him, but if the rolls were reversed Webb sure as hell does….so…

*edit….He did put Anderson down earlier this season…so…maybe??

This right here. 
If I’m Sexton, I’m cleaning him out.

I’d clean my mom out for a 450sx title. 😅
 

5
4
bca
Posts
58
Joined
4/16/2018
Location
Clermont, FL, USA
4/27/2025 9:14am
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points.  Cooper has 325 pointsChase has 313 pointsChase is -12 points. If chase wins the next 2 races he...

Theres 2 more races, each race pays 25 total points. 
 

Cooper has 325 points
Chase has 313 points

Chase is -12 points. 

If chase wins the next 2 races he ends with 363 points. 

If coop gets two 2nd places he ends with 369 points and the title.

If coop gets two 3rd places he ends with 365 points and the title. 

If coop gets one 3rd and one 4th he gets 363 points and ties with sexton on points. Sexton would have 7 wins to webbs 5 and would win the title. 

So in order for sexton to win this he has to win the next 2 races and webb has to get a 3rd and a 4th or worse at the next 2 races. 

burn1986 wrote:

Webb won it and Chase lost it last night. The only reason Chase would win another one is Webb lets him. 

Ask tomac how the 2nd to last round in 2023 went.

3
TheMilkman
Posts
1502
Joined
7/6/2022
Location
Plano, TX, USA
4/27/2025 9:26am
bca wrote:

Ask tomac how the 2nd to last round in 2023 went.

Cooper Webb is on Amazon buying ankle wrap and a bubble wrap suit right now. 

6

Post a reply to: The math

The Latest