I keep hearing this is Chases championship to lose now

Coop is in the driver’s seat

We can work with speed. The favorite is usually going to be the fastest guy unless they throw it away (really throw it away, Chase is still in the lead). 

Webb, Cooper, Roczen. We are barely into the season. Lots can change 

Chase Sextuck?

It's a toss up really. I think Chase's outright speed is a huge advantage though. His starts are also on point.

We've been watching these guys for a while.  Chase, Webb, Kenny, Ando are all capable of winning if their head is in the right place and luck goes their way.  On paper, with those that are left in the fight, Chase should win this but SHOULD ain't really a thing now is it. I reckon we'll know when they add up the points.

Coops got this one…

Surely you don't mean jumpin jcoop?

For now I'd say this is Webb's title. Don't count out Kenny quite yet either though.

I like Chase but 12 rounds of mental warfare with Coop, that’s a big ask. He needs to unlock 2022 outdoor Chase quickly, Coop is like a boa constrictor in a championship fight 

Eli and Coop are the only two to beat Jett so far when it came down to 1 on 1 right? Jett could not pass Eli in SD, and Jett could not close on cooper last weekend. Not saying chase cant (maybe he has and i dont remember), but Webb is looking strong.

Chase has the points lead and is the fastest rider left as far as potential raw speed goes. He has the most recent championships of any rider left competing. 

That doesn’t mean he can’t throw it away. But he isn’t exactly the head case people think he is. He won the 23 SX and 24 MX series. Its not like he crumbles under championship pressure. Without Eli and Jett competing and pushing that speed level a bit higher, I doubt he throws away many races / washes out from riding on the edge.

I know he literally just threw a race away last week when Malcolm was catching him. But that track was brutal and unforgiving. And he didn’t tuck the front like usual. 

I think with who is fit right now its Chase 50%, Webb 40%, Roczen like 9% and anyone else about a 1% chance. 

It's Wide open with a capital W

It's like the off season  around here in the 7 days between races.....

Coops major problem is his own mind.  When he is determined,  look out.  He smells blood in the water now.  

I wonder if fantasy points are given out for these threads of stupidity? But I click on every one of them. 🙃

Kenny and Coop beat Jett 1 on 1 at Glendale.

I like your analysis, that’s really well thought out but I’ve gotta disagree. Chase has crashed so many times under pressure, 24’ MX was certainly a step in the right direction as Hunter was pressuring him and he didn’t falter, but indoors we’ve seen Sexton go down SO MANY times when pressure was mounting. Usually that pressure is from Jett or Tomac so you have a good point in now that they’re gone, Chase should take the opportunity but in a battle against Cooper, Cooper Webb’s off nights are not as bad as Sextons and that’s huge in a championship

Who would you rather be right now? Sexton, with the points lead and a lot of races left, or Webb, down by only 5 points and a lot of races left? 

Webb is coming and Hell is coming with him. 

It's Sextons to lose...and he probably will if Webb rides like he can. 

It is Chase’s to lose. He has the points lead and Jett and Eli are out. If Chase can pull off a couple of wins in the next few, get out ahead in points like he did outdoors, he’ll be sitting good for the title. 

If he panics then Webb will be all over it. 

Poor Chase is a head case. He's arguably the fastest rider out there (including Jett and Eli) but he doesn't have the consistency or the mental strength to handle a tough championship. Lucky for him two tough competitors are out, but he still has Webb, Roczen, and the other guys who have all stepped up this year. 

My prediction, Webb, Chase, Roczen for the championship

I remember when everyone said Eli was a head case.   I remember when everybody said Webb was a head case....

Everybody's a head case when they're not winning every week.

At the moment, it’s a Chase v Webb. Something drastic would have to occur for Kenny to get back into contention. After this weekend, I just wanna cry into a pillow after how the season started to what we have now…

One guy has two 450 championships in the last two seasons, has won two of five races, has the points lead, is generally thought to be the faster guy, qualifies better, is in better shape than anyone, had 9 podiums in his terrible no good 24 SX season.....

The other guy hasn't made it through a SX season healthy in years, through a third of the season hasn't won a race, is behind in points, shows up in shape when he chooses to, had 9 podiums in last SX season that he had 6 months to prepare for after being sent home by his former team because his mental toughness was just too much to handle.....

But hey he's edgy and glares at the camera so everything he does is just further proof of his superior mental toughness and jedi mind tricks make him the favorite.....

Either one of them could easily win it but the lens each gets viewed through around here is laughable.....

KTM probably hoping Chase doesn't win it to save that bonus money 😄

Was at round 1 of the national enduro's last weekend and the KTM group guys were back in box vans. First time in a long time I've been there and the KTM/Husky 18 wheelers weren't there. Pinching pennies..

Mookie was by far the fastest guy in Tampa. Remember he went from 9th to first. He had Chase covered. He would have beat Chase even if he hadn't crashed. All this to say if Mookie is rising there's plenty of time for him to move up in the standings. I hope he does it in Detroit. I'd love to see him in the hunt at the end.