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Why should Plessinger be the "bare minimum level" of that class? I was just stating that field is deeper as it seems.
I never said he’s the bare minimum but people seems surprised over that AP getting put in 3rd and i would expect one of the american factory riders that was the second best american in outdoors this summer to beat the top 10-15 Mxgp guys you listed.
Riders like Alvin and Kullas don’t make the field deep in my eyes. Deep for me is having many riders that can win the class, and i can only see 3-4 riders doing that.
Another real question is, what are the odds that a racer from the OPEN class (mostly Hunter or Renaux) wins the 3rd race of the day in front of the MXGP guys ?
Another stat here, the ratio of wins of the last race per classes over the last 20 years :
MXGP 13 - 6 OPEN
My prediction, weather/track conditions and starts can mix things up very badly. As its looking to be a very loose/little muddy track with the weather the last couple days/weeks and the forecast off dry on saturday and maybe rain on sunday i guess the good mud riders will have a slight advantage
MXGP: 1 Jett, 2 Herlings, 3 Tomac, 4 Geerts, 5 Febvre
MX2: 1 Coenen, 2 De Wolf, 3 Vialle, 4 Webb, 5 Haarup
Open: 1 Hunter, 2 Mewse, 3 Renaux, 4 Coldenhoff, 5 Van Doninck
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*Normal Conditions:
MXGP - J. Lawrence, Herlings, Tomac
MX2 - De Wolf, Vialle, Coenen
Open - H. Lawrence, Plessinger, Renaux
*Muddy conditions:
tosses hands up in the air
3-4 possible winners is the same for every class...
Herlings, Jett, Prado, Gajser. Maybe Febvre & Tomac.
Coenen, Vialle, De Wolf, Längenfelder.
MXGP: 1. Tomac 2.Jett, 3. Herlings,
MX2: 1. Webb 2. Coenen 3.De Wolf
Open: 1. Plessinger 2.Hunter 3.Coldenhoff,
I love your pride and optimism!
Stamp this post, if those results hold true (exactly) I will PayPal $100usd to your favorite charity.
6 names for MX1 without Roczen that won one moto last year. I would not expect him to win this year, but i did not expect it last year neither.
Come on? Jett will smoke Tomac.
Cocaine's a hell of a drug.
Either the poster has no idea about moto or is just blindingly optimistic. Or just having a laugh.
Webb will be smoked by Coenen and De Wolf, Eli will be smoked by Jett, and as for AP...he'll just be smoked.
The Bullet, Jett, Roczen, Tomac
Anstie, Vialle, Langenfelder, Coenen
Renaux, Coldenoff, Hunter, Mewse
Wouldnt be surprised to see Hunter show out and be one of the fastest guys on the track.
Agreed.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Webster finished right in front or behind Webb. 5-9 range like you said.
The Australia Team lineup has changed, Jet will now be in Open, Hunter is now MXGP....
I wonder what the strategy behind it is. Has to be something.
Pit Row
Maybe a question mark with Jett's fitness over two full motos?
If there was fitness doubts, it would make more sense for Jett to be racing MXGP. He'll have to race back to back in Open.
Ahh good point, I actually didn't realise that.
Strange decision.
Hunter is the one with fitness issues, he's faded late in the motos this year.
Right here. I know he had an injury so I don't know how much time he's had on the bike. But Renaux is nasty. I was at Red Bud '22 when he held off Jett that entire moto. Really impressive
Update based on Jett changing to Open.
Mx2: 1. Coenen 2. De Wolf 3. Vialle
Mx1: 1. Herlings 2. Prado 3. H. Lawrence
Open: 1. Jett Lawrence 2. Renaux 3. Plessinger
I Guess the strategy is that Jett in open gives a high chance of a 1-1 score. Bold move cotton lets see if it pulls off
You’d have to think Jett is gunning for 1-1 regardless of class. It’s not the class positions that count, it’s the moto positions.
With a relatively weak Open class I’d have expected Hunter to be 1-2 in the Open-MX2 race. Makes no difference in moto 3 but you’d expect Hunter to finish a bit worse in moto 1.
Has to be a fitness thing for Hunter.
Yeah, it has to be something other than moto score related. Hunter in the MX1 class is less likely to produce the scores that Jett would which would reduce their odds of winning.
Ain't no way Webb is top 3 at mxon on a 250F, he didn't podium in SMX against our guys.
Renaux has been very up and down the last 5 or 6 motos since he returned. Not very good honestly. Febvre has not been as consistent or as fast as normal either. That said, this is Nations so they will probably ride better than they have in the regular season races
Maybe it's the other way around, Hunter seamed to do worse in his second motos this year, maybe it's to help him rest?
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