Should we start? Here are my thoughts:
France are probably the favourites with the same team that won last year, although Renaux is only just coming back from injury and Febvre's results have been middle of the road lately.
Very close second favourites to win would be the Netherlands, with Herlings and de Wolf in good form, although Vlaanderen injured his knee recently.
Behind them are three teams who are likely mixing up it up on the day for the third spot on the podium, in order of current form:
Australia obviously have the Lawrences who will probably be expecting top 3 to 5 finishes in both their motos. The weak link will be Kyle Webster in MX2 and whether he can bag at least one good moto.
Germany with Roczen who won MXGP class last year, Laengenfelder who is running third in the MX2 championship, but their wild card will be the veteran Max Nagl who has plenty of experience but hasn't ridden at this level in a few years.
USA - Chase Sexton will expect to be in the top 3-5 in his motos. The question for them will be whether Aaron Plessinger can avoid his poor second moto result from last year, and how will the MXoN rookie Chance Hymas do?
Belgium has a good but young team; I'd expect a couple of good moto finishes but not enough to get near the podium.
Then there are the top riders like Prado and Gasjer who aren't on strong teams but will be at the front of the pack spoiling.
I'd say Australia probably has the best chance of pulling off a victory if things don't go ideally for France and the Netherlands, with USA and Germany realistically aiming for a podium if all goes well.
1. France
2. Netherlands
3. U.S.A.
4. Australia
5. Germany
Not sure who's riding for Italy, Switzerland or Spain
Prado in for spain according to someone in the thread about prado in mxon. I think he will be on his gas gas and then move over here to the US after.
Spain: Prado, Fernandez, Oliver
Swiss will anounce later today. I believe it will be Seewer, Guillod, Greutmann
Not sure about Italy
Netherlands
Australia
France
Germany
USA
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NED
USA
FRA
AUS
GER
BEL
I expect this guy to win the MX2 class. Oh wait.......
Fra
Ned
Aus
USA
Esp
Bel
Ger
Ch
I think NLD is being ranked too high at this stage. Coldenhoff is a fairly big step down IMO, though of course he has had some good rides at Nations. I would not be surprised at all if did not crack the top 10 in one or both of his motos even with a decent start. Dewolf and Herlings are obviously great.
France is always strong but there are question marks around all 3 of their riders. I would put almost even money on NLD, France, the US and Australia. Each of these teams has some sort of weakness with one or more riders (inexperience, or lack of time on the bike, or lack of top end speed, etc.)
AUS
USA
GER
FRA
NED
That's probably not what's gonna happen lol but I feel like this year France will have some bad luck. Germany is more a wish than a prediction. If Ironman Kenny shows up they're outside the top 5
to me the Dutch and French are equal favourite, i see Coldenhof alot like Paulin, and saves his best rides for the MXdN,
Aussie and USA and a little behind is Germany, all 3 will need those top 2 teams to have some bad luck,
NZ has a top 10 team on paper for the first time since BT rode for the team
1. USA
2. France
3. Netherlands
4. Australia
5. Spain
I do agree with you that he shines most at MXdN, but the Hoff isn't racing. The Freaky Deeky Dutch are Herlings, de Wolfe & Vlaanderen.
Vlaanderen is out.
I had Netherlands first with Hoff, but if he isn't racing, I'm not sure Jeffrey and Kay can pull the weight for a third rider.
I also think Belgium is being under estimated, and France over estimated. Aussies and USA look strong overall, but I think it will come down to Belgium, Australia or the USA.
1. NED
2. AUS
3. USA
4. FRA
5. SPAIN
Hoff is back in
That sucks for Calvin, but I'm glad The Hoff gets another shot.
@971_Fan I said in the other des Nations thread that Belgium is the one team that could podium, or completely implode, and no one would be surprised either way.
Australia
USA
Great Britain! We are due it’s been a long wait
France
Belgium
Germany
Pit Row
Weather dependant, i think on a dry track USA are favourites as the way Matterly forms up will be relatively familiar ground. France will be closest competitors. For Aus, don't really think Webster is gonna pull a result on the 250
I expect France to win with wins in MX2 & MX3 narrowly over Australia who I think are gonna be left wishing Webster had a bit more international racing experience.
Dutchies get 3rd with a more top heavy team than you’d think, and USA 4th with Chase being the top overall rider of the event.
USA, F, NL in no particular order
France team is solid, they are the heavy favorites.
France
Netherlands
USA/ Aus
France has a really good team, probably the best on paper, Netherlands as well. To me USA and AUS are about dead even chances as well.
I think Chase is expecting better than 3-5 in his motos, I think he has a good a chance as anyone else the way he is riding right now atleast.
I admire your optimism but I think we'll be lucky to crack the top 7 or 8 😕
If nothing catastrophic happens to any of the good teams like start crash, bike failure etc there is 3 teams that can land sub 25 points.
Belgium and Netherlands is the only one I would not be surprised to see 18-20p.
Each country:
Belgium: 2,3,4,5,7 = 21p
Netherlands: 2,1,5,5,8 = 21p
France: 3,3,4,6,7 = 23p
USA 1,2,5,7,10 = 25p
Australia 1,3,4,5,14 =27p
I can't see AP or Chance being top 5 on a GP track right now, maybe 8-10. Neither Webster, more likely he is 15-20. Netherlands weak point is Herlings starts. They need a 1-2 from Herlings. Sounds like Roczen is a bit ill, so that should make it easier but adding Chase, Hunter, Jett, Roczen that all starts up front is going to make it really difficult for Herlings.
Matterly is more an US track than a GP typical track
No one predicting a Team GB win ha ha.
Top 5 would be an awesome result but the talent pool in the UK is severely lacking at the moment.
My picks would be
MXGP - Gilbert
MX2 - Askew or Rizzi (if Anstie isn’t going)
Open - Mewse
France
Spain
Usa
Australia
Netherlands
france
ned
aus /usa
what about belgian,i can't remember who they have
2x Coenen + Everts
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