Will Gas Prices Change Your Moto Plans?

agn5008
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PA, PA US
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6/8/2022 6:25am
crusher773 wrote:
I am getting to a point where we will have to cut our Millville trip. This sucks so bad because we really want to see the...
I am getting to a point where we will have to cut our Millville trip. This sucks so bad because we really want to see the 222. This whole deal sucks. I make quite a bit more than I did 4 years ago yet we have way less money and aren't living as good.
Costs are up about 12 percent in the last 4 years. Unless your raise was less than that, something here is off.
No doubt. Contract negotiations are coming up at my work. We’re gonna ask for 8% increase but we all know we won’t get anywhere near that. It’s crazy to think I’ve gained more experience in the last year but I’m technically making less money 🙄
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Hammer 663s
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Forest Grove, OR US
6/8/2022 7:05am Edited Date/Time 6/8/2022 7:06am
agn5008 wrote:
No doubt. Contract negotiations are coming up at my work. We’re gonna ask for 8% increase but we all know we won’t get anywhere near that...
No doubt. Contract negotiations are coming up at my work. We’re gonna ask for 8% increase but we all know we won’t get anywhere near that. It’s crazy to think I’ve gained more experience in the last year but I’m technically making less money 🙄
I got 4% this year. It was sucked up by inflation in the first month and is now totally unnoticeable. We do have a good bonus program and stock grants, but the stock market has sh!t itself too due to all the free money the Dems and Fed injected into the economy. It is political and they did mismanage their spend. I have no reason to complain financially but watching my portfolio drop 40% in the last year is scary at 59. I will work till 67 at least now. I’ve been working for 45 years and I want to be done. Moto may be a casualty of all this for me. I am proud to say my boy understands and isn’t whining about our reduced schedule. He sees what it costs now.
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dang472
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Kingston, IL US
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6/8/2022 8:11am
We just ran some numbers talking at work about mortgage rates and buying power. Say you bought a $180k house 2 years ago at 3.2% for 30yr. Now today with inflated home values and higher mortgage rates, that same size home is selling for $240k at roughly 5.9% interest for a 30yr. $750/month mortgage 2 years ago compared to $1400/month today for the same house. Add an extra $700-900 a month in increased fuel and grocery expenses and average people have serious decisions to make regarding discretionary spending. I don’t know many middle class families making an extra $1,500-2k a month to continue the current way of life.
7
moto162
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415
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Chicago, IL US
6/8/2022 8:26am
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will be able to weather the storm or most of it because we bust our asses to do things we love like race dirt bikes that keep getting more and more expensive by the day themselves regardless of the economy. The second stimulus check had pushback from lots Republicans and republican constituents. Even a little from trump for fears of inflation and a recession. But it went through. The 3rd stimulus was fought over even more for the same reasons fears of inflation, recession and devaluing our currency. We now know who was right. The past often predicts the future of our present right?

We have zero reason in the US for fuel to ever be so high. We understand why prices are so high in other country's around the world that can't produce their own oil to cover their usage. That is not our issue. If Joe so decided today he could say America is open for oil business and in 12-16months our gas prices will be in the 2.00-2.50 range. Not only from making that statment but the fact that him even signaling the US will get back into mass production if other nations don't up their production will cause places like Saudi Arabia to up their production because they would rather have a say in costs as well as they would rather sell us oil then us not buy it by using our own. Not only that him and his admin are so against everything oil that the flip would send a shockwave. Money talks bullshit walks. But that will never happen. Joe had even said it live on national TV. We are going to suffer and come out for the better. The problem is those that are suffering won't be better they will lose so much because of politics nothing more. Rember we're all in this together while being able to see clear as day we are not ALL in this together. Our issues will never effect these people.This is without a doubt how you keep people poor, angry and divided. If I was writing a book on how to eliminate the middle class and small businesses that survived the pandemic I would be using this administration as my guide. This is becoming a manufactured crisis.
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7

The Shop

wrc777
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Greenwood, IN US
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6/8/2022 8:31am Edited Date/Time 6/8/2022 8:31am
dang472 wrote:
We just ran some numbers talking at work about mortgage rates and buying power. Say you bought a $180k house 2 years ago at 3.2% for...
We just ran some numbers talking at work about mortgage rates and buying power. Say you bought a $180k house 2 years ago at 3.2% for 30yr. Now today with inflated home values and higher mortgage rates, that same size home is selling for $240k at roughly 5.9% interest for a 30yr. $750/month mortgage 2 years ago compared to $1400/month today for the same house. Add an extra $700-900 a month in increased fuel and grocery expenses and average people have serious decisions to make regarding discretionary spending. I don’t know many middle class families making an extra $1,500-2k a month to continue the current way of life.
The interest rates will eventually push down house prices so I am not sure it is quite as bad as you say however that fuel and food cost increase is real and it is eating some or all of most peoples discretionary income. That is going to impact hobbies and I think $5 gas (in the Midwest) is a psychological barrier. I know that $5 price plus the fact it went from 4.39 to 5.25 in a week is a wake up call to me.
3
moto162
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Location
Chicago, IL US
6/8/2022 8:34am
dang472 wrote:
We just ran some numbers talking at work about mortgage rates and buying power. Say you bought a $180k house 2 years ago at 3.2% for...
We just ran some numbers talking at work about mortgage rates and buying power. Say you bought a $180k house 2 years ago at 3.2% for 30yr. Now today with inflated home values and higher mortgage rates, that same size home is selling for $240k at roughly 5.9% interest for a 30yr. $750/month mortgage 2 years ago compared to $1400/month today for the same house. Add an extra $700-900 a month in increased fuel and grocery expenses and average people have serious decisions to make regarding discretionary spending. I don’t know many middle class families making an extra $1,500-2k a month to continue the current way of life.
I'm spending just in fuel alone for work in the last 6 months over 500 more then march of 2021 and now for the month of May extra 763.00 dollars over March of 2021. This year it's looking like I will spend just for work nit personal an extra 8-9k or if we want to go back to Obama years 3-4k over his years. Idk about you but I have alot of things I can do with 8-9k just in fuel then spend it on fuel.
2
Kkawi
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Northville, MI US
6/8/2022 8:45am
moto162 wrote:
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will...
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will be able to weather the storm or most of it because we bust our asses to do things we love like race dirt bikes that keep getting more and more expensive by the day themselves regardless of the economy. The second stimulus check had pushback from lots Republicans and republican constituents. Even a little from trump for fears of inflation and a recession. But it went through. The 3rd stimulus was fought over even more for the same reasons fears of inflation, recession and devaluing our currency. We now know who was right. The past often predicts the future of our present right?

We have zero reason in the US for fuel to ever be so high. We understand why prices are so high in other country's around the world that can't produce their own oil to cover their usage. That is not our issue. If Joe so decided today he could say America is open for oil business and in 12-16months our gas prices will be in the 2.00-2.50 range. Not only from making that statment but the fact that him even signaling the US will get back into mass production if other nations don't up their production will cause places like Saudi Arabia to up their production because they would rather have a say in costs as well as they would rather sell us oil then us not buy it by using our own. Not only that him and his admin are so against everything oil that the flip would send a shockwave. Money talks bullshit walks. But that will never happen. Joe had even said it live on national TV. We are going to suffer and come out for the better. The problem is those that are suffering won't be better they will lose so much because of politics nothing more. Rember we're all in this together while being able to see clear as day we are not ALL in this together. Our issues will never effect these people.This is without a doubt how you keep people poor, angry and divided. If I was writing a book on how to eliminate the middle class and small businesses that survived the pandemic I would be using this administration as my guide. This is becoming a manufactured crisis.
It has been a manufactured crisis for a very long time, and it's been a blatant one since early 2020
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3
6/8/2022 8:49am
I'm staying local, within 45 minutes of my house. No more toy hauler just for open ride days, drive 55mph, and no more VP Race fuel...
I'm staying local, within 45 minutes of my house. No more toy hauler just for open ride days, drive 55mph, and no more VP Race fuel for the bike. Not a lot of riding happening this year. I had plans to go from Illinois to Kansas for a special event in the fall, but that is certainly not happening. I even planned some Millville and Redbud track days, but that is also not happening. My Silverado 2500 gets 12mpg on a good day and with the toy hauler it gets about 9.5 on a good day. I raced this previous weekend and the turnout was not good. About half what it normally is for a lot of the classes. Fuel prices are killing everything from food to leisure. Thanks JB and Administration.
moto162 wrote:
Did you go to byron last week. Turn out was shit.
I did race there. I was very surprised at the attendance for the big bike classes. I'm a believer that the fuel prices are going to kill the local scene. I like to venture out to other tracks, but not this summer, sadly.
1
prozach
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Eureka, CA US
6/8/2022 8:50am
$6+ a gallon here in sac area. It was $2 a gallon just over 2 years ago. That's 3x more money to fill up. The big one is PGE also. They changed the time of use rates and times recently for solar which instantly cost me another $800-1000 a year in electricity.

And I see electricity rates going crazy in the next 5 -10 years as homes and cars move to all electric without the power grid expanding. Other than clothing and shoes I don't think anything has gone down in prices or stayed constant in the last couple years.

The current administration has a bunch of plans to inject money into consumers hands, which according to basic demand pull inflationary theory won't make anything cheaper and will likely have the opposite effect. Like newsom wanting to give Californians $400 for gas. All that does is drive up prices even more if supply doesn't increase. 🤦
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1
Logan_Ryall
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Bluff City, TN US
6/8/2022 8:56am
I also have a raise/review coming up, I wrap cars and they can’t just go get anyone off the street to do it. I feel like I have a lot of leverage and I know how much these wraps are bringing in.. also about to start wrapping things on the side cash only to make more.
3
6/8/2022 9:04am
Gas prices r changing life plans. I see the trucking industry struggling for the next 3 yrs , no raises, drop in pay. I called the Laborers pension because my last letter 4 yrs ago sounded like the fund was empty . So I wanted get my money out but I can’t till I,m 65. Since I had them on the phone I asked r you having trouble finding help like everywhere in America. They where excited that someone was interested in work. I hv 7.1 credits I need 10 to get vested to get the pension at 55. Which I am now. 1 office said there’s openings in utility work I did a lot of that . I need my knee fixed 1st. Concrete, masonry sorry I can’t build a wall. I asked about the training center she gave me a #. That’s the way to go. I did a ton of damage to my body trucking . In the winter I can still get a driving job instead of being laid off but will probably need the time to heal. I may hv to work in Chicago on the 3rd yr once the projects in Wi. R done. All these projects started because of the 18 robust economy. Figure 2 yrs and there done. So the 3rd yr will b tough to stay busy. Kinda crazy at 55 to go back and do a 20 something’s job. Nobody else wants the job I,ll take it. Ps pretty much no openings in rd construction. Now there’s an easy job. Haha a pension yr goes July to August.
agn5008
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6/8/2022 9:19am
prozach wrote:
$6+ a gallon here in sac area. It was $2 a gallon just over 2 years ago. That's 3x more money to fill up. The big...
$6+ a gallon here in sac area. It was $2 a gallon just over 2 years ago. That's 3x more money to fill up. The big one is PGE also. They changed the time of use rates and times recently for solar which instantly cost me another $800-1000 a year in electricity.

And I see electricity rates going crazy in the next 5 -10 years as homes and cars move to all electric without the power grid expanding. Other than clothing and shoes I don't think anything has gone down in prices or stayed constant in the last couple years.

The current administration has a bunch of plans to inject money into consumers hands, which according to basic demand pull inflationary theory won't make anything cheaper and will likely have the opposite effect. Like newsom wanting to give Californians $400 for gas. All that does is drive up prices even more if supply doesn't increase. 🤦
Electric prices went up 45% on June 1st here. I just don’t see how some people don’t realize who or what is at fault here.
6
dang472
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6/8/2022 9:27am

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JK BRO
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6/8/2022 9:45am

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bichwolf
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6/8/2022 10:15am
The pain is good, the economy is actually fantastic.
The food crisis is next. That will be fucking awsome!
8
LungButter
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6/8/2022 10:24am
bichwolf wrote:
The pain is good, the economy is actually fantastic.
The food crisis is next. That will be fucking awsome!
The looming DEF shortage will probably speed that up.

Don't forget the rolling blackouts as well.

bichwolf
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6/8/2022 10:42am Edited Date/Time 6/8/2022 10:49am
bichwolf wrote:
The pain is good, the economy is actually fantastic.
The food crisis is next. That will be fucking awsome!
LungButter wrote:
The looming DEF shortage will probably speed that up.

Don't forget the rolling blackouts as well.

Rolling blackouts are so much better than energy independence, especially when we can buy from Iran and help them out. Hot damm

I'm on board with electric and solar, but this change doesn't happen without A LOT of clean coal and fuel for trucks etc.
I'm keeping hundreds a week less, adds up for me. Glad to do my part, I'll travel a lot less.
5
6/8/2022 10:49am
cwel11 wrote:
I also think the bottom fell out of bike sales. Looking in the vital f/s section and marketplace things aren’t moving. Which sucks I’m one of...
I also think the bottom fell out of bike sales. Looking in the vital f/s section and marketplace things aren’t moving. Which sucks I’m one of them., ha. Missed my window I guess. To the guy posting about right wing talking points. I’ve got pretty strong political beliefs and by the sounds of it you do as well. Perfectly fine. One simple question, are you better off now than four years ago? Not a political question, and no reason to overthink an answer. Simply yes or no. You know the answer don’t you?
I think is the best way anyone could put it. Right or Left, nobody is doing better than they were 4 years ago.
3
wrc777
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6/8/2022 11:02am Edited Date/Time 6/8/2022 11:04am
sandhills wrote:
Most of the stimulus checks and more importantly the QE all happened in 2020.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
It takes some months to move through the system. The balance sheet you posted shows increases until April of this year.
sandhills
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Scotts Valley, CA US
6/8/2022 11:06am
wrc777 wrote:
It takes some months to move through the system. The balance sheet you posted shows increases until April of this year.
Yes, gradual increases up to April this year which I agree add to the problem, but look at 2020 that's the bulk of it.
6/8/2022 11:09am
bichwolf wrote:
The pain is good, the economy is actually fantastic.
The food crisis is next. That will be fucking awsome!
LungButter wrote:
The looming DEF shortage will probably speed that up.

Don't forget the rolling blackouts as well.

And the N east fuel shortage. The warning that our cities will be rioting and on fire this summer. From the 2020 riots truckers being under attack. We retaliated by cutting these cities and states off. Refusing to work there and if we did we ran the rates way up. This is still going on. The 3rd world illegal co.s are not playing along but there’s hundreds of those co.s going bankrupt everyday now. 3-4 in a trk the trk is paid .16-.26 cpm that’s split between the 3 or 4 illegal drivers. The gov off sets this by giving them free housing, food, phone, etc. limiting the housing for legal citizens and raising the rent. So it won’t be long and they,ll be gone. No one’s making anything now so there leaving the industry. You couldn’t dream of a worse nightmare.
1
bichwolf
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6/8/2022 11:14am
wrc777 wrote:
It takes some months to move through the system. The balance sheet you posted shows increases until April of this year.
sandhills wrote:
Yes, gradual increases up to April this year which I agree add to the problem, but look at 2020 that's the bulk of it.
The origin being?
Flesh206
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Perrys, OH US
6/8/2022 11:56am
Flesh206 wrote:
Get your priorities straight. Drive a $1,500 truck and a 10k bike. Gas fund problem solved.
agn5008 wrote:
Ain’t many $1500 trucks out there anymore. They’re now $4000 trucks.
She looks like hell but my 2001 Yukon still rolling at 258k and just dumped another 1k for repairs. Trusty Rusty here in the midwest.
6
sandtrack315
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Philadelphia, PA US
6/8/2022 12:00pm
Ha, we all know both Trump and Biden overstimulated the economy to avoid a recession and that the war with Russia is the primary cause for oil prices. Supply chains from Covid have obviously also driven up prices. As simple as it is to blame the dude in charge who doesn’t run your color, it’s usually macro factors that aren’t up to a single party or president.

Anyways, my moto habits haven’t changed, I just buy T4 because, if I’m paying a ton for gas, might as well have it smell good. I feel for people whose incomes aren’t increasing or who make a living that is dependent on oil. Life is just too expensive for most people now.
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wrc777
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6/8/2022 12:13pm
When the people currently running the government make it difficult to drill more and open more refinierues and also talk about how they want to destroy a given industry, it becomes difficult to get the investments needed to drill more oil and gas wells. One party is and has been actively discouraging actions that would lower prices.
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PNWMXer
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Washington, WA US
6/8/2022 1:06pm
We have a group that carpools to the tracks that are further away. Really helps to pile in one or two trucks and split fuel, especially at the 3-4 hour away places.
4
mike83
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25
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Location
Summerland Key, FL US
6/8/2022 2:07pm
moto162 wrote:
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will...
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will be able to weather the storm or most of it because we bust our asses to do things we love like race dirt bikes that keep getting more and more expensive by the day themselves regardless of the economy. The second stimulus check had pushback from lots Republicans and republican constituents. Even a little from trump for fears of inflation and a recession. But it went through. The 3rd stimulus was fought over even more for the same reasons fears of inflation, recession and devaluing our currency. We now know who was right. The past often predicts the future of our present right?

We have zero reason in the US for fuel to ever be so high. We understand why prices are so high in other country's around the world that can't produce their own oil to cover their usage. That is not our issue. If Joe so decided today he could say America is open for oil business and in 12-16months our gas prices will be in the 2.00-2.50 range. Not only from making that statment but the fact that him even signaling the US will get back into mass production if other nations don't up their production will cause places like Saudi Arabia to up their production because they would rather have a say in costs as well as they would rather sell us oil then us not buy it by using our own. Not only that him and his admin are so against everything oil that the flip would send a shockwave. Money talks bullshit walks. But that will never happen. Joe had even said it live on national TV. We are going to suffer and come out for the better. The problem is those that are suffering won't be better they will lose so much because of politics nothing more. Rember we're all in this together while being able to see clear as day we are not ALL in this together. Our issues will never effect these people.This is without a doubt how you keep people poor, angry and divided. If I was writing a book on how to eliminate the middle class and small businesses that survived the pandemic I would be using this administration as my guide. This is becoming a manufactured crisis.
I get the frustration, but there is a lot of misinformation in here. Oil is priced globally, not per country. The quantity of oil that the U.S. imports has little to no effect on the price we pay for crude oil, since there is one global market for crude oil. Even if the U.S. produced all the oil it needed, U.S. consumers would pay the global price. The quality of the crude oil, and matching that type to refineries probably plays the most significant role in determining whether the crude is imported or not.

I feel like we likely still have increases ahead for gasoline prices, with hurricane season starting up and the vulnerability of refineries around the gulf states, in addition to the summer driving season. All of this probably won't impact my riding too much this year, only because my season is short and I don't have to drive far (usually), but I feel for my moto brothers who are out riding or racing every weekend.

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10
bichwolf
Posts
532
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Emerald Isle, NC US
6/8/2022 2:30pm
moto162 wrote:
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will...
The issue is weather some of you want to admit or not is political and it is effecting our lives negatively. Most of us here will be able to weather the storm or most of it because we bust our asses to do things we love like race dirt bikes that keep getting more and more expensive by the day themselves regardless of the economy. The second stimulus check had pushback from lots Republicans and republican constituents. Even a little from trump for fears of inflation and a recession. But it went through. The 3rd stimulus was fought over even more for the same reasons fears of inflation, recession and devaluing our currency. We now know who was right. The past often predicts the future of our present right?

We have zero reason in the US for fuel to ever be so high. We understand why prices are so high in other country's around the world that can't produce their own oil to cover their usage. That is not our issue. If Joe so decided today he could say America is open for oil business and in 12-16months our gas prices will be in the 2.00-2.50 range. Not only from making that statment but the fact that him even signaling the US will get back into mass production if other nations don't up their production will cause places like Saudi Arabia to up their production because they would rather have a say in costs as well as they would rather sell us oil then us not buy it by using our own. Not only that him and his admin are so against everything oil that the flip would send a shockwave. Money talks bullshit walks. But that will never happen. Joe had even said it live on national TV. We are going to suffer and come out for the better. The problem is those that are suffering won't be better they will lose so much because of politics nothing more. Rember we're all in this together while being able to see clear as day we are not ALL in this together. Our issues will never effect these people.This is without a doubt how you keep people poor, angry and divided. If I was writing a book on how to eliminate the middle class and small businesses that survived the pandemic I would be using this administration as my guide. This is becoming a manufactured crisis.
mike83 wrote:
I get the frustration, but there is a lot of misinformation in here. Oil is priced globally, not per country. The quantity of oil that the...
I get the frustration, but there is a lot of misinformation in here. Oil is priced globally, not per country. The quantity of oil that the U.S. imports has little to no effect on the price we pay for crude oil, since there is one global market for crude oil. Even if the U.S. produced all the oil it needed, U.S. consumers would pay the global price. The quality of the crude oil, and matching that type to refineries probably plays the most significant role in determining whether the crude is imported or not.

I feel like we likely still have increases ahead for gasoline prices, with hurricane season starting up and the vulnerability of refineries around the gulf states, in addition to the summer driving season. All of this probably won't impact my riding too much this year, only because my season is short and I don't have to drive far (usually), but I feel for my moto brothers who are out riding or racing every weekend.

Refineries to make gasoline, natural gas, crude, coal. If you really believe that any other country is going to mirror our energy costs if the US maintained its independence then I need to point out that 200 million people here are not willing to settle for that. One big reason Trump got elected.
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wrc777
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Location
Greenwood, IN US
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6/8/2022 2:43pm
mike83 wrote:
I get the frustration, but there is a lot of misinformation in here. Oil is priced globally, not per country. The quantity of oil that the...
I get the frustration, but there is a lot of misinformation in here. Oil is priced globally, not per country. The quantity of oil that the U.S. imports has little to no effect on the price we pay for crude oil, since there is one global market for crude oil. Even if the U.S. produced all the oil it needed, U.S. consumers would pay the global price. The quality of the crude oil, and matching that type to refineries probably plays the most significant role in determining whether the crude is imported or not.

I feel like we likely still have increases ahead for gasoline prices, with hurricane season starting up and the vulnerability of refineries around the gulf states, in addition to the summer driving season. All of this probably won't impact my riding too much this year, only because my season is short and I don't have to drive far (usually), but I feel for my moto brothers who are out riding or racing every weekend.

Every drop of oil the US pumps adds to global supply. OPEC doesn’t want the price this high because it encourages additional drilling which usually causes the price to fall. I am not sure opec has control of price anymore. They have not been meeting their production targets for some months now. Given the current high price I assume they cannot pump enough oil.
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