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Jett, Sexton, Prado, Tomac, Hunter, JCoop, AP, Anderson.
Based off of history, Jett is the obvious favorite, but I think it's safe to say that your top 4 are completely interchangeable, and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if any of them won. Hunter's a bit of a long shot, but I'd be stoked if he pulled it off, though.
Not sure why so many people are sleeping on Hunter, he was right on sexton last year and he’s had plenty of time back on the bike to get ready for this outdoor season.
…Some of you may be surprised when Mikkel Haarup shows up….
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In case some of you want to change your 450 top 10 picks.
Great news!!
How did things go Last time Jett & Eli come back from injury and Chase was riding with confidence?

Can't go wrong with one more guy in the 450 class. Also, Marchbanks did well on their 450 a couple of years ago.
Webb over Cooper? C'mon man ...
Marchbanks said he was did 11 30 min Motos in testing, Tickle was saying garrett had surprising speed, maybe we got a PC win ahead of Deegs? But Deegs is just incredible outdoors
also marchbanks is the local boy 😁
To be fair, I think Chase is a better MX rider than SX (I consider the SMX tracks to be SX tracks on steroids rather than SX/MX blends).
450
1. Sexton
2. Jett
3. Prado
4. Tomac (I think Eli and Jorge could be reversible)
5. Hunter
250
1. Deegan
2. Kitchen
3. Masterpool
4. Vialle
5. Shimoda
Prado will be good but I don’t think he has any advantage when it comes to preparation. Yes he turned his attention to outdoors a while ago, but he still only has about a month on the Kawi outdoors, and Tomac, Jett and Hunter have also been prepping for outdoors for a similar amount of time, on bikes they are already familiar with
450:
1. Sexton
2. Jett
3. Tomac
4. Prado
5. Cooper
250:
1. Deegan
2. Hymas
3. Vialle
4. Hammaker
5. Haarup
Here is the fastest laps of each 450 motos over the last 4 years
2021 Round 1
2.18.407 = Adam Cianciarulo
2.20.217 = Chase Sexton
2.20.231 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.20.669 = Cooper Webb
2.21.127 = Aaron Plessinger
2.21.168 = Ken Roczen
2.21.572 = Justin Barcia
2.21.862 = Eli Tomac
2.22.133 = Jason Anderson
2.22.165 = Marvin Musquin
2.19.607 = Ken Roczen
2.19.981 = Aaron Plessinger
2.21.586 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.21.777 = Jason Anderson
2.21.987 = Justin Barcia
2.22.121 = Adam Cianciarulo
2.22.158 = Chase Sexton
2.22.732 = Christian Craig
2.22.757 = Zachary Osborne
2.22.998 = Cooper Webb
2021 round 11
2.08.034 = Eli Tomac
2.08.329 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.08.858 = Ken Roczen
2.09.447 = Cooper Webb
2.10.980 = Max Anstie
2.11.176 = Christian Craig
2.11.867 = Coty Schock
2.12.207 = Joey Savatgy
2.12.542 = Justin Bogle
2.14.651 = Brandon Hartranft
2.09.222 = Eli Tomac
2.11.957 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.12.836 = Ken Roczen
2.13.768 = Cooper Webb
2.14.337 = Christian Craig
2.14.612 = Max Anstie
2.14.806 = Coty Schock
2.15.950 = Joey Savatgy
2.17.184 = Brandon Hartranft
2.17.336 = Fredrik Noren
2022 round 1
2.16.306 = Chase Sexton
2.17.019 = Ken Roczen
2.17.960 = Christian Craig
2.18.177 = Jason Anderson
2.18.571 = Eli Tomac
2.18.985 = Aaron Plessinger
2.19.167 = Ryan Dungey
2.19.515 = Antonio Cairoli
2.20.752 = Shane Mcelrath
2.20.975 = Justin Barcia
2.17.742 = Chase Sexton
2.18.535 = Ken Roczen
2.18.990 = Eli Tomac
2.20.142 = Christian Craig
2.20.681 = Ryan Dungey
2.21.855 = Antonio Cairoli
2.22.031 = Jason Anderson
2.22.485 = Justin Barcia
2.22.708 = Garett Marchbanks
2.23.503 = Shane Mcelrath
2022 round 12
2.23.191 = Chase Sexton
2.23.788 = Eli Tomac
2.27.048 = Jason Anderson
2.27.711 = Christian Craig
2.27.860 = Justin Barcia
2.28.301 = Benny Bloss
2.29.259 = Fredrik Noren
2.29.531 = Aaron Plessinger
2.29.935 = Ryan Dungey
2.30.183 = Garrett Marchbanks
2.24.624 = Chase Sexton
2.26.300 = Eli Tomac
2.26.830 = Jason Anderson
2.27.701 = Ryan Dungey
2.27.737 = Christian Craig
2.28.665 = Aaron Plessinger
2.29.522 = Justin Barcia
2.30.402 = Ken Roczen
2.30.803 = Benny Bloss
2.33.178 = Fredrik Noren
2023
2.26.321 = Jett Lawrence
2.26.857 = Chase Sexton
2.27.406 = Aaron Plessinger
2.27.796 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.28.777 = Cooper Webb
2.30.001 = Adam Cianciarulo
2.31.427 = Derek Drake
2.32.538 = Dante Oliveira
2.32.570 = Jerry Robin
2.32.798 = Lorenzo Locurcio
2.26.014 = Chase Sexton
2.26.295 = Jett Lawrence
2.27.575 = Aaron Plessinger
2.28.793 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.29.972 = Cooper Webb
2.32.670 = Adam Cianciarulo
2.32.680 = Grant Harlan
2.32.927 = Derek Drake
2.33.532 = Jose Butron
2.33.906 = Fredrik Noren
2024
2.23.895 = Jett Lawrence
2.24.349 = Chase Sexton
2.24.532 = Aaron Plessinger
2.24.598 = Hunter Lawrence
2.25.889 = Justin Cooper
2.26.194 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.26.550 = Justin Barcia
2.27.080 = Jason Anderson
2.27.201 = Malcolm Stewart
2.29.109 = Phillip Nicoletti
2.23.982 = Chase Sexton
2.24.547 = Jett Lawrence
2.25.816 = Hunter Lawrence
2.27.785 = Jason Anderson
2.28.077 = Justin Cooper
2.28.819 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.29.712 = Malcolm Stewart
2.29.853 = Justin Barcia
2.30.573 = Fredrik Noren
2.30.777 = Marshal Weltin
ima go against the grain & say prado for 450s with a 2 - 1 & chance hymas in 250s with a 2 - 1
Fastest practice laps at every rounds in Fox Raceway since 2021
2021 Round 1
2.18.793 = Adam Cianciarulo
2.19.559 = Marvin Musquin
2.20.443 = Ken Roczen
2.20.481 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.20.605 = Alessandro Lupino
2.20.892 = Jason Anderson
2.21.460 = Chase Sexton
2.21.743 = Christian Craig
2.22.060 = Aaron Plessinger
2.22.334 = Cooper Webb
2021 tound 11
2.04.861 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.05.207 = Ken Roczen
2.06.508 = Cooper Webb
2.06.711 = Eli Tomac
2.07.967 = Joey Savatgy
2.08.437 = Justin Bogle
2.08.752 = Christian Craig
2.09.131 = Max Anstie
2.09.681 = Brandon Hartranft
2.09.737 = Coty Schock
2022 round 1
2.12.333 = Chase Sexton
2.13.120 = Ken Roczen
2.13.831 = Eli Tomac
2.13.976 = Jason Anderson
2.14.384 = Antonio Cairoli
2.14.523 = Christian Craig
2.15.021 = Ryan Dungey
2.15.883 = Justin Barcia
2.15.913 = Garrett Marchbanks
2.16.287 = Benny Bloss
2022 round 14
2.24.345 = Eli Tomac
2.24.718 = Jason Anderson
2.25.149 = Chase Sexton
2.26.093 = Ryan Dungey
2.26.137 = Ken Roczen
2.26.450 = Aaron Plessinger
2.26.584 = Christian Craig
2.27.735 = Benny Bloss
2.27.946 = Garrett Marchbanks
2.29.176 = Justin Barcia
2023
2.20.539 = Jett Lawrence
2.23.053 = Chase Sexton
2.23.251 = Adam Cianciarulo
2.23.561 = Cooper Webb
2.24.190 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.24.862 = Aaron Plessinger
2.25.889 = Derek Drake
2.26.862 = Dante Oliveira
2.28.019 = Jerry Robin
2.28.049 = Fredrik Noren
2024
2.18.467 = Jett Lawrence
2.19.692 = Chase Sexton
2.20.592 = Hunter Lawrence
2.21.000 = Dylan Ferrandis
2.22.109 = Justin Cooper
2.22.611 = Jason Anderson
2.23.322 = Justin Barcia
2.23.403 = Aaron Plessinger
2.24.890 = Malcolm Stewart
2.24.936 = Fredrik Noren
honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Prado came out hot and won. But, I think after a few rounds Sexton and Jett will assert themselves as the top dogs. Still a little unsure if Tomac will be a contender, but I think he will be.
I echo wht phill said on pulp on the last show , somebody of prado stature I find hard to believe thts hes goona be out of the top 3 or top 5 all summer long , I don’t expect him to win majority of the motos or overalls but id be damnned if he ain’t in the mix for the win or podium spot erry weekend
Pit Row
I think he'll be a threat for the podium, I don't think he'll be a favorite to win every weekend like Chase and Jett, though. I wouldn't be surprised if he has some odd ball races where he's like 7th OA.
Tomac - 3-1
Sexton - 1-3
Jett - 2-2
Webb - 5-4
Prado 4-5
Hunter - 6-6
Jett & Eli are mentally rested.
That will make up for any race fitness shortfall.
Jett FTW.
I’m gonna go with Chase at rd. 1. I think he’s going to keep the ball rolling from SX. Plus he said he already feels better on the bike than he did last year and he was hauling ass last year! How he manages down the line when you got guys like Tomac, the Lawrence’s, Prado all coming in fresh and should only get stronger as the season goes on, we’ll see. But for Pala I’m picking Chase!
over chase & jett I feel ya , but as good as hunta & j coop is , prado should be tht much better , yea different series , different tracks & culture but manz is a back to back GP champ , in my book he gotta be up there consistently beating hunta & j coop
The 450 class will be STACKED at round one! My gosh we've seen stacked lineups before, but this one is as good as any I can recall! I'm sticking with Sexton, Deegan.
yea Prado will have Hunter and Jcoop for sure covered
Any track map? I noticed they haven’t been running the hills and took out the booter in the middle.
Sexton/Tomac/Jett
Deegan/masterpool/hymas
Before he starts pro motocross, here are Jorge Prado's result mxgp in every moto for the last 2 seasons where he was crowned champion :
1/6/1/6/1/3/1/3/1/6/2/5/4/3/2/3/1/1/1/3/1/2/3/2/3/1/3/1/1/6/1/4/13/9/1/6/4/18/1/2/1/1/1/1/3/1/15/12/1/1/2/5/1/1/7/1/2/24/2/1/4/5/2/2/2/2/1/1/2/2/3/3/3/1/2/1/1/4
Probably Jett and Deegan. Wouldn't be shocked if Eli or chase get the win.
Tomac 1/1
Masterpool 1/2
450
1. Sexton
2. Jett
3. Prado
4. Tomac
5. Hunter
250
1. Deegan
2. Vialle
3. Kitchen
4. Haarup
5. Hymas
Many riders are coming back from injury, hard to pick the first round...
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