Some bad Dudes will not make the mains in 450 this year

Edited Date/Time 12/25/2023 8:16pm

It’s really crazy to think about. Didn’t confirm but rotomoto said 18 dudes are on factory or factory “equivalent” teams for A1. You would expect all those guys to make mains.

Then you add DF14 that makes 19. Deano 20, hill 21.

Thats not counting moranz, starling, harlen, Noran. Cartwright, masterpool for the last spot.

 

Jett might be a notch above the field but I don’t see how we can’t say this isnt the deepest field 1-22 ever. 

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6
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12/25/2023 5:53pm

Because Jett.  That’s why.

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-MAVERICK-
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12/25/2023 6:34pm Edited Date/Time 12/25/2023 6:35pm

I posted it in a different thread, but the field is deep.

1- Chase Sexton (2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 SX Champ)

2- Cooper Webb (1x 250 MX Champ, 2x 250 SX Champ, 2x 450 SX Champ)

3- Eli Tomac (1x 250 MX Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ, 4x 450 MX Champ, 2x 450 SX Champ)

7- Aaron Plessinger (1x 250 MX Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ)

9- Adam Cianciarulo (1x 250 MX Champ)

14- Dylan Ferrandis (1x 250 MX Champ, 2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 MX Champ)

15- Dean Wilson (1x 250 MX Champ)

18- Jett Lawrence (2x 250 MX Champ, 2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 MX Champ, 1x 450 SMX Champ)

19- Justin Bogle (1x 250 SX Champ)

21- Jason Anderson (1x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 SX Champ)

27- Malcolm Stewart (1x 250 SX Champ)

28- Christian Craig (1x 250 SX Champ)

32- Justin Cooper (1x 250 SX Champ)

45- Colt Nichols (1x 250 SX Champ)

46- Justin Hill (1x 250 SX Champ)

51- Justin Barcia (2x 250 SX Champ)

94- Ken Roczen (1x MX2 Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ, 2x 450 MX Champ)

96- Hunter Lawrence (1x 250 MX Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ)

Combined Championship Total: 45

MX2: 1

250 MX: 9

250 SX: 20

450 MX: 8

450 SX: 6

450 SMX: 1

41
8tensolutions
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12/25/2023 7:19pm

It's definitely strong for the start and injuries or lack of them will be the difference.  I sure hope we don't have any fallout before A1 and it stays that way.

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Nighttrain
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12/25/2023 7:23pm

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

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brocster
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12/25/2023 7:44pm
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

Name your 4 please

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Sully
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12/25/2023 7:48pm
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

Barcia’s the oldest dude on that list, followed by Eli. You really think those 2 are ‘turning laps to cash checks?’ Pretty goofy take. 

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Nighttrain
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12/25/2023 7:58pm
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

Sully wrote:

Barcia’s the oldest dude on that list, followed by Eli. You really think those 2 are ‘turning laps to cash checks?’ Pretty goofy take. 

Jett, Webb, Tomac, and Sexton. Who else is going to win a Main? Ferrandis is probably my favorite rider of the last 20 years so I hope I’m wrong about him. It’s the same every year if you’ve been watching the sport for a while. “Deepest field ever…” until gates start dropping.

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Sully
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12/25/2023 8:00pm
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

Sully wrote:

Barcia’s the oldest dude on that list, followed by Eli. You really think those 2 are ‘turning laps to cash checks?’ Pretty goofy take. 

Nighttrain wrote:
Jett, Webb, Tomac, and Sexton. Who else is going to win a Main? Ferrandis is probably my favorite rider of the last 20 years so I...

Jett, Webb, Tomac, and Sexton. Who else is going to win a Main? Ferrandis is probably my favorite rider of the last 20 years so I hope I’m wrong about him. It’s the same every year if you’ve been watching the sport for a while. “Deepest field ever…” until gates start dropping.

So everyone but those 4 dudes is only out there to cash checks? You’re not making your goofy take any better you know. 

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burn1986
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12/25/2023 8:01pm Edited Date/Time 12/25/2023 8:02pm
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

brocster wrote:

Name your 4 please

Jett, Hunter, Sexton, Tomac.

The rest aren’t out there to collect checks. I think what he means is there’s a lot of veterans that are not gonna be up to speed and probably won’t make it.

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Nighttrain
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12/25/2023 8:06pm Edited Date/Time 12/25/2023 8:08pm
Sully wrote:

So everyone but those 4 dudes is only out there to cash checks? You’re not making your goofy take any better you know. 

They’re all out there to cash checks so my take isn’t really valid and is goofy.  I believe the field isn’t that deep in speed for 2024.  There are a lot of experienced riders with strong resumes’ who are at the end of their careers and no longer as fast as they used to be on a Supercross track. Tomac and Webb are exceptions. I stand by the rest.

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-MAVERICK-
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12/25/2023 8:18pm
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

Eli Tomac, Chase Sexton, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, and Justin Barcia all won main events this year. 

Four of those guys are some of the oldest in the class. 

Sexton 24

Webb 28

Tomac 31

Plessinger 27 turns 28 January 25.

Cianciarulo 27

Ferrandis 29

Wilson 31

Jett 20

Bogle 30 turns 31 March 23.

Anderson 30 turns 31 February 17.

Stewart 31

Craig 32

Cooper 26 

Nichols 29 turns 30 March 22.

Hill 28 turns 29 May 7.

Barcia 31 turns 32 March 25.

Roczen 29 turns 30 April 29.

Hunter 24

The 450 class isn't exactly stacked with young talent. 

19
ando
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12/26/2023 2:52am
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

-MAVERICK- wrote:
Eli Tomac, Chase Sexton, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, and Justin Barcia all won main events this year.  Four of those guys are some of the oldest...

Eli Tomac, Chase Sexton, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, and Justin Barcia all won main events this year. 

Four of those guys are some of the oldest in the class. 

Sexton 24

Webb 28

Tomac 31

Plessinger 27 turns 28 January 25.

Cianciarulo 27

Ferrandis 29

Wilson 31

Jett 20

Bogle 30 turns 31 March 23.

Anderson 30 turns 31 February 17.

Stewart 31

Craig 32

Cooper 26 

Nichols 29 turns 30 March 22.

Hill 28 turns 29 May 7.

Barcia 31 turns 32 March 25.

Roczen 29 turns 30 April 29.

Hunter 24

The 450 class isn't exactly stacked with young talent. 

Oldest 450 field ever?  3 guys under 25 and only one under 24?

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12/26/2023 4:27am Edited Date/Time 12/26/2023 4:28am
-MAVERICK- wrote:
I posted it in a different thread, but the field is deep. 1- Chase Sexton (2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 SX Champ) 2- Cooper Webb...

I posted it in a different thread, but the field is deep.

1- Chase Sexton (2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 SX Champ)

2- Cooper Webb (1x 250 MX Champ, 2x 250 SX Champ, 2x 450 SX Champ)

3- Eli Tomac (1x 250 MX Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ, 4x 450 MX Champ, 2x 450 SX Champ)

7- Aaron Plessinger (1x 250 MX Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ)

9- Adam Cianciarulo (1x 250 MX Champ)

14- Dylan Ferrandis (1x 250 MX Champ, 2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 MX Champ)

15- Dean Wilson (1x 250 MX Champ)

18- Jett Lawrence (2x 250 MX Champ, 2x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 MX Champ, 1x 450 SMX Champ)

19- Justin Bogle (1x 250 SX Champ)

21- Jason Anderson (1x 250 SX Champ, 1x 450 SX Champ)

27- Malcolm Stewart (1x 250 SX Champ)

28- Christian Craig (1x 250 SX Champ)

32- Justin Cooper (1x 250 SX Champ)

45- Colt Nichols (1x 250 SX Champ)

46- Justin Hill (1x 250 SX Champ)

51- Justin Barcia (2x 250 SX Champ)

94- Ken Roczen (1x MX2 Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ, 2x 450 MX Champ)

96- Hunter Lawrence (1x 250 MX Champ, 1x 250 SX Champ)

Combined Championship Total: 45

MX2: 1

250 MX: 9

250 SX: 20

450 MX: 8

450 SX: 6

450 SMX: 1

Maybe I missed something about Bogle... but will he ride the AMA SX championship in 2024? 

🤔

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Spoonguy
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12/26/2023 4:49am

1985 was the deepest field of potential winners and champs. Ward, Glover, Lechien, Rick Johnson, Johny Omara, Mark Barnett, David Bailey, Keith Bowen, Bob Hannah, Scott Burnworth, Goat Breker. Eight different winners in an eleven race series, the championship could have gone a lot of different ways going into the final race. Nobody won more than two races that year, you literally never knew who would win. Last year was 17(?) races with 5 winners, and realistically you could pick between three riders every race who could win? Logically it really doesn't look like there could be more than five winners this year either, maybe as few as three. Sexton Anderson Ferrandis and Webb may have trouble with new bikes, Tomac coming back from injury, and a lot of those riders on this year's current list are never going to be close to winning. All are great riders, maybe former champs, but competing for wins or podiums this year....I don't know.

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1
12/26/2023 4:54am
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

Sully wrote:

Barcia’s the oldest dude on that list, followed by Eli. You really think those 2 are ‘turning laps to cash checks?’ Pretty goofy take. 

Nighttrain wrote:
Jett, Webb, Tomac, and Sexton. Who else is going to win a Main? Ferrandis is probably my favorite rider of the last 20 years so I...

Jett, Webb, Tomac, and Sexton. Who else is going to win a Main? Ferrandis is probably my favorite rider of the last 20 years so I hope I’m wrong about him. It’s the same every year if you’ve been watching the sport for a while. “Deepest field ever…” until gates start dropping.

A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains.

Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last year. There's not enough spots on the main gate for them this year. LCQs might be some of the best racing in 450 this season 

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pilotmech
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12/26/2023 5:06am

Thread title should read: "Some used to be bad Dudes......"

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pilotmech
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12/26/2023 5:10am
crusty_xx wrote:
A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains. Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last...

A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains.

Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last year. There's not enough spots on the main gate for them this year. LCQs might be some of the best racing in 450 this season 

Interesting......I usually skip LCQ's in the highlights recap. 

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12/26/2023 5:29am
crusty_xx wrote:
A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains. Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last...

A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains.

Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last year. There's not enough spots on the main gate for them this year. LCQs might be some of the best racing in 450 this season 

pilotmech wrote:

Interesting......I usually skip LCQ's in the highlights recap. 

LCQ with Chiz, Nichols, Starling, Bloss, Noren, Cartwright, Clason, Josh Hill, Wilson, Mcelrath, Harlan, Moranz. 12 guys that are used to making the main pretty much every week. Only 4 can make it through.

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KurtJ99
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12/26/2023 6:34am
crusty_xx wrote:
LCQ with Chiz, Nichols, Starling, Bloss, Noren, Cartwright, Clason, Josh Hill, Wilson, Mcelrath, Harlan, Moranz. 12 guys that are used to making the main pretty much...

LCQ with Chiz, Nichols, Starling, Bloss, Noren, Cartwright, Clason, Josh Hill, Wilson, Mcelrath, Harlan, Moranz. 12 guys that are used to making the main pretty much every week. Only 4 can make it through.

Great point. If one of the mid tier riders ends up in the LCQ they will have a tougher time getting to the main than last year too. 

-MAVERICK-
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12/26/2023 6:36am
ando wrote:

Oldest 450 field ever?  3 guys under 25 and only one under 24?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Maybe in the 80s. 

1
12/26/2023 6:38am
crusty_xx wrote:
A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains. Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last...

A deep field isn't only about winning races. This thread is about making mains.

Multiple guys like Cartwright and Harlan made all but 3-4 mains last year. There's not enough spots on the main gate for them this year. LCQs might be some of the best racing in 450 this season 

pilotmech wrote:

Interesting......I usually skip LCQ's in the highlights recap. 

crusty_xx wrote:
LCQ with Chiz, Nichols, Starling, Bloss, Noren, Cartwright, Clason, Josh Hill, Wilson, Mcelrath, Harlan, Moranz. 12 guys that are used to making the main pretty much...

LCQ with Chiz, Nichols, Starling, Bloss, Noren, Cartwright, Clason, Josh Hill, Wilson, Mcelrath, Harlan, Moranz. 12 guys that are used to making the main pretty much every week. Only 4 can make it through.

Is Josh Hill racing? 

Teejay
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12/26/2023 6:43am
Nighttrain wrote:
That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders...

That list is old racer heavy.  Strong resumes’ of riders at the end of their careers turning laps to cash checks.  There are 4 fast riders, same as always. 

-MAVERICK- wrote:
Eli Tomac, Chase Sexton, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, and Justin Barcia all won main events this year.  Four of those guys are some of the oldest...

Eli Tomac, Chase Sexton, Cooper Webb, Ken Roczen, and Justin Barcia all won main events this year. 

Four of those guys are some of the oldest in the class. 

Sexton 24

Webb 28

Tomac 31

Plessinger 27 turns 28 January 25.

Cianciarulo 27

Ferrandis 29

Wilson 31

Jett 20

Bogle 30 turns 31 March 23.

Anderson 30 turns 31 February 17.

Stewart 31

Craig 32

Cooper 26 

Nichols 29 turns 30 March 22.

Hill 28 turns 29 May 7.

Barcia 31 turns 32 March 25.

Roczen 29 turns 30 April 29.

Hunter 24

The 450 class isn't exactly stacked with young talent. 

Roczen is still only 29, he feels like he’s been around forever! 

1
-MAVERICK-
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12/26/2023 6:44am Edited Date/Time 12/26/2023 7:35am

Maybe I missed something about Bogle... but will he ride the AMA SX championship in 2024? 

🤔

He was listed under MDK in the Vital Silly Season Feature a while back, but I just took a quick look and MDK is no longer listed. His name is also not listed. 

If he doesn't line up, there are still 17 riders listed that should be taking 17 of those 22 gates. 

Edit: Typo

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-MAVERICK-
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12/26/2023 6:48am
Boomslang wrote:

Is Josh Hill racing? 

No. Justin said Josh is taking time away, but he might race a few. 

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12/26/2023 6:52am
Boomslang wrote:

Is Josh Hill racing? 

-MAVERICK- wrote:

No. Justin said Josh is taking time away, but he might race a few. 

Thanks Mav, I thought I had read that somewhere hence me asking to make sure I wasn't going senile.

12/26/2023 7:12am
-MAVERICK- wrote:
He was listed under MDK in the Vital Silly Season Feature a while back, but I just took a quick look and MDK is no longer...

He was listed under MDK in the Vital Silly Season Feature a while back, but I just took a quick look and MDK is no longer listed. His name is also not listed. 

If he doesn't line up, there are still 17 riders listed that should be taking 17 of those 22 gates. 

Edit: Typo

Bogle will race the 2024 UK Arenacross championship with Starkvarg.

1
-MAVERICK-
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12/26/2023 7:14am
Teejay wrote:

Roczen is still only 29, he feels like he’s been around forever! 

He did turn pro at 15. 

1
-MAVERICK-
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12/26/2023 7:16am

Bogle will race the 2024 UK Arenacross championship with Starkvarg.

I saw that, but I'm not sure if that series conflicts with the AMA SX series. 

-MAVERICK-
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12/26/2023 7:19am
Spoonguy wrote:
1985 was the deepest field of potential winners and champs. Ward, Glover, Lechien, Rick Johnson, Johny Omara, Mark Barnett, David Bailey, Keith Bowen, Bob Hannah, Scott...

1985 was the deepest field of potential winners and champs. Ward, Glover, Lechien, Rick Johnson, Johny Omara, Mark Barnett, David Bailey, Keith Bowen, Bob Hannah, Scott Burnworth, Goat Breker. Eight different winners in an eleven race series, the championship could have gone a lot of different ways going into the final race. Nobody won more than two races that year, you literally never knew who would win. Last year was 17(?) races with 5 winners, and realistically you could pick between three riders every race who could win? Logically it really doesn't look like there could be more than five winners this year either, maybe as few as three. Sexton Anderson Ferrandis and Webb may have trouble with new bikes, Tomac coming back from injury, and a lot of those riders on this year's current list are never going to be close to winning. All are great riders, maybe former champs, but competing for wins or podiums this year....I don't know.

There were five winners this year (Tomac, Sexton, Webb, Roczen, and Barcia).

Plessinger had a win up until he made a silly mistake. 

Anderson can win races. 

Add Jett and you're now up to eight riders that could potentially win a main event in 2024. 

Cianciarulo, Stewart, and Ferrandis are potential main event winners. 

You're now up to eleven riders that can/could win a main event. 

There are twenty-two gates and you can make a legitimate case that half the field could win a main event. It doesn't mean it's going to happen, and statistics proves that, but the field is deep. 

13

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