Motocross of Nations - Qualifying Discussion

clinthadwin
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10/6/2018 3:48pm
Were you watching that at all? AP cross rutted on the face of a triple going balls out!! this guy was cool as a cucumber that...
Were you watching that at all? AP cross rutted on the face of a triple going balls out!! this guy was cool as a cucumber that wasn’t a pressure induced mistake!! My only gripe in anything about our team is I wish that Tomac would have been on his old bike. Calm down this isn’t over.
AP cross rutted and went from 1st to 11th. I know that wasn't pressure induced, but it's still a mistake. In a sport that is driven...
AP cross rutted and went from 1st to 11th. I know that wasn't pressure induced, but it's still a mistake. In a sport that is driven by who makes the least mistakes...we lost. I get that it's only tomorrow that matters. We have, what, 9th and 29th pick tomorrow?

So what do we do?

Moto 1: ET pick 9, AP pick 29?
Moto 2: AP pick 9, JB pick 29?
Moto 3: ET pick 9, JB pick 29?

First moto, AP gets 2nd after a solid start. Calling that shit. ET finishes 3rd after coming back from like 11th.
Second moto, AP wins, JB gets 3rd after being a badass and coming from behind.
Third moto, ET gets 2nd, JB gets 4th.

I think we make the podium. But winning is a tall order right now. If I'm wrong, I'll personally fly to wherever you are and buy the beer. Happily. But I don't see us winning this MXoN. Sad
FlaNard wrote:
Wow. We have the fastest guys in two out of three classes and you've thrown in the towel? Tough crowd. Shit happens to everyone. Multiple teams...
Wow. We have the fastest guys in two out of three classes and you've thrown in the towel? Tough crowd. Shit happens to everyone. Multiple teams can legitimately take it tomorrow. The US has as good a shot as anyone.
Not throwing in the towel...I already said I'd buy ALL the beer if I'm wrong. But you ask anyone on the line how they feel with a 29th gate pick and they'll be like "well, I'm just gonna turn my wrist and hope everything hooks up." Look, I think we can win it. Obviously...it's a fuckin race, and we have a better chance than almost anyone else. But 9th qualifying makes it rough. To say the least. NED and FR are the current faves based solely off of gate pick and talent. If JB and AP sweep their motos....then we have it, no doubt. And that's ridiculously possible. But the MXGP is a wild card we have to acknowledge.
pilotdude
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10/6/2018 3:48pm
drt410 wrote:
This is why you have practice and qualifying, to get all that shit out of your system. Blown up bikes, cross ruts, nerves...whatever it is you...
This is why you have practice and qualifying, to get all that shit out of your system. Blown up bikes, cross ruts, nerves...whatever it is you get it out of the way. Then on race day its a new day the slate is clean and the results are 0-0-0. Thats when all that other shit goes out the window n u bring it. That being said how many freaking mechanicals can Kawi have before tomac loses trust? He had 2 front brake mechanicals in one year in supercross one that sent him over the bars, blew up a bike this year in outdoors, last year in outdoors he had to have his front brake line completely cut and then dangerously ride around like that with no front brakes, and then blows up another bike today...thats 2 this year, what the hell is going on?

At some point hes going to lose confidence that his machine is going to hold up and not lock up on the face of a jump sending him flying. How can you blow up two race bikes in 1 year and this one being the first race on the all new model? That looks terrible that the new bike blows up in its first race, hes gotta be getting sick of this. Bikes usually arent riding at 100% then catastrophically fail either someone said he was looking down Im sure it was losing power then finally went kaboom. Not a good look.
I personally think that you stay on the bike that you just won an outdoor championship on.

1. Comfortable already? Check.

2.. Already have all the settings? Check

3. Going to ride the 2019 in supercross anyway? Check

But they are the pro team with all the data and experience so who is to say?
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agn5009
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10/6/2018 3:49pm
Man....I was all on the Tomac train...I genuinely thought, at the very least, that he'd be battling with Cairoli and Herlings...but watching Herlings come from dead...
Man....I was all on the Tomac train...I genuinely thought, at the very least, that he'd be battling with Cairoli and Herlings...but watching Herlings come from dead last to 3rd while Tomac stayed behind Searle the entire race. I take back all my Tomac fan-boy banter. Herlings is something else. I think Tomac on his best day can absolutely hang with Herlings, but it seems like Herlings just doesn't have a bad day. That's the difference. I hope AP and JB bring home a couple moto wins tomorrow. Obviously hope that Tomac brings it tomorrow too...but now I'm just stoked to see how Herlings comes back with a vengeance tomorrow. Dude's fun to watch.


Now I just want to sleep until the races start tomorrow.
agn5009 wrote:
I honestly believe Herlings is significantly faster than Tomac. I think Tomac and Cairoli would be closeer in speed. Herlings is on another level compared to...
I honestly believe Herlings is significantly faster than Tomac. I think Tomac and Cairoli would be closeer in speed. Herlings is on another level compared to anyone in the world. Herlings is what Stewart was in the 125 class. No one will beat him anywhere in the world without a crash or mechanical.
I agree with that. But I do think that Tomac on his "oh shit" days is faster than Cairoli. That being said...what Herlings did today was...
I agree with that. But I do think that Tomac on his "oh shit" days is faster than Cairoli. That being said...what Herlings did today was what we see Tomac to all year to the American boys....but these are the fastest guys in the world. To come from 30th to 3rd like that...I dunno...that was impressive. I still have enough Tomac fandom left in me to believe that he can hang....but I'm 100% not going to be surprised when/if I'm proven wrong tomorrow. My prediction is:

Herlings gets the 21st gate pick tomorrow, still starts in the top 5...Tomac is outside the top 10 on the first lap. Herlings goes on to win, Tomac finishes 5th. Cairoli is probably going to be 2nd or 3rd. Looks like Roczen might actually nab that last top 3 spot. Pretty much the same for the second moto.

The saving grace for the US is: it's obvious that Plessinger can win his class. I think he at least gets a moto, and then podiums the other.

Barcia goes 3-1 and US gets their podium this year, but gets embarrassed on home soil by NED and France.
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having great motos and USA wins the overall. Although Coldenoff looked fantastic today and he will be hard to beat.
agn5009
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10/6/2018 3:51pm
I cant help but wonder how Australia MAY have faired if we had Ferris and Reed.

Then but then again ........
If they had Ferris and Lawrence on the same team they would have had a solid chance at a podium. With Reed? About the same as where they are now.

The Shop

clinthadwin
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10/6/2018 3:51pm
karsmakers wrote:
I think Jeffrey, Tony and Glen are riding this track like a sand track back home. Their experts at these conditions and I don't see ET...
I think Jeffrey, Tony and Glen are riding this track like a sand track back home. Their experts at these conditions and I don't see ET bringing it unless it gets dry or super wet and he has a successful therapy session tonight.
lmao @ successful therapy session. Eli is going to come out with something to prove tomorrow. Whether that ends in a ridiculous ET domination or a devastating crash that scores us a 19th is yet to be seen. I'm praying for the former.
1
10/6/2018 3:54pm
Did plessy have a lead when he crashed?
clinthadwin
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10/6/2018 3:54pm
agn5009 wrote:
I honestly believe Herlings is significantly faster than Tomac. I think Tomac and Cairoli would be closeer in speed. Herlings is on another level compared to...
I honestly believe Herlings is significantly faster than Tomac. I think Tomac and Cairoli would be closeer in speed. Herlings is on another level compared to anyone in the world. Herlings is what Stewart was in the 125 class. No one will beat him anywhere in the world without a crash or mechanical.
I agree with that. But I do think that Tomac on his "oh shit" days is faster than Cairoli. That being said...what Herlings did today was...
I agree with that. But I do think that Tomac on his "oh shit" days is faster than Cairoli. That being said...what Herlings did today was what we see Tomac to all year to the American boys....but these are the fastest guys in the world. To come from 30th to 3rd like that...I dunno...that was impressive. I still have enough Tomac fandom left in me to believe that he can hang....but I'm 100% not going to be surprised when/if I'm proven wrong tomorrow. My prediction is:

Herlings gets the 21st gate pick tomorrow, still starts in the top 5...Tomac is outside the top 10 on the first lap. Herlings goes on to win, Tomac finishes 5th. Cairoli is probably going to be 2nd or 3rd. Looks like Roczen might actually nab that last top 3 spot. Pretty much the same for the second moto.

The saving grace for the US is: it's obvious that Plessinger can win his class. I think he at least gets a moto, and then podiums the other.

Barcia goes 3-1 and US gets their podium this year, but gets embarrassed on home soil by NED and France.
agn5009 wrote:
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having...
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having great motos and USA wins the overall. Although Coldenoff looked fantastic today and he will be hard to beat.
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good on Coldenhoff. Guy was on fire today. Stoked to see how that translates to tomorrow. US still the fave though? I dunno...definitely going to be a wild day.
Derpin' DJ
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10/6/2018 3:56pm
Did plessy have a lead when he crashed?
He was about 1 sec up on Ferrandis, who was about 1-2 sec up on Lawrence. Would have been an even more interesting finish if Plessinger didn't come off
CPR
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10/6/2018 4:00pm
jeffro503 wrote:
Well , Jesus , I'm just glad we made it to the A main. At least gives us a fighting chance. :S Man , what the...
Well , Jesus , I'm just glad we made it to the A main. At least gives us a fighting chance. Dizzy

Man , what the hell happened to Eli's bike?
Reed valve.
1
FlaNard
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10/6/2018 4:01pm
AP cross rutted and went from 1st to 11th. I know that wasn't pressure induced, but it's still a mistake. In a sport that is driven...
AP cross rutted and went from 1st to 11th. I know that wasn't pressure induced, but it's still a mistake. In a sport that is driven by who makes the least mistakes...we lost. I get that it's only tomorrow that matters. We have, what, 9th and 29th pick tomorrow?

So what do we do?

Moto 1: ET pick 9, AP pick 29?
Moto 2: AP pick 9, JB pick 29?
Moto 3: ET pick 9, JB pick 29?

First moto, AP gets 2nd after a solid start. Calling that shit. ET finishes 3rd after coming back from like 11th.
Second moto, AP wins, JB gets 3rd after being a badass and coming from behind.
Third moto, ET gets 2nd, JB gets 4th.

I think we make the podium. But winning is a tall order right now. If I'm wrong, I'll personally fly to wherever you are and buy the beer. Happily. But I don't see us winning this MXoN. Sad
FlaNard wrote:
Wow. We have the fastest guys in two out of three classes and you've thrown in the towel? Tough crowd. Shit happens to everyone. Multiple teams...
Wow. We have the fastest guys in two out of three classes and you've thrown in the towel? Tough crowd. Shit happens to everyone. Multiple teams can legitimately take it tomorrow. The US has as good a shot as anyone.
Not throwing in the towel...I already said I'd buy ALL the beer if I'm wrong. But you ask anyone on the line how they feel with...
Not throwing in the towel...I already said I'd buy ALL the beer if I'm wrong. But you ask anyone on the line how they feel with a 29th gate pick and they'll be like "well, I'm just gonna turn my wrist and hope everything hooks up." Look, I think we can win it. Obviously...it's a fuckin race, and we have a better chance than almost anyone else. But 9th qualifying makes it rough. To say the least. NED and FR are the current faves based solely off of gate pick and talent. If JB and AP sweep their motos....then we have it, no doubt. And that's ridiculously possible. But the MXGP is a wild card we have to acknowledge.
In a weird way I think tomac may have an okay day if we give him the bad gate both motos. He most likely isn't going to win his class and if he gets the garbage start it takes the pressure off him in a way because nobody will expect him to factor in for the win. I think we're fools if we don't give the good gates to our other two guys who are favorites to take their classes. if they bury AP off the start we lose.
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agn5009
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10/6/2018 4:01pm
I agree with that. But I do think that Tomac on his "oh shit" days is faster than Cairoli. That being said...what Herlings did today was...
I agree with that. But I do think that Tomac on his "oh shit" days is faster than Cairoli. That being said...what Herlings did today was what we see Tomac to all year to the American boys....but these are the fastest guys in the world. To come from 30th to 3rd like that...I dunno...that was impressive. I still have enough Tomac fandom left in me to believe that he can hang....but I'm 100% not going to be surprised when/if I'm proven wrong tomorrow. My prediction is:

Herlings gets the 21st gate pick tomorrow, still starts in the top 5...Tomac is outside the top 10 on the first lap. Herlings goes on to win, Tomac finishes 5th. Cairoli is probably going to be 2nd or 3rd. Looks like Roczen might actually nab that last top 3 spot. Pretty much the same for the second moto.

The saving grace for the US is: it's obvious that Plessinger can win his class. I think he at least gets a moto, and then podiums the other.

Barcia goes 3-1 and US gets their podium this year, but gets embarrassed on home soil by NED and France.
agn5009 wrote:
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having...
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having great motos and USA wins the overall. Although Coldenoff looked fantastic today and he will be hard to beat.
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good...
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good on Coldenhoff. Guy was on fire today. Stoked to see how that translates to tomorrow. US still the fave though? I dunno...definitely going to be a wild day.
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
10/6/2018 4:02pm
jeffro503 wrote:
Well , Jesus , I'm just glad we made it to the A main. At least gives us a fighting chance. :S Man , what the...
Well , Jesus , I'm just glad we made it to the A main. At least gives us a fighting chance. Dizzy

Man , what the hell happened to Eli's bike?
CPR wrote:
Reed valve.
Why was Chad doing Eli's valves Smile
1
loftyair
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10/6/2018 4:04pm
1st gate pick to 9th is a bigger deal than 21st to 29th, IMO.
10/6/2018 4:07pm
Don’t know if it’s been said, 27 pages is a lot to go through but here’s my thoughts. Tomac hasn’t raced in a little over a month. He’s used to a one-day race weekend not a 2 day. He takes it easy in qualifying to save his energy/strength to make sure he’s 100% tomorrow. If the kawi can make it to the checkered flag, he will do what he needs to
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CPR
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10/6/2018 4:07pm
I cant help but wonder how Australia MAY have faired if we had Ferris and Reed.

Then but then again ........
Lawrence top 3, Ferris top 5, Reed 5-10 is my guess, definitely would have been a podium threat. Throw in an inside gate with grass and who knows?
2
10/6/2018 4:07pm Edited Date/Time 10/6/2018 4:11pm
agn5009 wrote:
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having...
I believe tomac will have a subpar day (by his standards at least) finish around 5th. I believe Plessinger and Barcia bail him out by having great motos and USA wins the overall. Although Coldenoff looked fantastic today and he will be hard to beat.
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good...
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good on Coldenhoff. Guy was on fire today. Stoked to see how that translates to tomorrow. US still the fave though? I dunno...definitely going to be a wild day.
agn5009 wrote:
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
He finished 7th overall in MXGP. That's good, but not great!
10/6/2018 4:07pm Edited Date/Time 10/6/2018 4:08pm
That's fair. But this is not a heat race...I get what you're saying, but in situations like this it becomes apparent who's hungry...AP and JB were...
That's fair. But this is not a heat race...I get what you're saying, but in situations like this it becomes apparent who's hungry...AP and JB were clearly hungry, and showed it. But Tomac wasn't hungry today. His mechanical was shitty, but even still, he woulda ended up 5th at best...and Herlings would have VERY likely passed him. I still believe that Tomac can put it to Herlings when he's on...but his 'on' is unreliable. I haven't watched but maybe 5 or 6 races of Herlings, but it seems like home boy is always on.
just wondering, what's a "home boy" (some Dutch term maybe) ?
agn5009
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10/6/2018 4:11pm
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good...
Dude, yesterday, I would have said that Barcia would be the one with 20+ second gaps today. Holy fuck was I was i proven wrong. Good on Coldenhoff. Guy was on fire today. Stoked to see how that translates to tomorrow. US still the fave though? I dunno...definitely going to be a wild day.
agn5009 wrote:
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
He finished 7th overall in MXGP. That's good, but not great!
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top Open rider this weekend.
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CPR
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10/6/2018 4:12pm
jeffro503 wrote:
Well , Jesus , I'm just glad we made it to the A main. At least gives us a fighting chance. :S Man , what the...
Well , Jesus , I'm just glad we made it to the A main. At least gives us a fighting chance. Dizzy

Man , what the hell happened to Eli's bike?
CPR wrote:
Reed valve.
Why was Chad doing Eli's valves Smile
Might have been better if he did. Long as they didn't let Reedy anywhere near Eli's clutch.
Nighttrain
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10/6/2018 4:17pm
Totally! I meant more from a fans perspective, having the chance to see the best against the best!
I hear ya. Gasjer is one of my favorites and I would have enjoyed seeing him race this event.
loftyair
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10/6/2018 4:19pm
So, what do Americans get if only do ok? Im thinking 2-2-5? Or maybe even better? that's hard to beat.
10/6/2018 4:20pm Edited Date/Time 10/6/2018 4:25pm
agn5009 wrote:
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
He finished 7th overall in MXGP. That's good, but not great!
agn5009 wrote:
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top...
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top Open rider this weekend.
His competition is Barcia, then dudes who finished 8th, 9th, 10th, 13th, 16th, 28th and 29th in MXGP.

It should be no surprise that he's a contender for the Open Class victory this weekend, the competition isn't deep!

If I were a betting man; i'd say Barcia takes it tomorrow, the dark horse could be Anstie. Time will tell eh!
rutsmash
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10/6/2018 4:20pm
That's fair. But this is not a heat race...I get what you're saying, but in situations like this it becomes apparent who's hungry...AP and JB were...
That's fair. But this is not a heat race...I get what you're saying, but in situations like this it becomes apparent who's hungry...AP and JB were clearly hungry, and showed it. But Tomac wasn't hungry today. His mechanical was shitty, but even still, he woulda ended up 5th at best...and Herlings would have VERY likely passed him. I still believe that Tomac can put it to Herlings when he's on...but his 'on' is unreliable. I haven't watched but maybe 5 or 6 races of Herlings, but it seems like home boy is always on.
Exactly right! The only time Herlings has had a confidence problem which is understandable is when he first moved into the 450 class. But once he got that confidence back, the guy never seems to be off and his aggression (towards the track) is unreal. If a guy can crash and still know he can get back to the front, regardless of conditions, regardless of the competition, regardless of the track, regardless of race or pretty much anything else, what must that do for his confidence?
agn5009
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10/6/2018 4:22pm
loftyair wrote:
So, what do Americans get if only do ok? Im thinking 2-2-5? Or maybe even better? that's hard to beat.
Netherlands will be really hard to beat with the one throw away race. Assuming Calvin's race is the throw away, barring a crash by Herlings or Coldenoff they'll be right there with top finishes.
agn5009
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10/6/2018 4:25pm
He finished 7th overall in MXGP. That's good, but not great!
agn5009 wrote:
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top...
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top Open rider this weekend.
His competition is Barcia, then dudes who finished 8th, 9th, 10th, 13th, 16th, 28th and 29th in MXGP. It should be no surprise that he's a...
His competition is Barcia, then dudes who finished 8th, 9th, 10th, 13th, 16th, 28th and 29th in MXGP.

It should be no surprise that he's a contender for the Open Class victory this weekend, the competition isn't deep!

If I were a betting man; i'd say Barcia takes it tomorrow, the dark horse could be Anstie. Time will tell eh!
Van hoorbeek, Seewer, Nagl and Antsie are very solid and very capable of having a great race at any time.
10/6/2018 4:25pm
agn5009 wrote:
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
To the contrary, I've always thought he lacks endurance. I was kinda shocked that he didn't fade.
agn5009
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10/6/2018 4:29pm Edited Date/Time 10/6/2018 4:30pm
agn5009 wrote:
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
To the contrary, I've always thought he lacks endurance. I was kinda shocked that he didn't fade.
Maybe. But it was only a 15 minute Moto +2 laps today I believe. Which could be why he didn't fade. He very well could have a hard time going back to back motos tomorrow.
jamma10
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10/6/2018 4:33pm
agn5009 wrote:
Yep Coldenoff has been sneaky great all year. He's really flown under the radar this year.
To the contrary, I've always thought he lacks endurance. I was kinda shocked that he didn't fade.
Same, a late race fade is often his Achilles heel. But he rode well today, really smooth. He always gets good starts.
10/6/2018 4:33pm Edited Date/Time 10/6/2018 4:34pm
agn5009 wrote:
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top...
He's had some really good rides this year is what I meant. He wasn't talked about much. Obviously he's a huge threat to be the top Open rider this weekend.
His competition is Barcia, then dudes who finished 8th, 9th, 10th, 13th, 16th, 28th and 29th in MXGP. It should be no surprise that he's a...
His competition is Barcia, then dudes who finished 8th, 9th, 10th, 13th, 16th, 28th and 29th in MXGP.

It should be no surprise that he's a contender for the Open Class victory this weekend, the competition isn't deep!

If I were a betting man; i'd say Barcia takes it tomorrow, the dark horse could be Anstie. Time will tell eh!
agn5009 wrote:
Van hoorbeek, Seewer, Nagl and Antsie are very solid and very capable of having a great race at any time.
Yet, they finished 8th, 9th, 10th and 16th in MXGP this year.

Heck, two of them are struggling to get rides for 2019, one is even considering retirement!

Realistically, Barcia should be handling those guys and Coldenhoff on home soil!
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jamma10
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10/6/2018 4:34pm
agn5009 wrote:
Maybe. But it was only a 15 minute Moto +2 laps today I believe. Which could be why he didn't fade. He very well could have...
Maybe. But it was only a 15 minute Moto +2 laps today I believe. Which could be why he didn't fade. He very well could have a hard time going back to back motos tomorrow.
Yeah, good point.

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