KTM's response to Alta?

Fearo
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7/26/2017 2:17am Edited Date/Time 7/26/2017 2:18am
KTM's current electric offering is just an appetizer at best. You can bet dollars to doughnuts they have an electric bike ready or at least close to ready that is likely to crush the Alta in performance, weight and handling.

And I don't say this as a dig to Alta, I actually really applaud their efforts and innovation, and if they can survive the first marketing storm when KTM releases a brand new electric bike, I can see them sticking around (if they are not bought out). But to think ALTA would really be a major player when any of the big 6 step up their electric game would be a pipe dream I'm afraid.
kkawboy14
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7/26/2017 6:11am
TXDirt wrote:
[img]https://p.vitalmx.com/photos/forums/2017/07/25/206417/s1200_Capture.jpg[/img]


That's funny!
kkawboy14
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7/26/2017 6:15am
kkawboy14 wrote:
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either...
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either got sold or closed due to the sales going to the bigger names offering better warranties and service.

So far in the car industry people will point to Tesla as success against the big companies but for sure that is an unusual financial backing by the owner, businesses and government combination.
APLMAN99 wrote:
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do...
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do funding rounds.....
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially in a motorcycle where in everything else is already developed. Just dropping a different drive/motor in is not that difficult.
Swann
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7/26/2017 6:29am
mark911 wrote:
Let me elaborate. Not only do all the SoCal Alta dealers carry KTM or Husky they also DON'T carry any of the big four as well...
Let me elaborate. Not only do all the SoCal Alta dealers carry KTM or Husky they also DON'T carry any of the big four as well! Maybe there's some language in the big four contracts that prevent picking up a mfg like Alta, just kinda strange.
I think that just varies from dealership to dealership and region. Clawson Motorsports in Fresno, CA is a KTM/Husky dealer along with the Japanese brands. 3 Bros and All American KTM in So Cal are exclusive to KTM. Most KTM dealers I know of are exclusive to KTM.

In the right market, being an exclusive KTM dealer can probably be a lot more lucrative than catering to the big four market.

The Shop

jonesaustin
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7/26/2017 6:45am Edited Date/Time 7/26/2017 6:50am

this new one seems like an update from the one we saw a few years back. looks like a legit MX play to me.



mxtech1
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7/26/2017 6:51am
kkawboy14 wrote:
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either...
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either got sold or closed due to the sales going to the bigger names offering better warranties and service.

So far in the car industry people will point to Tesla as success against the big companies but for sure that is an unusual financial backing by the owner, businesses and government combination.
APLMAN99 wrote:
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do...
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do funding rounds.....
kkawboy14 wrote:
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially...
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially in a motorcycle where in everything else is already developed. Just dropping a different drive/motor in is not that difficult.
Gee whizzzz if only there was something that protected ideas, innovations, and new technologies for a certain period of time to prevent others from "copying"
APLMAN99
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7/26/2017 7:26am Edited Date/Time 7/26/2017 7:30am
kkawboy14 wrote:
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either...
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either got sold or closed due to the sales going to the bigger names offering better warranties and service.

So far in the car industry people will point to Tesla as success against the big companies but for sure that is an unusual financial backing by the owner, businesses and government combination.
APLMAN99 wrote:
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do...
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do funding rounds.....
kkawboy14 wrote:
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially...
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially in a motorcycle where in everything else is already developed. Just dropping a different drive/motor in is not that difficult.
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
mx_563
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7/26/2017 7:34am Edited Date/Time 7/26/2017 7:52am
Aesthetically, the KTM destroys the Alta IMO.

Really curious what the KTM weighs.
Eddie_E
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7/26/2017 3:32pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to...
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years. The closest to a battery patent that I know of was A123 LiFe batteries. Those are the cells used to make replacement batteries for current KTM's. As some of you have seen, some of your batteries are now coming with Chinese cells and are 100% made in China. A123 spent lots of money on lawyers and went nowhere except bankruptcy.

It's the equivalent to applying for a patent on diesel engines on motorcycles because nobody has diesel MX bikes on the showroom floor.
APLMAN99
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7/26/2017 4:04pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to...
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
Eddie_E wrote:
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years...
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years. The closest to a battery patent that I know of was A123 LiFe batteries. Those are the cells used to make replacement batteries for current KTM's. As some of you have seen, some of your batteries are now coming with Chinese cells and are 100% made in China. A123 spent lots of money on lawyers and went nowhere except bankruptcy.

It's the equivalent to applying for a patent on diesel engines on motorcycles because nobody has diesel MX bikes on the showroom floor.
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents.

http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php

Alta has a patent on packaging of multi-cell battery packs also......

https://www.google.com/patents/US20160028059

Here's a new Toyota battery patent.

http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG0…

Katoomey
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7/26/2017 4:05pm
Eddie_E wrote:
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years...
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years. The closest to a battery patent that I know of was A123 LiFe batteries. Those are the cells used to make replacement batteries for current KTM's. As some of you have seen, some of your batteries are now coming with Chinese cells and are 100% made in China. A123 spent lots of money on lawyers and went nowhere except bankruptcy.

It's the equivalent to applying for a patent on diesel engines on motorcycles because nobody has diesel MX bikes on the showroom floor.
you are exactly right.

On a side note to that, Novak, one of the largest and oldest electronic speed control manufacturers, closed it's doors last year. Novak is responsible for countless innovations and technologies in this field. One would have to assume that all of their technologies are for sale, for next to nothing.

point being, there are plenty of tech companies out there to buy and borrow tech from, and whatever tech Alta has isn't some secret special sauce. I imagine most of their R&D is in packaging anyway. Taking existing tech and packaging it into a motocross bike. To think that the major manufacturers aren't 100 times more capable of packaging than Alta is misinformed at best.

This is all just assuming the big 4 don't already have their own e-tech. And why would they want to acquire Alta anyway? I would imagine they'd all just go to Toyota, save for maybe Honda, who almost never buys out other technologies or works with other manufacturers.
TXDirt
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7/26/2017 7:03pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents. http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php Alta has a patent on...
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents.

http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php

Alta has a patent on packaging of multi-cell battery packs also......

https://www.google.com/patents/US20160028059

Here's a new Toyota battery patent.

http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG0…

Most of the technology and the actual manufacturing of the Tesla batteries is by Panasonic. Even the new giga factory is for Panasonic batteries. Tesla owns very little IP tech after you peel back the curtains. It's all Panasonic IP and manufacturing.
APLMAN99
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7/26/2017 7:47pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents. http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php Alta has a patent on...
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents.

http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php

Alta has a patent on packaging of multi-cell battery packs also......

https://www.google.com/patents/US20160028059

Here's a new Toyota battery patent.

http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG0…

TXDirt wrote:
Most of the technology and the actual manufacturing of the Tesla batteries is by Panasonic. Even the new giga factory is for Panasonic batteries. Tesla owns...
Most of the technology and the actual manufacturing of the Tesla batteries is by Panasonic. Even the new giga factory is for Panasonic batteries. Tesla owns very little IP tech after you peel back the curtains. It's all Panasonic IP and manufacturing.
I thought that they contracted the actual building of the units to Panasonic, but their patents are still owned (even if only selectively enforced). Panasonic can build lots of things for other people, but things that are patented by Tesla can't be manufactured for others unless Tesla licenses it.
kkawboy14
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7/26/2017 7:48pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do...
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do funding rounds.....
kkawboy14 wrote:
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially...
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially in a motorcycle where in everything else is already developed. Just dropping a different drive/motor in is not that difficult.
mxtech1 wrote:
Gee whizzzz if only there was something that protected ideas, innovations, and new technologies for a certain period of time to prevent others from "copying"
I have a patent, so I know how they work!
kkawboy14
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7/26/2017 7:51pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do...
The Alta gang is from the original Tesla team. I'd bet that fact alone would bring some decent VC capital to the plate when they do funding rounds.....
kkawboy14 wrote:
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially...
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially in a motorcycle where in everything else is already developed. Just dropping a different drive/motor in is not that difficult.
APLMAN99 wrote:
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to...
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
KTM already has an electric bike......so how did ALTA come up with one?

Patents are only good for really provable new things.
kkawboy14
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7/26/2017 7:54pm Edited Date/Time 7/26/2017 8:03pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to...
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
Eddie_E wrote:
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years...
They aren't going to patent brush-less speed controls or batteries. There are companies in China like Hobbywing who have been selling this tech for 10 years. The closest to a battery patent that I know of was A123 LiFe batteries. Those are the cells used to make replacement batteries for current KTM's. As some of you have seen, some of your batteries are now coming with Chinese cells and are 100% made in China. A123 spent lots of money on lawyers and went nowhere except bankruptcy.

It's the equivalent to applying for a patent on diesel engines on motorcycles because nobody has diesel MX bikes on the showroom floor.
APLMAN99 wrote:
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents. http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php Alta has a patent on...
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents.

http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php

Alta has a patent on packaging of multi-cell battery packs also......

https://www.google.com/patents/US20160028059

Here's a new Toyota battery patent.

http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG0…

"Patent Aplications" are not patents. People do patent applications in the hopes of buying the first 2 years to get going and it scares off copy cats in fear that the application turns into a patent. Also investors love seeing patent applications, makes them feel warm and fuzzy.

I bet every manufacturer can patent or at least make application for their own battery.
kkawboy14
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7/26/2017 8:02pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents. http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php Alta has a patent on...
Tesla has numerous patents concerning batteries, from construction to cooling, charging, replacing, etc. They also have some electric motor patents.

http://stks.freshpatents.com/Tesla-Motors-Inc-nm1.php

Alta has a patent on packaging of multi-cell battery packs also......

https://www.google.com/patents/US20160028059

Here's a new Toyota battery patent.

http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG0…

TXDirt wrote:
Most of the technology and the actual manufacturing of the Tesla batteries is by Panasonic. Even the new giga factory is for Panasonic batteries. Tesla owns...
Most of the technology and the actual manufacturing of the Tesla batteries is by Panasonic. Even the new giga factory is for Panasonic batteries. Tesla owns very little IP tech after you peel back the curtains. It's all Panasonic IP and manufacturing.
APLMAN99 wrote:
I thought that they contracted the actual building of the units to Panasonic, but their patents are still owned (even if only selectively enforced). Panasonic can...
I thought that they contracted the actual building of the units to Panasonic, but their patents are still owned (even if only selectively enforced). Panasonic can build lots of things for other people, but things that are patented by Tesla can't be manufactured for others unless Tesla licenses it.
That could be true as most patent holders aren't manufacturers of their own product.
APLMAN99
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7/27/2017 10:08am
kkawboy14 wrote:
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially...
Those guys are smart enough to know that as soon as one hits the market it's not to long after to copy what they produced. Especially in a motorcycle where in everything else is already developed. Just dropping a different drive/motor in is not that difficult.
APLMAN99 wrote:
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to...
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
kkawboy14 wrote:
KTM already has an electric bike......so how did ALTA come up with one?

Patents are only good for really provable new things.
Well, Honda was able to patent the routing of a front brake line to be just a little bit shorter, so battery technology should be a bit more "unique" than that............

Especially when it comes to methods of cooling, power management, etc. While all the electric bikes may end up looking similar (relatively, of course!), their internals and power management could be different enough that it becomes very difficult to sort out somewhat equal "classes" for different brands to compete against each other.
dcg141
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7/27/2017 10:44am
I'm certainly no expert on patent law but KTM was able to always route their brake hose like Honda because the Honda patent was a Japanese patent.
loftyair
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riverside, CA, USA
7/27/2017 10:56am
Patents are mostly country-specific. Even if a guy in a specific country had a patent and was making money, another guy can copy the stuff and sell it. Then if original dude wants to sue, he has to pay. So he could just give the other dude some cash to desist, or even keep making the copy-cat for some share. So many ways...
mark911
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7/27/2017 7:05pm
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it.

Until a new breakthrough in cell chemistry or manufacturing can be commercialized, I believe most advances will come in the form of Battery Management System algorithms. Currently, most strategies are for making the pack more efficient by balancing individual cells either during charge or discharge, sometimes both. In addition, the life span and reliability of the overall pack is increased. Thermal controls of individual cells is for the most part achieved using passive methods designed for worse case (continuous discharge) conditions and are therefore overdesigned. An example would be a battery pack module made of a composite material of treated carbon fibers, graphite, and various fillers which is pyrolyzed to form a porous carbon matrix. The porous matrix is saturated with a phase change material and many pockets machined in the matrix to accommodate individual cells. This kind of module works pretty well at conducting heat generated from the cells to a cool plate or framework which can reject the heat through convection just like the old air cooled bikes.

However, the trend towards maximum energy density is forcing the cells so close together that they almost touch. To fit within the confines of the frame and offer good CG placement the packs are getting dimensionally much squarer. With cell configurations of possibly 10 cells x 10 cells x 5 cells (500 cells in a pack roughly 9 x9 x15) even these more advanced passive thermal control designs can’t keep the cells in the center of the pack from getting too hot and activating their cell protection systems which leads to lower performance or potential failure. The pack module simply can’t transfer that much heat from the center out to the radiating surfaces in these dense packs.

So, a simplistic answer might be, don’t let the center cells get that hot to start with! But with all the cells discharging at the same rate how can that be done? There’s no law that says each cell needs to be discharged the same or even at all. Most good BMS control individual cell discharge already, but more for pack cell balancing than thermal control. There’s also no law that says you have design a pack where all the series cells adds up to your bus voltage. Why can’t a design add say 10% more series cells with the idea to be able to selectively shut off some cells and still maintain bus voltage?

What is needed is a sophisticated thermal control algorithm that looks at individual cell temperatures and the required load at the time and by selective switching tries to create advantages thermal gradients within the pack to help drive cell heat to where it can be best dissipated. It could do this by selectively switching out active cells and rotating in the more inactive ones. During periods of high load, cells closer to the heatsinks can be leaned on more than cells towards the center. During periods of lower load the center cells can be used proportional more. The act of selective switching could make active cell balancing very difficult, but that's an issue that would need to be addressed within the same algorithm. This could be considered an active system but without the complexities or weight of a forced cooling system.

Of course, a comprehensive sliding math model of the cells thermal/electrical characteristics under all operating conditions and an equally comprehensive thermal model of the pack module would be necessary before the first line of thermal control code could be written. Pretty complicated stuff. Maybe it’s being done already, I’ve been out of the R&D environment for a few years, but I’ve yet to read about it.
Fearo
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7/28/2017 3:22am Edited Date/Time 7/28/2017 3:27am
mark911 wrote:
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it. Until a new breakthrough in...
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it.

Until a new breakthrough in cell chemistry or manufacturing can be commercialized, I believe most advances will come in the form of Battery Management System algorithms. Currently, most strategies are for making the pack more efficient by balancing individual cells either during charge or discharge, sometimes both. In addition, the life span and reliability of the overall pack is increased. Thermal controls of individual cells is for the most part achieved using passive methods designed for worse case (continuous discharge) conditions and are therefore overdesigned. An example would be a battery pack module made of a composite material of treated carbon fibers, graphite, and various fillers which is pyrolyzed to form a porous carbon matrix. The porous matrix is saturated with a phase change material and many pockets machined in the matrix to accommodate individual cells. This kind of module works pretty well at conducting heat generated from the cells to a cool plate or framework which can reject the heat through convection just like the old air cooled bikes.

However, the trend towards maximum energy density is forcing the cells so close together that they almost touch. To fit within the confines of the frame and offer good CG placement the packs are getting dimensionally much squarer. With cell configurations of possibly 10 cells x 10 cells x 5 cells (500 cells in a pack roughly 9 x9 x15) even these more advanced passive thermal control designs can’t keep the cells in the center of the pack from getting too hot and activating their cell protection systems which leads to lower performance or potential failure. The pack module simply can’t transfer that much heat from the center out to the radiating surfaces in these dense packs.

So, a simplistic answer might be, don’t let the center cells get that hot to start with! But with all the cells discharging at the same rate how can that be done? There’s no law that says each cell needs to be discharged the same or even at all. Most good BMS control individual cell discharge already, but more for pack cell balancing than thermal control. There’s also no law that says you have design a pack where all the series cells adds up to your bus voltage. Why can’t a design add say 10% more series cells with the idea to be able to selectively shut off some cells and still maintain bus voltage?

What is needed is a sophisticated thermal control algorithm that looks at individual cell temperatures and the required load at the time and by selective switching tries to create advantages thermal gradients within the pack to help drive cell heat to where it can be best dissipated. It could do this by selectively switching out active cells and rotating in the more inactive ones. During periods of high load, cells closer to the heatsinks can be leaned on more than cells towards the center. During periods of lower load the center cells can be used proportional more. The act of selective switching could make active cell balancing very difficult, but that's an issue that would need to be addressed within the same algorithm. This could be considered an active system but without the complexities or weight of a forced cooling system.

Of course, a comprehensive sliding math model of the cells thermal/electrical characteristics under all operating conditions and an equally comprehensive thermal model of the pack module would be necessary before the first line of thermal control code could be written. Pretty complicated stuff. Maybe it’s being done already, I’ve been out of the R&D environment for a few years, but I’ve yet to read about it.
First off, thanks for the great post. However I don't want to be a pessimist, but I am fairly sure over 50% of this board can not physically read what you just wrote. As in, comprehend the actual vocabulary. Of the remaining minority, likely only a handful of people will be able to process the information or "thinking" you just provided. This is just a heads up, in case nobody replies to your post.

I only have basic knowledge about the subject, so I'll definitely not pretend I can add to your idea, but maybe I can share some thoughts of my own.

Although I think you have a great idea, it seems unlikely to me that this would neer have been tried in one way or another. Likely one of the biggest problems regarding the "sophisticated thermal control algorithm" would be the processing power needed to make this work. In a motorcycle application, would this be the ESC's job? I don't know how advanced the ESC is on the Alta, I can only tell in RC cars for example the majority of ESC's are still 8-bit, definitely not capable of such a complex task even for this very low-powered application. The cost would probably the second problem. Current Lithium batteries are so cheap to produce, I believe that is THE major factor why we aren't seeing a brand new technology arrive sooner.

Don't get me wrong, I think you have a great idea for maximizing the efficiency of the current commercially available batteries, I just believe the major e-tech brands have embraced the fact that current lithium tech (while relatively new) is walking on it's last legs and are therefore pumping billions into finding the next evolution in batteries that will be more energy dense, more stable, cooler, lighter and cleaner, which will eradicate a lot of problems that we are dealing with right now. I truly believe the next step in battery tech will be a technical revolution of sorts, comparable to the introduction of the internet. I can name about 20 markets off the top of my head that will explode with development once the new tech becomes mainstream, I just hope it's in the next 5 years and not in 20 years from now.
APLMAN99
Posts
12662
Joined
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Location
Tualatin, OR, USA
Fantasy
7/28/2017 6:02am
mark911 wrote:
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it. Until a new breakthrough in...
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it.

Until a new breakthrough in cell chemistry or manufacturing can be commercialized, I believe most advances will come in the form of Battery Management System algorithms. Currently, most strategies are for making the pack more efficient by balancing individual cells either during charge or discharge, sometimes both. In addition, the life span and reliability of the overall pack is increased. Thermal controls of individual cells is for the most part achieved using passive methods designed for worse case (continuous discharge) conditions and are therefore overdesigned. An example would be a battery pack module made of a composite material of treated carbon fibers, graphite, and various fillers which is pyrolyzed to form a porous carbon matrix. The porous matrix is saturated with a phase change material and many pockets machined in the matrix to accommodate individual cells. This kind of module works pretty well at conducting heat generated from the cells to a cool plate or framework which can reject the heat through convection just like the old air cooled bikes.

However, the trend towards maximum energy density is forcing the cells so close together that they almost touch. To fit within the confines of the frame and offer good CG placement the packs are getting dimensionally much squarer. With cell configurations of possibly 10 cells x 10 cells x 5 cells (500 cells in a pack roughly 9 x9 x15) even these more advanced passive thermal control designs can’t keep the cells in the center of the pack from getting too hot and activating their cell protection systems which leads to lower performance or potential failure. The pack module simply can’t transfer that much heat from the center out to the radiating surfaces in these dense packs.

So, a simplistic answer might be, don’t let the center cells get that hot to start with! But with all the cells discharging at the same rate how can that be done? There’s no law that says each cell needs to be discharged the same or even at all. Most good BMS control individual cell discharge already, but more for pack cell balancing than thermal control. There’s also no law that says you have design a pack where all the series cells adds up to your bus voltage. Why can’t a design add say 10% more series cells with the idea to be able to selectively shut off some cells and still maintain bus voltage?

What is needed is a sophisticated thermal control algorithm that looks at individual cell temperatures and the required load at the time and by selective switching tries to create advantages thermal gradients within the pack to help drive cell heat to where it can be best dissipated. It could do this by selectively switching out active cells and rotating in the more inactive ones. During periods of high load, cells closer to the heatsinks can be leaned on more than cells towards the center. During periods of lower load the center cells can be used proportional more. The act of selective switching could make active cell balancing very difficult, but that's an issue that would need to be addressed within the same algorithm. This could be considered an active system but without the complexities or weight of a forced cooling system.

Of course, a comprehensive sliding math model of the cells thermal/electrical characteristics under all operating conditions and an equally comprehensive thermal model of the pack module would be necessary before the first line of thermal control code could be written. Pretty complicated stuff. Maybe it’s being done already, I’ve been out of the R&D environment for a few years, but I’ve yet to read about it.
Fearo wrote:
First off, thanks for the great post. However I don't want to be a pessimist, but I am fairly sure over 50% of this board can...
First off, thanks for the great post. However I don't want to be a pessimist, but I am fairly sure over 50% of this board can not physically read what you just wrote. As in, comprehend the actual vocabulary. Of the remaining minority, likely only a handful of people will be able to process the information or "thinking" you just provided. This is just a heads up, in case nobody replies to your post.

I only have basic knowledge about the subject, so I'll definitely not pretend I can add to your idea, but maybe I can share some thoughts of my own.

Although I think you have a great idea, it seems unlikely to me that this would neer have been tried in one way or another. Likely one of the biggest problems regarding the "sophisticated thermal control algorithm" would be the processing power needed to make this work. In a motorcycle application, would this be the ESC's job? I don't know how advanced the ESC is on the Alta, I can only tell in RC cars for example the majority of ESC's are still 8-bit, definitely not capable of such a complex task even for this very low-powered application. The cost would probably the second problem. Current Lithium batteries are so cheap to produce, I believe that is THE major factor why we aren't seeing a brand new technology arrive sooner.

Don't get me wrong, I think you have a great idea for maximizing the efficiency of the current commercially available batteries, I just believe the major e-tech brands have embraced the fact that current lithium tech (while relatively new) is walking on it's last legs and are therefore pumping billions into finding the next evolution in batteries that will be more energy dense, more stable, cooler, lighter and cleaner, which will eradicate a lot of problems that we are dealing with right now. I truly believe the next step in battery tech will be a technical revolution of sorts, comparable to the introduction of the internet. I can name about 20 markets off the top of my head that will explode with development once the new tech becomes mainstream, I just hope it's in the next 5 years and not in 20 years from now.
Obviously I could only physically read a small portion of either of those posts, but I think Tesla is on a similar track with this..........

This is for larger systems, but it's hard to believe that they wouldn't be working on similar methods for smaller systems as well.

http://www.freshpatents.com/-dt20170330ptan20170093156.php
RangerLee
Posts
946
Joined
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Location
Spring City, PA, USA
7/28/2017 2:54pm
Lets be clear, as I got excited when I saw: Solid Performance KTM in Downingtown, Penn. was on the list, as that is close to me and Alta is nowhere near me.

Is the KTM underpowered? Does it not perform as well as the Alta? I really want to pick up an electric and the Alta was top of the list, though with KTM being close I would get that if it is competitive.

Outside that, knowing the Alta is working with the military, and I have a pretty close attachment to our military, I can wait for better performance.
kkawboy14
Posts
11486
Joined
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Location
USA
7/28/2017 4:39pm Edited Date/Time 7/28/2017 4:46pm
APLMAN99 wrote:
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to...
It isn't a matter of just dropping a different drive/motor in, it's developing the technology to improve the powertrain that's important, and where Alta seems to have a pretty big advantage right now. Not everything can simply be copied the season after Alta develops it, as patents can definitely restrict that from happening.

Honda got a patent for their front brake line routing, I think battery development and power management might be even more of a patentable area........
kkawboy14 wrote:
KTM already has an electric bike......so how did ALTA come up with one?

Patents are only good for really provable new things.
APLMAN99 wrote:
Well, Honda was able to patent the routing of a front brake line to be just a little bit shorter, so battery technology should be a...
Well, Honda was able to patent the routing of a front brake line to be just a little bit shorter, so battery technology should be a bit more "unique" than that............

Especially when it comes to methods of cooling, power management, etc. While all the electric bikes may end up looking similar (relatively, of course!), their internals and power management could be different enough that it becomes very difficult to sort out somewhat equal "classes" for different brands to compete against each other.
That's my point, what good is a patent that is for the routing of a brake line for stopping somebody doing something?

A patent for packing and cooling unless they really came up with something new and amazing, doesn't stop anyone and is for the share holders and investors to feel warm and fuzzy.

This thread is a perfect example of what patents can do for credibility, "ohhh alta has 6 patents and 3 pending! Don't mess with them"
kkawboy14
Posts
11486
Joined
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Location
USA
7/28/2017 4:43pm
mark911 wrote:
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it. Until a new breakthrough in...
Here’s a potential battery pack idea/patent that anyone can steal from me as I don’t have the resources to develop it.

Until a new breakthrough in cell chemistry or manufacturing can be commercialized, I believe most advances will come in the form of Battery Management System algorithms. Currently, most strategies are for making the pack more efficient by balancing individual cells either during charge or discharge, sometimes both. In addition, the life span and reliability of the overall pack is increased. Thermal controls of individual cells is for the most part achieved using passive methods designed for worse case (continuous discharge) conditions and are therefore overdesigned. An example would be a battery pack module made of a composite material of treated carbon fibers, graphite, and various fillers which is pyrolyzed to form a porous carbon matrix. The porous matrix is saturated with a phase change material and many pockets machined in the matrix to accommodate individual cells. This kind of module works pretty well at conducting heat generated from the cells to a cool plate or framework which can reject the heat through convection just like the old air cooled bikes.

However, the trend towards maximum energy density is forcing the cells so close together that they almost touch. To fit within the confines of the frame and offer good CG placement the packs are getting dimensionally much squarer. With cell configurations of possibly 10 cells x 10 cells x 5 cells (500 cells in a pack roughly 9 x9 x15) even these more advanced passive thermal control designs can’t keep the cells in the center of the pack from getting too hot and activating their cell protection systems which leads to lower performance or potential failure. The pack module simply can’t transfer that much heat from the center out to the radiating surfaces in these dense packs.

So, a simplistic answer might be, don’t let the center cells get that hot to start with! But with all the cells discharging at the same rate how can that be done? There’s no law that says each cell needs to be discharged the same or even at all. Most good BMS control individual cell discharge already, but more for pack cell balancing than thermal control. There’s also no law that says you have design a pack where all the series cells adds up to your bus voltage. Why can’t a design add say 10% more series cells with the idea to be able to selectively shut off some cells and still maintain bus voltage?

What is needed is a sophisticated thermal control algorithm that looks at individual cell temperatures and the required load at the time and by selective switching tries to create advantages thermal gradients within the pack to help drive cell heat to where it can be best dissipated. It could do this by selectively switching out active cells and rotating in the more inactive ones. During periods of high load, cells closer to the heatsinks can be leaned on more than cells towards the center. During periods of lower load the center cells can be used proportional more. The act of selective switching could make active cell balancing very difficult, but that's an issue that would need to be addressed within the same algorithm. This could be considered an active system but without the complexities or weight of a forced cooling system.

Of course, a comprehensive sliding math model of the cells thermal/electrical characteristics under all operating conditions and an equally comprehensive thermal model of the pack module would be necessary before the first line of thermal control code could be written. Pretty complicated stuff. Maybe it’s being done already, I’ve been out of the R&D environment for a few years, but I’ve yet to read about it.
Fearo wrote:
First off, thanks for the great post. However I don't want to be a pessimist, but I am fairly sure over 50% of this board can...
First off, thanks for the great post. However I don't want to be a pessimist, but I am fairly sure over 50% of this board can not physically read what you just wrote. As in, comprehend the actual vocabulary. Of the remaining minority, likely only a handful of people will be able to process the information or "thinking" you just provided. This is just a heads up, in case nobody replies to your post.

I only have basic knowledge about the subject, so I'll definitely not pretend I can add to your idea, but maybe I can share some thoughts of my own.

Although I think you have a great idea, it seems unlikely to me that this would neer have been tried in one way or another. Likely one of the biggest problems regarding the "sophisticated thermal control algorithm" would be the processing power needed to make this work. In a motorcycle application, would this be the ESC's job? I don't know how advanced the ESC is on the Alta, I can only tell in RC cars for example the majority of ESC's are still 8-bit, definitely not capable of such a complex task even for this very low-powered application. The cost would probably the second problem. Current Lithium batteries are so cheap to produce, I believe that is THE major factor why we aren't seeing a brand new technology arrive sooner.

Don't get me wrong, I think you have a great idea for maximizing the efficiency of the current commercially available batteries, I just believe the major e-tech brands have embraced the fact that current lithium tech (while relatively new) is walking on it's last legs and are therefore pumping billions into finding the next evolution in batteries that will be more energy dense, more stable, cooler, lighter and cleaner, which will eradicate a lot of problems that we are dealing with right now. I truly believe the next step in battery tech will be a technical revolution of sorts, comparable to the introduction of the internet. I can name about 20 markets off the top of my head that will explode with development once the new tech becomes mainstream, I just hope it's in the next 5 years and not in 20 years from now.
I'm working on a wireless charger that while your riding it charges from the center of the track! Smile
Swann
Posts
314
Joined
4/19/2017
Location
Phoenix, AZ, USA
7/28/2017 4:52pm Edited Date/Time 7/28/2017 4:56pm
RangerLee wrote:
Lets be clear, as I got excited when I saw: Solid Performance KTM in Downingtown, Penn. was on the list, as that is close to me...
Lets be clear, as I got excited when I saw: Solid Performance KTM in Downingtown, Penn. was on the list, as that is close to me and Alta is nowhere near me.

Is the KTM underpowered? Does it not perform as well as the Alta? I really want to pick up an electric and the Alta was top of the list, though with KTM being close I would get that if it is competitive.

Outside that, knowing the Alta is working with the military, and I have a pretty close attachment to our military, I can wait for better performance.
At this stage, comparing the Alta Redshift and the KTM E-SX is like comparing a 450 to a 125. The base power specs are glaringly different enough to make the point:

Alta Redshift Torque: 120 ft/lbs
KTM E-SX Torque: 42nm or 30 ft/lbs

The Alta has 4x the torque of the KTM. If you watched Josh Hill compete on the Redshift at the RedBull straight rhythm, you can see first-hand why that torque is so important. He would not have been able to ride that course on a KTM E-Bike the way he can on the Redshift. Skipping from table top to table top... no way.

Alta Redshift HP: 40
KTM E-SX HP: 22

Twice the horsepower. The KTM is a lazy Sunday trail bike with enough power to barely get the front wheel off the ground. The Alta Redshift is a true high performance motorcycle comparable to a high performance internal combustion engine motorcycle.

If you want a Redshift right now, you'll probably need to find the nearest dealer, which may not be super close. They are still building their dealer network. They have two dealers in New York state (Southeast).

The SilentHawk project is pretty cool stuff:
http://www.popsci.com/special-forces-stealth-motorcycle-silent-hawk
kkawboy14
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11486
Joined
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Location
USA
7/28/2017 5:04pm
Electric bikes from what 2009?





KurtJ99
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7/28/2017 6:52pm
kkawboy14 wrote:
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either...
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either got sold or closed due to the sales going to the bigger names offering better warranties and service.

So far in the car industry people will point to Tesla as success against the big companies but for sure that is an unusual financial backing by the owner, businesses and government combination.
When Honda, toyota, ford or gm start making there e-cars that are not just tiny tree hugger cars, Tesla will be in trouble.
I work across the highway from Tesla's Mfg plant in Fremont, CA. I've toured the plant about 3 years ago and watched them grow from Palo Alto to taking over the defunct NUMMI (New United Motors - Toyota/GM joint venture) plant. Doesn't make me an expert but I'll give you my observations to rip apart.

I used to think also that Toyota or other established manufacturers would eat Tesla's lunch as soon as they saw a market that was worth their time.

Wrong - at least to date. With largest market capitalization of any established manufacturer, the market recognizes Tesla as the future leader.

The current trailbike notwithstanding, I think KTM and Alta ebike future will be different.

KTM is an innovator, unlike the established car manufacturers. While KTM's first bike is a trailbike, I have no doubt they either will buy Alta or be real competition when they deem it ready. Look at how KTM has advanced with their two design cycles (Factory edition and production) per year development plan.

I think the next 3-5 years will be an exciting time for ebikes. Reminds me of the early 80's when monoshocks and water cooling were evolving substantially year to year.

I think battery technology will start rapidly developing like semiconductor technology has in some kind of Moore's law manner.

More powerful, smaller, lighter batteries as material science innovations are developed in response to the market.

But I hope KTM and HUS develop the MX version of their FI two stroke XC in 2018 first. I want at least one more modern two stroke!
kkawboy14
Posts
11486
Joined
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Location
USA
7/28/2017 7:12pm
kkawboy14 wrote:
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either...
My guess is Alta will have a hard time competing against the big motorcycle companies. A lot of lawn equipment electric stuff from small companies either got sold or closed due to the sales going to the bigger names offering better warranties and service.

So far in the car industry people will point to Tesla as success against the big companies but for sure that is an unusual financial backing by the owner, businesses and government combination.
When Honda, toyota, ford or gm start making there e-cars that are not just tiny tree hugger cars, Tesla will be in trouble.
KurtJ99 wrote:
I work across the highway from Tesla's Mfg plant in Fremont, CA. I've toured the plant about 3 years ago and watched them grow from Palo...
I work across the highway from Tesla's Mfg plant in Fremont, CA. I've toured the plant about 3 years ago and watched them grow from Palo Alto to taking over the defunct NUMMI (New United Motors - Toyota/GM joint venture) plant. Doesn't make me an expert but I'll give you my observations to rip apart.

I used to think also that Toyota or other established manufacturers would eat Tesla's lunch as soon as they saw a market that was worth their time.

Wrong - at least to date. With largest market capitalization of any established manufacturer, the market recognizes Tesla as the future leader.

The current trailbike notwithstanding, I think KTM and Alta ebike future will be different.

KTM is an innovator, unlike the established car manufacturers. While KTM's first bike is a trailbike, I have no doubt they either will buy Alta or be real competition when they deem it ready. Look at how KTM has advanced with their two design cycles (Factory edition and production) per year development plan.

I think the next 3-5 years will be an exciting time for ebikes. Reminds me of the early 80's when monoshocks and water cooling were evolving substantially year to year.

I think battery technology will start rapidly developing like semiconductor technology has in some kind of Moore's law manner.

More powerful, smaller, lighter batteries as material science innovations are developed in response to the market.

But I hope KTM and HUS develop the MX version of their FI two stroke XC in 2018 first. I want at least one more modern two stroke!
Nothing to rip apart in that! Like I said Tesla is an unusual example in that they have a unique partnership financially with the owners deep pockets, partnerships with other manufacturers and government money

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