SMX Championship Scenarios

savageMX
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USA

What are the scenarios for 450 championship  this weekend in Missouri? Prado leads by 16 points over Hayden and Hunter.

Anybody gets 1st or 2nd, Prado gets 3rd - Prado wins championship.

What does it take for Hayden or Hunter to win and who could be a spoiler? Does this look like a Tomac track?   

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9/23/2026 9:23pm

Not a wild prediction, but I have a feeling it’s going to get nutty with the triple points. #2 and #3 have extra motivation for obvious reasons and could be fighting for moto podiums.  #26, #94 and #96 are most likely to be in the running for the overall.  #38 is my biggest unknown.  He could go 1-1 or get his ass handed to him by all of the other contenders and have some crashes or DNF’s.  Normally, I would have a more positive outlook for his result, but with retribution in the air (from everyone) and the potential for all of the riders to be gloves off/NFG, I think he will struggle.  One bad moto for the #26, even a 4th or worse, and it will be all bets off.

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2
bosswool2800
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Jackson, TX, USA
9/24/2026 1:38pm Edited Date/Time 9/24/2026 1:41pm
savageMX wrote:
What are the scenarios for 450 championship  this weekend in Missouri? Prado leads by 16 points over Hayden and Hunter.Anybody gets 1st or 2nd, Prado gets...

What are the scenarios for 450 championship  this weekend in Missouri? Prado leads by 16 points over Hayden and Hunter.

Anybody gets 1st or 2nd, Prado gets 3rd - Prado wins championship.

What does it take for Hayden or Hunter to win and who could be a spoiler? Does this look like a Tomac track?   

Prado’ll win it. The battle will be Deegan Lawrence and Roczen 

6
Mit12
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Lake Havasu City, AZ, USA
9/24/2026 4:56pm

Who cares, its a gimmick series with a points system created to produce drama. The points system worked in the 450 class for the first 3 years now making the last race a must win scenario. This year Prado only has to place 3rd to win. It’s a complete joke. Hunter said it correctly, no body asked for this series and they need to put that money back into the MX and SX regular series. 

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10

The Shop

9/24/2026 7:59pm

The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and MX and now is a “title” contender. 

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8
vdrsnk04
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USA
9/25/2026 4:37am

Does Deegan goon ride his way to an injury again like his last SMX final?

4
5
VHM
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578
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9/11/2020
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NO
Fantasy
9/25/2026 12:28pm
Bandito121 wrote:
The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and...

The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and MX and now is a “title” contender. 

The guy in second place didn`t race SX at all...

3
Shred
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Location
Brighton, CO, USA
Fantasy
9/25/2026 12:38pm Edited Date/Time 9/25/2026 12:41pm
Not a wild prediction, but I have a feeling it’s going to get nutty with the triple points. #2 and #3 have extra motivation for obvious...

Not a wild prediction, but I have a feeling it’s going to get nutty with the triple points. #2 and #3 have extra motivation for obvious reasons and could be fighting for moto podiums.  #26, #94 and #96 are most likely to be in the running for the overall.  #38 is my biggest unknown.  He could go 1-1 or get his ass handed to him by all of the other contenders and have some crashes or DNF’s.  Normally, I would have a more positive outlook for his result, but with retribution in the air (from everyone) and the potential for all of the riders to be gloves off/NFG, I think he will struggle.  One bad moto for the #26, even a 4th or worse, and it will be all bets off.

deegan has already basically said he will do what it takes…think Jo last year.  If I am any of the top 5 riders, I take a preemptive strike on deegan KNOWING he will take me out given the chance.  If I am Prado, Lawrence, Kenny, or Coop….I let deegan qual 1st and take a gate inside of him.  Then….  I don’t want to hear bitching from any of those riders if deegan puts you down.  He has already basically said he will.  Believe him.

1
1
RichieW13
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Location
Thousand Oaks, CA, USA
9/25/2026 12:44pm Edited Date/Time 9/25/2026 12:45pm
Bandito121 wrote:
The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and...

The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and MX and now is a “title” contender. 

VHM wrote:

The guy in second place didn`t race SX at all...

And the guy in fourth place didn't race MX at all.  

I think maybe seeding points should be given for SX and MX separately, so you are punished more for skipping all (or most) of an entire series.

2
1
Shred
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1579
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Location
Brighton, CO, USA
Fantasy
9/25/2026 5:06pm
Bandito121 wrote:
The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and...

The guy that could be the 3 race “ World Champion “ spent the year getting his ass kicked by about 250 points between SX and MX and now is a “title” contender. 

VHM wrote:

The guy in second place didn`t race SX at all...

RichieW13 wrote:
And the guy in fourth place didn't race MX at all.  I think maybe seeding points should be given for SX and MX separately, so you...

And the guy in fourth place didn't race MX at all.  

I think maybe seeding points should be given for SX and MX separately, so you are punished more for skipping all (or most) of an entire series.

I like that so it puts SX, the premiere series, on par with MX.  

SFOBB
Posts
91
Joined
3/20/2023
Location
Manhattan, NY, USA
Fantasy
9/25/2026 5:38pm
savageMX wrote:
What are the scenarios for 450 championship  this weekend in Missouri? Prado leads by 16 points over Hayden and Hunter.Anybody gets 1st or 2nd, Prado gets...

What are the scenarios for 450 championship  this weekend in Missouri? Prado leads by 16 points over Hayden and Hunter.

Anybody gets 1st or 2nd, Prado gets 3rd - Prado wins championship.

What does it take for Hayden or Hunter to win and who could be a spoiler? Does this look like a Tomac track?   

Either case CW is winning this last race

1
mx691
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1055
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6/27/2008
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Stockholm, SE
Fantasy
9/26/2026 3:21am Edited Date/Time 9/26/2026 3:22am

They will need to go ”Blake Baggett” on the single-to-rollers…

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