How does this thing in Iran end?

lumpy790
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7/15/2026 8:51pm

Mafia style stuff.  

 

lumpy790 wrote:

I was thinking NYC 

 I was picturing Mafia in NYC .    But the NYC connection makes sense. 

Mafia in NYC is exactly what I was thinking too 

lumpy790
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7/15/2026 8:56pm
I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job...

I, like most, don’t agree with this war. But if we’re going to be there and do it, let’s go in there and get the job done. Let’s stop stringing it along, pretending we have a truce and peace in the region. 
The only silver lining is that it has been since the early days of the GWOT that our military truly got to go kinetic instead of being glorified police officers with all of the rules of engagement. War is really good training, and you never know when the next one will be. 

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking...

The only way to "get the job done" is with ground forces, do you want to be one of the 100s of thousands of Americas risking their lives?

borg wrote:

Tanks, troupes, street fighting.

Not going to happen. No way. Shouldn't happen.

Today Drones are the street fighters now

prozach
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7/15/2026 11:14pm

It doesn't.  The usa will eventually declare victory  And shit will be back exactly as it was, but with iran at least temporarily having a diminished miliary capacity. That's if we are lucky.  The corporate world will use it as an excuse for high prices that will never really go down.  

America will be safer or not , depending on the analysis.  It will cost a shit ton of money that could have gone to roads, the debt, healthcare or lower taxes.  

Most of our lives won't be much better or worse.  

3
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mvd61
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7/16/2026 4:28am
prozach wrote:
It doesn't.  The usa will eventually declare victory  And shit will be back exactly as it was, but with iran at least temporarily having a diminished...

It doesn't.  The usa will eventually declare victory  And shit will be back exactly as it was, but with iran at least temporarily having a diminished miliary capacity. That's if we are lucky.  The corporate world will use it as an excuse for high prices that will never really go down.  

America will be safer or not , depending on the analysis.  It will cost a shit ton of money that could have gone to roads, the debt, healthcare or lower taxes.  

Most of our lives won't be much better or worse.  

Safer? Our number one threat will always be our own government. 

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1

The Shop

LoudLove
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7/16/2026 5:07am

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

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agn5008
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7/16/2026 5:08am
LoudLove wrote:
Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching...

Throwing shit against the wall, see what sticks. Not sure if visibility will weaken or embolden Iranian resistance. Besides these are high altitude strikes. Not zorching in at 300’ AGL. 

ToolMaker wrote:
Well, they still have small weapons that they took down on of our choppers with so there is risk. But it seems that there is still...

Well, they still have small weapons that they took down on of our choppers with so there is risk. But it seems that there is still a large portion of the population that wants the government overthrown but probably are afraid to do anything as they still believe how much control the people in power have. Do they even have internet access again yet? So actually seeing with their own eyes has impact. How much information flow is there inside Iran? I don't really see ever that there is a straight line to an end, there will always be highs and lows as they will keep testing their boundaries to see what they can get away with and improve their leverage in negotiations.

TM

Chance1216 wrote:

I’m sure the Iranian people saw what happened in Afghanistan and, what happened with the Taliban after we left. 

The Iranian people only saw what the Iranian government allowed them to see. 

2
7/16/2026 6:16am
LoudLove wrote:
Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer...

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

Iran doesn't need to deploy chemical weapons against civilians, they can target Israel and ME allies desalination plants, making them uninhabitable for the current population levels.

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TeamGreen
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7/16/2026 9:38am
LoudLove wrote:
Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer...

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

So, the Iranians wouldn’t use them? 
They’re “reasonable”?
You can deal with them?

Oh. OK. (not!) 🤣

6
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borg
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7/16/2026 10:06am
LoudLove wrote:
Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer...

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever managed to get one even close It would all be over in minutes for them.  Israel is the one that has to worry if you give any credibility to Iran's stated  wishes to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. I do. That threat is real. They would also be a threat to other surrounding Arab countries in the event of a protracted and losing conventional war. Iran's nuclear threat all stems from their fanatical religious adherence. 

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Kenny Banyan
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7/16/2026 11:30am Edited Date/Time 7/16/2026 12:25pm
LoudLove wrote:
Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer...

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

borg wrote:
Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever...

Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever managed to get one even close It would all be over in minutes for them.  Israel is the one that has to worry if you give any credibility to Iran's stated  wishes to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. I do. That threat is real. They would also be a threat to other surrounding Arab countries in the event of a protracted and losing conventional war. Iran's nuclear threat all stems from their fanatical religious adherence. 

I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke that they wouldn’t use it against the US if they had the capability to reach us. 

1
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LoudLove
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7/16/2026 12:01pm
LoudLove wrote:
Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer...

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

TeamGreen wrote:

So, the Iranians wouldn’t use them? 
They’re “reasonable”?
You can deal with them?

Oh. OK. (not!) 🤣

The Iranian regime has one goal:  maintain the existence of the regime. Proactive use of a nuke would effectively bring that goal to a swift conclusion.  

Again, using a nuclear weapon on Israel or any other nation achieves nothing.  The THREAT achieves everything.  Israel understands this premise and does not want to give up its monopoly status in the ME. The balance of power lies in Jerusalem. A nuclear armed Tehran changes the discussion across the Middle East. 

6
tunedlength
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7/16/2026 12:32pm

^ Maintain and expand?

7/16/2026 5:58pm
LoudLove wrote:
Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer...

Question:  if Iran had nuclear weapons, do the US and Israel launch attacks like we’ve seen this year?  The short answer is no. The long answer is nooooo. The ability to retaliate with nuclear arms keeps your enemies at arms length. 

This is why Iran pursued a nuclear program. While a percentage of their population is fanatical, leadership is more pragmatic. They fully understand that the proactive use of a nuclear weapon releases its adversaries from military restraint.  Weapons of mass destruction’s power lies in the threat, not the use, especially when facing combatants with much larger arsenals. 

Also consider China and Russia’s roles.  Neither nation benefits from an Iranian nuclear assault. The US, Israel, and neutral ME allies would rally and effectively assume full control of the gulf and strait. This is no bueno for nations relying on Iranian exports. Or export in this case. 

Lastly, the US should carefully consider consequences before attacking infrastructure that largely supports the civilian population. Iran’s defense has historically included chemical weapons which could be deployed against an enemy’s civilians.  It would be a very aggressive response but one that could be deployed subversively on any population including the US. 

borg wrote:
Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever...

Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever managed to get one even close It would all be over in minutes for them.  Israel is the one that has to worry if you give any credibility to Iran's stated  wishes to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. I do. That threat is real. They would also be a threat to other surrounding Arab countries in the event of a protracted and losing conventional war. Iran's nuclear threat all stems from their fanatical religious adherence. 

I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke...

I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke that they wouldn’t use it against the US if they had the capability to reach us. 

"bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are"

If a foreign power launched attacks against the US from neighboring countries, what would the US's response be?

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TeamGreen
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7/16/2026 6:06pm

I don’t make the mistake of treating the IRGC led Islamic Republic of Iran as a typical or even rational entity.

7/16/2026 6:15pm
TeamGreen wrote:

I don’t make the mistake of treating the IRGC led Islamic Republic of Iran as a typical or even rational entity.

That's the mistake the US and Israel has made this year, so far Iran's response to being attacked, has been rational and predictable.

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TeamGreen
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7/16/2026 6:16pm
TeamGreen wrote:

I don’t make the mistake of treating the IRGC led Islamic Republic of Iran as a typical or even rational entity.

That's the mistake the US and Israel has made this year, so far Iran's response to being attacked, has been rational and predictable.

This is where we part ways.

You see rational?

Wow.

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borg
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7/16/2026 6:37pm
TeamGreen wrote:

I don’t make the mistake of treating the IRGC led Islamic Republic of Iran as a typical or even rational entity.

That's the mistake the US and Israel has made this year, so far Iran's response to being attacked, has been rational and predictable.

TeamGreen wrote:

This is where we part ways.

You see rational?

Wow.

Rational? I cant get there either. A rational move by Iran would have been to do everything possible to hang on to that MOU. Instead they tried to pull a technicality with the language of item 5. I really cant think of a rational reason for that. Effective? You could say that but now it's a game of chicken. How long can Iran keep building drones and not shipping oil vs how long can the rest of the world get by on reduced oil availability. So far the consequences of that have not lived up to billing. Trump definitely underestimated Iran but Iran may be overestimating the extent of the power that control of the Straight gives them.

7/16/2026 6:42pm
TeamGreen wrote:

I don’t make the mistake of treating the IRGC led Islamic Republic of Iran as a typical or even rational entity.

That's the mistake the US and Israel has made this year, so far Iran's response to being attacked, has been rational and predictable.

TeamGreen wrote:

This is where we part ways.

You see rational?

Wow.

What do you think would be a rational response to being attacked by 2 nuclear powers?

1
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Kenny Banyan
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7/16/2026 6:50pm
borg wrote:
Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever...

Iran with a nuke is no more of a threat to the US than N Korea or Pakistan. And they certainly know that if they ever managed to get one even close It would all be over in minutes for them.  Israel is the one that has to worry if you give any credibility to Iran's stated  wishes to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. I do. That threat is real. They would also be a threat to other surrounding Arab countries in the event of a protracted and losing conventional war. Iran's nuclear threat all stems from their fanatical religious adherence. 

I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke...

I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke that they wouldn’t use it against the US if they had the capability to reach us. 

"bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are"

If a foreign power launched attacks against the US from neighboring countries, what would the US's response be?

As far as I know the countrys in the ME aren’t attacking Iran other than Israel. 

TeamGreen
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7/16/2026 7:06pm

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

3
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Kenny Banyan
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7/16/2026 7:14pm
TeamGreen wrote:
Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing...

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

Can always count on you Greenie to hit a walk off HR.👏

7
1 day ago
I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke...

I think that Iran has shown by bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are. I have zero confidence that if they had a nuke that they wouldn’t use it against the US if they had the capability to reach us. 

"bombing their surrounding neighbors how unhinged they really are"

If a foreign power launched attacks against the US from neighboring countries, what would the US's response be?

As far as I know the countrys in the ME aren’t attacking Iran other than Israel. 

ME countries have participated in attacks against Iran...

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/saudi-arabia-launched-covert-attacks-iran-regional-war-widened-sources-2026-05-12/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/uae-secretly-carried-out-strikes-on-iran-including-on-oil-refinery-report/

Iran attacked US military bases in neighboring countries that participated in attacks on Iran...

image 3414.png?VersionId=eKlZ

Some of those bases were rendered uninhabitable...

https://defencesecurityasia.com/en/us-bases-uninhabitable-iran-missile-strikes-centcom-force-posture-2026-war/

forcing thousands of U.S. personnel to relocate to civilian locations in hotels, temporary office facilities.

Israel and the US have accused Iran's proxies of hiding amongst the civilian population, but US military personal are doing the same thing.

2
1 day ago
TeamGreen wrote:
Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing...

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

It's interesting your history starts in 1979, ignoring why the IRGC was formed.

The US and UK overthrew Iran's democratically elected government to install a puppet government run by the Shah Mohammad Pahlavi.

Everything the US is doing is confirming the IRGC's rhetoric, why would any nation want to be controlled by a foreign power?

2
2
Chance1216
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Carson, CA, USA
1 day ago
TeamGreen wrote:
Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing...

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

It's interesting your history starts in 1979, ignoring why the IRGC was formed.The US and UK overthrew Iran's democratically elected government to install a puppet government...

It's interesting your history starts in 1979, ignoring why the IRGC was formed.

The US and UK overthrew Iran's democratically elected government to install a puppet government run by the Shah Mohammad Pahlavi.

Everything the US is doing is confirming the IRGC's rhetoric, why would any nation want to be controlled by a foreign power?

Why would the Iranian citizens want to be controlled by their oppressive government? It’s not like there were elections. 

Why? 

Why? 

Why? 

1
1 day ago
TeamGreen wrote:
Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing...

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

It's interesting your history starts in 1979, ignoring why the IRGC was formed.The US and UK overthrew Iran's democratically elected government to install a puppet government...

It's interesting your history starts in 1979, ignoring why the IRGC was formed.

The US and UK overthrew Iran's democratically elected government to install a puppet government run by the Shah Mohammad Pahlavi.

Everything the US is doing is confirming the IRGC's rhetoric, why would any nation want to be controlled by a foreign power?

Chance1216 wrote:

Why would the Iranian citizens want to be controlled by their oppressive government? It’s not like there were elections. 

Why? 

Why? 

Why? 

Nice deflection, why don't you answer my question?

3
LoudLove
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2905
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Location
USA
1 day ago
TeamGreen wrote:
Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing...

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

No doubt Iranian-sponsored terrorism has exuded what the west would call “irrational” behavior. These attacks are also tactical in nature and typically would not induce large counter-attacks.  Oct 7 changed that paradigm by bringing the US directly into the conversation. 

This same paradigm shift validates why Iran (or any western foe) would pursue a nuclear weapon.  This is stated not to support their efforts but to reinforce what such a device  would act as a deterrent to counter-offenses and not as a first strike weapon. 

By all means the west and ME should unify to eliminate Iran’s pursuit of nuclear capabilities. The regime can’t be “bought” as financial incentives are not routinely valued by their leadership (although $300B has a nice ring to it).  The only way is militarily or international treaties. We let the latter slip through our fingers and in pursuing the former exposed some inherent weaknesses. 

It’s clear that the Iranian campaign was not planned with great clarity. The US military has performed exemplary but has not produced a desired result (largely due to seemingly haphazard negotiations).  We’l likely end up with a treaty that largely resembles what was previously in place. 

4
TAUTOG
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1/27/2023
Location
Mohrsville, PA, USA
1 day ago
TeamGreen wrote:
Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing...

Since the Hostage taking in ‘79.

The Beirut barracks bombings in ‘83.

The shit they did to Iraq and vice-versa during that war.

Decades of Iranian backed proxies terrorizing too many countries to list.

Iran using terrorism as a tool across the entire spectrum of thier power projection.

THOUSANDS of missiles and drones used against the Israeli populous…population centers.

October 7th.

Then we get to the list of countries fired on in these recent months:

United Arab Emirates

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

And some of us consider them “Rational”?

Uh, no.

And some of us make the mistake of thinking we understand the motivations and limits of the IRGC?

As I said, this is where we part ways. 

 

And why is this our problem? Let the ME fight amongst themselves. 

2
Dudley
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544
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9/10/2012
Location
Denver, CO, USA
1 day ago

Just saw we took down several bridges. One in particular is probably half a billion to replace. If we agree to repair said infrastructure as part of next “peace deal”, I’m going to lose my mind!  Imagine how many bridges we could replace in US. 

7
early
Posts
9954
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Location
University Heights, OH, USA
1 day ago

Are the lives of the people of Iran less valuable than Lindsey Graham's from a moral not economic perspective?

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2
Kenny Banyan
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4398
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6/2/2024
Location
Seattle, WA, USA
1 day ago
Dudley wrote:
Just saw we took down several bridges. One in particular is probably half a billion to replace. If we agree to repair said infrastructure as part...

Just saw we took down several bridges. One in particular is probably half a billion to replace. If we agree to repair said infrastructure as part of next “peace deal”, I’m going to lose my mind!  Imagine how many bridges we could replace in US. 

That’s actually a really good point.👏

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