Panic Button for Chase/Kawi?

soggy
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3/14/2026 9:51am
There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

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19
aees
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3/14/2026 10:06am
PNWMXer wrote:
There’s a huge difference between “settling for a third” and not even being in contention for a top 5-10 as a premier rider. If the setup...

There’s a huge difference between “settling for a third” and not even being in contention for a top 5-10 as a premier rider. If the setup is so bad that a winning guy is falling that far behind, it’s because they took it there with endless meddling and/or there’s a mental/effort issue with the rider. 

aees wrote:
The point is still, a few clicks off and that can be the difference between winning or a third today. AP almost won last year, same thing...

The point is still, a few clicks off and that can be the difference between winning or a third today. 

AP almost won last year, same thing. Going between 6th or 7th and podium/win at same track. Said they went wrong direction on shock adjustment, couldn't hold on to bike.

3 clicks can make a shock and bike go from balanced to very unbalanced, specially rebound. Same with sag, 1-2mm can make bike not turn or oversteer. That's a quarter to half a turn preload on spring. Window is never as big as some seem to think.

PNWMXer wrote:
Correct. But Chase isn’t going from winning to settling for a third. Other than his couple flashes of brilliance, he’s so far back that if not...

Correct. But Chase isn’t going from winning to settling for a third. Other than his couple flashes of brilliance, he’s so far back that if not for his status as a top guy, we wouldn’t even be talking about him. 

That I agree on. Everyones window is small if they want to hang with Jett. 

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Pop Shmoke
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3/14/2026 2:32pm

Anyone else seen this? Theyre behind suzuki in mx2, who almost doesnt even make a 250 its so irrelevant and hasnt had a team in years. Wtf? 

IMG 5435
 

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soggy
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3/14/2026 2:38pm
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Anyone else seen this? Theyre behind suzuki in mx2, who almost doesnt even make a 250 its so irrelevant and hasnt had a team in years...

Anyone else seen this? Theyre behind suzuki in mx2, who almost doesnt even make a 250 its so irrelevant and hasnt had a team in years. Wtf? 

IMG 5435
 

I don’t think Kawi has a factory 250 effort for mx2.

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The Shop

3/14/2026 2:50pm
There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

Where's he gonna go? Lars said they would be happy to keep him at Honda with the Lawrence's, but he wanted to be top dog, so he noped out. 

KTM was working fine, an outdoor championship and a bunch of supercross wins, almost an SX championship, but he noped out there, too. That closes the door for Husky, as well. Come on, 40th to first and you can't gel with the bike? Dafuq outta here. 

Now the Kawi sucks, apparently.  

Maybe Triumph or Ducati has their shit together by 2030 or so. Beta? Lol. Suzuki might have a kickstarter still by then.

Kid needs to dump his old man and ride like he knows how. He ain't got a lot of bridges left to burn. TropicPilot out. 

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PNWMXer
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3/14/2026 2:59pm
There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

I don’t think he left the bridge intact at HRC when he packed up and left after his last race without a word to the team that busted their ass for him. No “thanks,” “f you,” nothing-just gone. 

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ando
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3/14/2026 4:17pm
aees wrote:
Best example of how setup matters is Jett last year (outdoors).Said himself he had to settle for a third than to go for a win because...

Best example of how setup matters is Jett last year (outdoors).

Said himself he had to settle for a third than to go for a win because he felt shock setting was off during race. Couldn't push as he wanted. Fixed it to race 2, and won.

That says something about how steep competition is.

PNWMXer wrote:
There’s a huge difference between “settling for a third” and not even being in contention for a top 5-10 as a premier rider. If the setup...

There’s a huge difference between “settling for a third” and not even being in contention for a top 5-10 as a premier rider. If the setup is so bad that a winning guy is falling that far behind, it’s because they took it there with endless meddling and/or there’s a mental/effort issue with the rider. 

aees wrote:
The point is still, a few clicks off and that can be the difference between winning or a third today. AP almost won last year, same thing...

The point is still, a few clicks off and that can be the difference between winning or a third today. 

AP almost won last year, same thing. Going between 6th or 7th and podium/win at same track. Said they went wrong direction on shock adjustment, couldn't hold on to bike.

3 clicks can make a shock and bike go from balanced to very unbalanced, specially rebound. Same with sag, 1-2mm can make bike not turn or oversteer. That's a quarter to half a turn preload on spring. Window is never as big as some seem to think.

That was a total head scratcher from AP and a good example of not being satisfied with good enough.

ando
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3/14/2026 4:21pm
Pop Shmoke wrote:
Anyone else seen this? Theyre behind suzuki in mx2, who almost doesnt even make a 250 its so irrelevant and hasnt had a team in years...

Anyone else seen this? Theyre behind suzuki in mx2, who almost doesnt even make a 250 its so irrelevant and hasnt had a team in years. Wtf? 

IMG 5435
 

Kawasaki hasn’t had a proper factory level team in MX2 in years.

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ando
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3/14/2026 4:32pm
There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

Where?  Honda, KTM and, if things are truly the way they seem, Kawasaki are all gone.  If he didn’t like being 2nd dog to the Lawrences then he sure as hell won’t like being 2nd dog to the Deegans at Star/Yamaha.  Suzuki, Triumph and Ducati are probably all around similar levels right now as second tier factory teams; I suspect that isn’t what Chase will be looking for.

He turns 27 year this year; his career is far from over but the window is starting to close a little.  

 

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CPR
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3/14/2026 5:33pm

People talk about burning bridges, but are they really? We don’t know the intimate details, and a bit of time heals most wounds. 
Was always lots of burning bridge talk with Reedy and he had rides with factory support three times with Yami, three times with Suzi, and three times with Kawi. 
Racing head honchos change and bridges can be rebuilt.

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Press516
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Fantasy
3/14/2026 5:34pm Edited Date/Time 3/15/2026 9:31am
PNWMXer wrote:
There’s a huge difference between “settling for a third” and not even being in contention for a top 5-10 as a premier rider. If the setup...

There’s a huge difference between “settling for a third” and not even being in contention for a top 5-10 as a premier rider. If the setup is so bad that a winning guy is falling that far behind, it’s because they took it there with endless meddling and/or there’s a mental/effort issue with the rider. 

aees wrote:
The point is still, a few clicks off and that can be the difference between winning or a third today. AP almost won last year, same thing...

The point is still, a few clicks off and that can be the difference between winning or a third today. 

AP almost won last year, same thing. Going between 6th or 7th and podium/win at same track. Said they went wrong direction on shock adjustment, couldn't hold on to bike.

3 clicks can make a shock and bike go from balanced to very unbalanced, specially rebound. Same with sag, 1-2mm can make bike not turn or oversteer. That's a quarter to half a turn preload on spring. Window is never as big as some seem to think.

PNWMXer wrote:
Correct. But Chase isn’t going from winning to settling for a third. Other than his couple flashes of brilliance, he’s so far back that if not...

Correct. But Chase isn’t going from winning to settling for a third. Other than his couple flashes of brilliance, he’s so far back that if not for his status as a top guy, we wouldn’t even be talking about him. 

I’d suggest that much of the reason he’s as far back as he’s been is his 13.6 avg starting position….  Hard enough to pass this top 5, but need to go through 6-7 more before you’re even at the top 5??


He needs to figure out the starts as bad as he needs to figure out a bike setting…

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Jkawi
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3/14/2026 5:36pm

You know the hot chick who's got it all going for her, but no guy in the know will touch her because she's bat shit crazy? The word is spreading and more and more teams are in the know... chase is a great rider, but he sure comes with some drama it seems.

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Spike33
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3/14/2026 6:37pm

If he decides to stop faking injury and races I hope he gets booed next weekend. The sexton camp is a clown show. 

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GoonBoy911
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3/14/2026 6:43pm
ando wrote:

Kawasaki hasn’t had a proper factory level team in MX2 in years.

Factory Kawi returned to MX2 last year with Mathis Valin.

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1
3/14/2026 6:46pm
CPR wrote:

I’d argue that the dude never should have left Honda, but it’s Friday arvo and I got beer to drink.

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

MX558 wrote:

I doubt Bobby would take much shit from his dad's meddling 

Probably exactly what he needs now

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CPR
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3/14/2026 6:50pm
CPR wrote:

I’d argue that the dude never should have left Honda, but it’s Friday arvo and I got beer to drink.

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

MX558 wrote:

I doubt Bobby would take much shit from his dad's meddling 

You say Bobby doesn’t tolerate meddling dad’s? Think about that for a moment…..

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MX558
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3/14/2026 7:18pm
There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

MX558 wrote:

I doubt Bobby would take much shit from his dad's meddling 

CPR wrote:

You say Bobby doesn’t tolerate meddling dad’s? Think about that for a moment…..

Or Chase will be on the downside of his career by then , deegans on the upside big difference

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3/14/2026 7:35pm Edited Date/Time 3/14/2026 7:36pm
Spike33 wrote:

If he decides to stop faking injury and races I hope he gets booed next weekend. The sexton camp is a clown show. 

Let me guess, you also wish boos upon Prado and Deegan?

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Spike33
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3/14/2026 7:42pm
Spike33 wrote:

If he decides to stop faking injury and races I hope he gets booed next weekend. The sexton camp is a clown show. 

Leemur891 wrote:
Let me guess, you also wish boos upon Prado and Deegan?

Let me guess, you also wish boos upon Prado and Deegan?

Negative. I like those guys. Fan for sure 

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3/14/2026 8:07pm
There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. They better...

There's only like four bridges you can burn in this industry,  and Chase and his dumbass father have already burned like two-and-a half of them. 

They better hope Bobby Regan has a spot open for them one day. 

MX558 wrote:

I doubt Bobby would take much shit from his dad's meddling 

CPR wrote:

You say Bobby doesn’t tolerate meddling dad’s? Think about that for a moment…..

The caveat is, if they are winning he doesn't give a damn lol 

soggy
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3/14/2026 8:50pm
Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

Where's he gonna go? Lars said they would be happy to keep him at Honda with the Lawrence's, but he wanted to be top dog, so...

Where's he gonna go? Lars said they would be happy to keep him at Honda with the Lawrence's, but he wanted to be top dog, so he noped out. 

KTM was working fine, an outdoor championship and a bunch of supercross wins, almost an SX championship, but he noped out there, too. That closes the door for Husky, as well. Come on, 40th to first and you can't gel with the bike? Dafuq outta here. 

Now the Kawi sucks, apparently.  

Maybe Triumph or Ducati has their shit together by 2030 or so. Beta? Lol. Suzuki might have a kickstarter still by then.

Kid needs to dump his old man and ride like he knows how. He ain't got a lot of bridges left to burn. TropicPilot out. 

You’re writing as if he needs a ride in the next 6 months.  He’s gonna be at Kawi through at least next year and probably 2028. By then who knows what the team landscape looks like and who will be in charge of what teams. But he would have factory options. Ducati, Triumph, Star, and a rejuvenated Suzuki (hopefully). 
And maybe lightning will strike and Kawi and Chase will figure it out and he stays longer. I think after 3 different bikes and struggling with setup we can safely assume a lot of the responsibility comes from chases corner. He just may have picked the worst possible team for a person in his situation as well. 

Soggy out.

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ando
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3/14/2026 10:51pm
MX558 wrote:

I doubt Bobby would take much shit from his dad's meddling 

CPR wrote:

You say Bobby doesn’t tolerate meddling dad’s? Think about that for a moment…..

The caveat is, if they are winning he doesn't give a damn lol 

That hypothesis will be tested in a couple of months.

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Chris_Buehler
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3/15/2026 8:49am
Jkawi wrote:
It's even more funny when a guy with 2 minute slower lap times on an outdoor track try to tell people how important setup is. And...

It's even more funny when a guy with 2 minute slower lap times on an outdoor track try to tell people how important setup is. And that all that is missing from the guys that are 1:59 sec a lap faster is that last bit of setup comfort. How many times have we heard the guys at the top (Eli, Kenny, Jett, Hunter, etc.) just say they get the bike in a window and ride it?

And you are going to use Prado as your example of someone who isn't picky about bike setup? The guy that has missed 2 weekends and can't be changing his bike because he hadn't been riding the thing? The guy that just quit and burned his employer? The employer that has done a million times more for this sport than he himself could ever do in 10 lifetimes? The guy that can't ride respectfully or clean to save his life? My god, this place and common sense are on two completely different planets.

Chase's "bike" issues are 90% mental. Prado's "bike" issues were 90% mental. You could of painted that Kawi orange and Prado would have been 2 seconds faster. I would even say Hunter and Eli's success is 90% mental as well. Some are mentally weak. Some are mentally strong. Sometimes those that were mentally strong are no longer. Sometimes those that weren't, are. strong mentality breeds strong mentality. Weak mentality breeds weak mentality.

ando wrote:
It’s not always as clear cut as you are making out.  Lars was on one podcast or interview lately talking about Jett and Hunter, saying they...

It’s not always as clear cut as you are making out.  Lars was on one podcast or interview lately talking about Jett and Hunter, saying they are different when it comes to tolerance for setup.  Jett can more easily and quickly adapt to something that isn’t quite right whereas Hunter needs things to be much closer to the ideal window.  We’re taking about two guys who arguably in the top three or four riders in the world right now.

Also just “getting over” mental issues is no easier than overcoming inherent physiological constraints.  If it were then mental issues wouldn’t be issues.

Entirely my own opinion but I think Chase is in a situation where, when everything aligns, he can beat the best in the world and so he holds himself to that standard but those occasions are rare enough that he can’t easily replicate them and ends up going around in circles trying to find the magic sauce.

aees wrote:
Exactly, just as Tomac 2015 on that Honda would have beaten Jett at that time. Some here don't feel the different of a click on the track...

Exactly, just as Tomac 2015 on that Honda would have beaten Jett at that time. 

Some here don't feel the different of a click on the track, how can they possibly understand the impact settings and setup have.

This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a racer jelling with a bike? He lasted 5 motos out of 24. Cool he did win a couple motos by a minute though. Did they give him extra points for winning by so much?

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Chris_Buehler
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3/15/2026 9:06am
Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

ando wrote:
Where?  Honda, KTM and, if things are truly the way they seem, Kawasaki are all gone.  If he didn’t like being 2nd dog to the Lawrences...

Where?  Honda, KTM and, if things are truly the way they seem, Kawasaki are all gone.  If he didn’t like being 2nd dog to the Lawrences then he sure as hell won’t like being 2nd dog to the Deegans at Star/Yamaha.  Suzuki, Triumph and Ducati are probably all around similar levels right now as second tier factory teams; I suspect that isn’t what Chase will be looking for.

He turns 27 year this year; his career is far from over but the window is starting to close a little.  

 

I tend to agree with you about him not having a lot of options left. I'd like to flip it the other way. At one point does Kawi stop getting absolute A-tier riders because of the rep they're getting. RV, Tomc, Prado, now Chase having issues. I doubt he leaves Honda but you think Hunter would sign with Kawi if he was looking to go to another team? I dont

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aees
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3/15/2026 9:34am
ando wrote:
It’s not always as clear cut as you are making out.  Lars was on one podcast or interview lately talking about Jett and Hunter, saying they...

It’s not always as clear cut as you are making out.  Lars was on one podcast or interview lately talking about Jett and Hunter, saying they are different when it comes to tolerance for setup.  Jett can more easily and quickly adapt to something that isn’t quite right whereas Hunter needs things to be much closer to the ideal window.  We’re taking about two guys who arguably in the top three or four riders in the world right now.

Also just “getting over” mental issues is no easier than overcoming inherent physiological constraints.  If it were then mental issues wouldn’t be issues.

Entirely my own opinion but I think Chase is in a situation where, when everything aligns, he can beat the best in the world and so he holds himself to that standard but those occasions are rare enough that he can’t easily replicate them and ends up going around in circles trying to find the magic sauce.

aees wrote:
Exactly, just as Tomac 2015 on that Honda would have beaten Jett at that time. Some here don't feel the different of a click on the track...

Exactly, just as Tomac 2015 on that Honda would have beaten Jett at that time. 

Some here don't feel the different of a click on the track, how can they possibly understand the impact settings and setup have.

This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a...

This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a racer jelling with a bike? He lasted 5 motos out of 24. Cool he did win a couple motos by a minute though. Did they give him extra points for winning by so much?

Yes.

1
Spike33
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3/15/2026 12:58pm
This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a...

This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a racer jelling with a bike? He lasted 5 motos out of 24. Cool he did win a couple motos by a minute though. Did they give him extra points for winning by so much?

Yes. An extra point was given. Do you not watch the races? 

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3
3/15/2026 1:32pm
Gravel wrote:

This is solid wisdom for people working in a small industry. Best single post in 24 pages.

Your reputation is valuable..

soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

PNWMXer wrote:
I don’t think he left the bridge intact at HRC when he packed up and left after his last race without a word to the team...

I don’t think he left the bridge intact at HRC when he packed up and left after his last race without a word to the team that busted their ass for him. No “thanks,” “f you,” nothing-just gone. 

Lars is on record as saying he reached out and asked Chase to dinner to thank him for his service & for ‘old times sake’ 

Chase didn’t even respond. 

I’m confident He won’t ride for HRC whilst Lars in in the chair..

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3/15/2026 1:43pm
soggy wrote:

I think the only bridge he maybe burnt was ktm.  He’ll have factory rides as long as he wants to race. 

PNWMXer wrote:
I don’t think he left the bridge intact at HRC when he packed up and left after his last race without a word to the team...

I don’t think he left the bridge intact at HRC when he packed up and left after his last race without a word to the team that busted their ass for him. No “thanks,” “f you,” nothing-just gone. 

Lars is on record as saying he reached out and asked Chase to dinner to thank him for his service & for ‘old times sake’ Chase didn’t...

Lars is on record as saying he reached out and asked Chase to dinner to thank him for his service & for ‘old times sake’ 

Chase didn’t even respond. 

I’m confident He won’t ride for HRC whilst Lars in in the chair..

I heard about that on a podcast. Maybe Pulp? That's such a classless move. Even when I got laid off last year with no severance (not even a thank you) after busting my butt for old employer for years, I still thanked them for the opportunity. 

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Johnny Ringo
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3/15/2026 7:39pm
aees wrote:
Exactly, just as Tomac 2015 on that Honda would have beaten Jett at that time. Some here don't feel the different of a click on the track...

Exactly, just as Tomac 2015 on that Honda would have beaten Jett at that time. 

Some here don't feel the different of a click on the track, how can they possibly understand the impact settings and setup have.

This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a...

This thread is so long I'm starting to just skim posts so maybe I missed something. Are you using 2015 Tomac as the pinnacle of a racer jelling with a bike? He lasted 5 motos out of 24. Cool he did win a couple motos by a minute though. Did they give him extra points for winning by so much?

aees wrote:

Yes.

Why did Eli go to Kawi then? He is on record saying he hated that Honda 

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145mx
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3/15/2026 8:07pm

Theyve literally brought in Villopoto to try set the bike up better, a well known rear steerer, kawasaki are so lost theyre willing to try anything at the moment.

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