Movie Discussion

dsmith wrote:

I watched this 2017 movie called "mother"...freaky..

TXDirt wrote:

What are some underrated movies?

I’ll give one.

October Sky

Great flick that never got a lot of press.

dsmith wrote:

why did that cop have to such a dick to Rambo?.....if he just would of just said good morning and and left it at that...that whole...

why did that cop have to such a dick to Rambo?.....if he just would of just said good morning and and left it at that...that whole town would not of gotten blown up and some lives saved...no he had to keep goin...."You know, wearing that flag on that jacket, looking the way you do, you're asking for trouble around here, friend.".."If you want some friendly advice, get a haircut and take a bath. You wouldn't get hassled so much."....what a f'n dickhead.

SCR wrote:

[img]https://p.vitalmx.com/photos/forums/2017/12/13/231461/s1200_images.jpg[/img]

dsmith wrote:

I haven't seen smokey and the bandit for awhile I watched it last night...that movie still kicks some serious ass!! "Oh I love your suits. It...

I haven't seen smokey and the bandit for awhile I watched it last night...that movie still kicks some serious ass!!

"Oh I love your suits. It must have been a bitch to get a 68 Extra Fat and a 12 Dwarf. "

steed 2.0 wrote:

Halfway season 2 Billions March 25 season 3

Andy_Greenney wrote:

Not generally a fan of British Movies but if you want a gritty british flick its worth checking out Rise Of The Footsoldier, based on true...

Not generally a fan of British Movies but if you want a gritty british flick its worth checking out Rise Of The Footsoldier, based on true events and the murders at the end happened just down the road from where I live

GD2 wrote:

The general rule of thumb is that a movie needs a 2.5x multiplier over the course of its life in theaters to actually make a profit...

The general rule of thumb is that a movie needs a 2.5x multiplier over the course of its life in theaters to actually make a profit. This means it needs to make 2.5x its budget. Of course, this isn't always true. Some movies like the Cloverfield franchise are usually able to run pretty cheap advertising campaigns so they don't necessarily need to hit that 2.5x multiplier, while some studio movies like Justice League go way over their reported budget which results in needing to hit a 3x+ multiplier.

With this info in mind, I decided to take a look at some of the notable releases so far this year and see if they've made a profit using this standard. But do keep in mind that just because a movie is set to make a profit doesn't mean that the studio is pocketing every cent of said profit. There's a lot more to it than that, but I have to be fairly general considering a lot of details (outside of the production budget and potential marketing budget) are not often leaked for movies.

Paddington 2
Release Date: January 12, 2018
Budget: $40,000,000
Box Office: $196,300,000
2.5x = $100,000,000
Profit = $96,300,000

Maze Runner: The Death Cure
Release Date: January 26, 2018
Budget: $62,000,000
Box Office: $184,000,000
2.5x = $155,000,000
Profit = $29,000,000

Insidious: The Last Key
Release Date: January 5, 2018
Budget: $10,000,000
Box Office: $156,000,000
2.5x = $25,000,000
Profit = $131,000,000

The Commuter
Release Date: January 12, 2018
Budget: $30,000,000
Box Office: $81,500,000
2.5x = $75,000,000
Profit = $6,500,000

12 Strong
Release Date: January 19, 2018
Budget: $35,000,000
Box Office: $46,400,000
2.5x = $87,500,000
Profit = -$41,100,000

Den of Thieves
Release Date: January 19, 2018
Budget: $30,000,000
Box Office: $45,900,000
2.5x = $75,000,000
Profit = -$29,100,000


Now, I don't think that the 2.5x multiplier method is necessarily the best way to estimate profits for movies that had budgets of less than $40,000,000, and you can kind of see why with the estimates for Den of Thieves, 12 Strong, and The Commuter. I think a 2x multiplier is a more accurate method for films of this scale.

Using the 2x for these films:

The Commuter
2x = $60,000,000
Profit = $21,500,000

12 Strong
2x = $70,000,000
Profit = -$23,600,000

Den of Thieves
2x = $60,000,000
Profit =-$14,100,000

But, as you can see, even when decreasing it to 2x two out of three of these movies are still looking at losing money. Their theater runs aren't over yet, and they will still make money through VOD and TV, but it's still not looking good for their studios as of now.

dsmith wrote:

I am super pumped..but not really.... to see clint eastwoods ....15:17 to paris....

GD2 wrote:

I saw it. It's no bueno.