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What’s your 1 year return so far?
Right now is 137.4% with lots of activity to the upside.
I started dedicating an hour or two a week to it about a year ago for a smaller, 'fun' account and in mid-September for an extra Rollover IRA that I had. I've probably been a little bit more 'reckless' with the smaller fun account, but I'm pretty happy with the strategy so far!
I might not have as good of returns if I actually thought about it too much, though!
Here’s where things get tricky and you actually make money or your greed overrides logic. Do you harvest when you see this? If so, how much? And what do you do with the harvested cash?
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That’s the issue I have.
I tend to hold too long. I am pretty good at picking them, but not so great at selling. I’ve had plenty of gains go down the drain. I bought ARM right before Easter at $157. It hit 314 today. Should I sell or hold?
If you own over 100 shares of each stock you invested in... Simply write Covered Calls off of it until the cows come home and they take your shares. AKA, if stock is $50 and recently been rising. Write an option contract at a level you are willing to discard the stock for dollar value or continue to earn premium off the contracts. This is how you can earn money at levels you are unsure of. Not financial advice obviously
I have owned Sound, Rocketlab, Quantam and Ionq. Have not sold any yet. Should have sold over one year ago and been ahead more. I am getting close to the value in December 2025. Rocketlab is way ahead this year, the others are getting close to 2025. Maybe this time I will sell, but I believe there is more to come yet.
I am really intrigued by the serial down voter. Simply why? Dudes talking about stocks and you down vote lol. Fist in air much?
My own reaction, which is about as far from professional as you can get, would be to sell half of your ARM so that you are now living on house money in that position. Then I'd find another 'Temporarily Broken' prospect to analyze and see if it's worthwhile. Very unscientific, but so far it's been working well for the past year. Not all of the picks are in the 'Temporarily Broken' category, but a lot of the gains come from those.
Screening Criteria
2x+ upside potential (analyst targets and/or thesis-based)
Down 25%+ over ~90 days
OR
Sharp recent selloff (10%+ over ~3 trading days)
Strong or improving long-term narrative
No obvious existential damage
Preferably high volatility/high asymmetry sectors:
AI infrastructure
biotech
aerospace/space
compute/power
crypto infrastructure
oversold growth
Once I have a pool from that criteria, I run it through an analyzer that puts them into categories.
Rating Meaning
TB-1 High-quality company temporarily punished
TB-2 Speculative but attractive asymmetry
TB-3 Very high risk / possible value trap
Avoid Likely structurally broken
I don't like the modern investment mindset, where everyone is so reddit-wsb-to-the-moon-4evr-dollar-signs-in-my-eyes kind of drunk. It reminds me of everything leading up to 2008 where all my friends were pressuring me to buy a home, but that hype was insanely off-putting and in the end I was very happy I didn't listen to them, because we bought in 2013 when the market was down and full of people like my friends, which is to say....people that lost their ass from a shark frenzied fomo greed.
Also, not sure that the gov't pumping $2T into the market is a good thing, because total Federal revenue is a little over $5T and they're already at $7T for the year, throwing that extra $2T onto the ol' taxpayer credit card, so....is this adding yet another $2T to debt this year?? And because of that reckless spending over the last however many decades, interest on debt now exceeds our entire defense budget. That's $250 per month, per person, just for interest.
Also also, tons of people aren't able to afford to participate in this economic game of slime and are more focused on getting that 50c/hr raise so that they can start buying name brand bread and keep up with gas prices, so all that creates a lot of disdain for what feels like being left behind. They're doing their part, working hard, paying taxes, staying out of trouble, taking care of their family, and they're being squeezed for a penny every second of every day by people in suits with hairgel and soft labia hands and a watch that's worth more than their truck.
As I read through your comments I struggle to wrap my head around it all especially when you lead with your first thought "I don't like the modern investment mindset, where everyone is so reddit........" As someone who invests, why do you assume that is the case? I have never been on reddit and it just seems like a waste of time and rabbit hole. Overall you have a negative mindset about the entire thing.
"Also also, tons of people aren't able to afford to participate in this economic game of slime and are more focused on getting that 50c/hr raise so that they can start buying name brand bread and keep up with gas prices, so all that creates a lot of disdain for what feels like being left behind. They're doing their part, working hard, paying taxes, staying out of trouble, taking care of their family, and they're being squeezed for a penny every second of every day by people in suits with hairgel and soft labia hands and a watch that's worth more than their truck. " How can you sit from a singular perspective? I started with $500. I also took the extra time and energy after work to educate myself on how everything works that is in the stock market and not throw my money away on a stupid penny stock. Surround yourself with people who are better than you and rise to that occasion.
By the sound of things, you have the polar opposite going on. By the way, that 500 was lost just like a lot of money until i learned the system. Then I started making good consistent money and that compounds. Learn to open your mind and grow... PS I was a union brick layer, and a union carpenter with both J cards and pensions. I quit those jobs, got injured and during that time i learned to trade and invest. I used my time wisely by reinvesting in myself. Shit wasn't easy....So I ask why stereotype everyone with your preconceived view.....
Let's allow each other some room for generalizations and avoid words like "everyone", because my overall negative view isn't really any different from your overall positive view, which we both can attempt to use individual examples to prove our overall perception, but that's fraught with fallacies.
My overall view of trading today is negative and it mostly comes from the prevalence of ridiculous valuations and multipliers which have weak foundation, with cape surpassing the great recession and into the dot com era. Combined with how public trading controls government and how we're somehow celebrating trillions in public debt being injected into wall street profits, and sticking people that can't afford to profit from that debt, it stinks to me. Nearly half the people in the US have no stocks whatsoever, but they do have the debt from the profits of others and that sucks.
That doesn't mean I'm not going be involved in some way, because hey a ni@@a's gotta eat, but that's also not going to blind me to what it is. My whole life I've worked in industries that I dislike, so I'm used to making these distinctions without being blindly drunk on them just because they pay me. Kind of like how it's virtually impossible to not buy stuff from China, even though most of us don't want to buy anything from China. It's okay to appear contradictory mostly through systemic inescapability, but I'll be damned if I'm going to be dishonest about it too.
Anyway, feel free to post your specific trades, or maybe start a $500 portfolio thread and people can play along or share their own trades. Might help some little guys out there to tag along. For retirement, my situation is boring, I'll be looking into anything dividend related as long as it has good volume and does a decent job maintaining value to avoid the traps. Then just kick it half the year on a beach somewhere in southeast asia paying $500/mo to rent a condo.
I honestly am not sure how to reply to that response. Generally speaking, viewpoints are based on what you put in to get out.
I have MANY negatives about the market. That does not mean I am incapable of getting my nibble. In fact, more people you know are tied into the market than you realize. Anyone with a 401k is forever tying their retirement to the market through ETF’s created by institutions. Those big bad boys do not do what is right by the investor for retirement. They do what is right by the board of that company. This is why I chose to dive into and learn how to invest and trade properly. Because the entire game is rigged against you.
It took me 5 years roughly of consistent, weekly, daily grinding of studying, reviewing, journaling, and frustration until a real corner was turned. But once that corner is indeed rounded, the world becomes different. When you understand the game and how it is rigged, you can still easily get what you want out of it through patients. It took 3 years to turn 1k into 20k. Then it ramps up like a snowball effect. 20k turned to 100k, 100k flips to 250k so on so forth.
I am fortunate that my daily job is able to place immediately into a portfolio after living expenses. But that again, took time, frustration, money, bruised knuckles, patients, and a real understanding of myself. I honestly urge every individual to go through the process. Much better than any therapist could ever do
The music plays on!
Much respect to Zycki11. I have been a buy and hold investor. I know there are better ways, but I have not figured them out yet. Sometimes I win and sometimes I lose. AAPL and NFLX have been my best investments. I have held them both for 15 years +
Your last two sentences.
I realized a few years ago I was going to have to fix myself before I could become a successful trader. The markets like to exploit where you are struggling emotionally.
Some big names in my worst
And my best
AI infrastructure, Space IPO’s, software stocks when they hit a valued bottom, oil, and dividends.
Buy everything. Think, they will continue to devalue our dollar. Each time that money goes? You guessed it, into the market. It is americas way of guaranteeing success. Buy. Buy buy buy, if it is Red? Buy more, BTC is your new gold.
Pit Row
And truthfully, the market hasn’t done a thing. You yourself exploited your own shortcomings by acting when you shouldn’t have. Wild game the market and one that many don’t understand and fear. The largest, blank white page with unlimited possibilities in the world. Now go control yourself lol
Summary of Zycki11 investment advice:
Haha 😆 obviously it isn’t that simple. But yes in a nutshell. Heck, we could even simplify it even further as buy low sell high.
Any particular stocks anyone is interested in? Keel is my major holder
I might have sold KEEL a little bit early at $4.55, but it was over 3X my average cost so I had to follow my rule!
I was really lucky and sold OVID really close to its peak at $2.93, and another stock that really did well for me was IMUX. I still have a small stake in it but I harvested almost everything in stages at a little over 2X in less than 3 months.
Right now my biggest gainers that I’m deciding whether to harvest or not are RKLB, APLD, HUMA, RGTI, and SPG.
KEEL, IREN, CIFR, NVTS, TSLY are my majors outside of old school software.
Looking long term, keep should in 5-10
Be valued around 25-35 and pay divvi. Have an average of 2.2 and a ton of leaps. Looking into space companies for the week.
Hut has been doing me good this year. Sold 1/4 of my holdings the day it spiked a month or whatever ago. Will either sell more or buy that back depending how it goes the next bit.
I should go check my stuff, haven't done that yet today...
I have been trading since 1998, so beginning with the dotcom bust. Most people have never traded during a bear market, because the financial powers that be haven't allowed one.
All I can say is if you haven't taken large profits w all time high market valuations and rolled it into something real, ie, gold, silver or other h Well, easy come easy go.....Divide the SP500 by gold instead of dollars, or real estate, or any other traditional asset class and a whole different picture emerges.
I recently bought ILMN after hearing the ceo went to china with Trump. Do you have an opinion on this stock?
I roll percentage of all profits into dividend, silver, and oil. Always have to have a hedge and spread your assets.
Land is everything. Always on the lookout
Great start to the week gents
Congrats on the “Self-Educated” transition.
I love reading/hearing about people turning lemons into lemonade.
Oh, and, thanks for sharing the wisdom…and the scar-tissue stories. 💪🏼
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