Posts
4346
Joined
3/8/2009
Location
Marion, OH, USA
Edited Date/Time
1/27/2012 7:57am
Its seems so weird that Dungey basically dominated everything last summer while Villopoto sat on the couch getting healed up and then at the first race where they are both on the track RV looked like he still had Dungeys number.
I have a feeling that Stewy may have both of their numbers by round 5.
I have a feeling that Stewy may have both of their numbers by round 5.
After seeing James easily pass RV in the heat race, I think everyone will be in trouble if James gets a decent start. But the season is long and the stage is set. I'm looking forward to some great racing.
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There is no denying how the future races will pan out: Unless RV, RD, Canard, or Reed get the holeshot and IMMEDIATELY start checking out - there is a slim chance that Stewart WONT win.
The fact of the matter is, the big four (RV, RV, Canard, Reed) will need to ride a near perfect race if their going to beat the unstoppable one (Stewart.)
Nobody has anyones numbers right now besides JS7.
There were a few more laps where RV was a bit quicker, and some where Dungey was faster. Their average overall times were pretty close with the nudge going to RV:
Ryan Dungey: 1:00.012
Ryan Villopoto: 59.894
In real life terms, that is such a small gap that it hardly makes a difference, it's 0.118 of a second quicker, average. If RV maintained that pace the entire race, he'd win by about 2.36 seconds.
That means that whoever got the holeshot and made a little bit of a gap wins the race. That's exactly what RV did.
By the way, Stewart had a quicker average laptime than both RV and Dungey.
Lap times are basically useless. Didn't Roczen dominate practice? How'd that work out for him?
Pit Row
Now, James made quick work of RV in the heat race so for you to claim that RV was in management mode, we would also have to accept the following premises:
1) That RV had more speed on tap if he needed it.
and (this follows from 1)
2) That Dungey and Stewart are slower than RV.
I don't see either 1 or 2 as very reasonable. RV was more than likely not in management mode since he had Dungey and Stewart behind him (Dungey only a few seconds). He won the race because he got the holeshot and rode the best race. Last night, RV was the best man. But he failed to gap Dungey, not because he was cruising around in management mode, but because Dungey was pretty much equal to RV's speed and RV could not pull away. At the level these guys ride, if they can pull away, they do pull away...especially earlier in the race if possible.
By the way, the laptimes I provided are main event laptimes so they are very relevant.
Never say never
Post a reply to: Right where he left off..... (RV)