Unofficial 2021 450 Supercross Prediction Thread!!

crusty_xx 12/26/2020 9:05am
12/26/2020 9:05am
FerCzD wrote:
Webb and Tomac. Roczen will struggle to even make the podium.
crusty_xx wrote:
What has changed from last year where he was on the podium in 8 out of the first 10 races? May have missed something
FerCzD wrote:
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it...
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it will be a hard year for roczen.
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the podium.
1
RG1
Profile picture for user RG1
Posts
4661
Joined
7/12/2015
Location
GB
RG1 12/26/2020 9:14am
12/26/2020 9:14am
I’ll go:
1. Webb
2. Roczen
3. Tomac
4. Osborne
5. Cianciarulo

But I think it will be incredibly close between the Top 3
1
2
RG1
Profile picture for user RG1
Posts
4661
Joined
7/12/2015
Location
GB
RG1 12/26/2020 3:38pm
12/26/2020 3:38pm
crusty_xx wrote:
What has changed from last year where he was on the podium in 8 out of the first 10 races? May have missed something
FerCzD wrote:
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it...
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it will be a hard year for roczen.
crusty_xx wrote:
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the...
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the podium.
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I think he will have a very good season
gregyou
Profile picture for user gregyou
Posts
737
Joined
1/26/2020
Location
AU
gregyou 12/26/2020 4:16pm
12/26/2020 4:16pm
FerCzD wrote:
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it...
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it will be a hard year for roczen.
crusty_xx wrote:
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the...
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the podium.
RG1 wrote:
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I...
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I think he will have a very good season
Taking the nationals off might not be the best thing, could take a bit to get back to race pace
2
2

The Shop

See All »
RG1
Profile picture for user RG1
Posts
4661
Joined
7/12/2015
Location
GB
RG1 12/26/2020 4:17pm
12/26/2020 4:17pm
crusty_xx wrote:
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the...
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the podium.
RG1 wrote:
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I...
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I think he will have a very good season
gregyou wrote:
Taking the nationals off might not be the best thing, could take a bit to get back to race pace
I don’t think so, it’s not like he’s had 6 months off and everyone else has been racing the whole time. Everyone is coming off at least 3-4 months off
GeorgiePorgie 12/26/2020 5:55pm
12/26/2020 5:55pm
I think Wilson will podium round 1 as well.
2
ButteryWaffles 12/26/2020 6:07pm
12/26/2020 6:07pm
For some reason, champ or not, I don’t see Eli getting that fire back after this past outdoor season.
1
3
Le Bagnard
Profile picture for user Le Bagnard
Posts
16
Joined
9/15/2016
Location
Remire-Mont Joly, GF
Le Bagnard 12/26/2020 7:36pm
12/26/2020 7:36pm
Not much room at the top. Anyone getting top 5 in that field doesn’t suck. Cool to see 51 do something on the GG but not gonna be easy....
hyler199
Profile picture for user hyler199
Posts
621
Joined
4/23/2017
Location
CA
hyler199 12/26/2020 10:44pm
12/26/2020 10:44pm
I’m rooting for my usual Mookie and El Hombre. People I’m looking forward to watch is of course AC9 and CS23. Hoping there will be some clean elbows thrown by Ferrandis and JB51. I’m actually pumped on Justin too, he’s lookin frisky on that bike.

It’s going to be an awesome season with a lot of racing and I think fresher guys. We are truly going to have a great season to watch!
1
1
smee113
Profile picture for user smee113
Posts
463
Joined
5/7/2014
Location
Houston, TX, USA
smee113 12/27/2020 1:36pm
12/27/2020 1:36pm
I think Webb may be my favorite for 2021; he'll be hungry for it after failing to defend it in '20, and has proven he still has the speed to get it done. And he's still pretty young.

I think Tomac is entering the twilight years of his career, and Tomac's fire may have dwindled a little now that he's checked the Supercross Championship off his to-do list. Also, I still buy into the theory that Tomac doesn't know how to handle the pressure of being on top, at least in SX, and I think that #1 plate will be mighty heavy next year.

Roczen's best shot at pulling off the title was 2020; I think his injuries are proving to be just a bit too much for his insane talent to overcome. I think his fear of COVID affected his riding during the SLC rounds, and I think that'll carry into 2021.

Cianciarulo is too inconsistent to get it done, imo, but I think he'll win multiple races and should be in the hunt.

I'm not so hot on Ferrandis; he's always struggled with starts and most of his aggressive passes have come from impatience. It's gonna be alot harder to work through the 450 field, and his aggressive riding style won't be as tolerated.

I think the rookie everyone is underestimating is McElrath; he's got a smooth style, and doesn't override the bike; and I think that should play to his favor on the bigger bike. I'm not predicting wins, or anything crazy, but I would not be surprised at all if he ends up higher in the points than Ferrandis by the end of the season.
2
2
davistld01
Profile picture for user davistld01
Posts
9378
Joined
4/1/2008
Location
Springfield, MO, USA
davistld01 12/27/2020 1:44pm
12/27/2020 1:44pm Edited Date/Time 12/27/2020 1:48pm
1. Webb
2. AC9
3. Tomac
4. Roczen
5. Ferrandis

I’m also looking for Musquin to win one or two...and for Mookie to be in the top few more than a couple of times. Barcia might be a huge surprise...but I don’t see him winning a main, unless it’s round 1 in Texas.
Motodave15
Profile picture for user Motodave15
Posts
4252
Joined
8/7/2010
Location
Temple City, CA, USA
Motodave15 12/27/2020 6:28pm
12/27/2020 6:28pm
1. Roczen
2. Cianciarulo
3. Tomac
4. Osborne
5. Musquin
6. Ferrandis
7. Mookie
8. Barcia
9. Wilson
10. Webb
1
numbers
Profile picture for user numbers
Posts
636
Joined
10/13/2020
Location
Puyallup, WA, USA
numbers 12/27/2020 6:34pm
12/27/2020 6:34pm
GeorgiePorgie wrote:
I think Wilson will podium round 1 as well.
You wanta pass what your smoking.
1
3
GeorgiePorgie 12/27/2020 8:12pm
12/27/2020 8:12pm
Actually, that twisted tea team lookin strong. They might sweep.
1
gregyou
Profile picture for user gregyou
Posts
737
Joined
1/26/2020
Location
AU
gregyou 12/27/2020 8:55pm
12/27/2020 8:55pm
AC didn’t even win 250 sx title yet so many people have him second and first lol
2
mxer15
Profile picture for user mxer15
Posts
90
Joined
1/4/2019
Location
Lady Lake, FL, USA
mxer15 12/31/2020 2:37am
12/31/2020 2:37am
Ac9. Tomac. Stew CS23 Anderson Roczen Osbourne Wilson Musquin Hartrafth
Motofinne
Profile picture for user Motofinne
Posts
11629
Joined
1/4/2014
Location
FI
Motofinne 12/31/2020 3:18am
12/31/2020 3:18am Edited Date/Time 12/31/2020 8:46am
FerCzD wrote:
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it...
One kid, Sexton improving, AC winning his first 450 race (outdoors) and gaining confidence, ZO16 MX champion and winning last SX race. That's my take, it will be a hard year for roczen.
crusty_xx wrote:
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the...
All good points but I just don't see a guy go from winning 4 races and getting about 10 podiums to struggling to get on the podium.
RG1 wrote:
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I...
Gajser took a big leap with that bike. It was a big improvement on the 2020 bike. He took the Nationals off to be ready, I think he will have a very good season
But we don't know what kind of bike Gajser and Evans actually raced. I mean there was visible CNC marks on the lower part of the frame. I really don't think we can look at their results and automatically think Roczen and Sexton will have a troublefree season with no headache regarding bike setup.
BikePilot
Profile picture for user BikePilot
Posts
389
Joined
9/27/2014
Location
Golden, CO, USA
BikePilot 1/1/2021 3:24pm
1/1/2021 3:24pm
It’ll be a season to remember I’m sure! So many riders could win the championship it’s hard to call. I’ll go with:

1. Tomac
2. Web
3. Osborn
4. AC
5. Sextant
6. Roczen

If Roczen can be consistent I think he will have the most speed, but my guess is that he’ll have a few commanding wins, many very fast laps, but ultimately struggle to keep it on the podium every race.

1

Pit Row

See All »

Post a reply to: Unofficial 2021 450 Supercross Prediction Thread!!