Who Wins the Outdoor Championship?

Tytus914
Profile picture for user Tytus914
Posts
5
Joined
6/27/2020
Location
Ankeny, IA, USA
Tytus914

Outdoor Champion

4
|
ElliotB16
Profile picture for user ElliotB16
Posts
1127
Joined
6/10/2019
Location
Cairo, GA, USA
ElliotB16 6/29/2020 8:59am
6/29/2020 8:59am
It’s hard to pick against the 3x champ
3
KX500
Profile picture for user KX500
Posts
282
Joined
8/30/2018
Location
Chester, IL, USA
KX500 6/29/2020 1:22pm
6/29/2020 1:22pm
After getting used to races every Sunday & Wednesday, can hardly wait for the MX season to start. Should be an interesting season!

Who Can beat ET?
Will MM need a few races to get back to form? He was off the bike a long time.
How much Will KR's health/stamina hold him back?
How much has CW improved? His 1st win was the highlight last year, but regularly getting beaten by 3-5 riders in the rest of the races happened also. No doubt he wasn't satisfied with that.
Can ZO get that 1st win in 450 MX as well? Hope so. He had 5-6 podiums last year.

2
MZ193
Profile picture for user MZ193
Posts
937
Joined
12/14/2018
Location
IT
MZ193 6/29/2020 1:52pm
6/29/2020 1:52pm
KX500 wrote:
After getting used to races every Sunday & Wednesday, can hardly wait for the MX season to start. Should be an interesting season! Who Can beat...
After getting used to races every Sunday & Wednesday, can hardly wait for the MX season to start. Should be an interesting season!

Who Can beat ET?
Will MM need a few races to get back to form? He was off the bike a long time.
How much Will KR's health/stamina hold him back?
How much has CW improved? His 1st win was the highlight last year, but regularly getting beaten by 3-5 riders in the rest of the races happened also. No doubt he wasn't satisfied with that.
Can ZO get that 1st win in 450 MX as well? Hope so. He had 5-6 podiums last year.

Didnt zacko win @southwick last year...?
mister2dt
Profile picture for user mister2dt
Posts
282
Joined
8/20/2018
Location
Canton, MS, USA
mister2dt 6/29/2020 1:56pm
6/29/2020 1:56pm
I believe Eli will win it, but it is going to be a bloody battle to the last moto with a fresh Marvin fighting him along the way. I dont see another rider who will be a consistent threat week in week out like Marvin has been. And now he is rested and healthy. Should be some epic battles!!

The Shop

See All »
KX500
Profile picture for user KX500
Posts
282
Joined
8/30/2018
Location
Chester, IL, USA
KX500 6/29/2020 1:56pm
6/29/2020 1:56pm
MZ193 wrote:
Didnt zacko win @southwick last year...?
Won a Moto, 3-1 for 2nd OA.
Mugeneco 6/29/2020 2:01pm
6/29/2020 2:01pm
dont see any one of them beat Tomac , battle for second will be more exciting
AZRider
Profile picture for user AZRider
Posts
412
Joined
6/14/2016
Location
Rock Spring, GA, USA
AZRider 6/29/2020 2:12pm
6/29/2020 2:12pm
I have a feeling ET will get injured. I dont want it to happen, but statistically he has gone quite a while without a race missisng injury. So, while I think he will win lots of races, I dont think he gets the title this year.

Which opens it up for a dogfight between MM25, KR94, and CW2. Zach will be on the gas and by himself alot behind those guys I think. Some races he will be ahead of them but in the end he finishes 3rd or 4th at end of season.

I hope I am wrong, I would love Zach to win it.
10
Mr. Info
Profile picture for user Mr. Info
Posts
1671
Joined
5/3/2010
Location
Perris, CA, USA
Mr. Info 6/29/2020 3:30pm
6/29/2020 3:30pm
Do you know something we all don't. Like where and when a race is held?
2
Fonzarelli
Profile picture for user Fonzarelli
Posts
290
Joined
2/1/2016
Location
Saginaw, MI, USA
Fonzarelli 6/29/2020 4:02pm
6/29/2020 4:02pm
AZRider wrote:
I have a feeling ET will get injured. I dont want it to happen, but statistically he has gone quite a while without a race missisng...
I have a feeling ET will get injured. I dont want it to happen, but statistically he has gone quite a while without a race missisng injury. So, while I think he will win lots of races, I dont think he gets the title this year.

Which opens it up for a dogfight between MM25, KR94, and CW2. Zach will be on the gas and by himself alot behind those guys I think. Some races he will be ahead of them but in the end he finishes 3rd or 4th at end of season.

I hope I am wrong, I would love Zach to win it.
If you flip a coin and get 100 heads in a row, the odds of getting heads on the next flip is still 50/50

Just because Tomac has gone a lot of races without injury, doesn't mean his odds of being injured soon are higher. They are not.
1
Spudinki45
Profile picture for user Spudinki45
Posts
662
Joined
2/16/2019
Location
Dallas, TX, USA
Spudinki45 6/29/2020 4:03pm
6/29/2020 4:03pm
It has to be Eli, the only people that can keep up outdoors historically have been Ken and and Marv, and Osbourne on occasion.

Obviously Marv is gonna struggle early but he recovers quick, in 2018 came back from dislocated shoulder the next week after Houston, 2017 came back from meniscus tear midway through season and won 6 straight motos, and lastly in 2019 came in recovering from another knee injury. Imo he is Eli's biggest threat, would've been second three years in a row if it hadn't been for his injury at Ironman last year.

Ken is really quick early on, but it is almost inevitable now that he will fade halfway through. So he will most likely win a few races here and there but will have bad motos.

Zacho has the speed but injuries hurt him last year and after his run in SLC I'm excited to see how he does and if he can stay consistent.

Coop is unproven outdoors and only finished 6th last year, it will be interesting to see where he is at.

Anderson is a wildog has top 5 speed but yet to win a national.

Just my 2 cents for each "top dog," but I think it's gonna be 1. Eli 2. Marv 3. Zacho 4. Coop 5. Kenny 6. Anderson
Forty
Profile picture for user Forty
Posts
3063
Joined
7/27/2009
Location
Saint Paul, MN, USA
Forty 6/29/2020 4:08pm
6/29/2020 4:08pm
Aren’t a couple of hot shoe 250 guys coming up? Maybe Dylan can make a run at it.
1
AZRider
Profile picture for user AZRider
Posts
412
Joined
6/14/2016
Location
Rock Spring, GA, USA
AZRider 6/29/2020 4:09pm
6/29/2020 4:09pm
Fonzarelli wrote:
If you flip a coin and get 100 heads in a row, the odds of getting heads on the next flip is still 50/50 Just because...
If you flip a coin and get 100 heads in a row, the odds of getting heads on the next flip is still 50/50

Just because Tomac has gone a lot of races without injury, doesn't mean his odds of being injured soon are higher. They are not.
Thats completely true, but taken as a whole getting 101 straight heads is less likely than getting 100 straight heads in a 50/50 proposition. The statistical likelihood increases the more you race.
1
-MAVERICK-
Profile picture for user -MAVERICK-
Posts
66445
Joined
3/26/2015
Location
Ontario, CA
-MAVERICK- 6/29/2020 4:11pm
6/29/2020 4:11pm
Forty wrote:
Aren’t a couple of hot shoe 250 guys coming up? Maybe Dylan can make a run at it.
Ferrandis is moving up next year. Sexton will be 450 full time starting this summer.
Forty
Profile picture for user Forty
Posts
3063
Joined
7/27/2009
Location
Saint Paul, MN, USA
Forty 6/29/2020 4:15pm
6/29/2020 4:15pm Edited Date/Time 6/29/2020 5:47pm
Forty wrote:
Aren’t a couple of hot shoe 250 guys coming up? Maybe Dylan can make a run at it.
-MAVERICK- wrote:
Ferrandis is moving up next year. Sexton will be 450 full time starting this summer.
Ah ok. Thanks Mav. Sexton will be on the new 450 so it should be interesting.
kpiper
Profile picture for user kpiper
Posts
2424
Joined
3/20/2019
Location
USA
kpiper 6/29/2020 6:05pm
6/29/2020 6:05pm
I think Webb, Zach and Kenny battle for 2-4 making it tough for Eli though.

MM25 will be around 5-6 maybe worse. AC and Anderson probably beat MM.
3
KennyT
Profile picture for user KennyT
Posts
4395
Joined
8/16/2006
Location
Vista, CA, USA
Fantasy
77th
KennyT 6/29/2020 6:54pm
6/29/2020 6:54pm
It seems like Eli has reached the point in his career that when he is on there will be nobody else that has a chance.
2
Spudnut
Profile picture for user Spudnut
Posts
1943
Joined
6/25/2018
Location
USA
Spudnut 6/29/2020 11:03pm
6/29/2020 11:03pm
The battle for second should be good with musquin back and if AC keeps himself from ACing

Pit Row

See All »
Motofinne
Profile picture for user Motofinne
Posts
11489
Joined
1/4/2014
Location
FI
Motofinne 6/30/2020 12:47am
6/30/2020 12:47am
Tomac wins it if he stays healthy. Osborne will be his closest challenger.
1
RG1
Profile picture for user RG1
Posts
4661
Joined
7/12/2015
Location
GB
RG1 6/30/2020 2:32am
6/30/2020 2:32am
Heart says Kenny but I don’t see him being anywhere near consistent enough to get it done. Hard to bet against Tomac if he stays healthy and there’s no SX hangover
Villo2fan
Profile picture for user Villo2fan
Posts
145
Joined
1/22/2010
Location
Las Vegas, NV, USA
Villo2fan 6/30/2020 4:27am
6/30/2020 4:27am
There won’t be a an outdoor champion. MSM will make sure COVID round 2 peaks in August/September.
3
3
crusty_xx 6/30/2020 6:41am
6/30/2020 6:41am
Why is everybody counting out AC? I don't think anybody will really challenge Tomac for the title but imo AC has a good shot at second. He was pretty good last season, with pressure from Ferrandis the whole 12 rounds. Worst moto was a 5th if I remember correctly.

Post a reply to: Who Wins the Outdoor Championship?