Flarider

killed 4 in haiti i think?

What a mess


The models have flipped back and forth so often, you'd think they worked for Obama (HAR!)


At this point, they're guessing

Seems like no matter what, I'm gonna get some, but no big deal

It'll be a low Cat 1 hurricane or a tropical storm by the time it's near me


Look at this model composite.

Each line represents what that computer thinks it will do.

Like the ones bouncing around like pinballs? Look at the AVNO (light blue w/triangle)

From looking at your projection map.
It looks like Cape Coral and Sarasota are going to get hammered.

Flmxer Dave.. isn't that hitting close to your place? Maybe a little north of you but do you have to evacuate? Or is it going to be weak when it hits ??


How long will that storm take to push the rain and crap north to say Steel City?

Looking at some of those fine projections show it sending the storm up and thru Steel City. What are the odds of monsoon rains there again for the Nat weekend?? 3 years in a row?

Flmxer will be on the "bad side"
The right side of the fwd motion is always the worst side.

The projections change by the hour and never focus on the line, hurricane winds can extend about 50 miles out from that line, tropical storm winds can extend another 30 or more.

Go look up hurricane charley....I see the same thing coming, just weaker

Follow Fay's progress here

Key West Radar

Just looked at that. Glad my business trip to Miami was last week.

looks like My brother in West Palm is getting quite a bit of rain right now.

during my first hurricane ,we were out keeping the road clear with chain saws..but once pieces of metal roofing started dropping near us,we got inside real quick..i seen the eye of both hurricanes..83 and 92 eva and iniki
tape up your windows dave..like a big X

Never tape windows
It does nothing more than make a mess
Rookie mistake taping windows

It is going to pass throughout the day Tuesday and should not be to bad. Maybe some big gusts and some major rain but we will be fine. No fun to have to secure everything and put everything up but it does basically force you to clean and tighten up on house maintenance in case you were slacking and that can be a good thing. I was in Charley and Andrew plus the rest so I am a veteran at this storm thing. LOL not.
It is a voluntary evacuation.
We have two rental units on a few acres on Sanibel Island right on the beach on the western most point. I worry about those units and my boat more than anything.
Hurricanes are some tough works of nature. In the early eighteen hundreds a no name storm cut three major passes through what was then one large land mass from Sanibel to Boca Grande. It created Sanibel, Captiva, Upper Captiva and Cayo Costa islands and the passes have depths of sixty plus feet. Just one storm did all of that and then in 2004 hurricane Charlie created a new pass in the center of Upper Captiva separating what is now Upper Captiva and North Captiva. 50 foot tall Pine trees were spread across the bay for miles. Amazing how strong these storms can be. Stay safe everybody.

So Dave can come to Southwick??

This is the damage Charlie did after passing by a few miles out. Not as bad as the no name storm but pretty bad. Our rentals are only a few miles south of this location and had minimal damage luckily.

You live around there? I spend time on Sanibel and that was a bad one.

We'll have storm crap until wednesday morning, then clean up time

Sorry

So far so good.
Quite overcast and drizzly rain for now

Good luck and stay safe!

I'll try to get over it, Dave.

I know it'll be tough, Mike
But you'll be OK

Oh sure, easy for you to say.