Sturgis

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8/7/2020 12:49 PM
Edited Date/Time: 8/7/2020 1:04 PM

With all the Covid-19, Masks no masks debate, this is going to be the true petri dish test IMO that puts all that to rest. Thoughts?

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8/7/2020 12:56 PM

i'm just here for the biker-chick titties

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8/7/2020 1:37 PM

I'm sure there are plenty of HD logo'd masks for sale maybe even some "show me your tits" varieties too

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8/7/2020 1:51 PM

el moto diablo wrote:

I'm sure there are plenty of HD logo'd masks for sale maybe even some "show me your tits" varieties too

There may be plenty for sale but no use from what I've seen so far.

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8/7/2020 2:50 PM

I’ve been on ride every weekend since this virus started and when I do come across other riders at burger joints or wherever I would say there are just as many mask being worn as anywhere else I go. My local HD dealer has everyone wearing mask.

Who knows what will be going on at Sturgjs. I imagine it will be similar to what is seen at Lorettas as far as the mask brigade. Maybe even more than Lorettas based on the age of most of the bikers compared to the kids at Lorettas. I see no more of a outbreak than what you’d get from the germ fest at the local Walmart, Costco etc

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8/7/2020 3:51 PM

Photo
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8/7/2020 3:55 PM

Live Webcams:






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8/7/2020 5:00 PM

I was on i90 in Minnesota and i35 in Iowa today and saw lots of bikes and trailers heading towards Sturgis and coming back from there. I think many just want somewhere to go.

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8/7/2020 8:51 PM

peelout wrote:

i'm just here for the biker-chick titties

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No Signature.

8/7/2020 11:24 PM

Somebody I know posted this. shocked
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8/8/2020 7:22 AM

Ted722 wrote:

Live Webcams:






Looks a lot like the “CHAZ” zone in Seattle. Last year over 400 arrests across 8 days..........

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8/8/2020 8:07 AM

I want to go mainly to people watch and take in a concert. BUT no way in hell am I riding my bike over there. I'm too damn old to be in traction for a month to get my body right afterwards.

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8/8/2020 9:01 AM

G-man wrote:

Somebody I know posted this. shocked
Photo

pinch pinch pinch pinch
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8/8/2020 9:44 AM

Ted722 wrote:

Live Webcams:






APLMAN99 wrote:

Looks a lot like the “CHAZ” zone in Seattle. Last year over 400 arrests across 8 days..........

A 50% cut in the Police dept. would help bring that arrest number down. whistling

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8/8/2020 11:16 AM

Ted722 wrote:

Live Webcams:






APLMAN99 wrote:

Looks a lot like the “CHAZ” zone in Seattle. Last year over 400 arrests across 8 days..........

Ted722 wrote:

A 50% cut in the Police dept. would help bring that arrest number down. whistling

Considering past years of a half million bikers the arrest numbers are amazingly low. The bikers are getting older and a little less rowdy. Mostly Drug n DUI arrest

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8/8/2020 11:21 AM

APLMAN99 wrote:

Looks a lot like the “CHAZ” zone in Seattle. Last year over 400 arrests across 8 days..........

Ted722 wrote:

A 50% cut in the Police dept. would help bring that arrest number down. whistling

KennyT wrote:

Considering past years of a half million bikers the arrest numbers are amazingly low. The bikers are getting older and a little less rowdy. Mostly Drug n DUI arrest

An arrest rate of .08%

Those dang rowdy bikers......

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8/8/2020 12:23 PM

These are the same fucking people who blame a spike in numbers in certain places on protesting. I guess they are just "protesting" as well by not wearing masks?

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8/8/2020 4:06 PM

Ted722 wrote:

A 50% cut in the Police dept. would help bring that arrest number down. whistling

KennyT wrote:

Considering past years of a half million bikers the arrest numbers are amazingly low. The bikers are getting older and a little less rowdy. Mostly Drug n DUI arrest

TXDirt wrote:

An arrest rate of .08%

Those dang rowdy bikers......

For a 1 week period, that’s pretty high. Multiply that by 52 to get the annualized rate and it’s significantly higher than the national rate.

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8/8/2020 5:05 PM

My youngest boy is there for the first time.
I told him not to o.d. on ass. .

He never listens...Photo

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8/8/2020 5:16 PM

APLMAN99 wrote:

For a 1 week period, that’s pretty high. Multiply that by 52 to get the annualized rate and it’s significantly higher than the national rate.

You can't use that math. For most of the year that place is a ghost town.

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"Sorry Goose, but it's time to buzz the tower."

8/8/2020 5:19 PM

TXDirt wrote:

An arrest rate of .08%

Those dang rowdy bikers......

APLMAN99 wrote:

For a 1 week period, that’s pretty high. Multiply that by 52 to get the annualized rate and it’s significantly higher than the national rate.

-MAVERICK- wrote:

You can't use that math. For most of the year that place is a ghost town.

That’s why you DO use that math. Because the arrest rate was brought up.

In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.

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8/8/2020 6:31 PM
Edited Date/Time: 8/8/2020 6:47 PM

Do you guys even math? .08% is .08%. You can’t just multiply it by 52 and call it an annual rate. That’s not how percentages work.

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8/8/2020 6:38 PM

APLMAN99 wrote:

For a 1 week period, that’s pretty high. Multiply that by 52 to get the annualized rate and it’s significantly higher than the national rate.

-MAVERICK- wrote:

You can't use that math. For most of the year that place is a ghost town.

APLMAN99 wrote:

That’s why you DO use that math. Because the arrest rate was brought up.

In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.

How is it significantly higher?

Annualized it’s like 4.2%.

There are over are 10,000,000 arrests a year in the US. If we assume the US population is 330,000,000 And exactly 10 million arrests...

I get 3% arrest rate.

Do you consider 1.2% to be significant in this instance?

Looks like the arrest rate closely matches the overall population.

Shocker.....

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8/8/2020 6:41 PM

SEE ARE125 wrote:

Do you guys even math? .08% is .08%. You can’t just multiply it by 52 and call it an annual rate. That’s not how percentages work.

They’re using the infamous “bolt-on mod” math for cars, where Honda Civic plus cat-back plus cold air induction plus plug wires plus headers equals 400 horsepower....laughing

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8/8/2020 6:42 PM

-MAVERICK- wrote:

You can't use that math. For most of the year that place is a ghost town.

APLMAN99 wrote:

That’s why you DO use that math. Because the arrest rate was brought up.

In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.

TXDirt wrote:

How is it significantly higher?

Annualized it’s like 4.2%.

There are over are 10,000,000 arrests a year in the US. If we assume the US population is 330,000,000 And exactly 10 million arrests...

I get 3% arrest rate.

Do you consider 1.2% to be significant in this instance?

Looks like the arrest rate closely matches the overall population.

Shocker.....

4.2% is 40% higher than 3% is.....

That’s a significant difference.

Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.

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8/8/2020 6:49 PM

APLMAN99 wrote:

That’s why you DO use that math. Because the arrest rate was brought up.

In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.

TXDirt wrote:

How is it significantly higher?

Annualized it’s like 4.2%.

There are over are 10,000,000 arrests a year in the US. If we assume the US population is 330,000,000 And exactly 10 million arrests...

I get 3% arrest rate.

Do you consider 1.2% to be significant in this instance?

Looks like the arrest rate closely matches the overall population.

Shocker.....

APLMAN99 wrote:

4.2% is 40% higher than 3% is.....

That’s a significant difference.

Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.

The arrest rate is not 40% higher.....

That would be significant. You said it was a significant difference in arrest rate compared to the general population.

It’s not.

You can argue all you want.

3% out of 100,000 and 4.2% out of 100,000 is very insignificant. So much so it could be simply due to margin of error.

You said it’s significantly higher. You were proven wrong. It’s not higher. It’s practically identical.

Shocker..

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8/8/2020 6:53 PM
Edited Date/Time: 8/9/2020 7:26 AM

APLMAN99 wrote:

That’s why you DO use that math. Because the arrest rate was brought up.

In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.

TXDirt wrote:

How is it significantly higher?

Annualized it’s like 4.2%.

There are over are 10,000,000 arrests a year in the US. If we assume the US population is 330,000,000 And exactly 10 million arrests...

I get 3% arrest rate.

Do you consider 1.2% to be significant in this instance?

Looks like the arrest rate closely matches the overall population.

Shocker.....

APLMAN99 wrote:

4.2% is 40% higher than 3% is.....

That’s a significant difference.

Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.

Photo

Edited to get this thread where it belongs
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8/8/2020 7:33 PM

TXDirt wrote:

How is it significantly higher?

Annualized it’s like 4.2%.

There are over are 10,000,000 arrests a year in the US. If we assume the US population is 330,000,000 And exactly 10 million arrests...

I get 3% arrest rate.

Do you consider 1.2% to be significant in this instance?

Looks like the arrest rate closely matches the overall population.

Shocker.....

APLMAN99 wrote:

4.2% is 40% higher than 3% is.....

That’s a significant difference.

Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.

SEE ARE125 wrote: Photo

Edited to get this thread where it belongs

It was a shortcut to make it easier to understand, but the math ends up with the same result.

If you have 400 arrests in a week, that extrapolates to 20,800 arrests per year. 20,800 divided by 490,000 attendance is 4.24%.

4.24% is 4.24 per 100. 3% is 3 per 100. 4.24 is a little over 40% more than 3.

The math isn’t difficult.

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8/8/2020 7:47 PM
Edited Date/Time: 8/9/2020 7:27 AM

APLMAN99 wrote:

4.2% is 40% higher than 3% is.....

That’s a significant difference.

Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.

SEE ARE125 wrote: Photo

Edited to get this thread where it belongs

APLMAN99 wrote:

It was a shortcut to make it easier to understand, but the math ends up with the same result.

If you have 400 arrests in a week, that extrapolates to 20,800 arrests per year. 20,800 divided by 490,000 attendance is 4.24%.

4.24% is 4.24 per 100. 3% is 3 per 100. 4.24 is a little over 40% more than 3.

The math isn’t difficult.

Photo

Post edited to get this thread back on track.
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8/8/2020 7:56 PM

SEE ARE125 wrote: Photo

Edited to get this thread where it belongs

APLMAN99 wrote:

It was a shortcut to make it easier to understand, but the math ends up with the same result.

If you have 400 arrests in a week, that extrapolates to 20,800 arrests per year. 20,800 divided by 490,000 attendance is 4.24%.

4.24% is 4.24 per 100. 3% is 3 per 100. 4.24 is a little over 40% more than 3.

The math isn’t difficult.

SEE ARE125 wrote: Photo

Post edited to get this thread back on track.

You’re missing the concept.

You can try another approach.

Because we’re using the 10M annual arrests as a comparison, divide that by 52 to get the average number of arrests per week.

The end result is still the same, the arrest rate during Sturgis last year was a little over 40% higher than the general population.

That being said, I’d love to go to Sturgis some time, but definitely not right now.

The increased arrest rate is pretty easy to understand, it’s the Inverse IQ Law. When it comes to very large groups of anyone, the average IQ has an inverse relationship with the group size. Most of us have done some pretty stupid things in large crowds that we’re too smart to do normally......

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