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Who knows what will be going on at Sturgjs. I imagine it will be similar to what is seen at Lorettas as far as the mask brigade. Maybe even more than Lorettas based on the age of most of the bikers compared to the kids at Lorettas. I see no more of a outbreak than what you’d get from the germ fest at the local Walmart, Costco etc
The Shop
Those dang rowdy bikers......
I told him not to o.d. on ass. .
He never listens...
Pit Row
In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.
Annualized it’s like 4.2%.
There are over are 10,000,000 arrests a year in the US. If we assume the US population is 330,000,000 And exactly 10 million arrests...
I get 3% arrest rate.
Do you consider 1.2% to be significant in this instance?
Looks like the arrest rate closely matches the overall population.
Shocker.....
That’s a significant difference.
Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.
That would be significant. You said it was a significant difference in arrest rate compared to the general population.
It’s not.
You can argue all you want.
3% out of 100,000 and 4.2% out of 100,000 is very insignificant. So much so it could be simply due to margin of error.
You said it’s significantly higher. You were proven wrong. It’s not higher. It’s practically identical.
Shocker..
Edited to get this thread where it belongs
If you have 400 arrests in a week, that extrapolates to 20,800 arrests per year. 20,800 divided by 490,000 attendance is 4.24%.
4.24% is 4.24 per 100. 3% is 3 per 100. 4.24 is a little over 40% more than 3.
The math isn’t difficult.
Post edited to get this thread back on track.
You can try another approach.
Because we’re using the 10M annual arrests as a comparison, divide that by 52 to get the average number of arrests per week.
The end result is still the same, the arrest rate during Sturgis last year was a little over 40% higher than the general population.
That being said, I’d love to go to Sturgis some time, but definitely not right now.
The increased arrest rate is pretty easy to understand, it’s the Inverse IQ Law. When it comes to very large groups of anyone, the average IQ has an inverse relationship with the group size. Most of us have done some pretty stupid things in large crowds that we’re too smart to do normally......
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