Will Mike be a threat

lucero10x wrote:

for a podium from week to week? Has he gotten better at SX and could he hold off a Dungey or Reed with 5 to go...

for a podium from week to week? Has he gotten better at SX and could he hold off a Dungey or Reed with 5 to go? I think Barcia would get around him just because he is so aggro, as well as RV, but we all know James is a wild card and Trey's starts aren't that great so he will be coming from behind more often than not. Sure, if the stars align any of these guys can win one, but on a week to week basis, will Mikey be a threat for the box?

lucero10x wrote:

for a podium from week to week? Has he gotten better at SX and could he hold off a Dungey or Reed with 5 to go...

for a podium from week to week? Has he gotten better at SX and could he hold off a Dungey or Reed with 5 to go? I think Barcia would get around him just because he is so aggro, as well as RV, but we all know James is a wild card and Trey's starts aren't that great so he will be coming from behind more often than not. Sure, if the stars align any of these guys can win one, but on a week to week basis, will Mikey be a threat for the box?

Markout wrote:

No threat. He hasn't been a threat in years, and now the competition is tougher than ever. Unless someone makes a mistake, or injury he won't...

No threat. He hasn't been a threat in years, and now the competition is tougher than ever. Unless someone makes a mistake, or injury he won't be top 5

lumpy790 wrote:

no woops = this weeks race was his best chance to win.

Crashinskinoff wrote:

Bullshit.

lucero10x wrote:

I agree with most of that list, most of the time. I think we can throw out; Short Grant Hansen Windham Brayton Weimer Now for the...

I agree with most of that list, most of the time. I think we can throw out;

Short
Grant
Hansen
Windham
Brayton
Weimer

Now for the actual fast guys;

Wilson is going to be a wild card.
James is going to finish on the box only 50% of the time.
Millsaps can't start
Tickle will rarely start up front

That leaves the guys who will usually beat him;

Villopoto who will always be there on the start
Barcia will always be there on the start and when he isn't he will push his way forward, quickly
Dungey typically a good starter who isn't too aggressive because he keeps the long view
Canard, who can definitely beat Mikey but rarely starts in the top 10.
Reed will typically be there but isn't all that aggressive because he also keeps the long view.

It's going to be fun to watch, for sure.

Grieby54 wrote:

You're kidding me... right? You're going to throw our Short, who won a main event in 2012, and finished top 3 in the Supercross class every...

You're kidding me... right?

You're going to throw our Short, who won a main event in 2012, and finished top 3 in the Supercross class every year except for last year due to injury.
You're going to throw out Windham, who was the only one to ever consistently separate the top 5 in 2011, and was looking as fast as ever and had multiple podiums before injury in 2012.
You're going to throw out Grant, who actually had a podium finish last year despite being injured most of the season, and has won a main event.
You're going to throw out Brayton and Weimer, both of which finished ahead of Alessi in the points standings last year and had multiple podiums to their credit.

There's literally no way that you can logically argue that Alessi is better than any of those guys that you wanted to "throw out." There's no way. You're talking about a guy who has NEVER won a single SX main event (or even a heat race that I'm aware of), and has, I think, 3 podiums in his whole SX career? Every single one of those people mentioned has won at least 1 main event (Lites or SX), and 10 of them have a championship (11 if you count Dean's MX championship) to their credit.

Here's a list of guys that will absolutely beat him on a regular basis (when healthy):
-RV
-RD
-CR
-TC
-JBarcia
-JS
-DW
-KW

Here's a list of guys that will beat him more often than he beats them:
-JW
-DM
-AS
-BT
-JBrayton
-JG