So Eli has 37 SX wins…

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11/15/2021 11:48 AM

What do you guys think the odds are he passes RV (41), Chad (44), or RC (48) by the time he calls it a career?

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Alright Lunger, Let's Do It

11/15/2021 11:50 AM

Slim. I think Webb, Roczen and Ferrandis are going to steal a lot of his opportunities. Maybe I'll eat my words once we see him on a Yamaha, but I don't know.

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Braaapin' aint easy.

11/15/2021 11:57 AM

He's got a 1 year deal with an option for a 2nd year if he chooses to continue racing.

So, I guess it depends on how well he adapts to the Yamaha and then adapts to a new bike once again for 2023?

I don't think he'll surpass Carmichael.

ET: 1 title
CR: 2 titles
RV: 4 titles
RC: 5 titles

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"Sorry Goose, but it's time to buzz the tower."

11/15/2021 11:59 AM

Yes.
He'll match Chad @ 44 wins by the end of '22 season. I think he can win the title back with 7-8 wins this coming season.

Depends how he adapts to the Yamaha of course. Tomac said he had faster lap times on a Moto track first time out... But I've been hearing rumors he's faster on a SX track as well. So, we won't truly know for another 2 months.

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I'm just here to stir sh#t up...

11/15/2021 12:03 PM

Would be pretty hard to imagine he doesn’t get 4 more. 8 or 11 is within reach. I think he ties Chad at 44 before he’s down.

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11/15/2021 12:04 PM

I think Eli can realistically hit 50 SX wins before he retires, depending on how good he looks on blue, of course.

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11/15/2021 12:48 PM

Cant see him winning any more racers than he did last year in SX...


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11/15/2021 12:48 PM

Johnny Ringo wrote:

What do you guys think the odds are he passes RV (41), Chad (44), or RC (48) by the time he calls it a career?

I'd say he will pass up RV and CR next year. I see 8 wins coming on that new Star bike.

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11/15/2021 1:03 PM

twotwosix wrote:

I'd say he will pass up RV and CR next year. I see 8 wins coming on that new Star bike.

Damn 8 wins against Webb and Kenny? That's confident. Gonna be a banger season anyway. Gonna be interesting to see if anyone else can join the top 3. Star Yamaha team will definitely be the most interesting team to watch in SX.

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11/15/2021 1:06 PM

If his starts are markedly better on the blue machine, he is certainly capable of racking up a significant amount of wins. But, that’s a pretty big “if”.

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11/15/2021 1:07 PM

I say 3-4 SX wins for ET3 in the upcoming season.................. (stamp it)

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11/15/2021 1:49 PM

Tomac averages 6 wins per year... do the math guys.

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I'm just here to stir sh#t up...

11/15/2021 1:50 PM

Screw the tittle, I would want to pass RC for SX wins.

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11/15/2021 2:07 PM

Um, by my math he won three (3) last year.....So there is that.

I bet he ties or beats RV this year. It would be a tall order for him to surpass Reed, but not impossible.

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Tomac and/or Anderson for 2020.....

11/15/2021 2:15 PM

nrosso391 wrote:

Tomac averages 6 wins per year... do the math guys.

Does last years racing go into account..?

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11/15/2021 2:23 PM

2015 x 3 wins
2016 x 1
2017 x 9
2018 x 8
2019 x 6
2020 x 7
2021 x 3

That’s a mean average of 5.3 wins per year.

If we drop his BIGGEST win score (2017) and his SMALLEST win score (2016) his mean average increases slightly to 5.4.

Its fair to expect Eli to score at least 5 wins next year.
I reckon he was ‘done’ with Kawi this year. And so he’ll bring fresh motivation and energy in to ‘22. But… it’s also fair to say his best days are behind him, so scoring a year of 9, 8 or 7 wins is a big ask.

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The above may be fact or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting. I am not sure, you have no chance.

11/15/2021 2:31 PM

I think he passes RV but doesn’t catch Chad this year. If he doesn’t retire after this year then maybe he will catch chad.

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11/15/2021 2:36 PM

Does 5 wins win the championship is the big question..

21- Webb 8 wins
20- Tomac 7 wins
19- Webb 7 wins
18- Anderson 4 wins
17- Dungey 3 wins
16- Dungey 9 wins
15- Dungey 8 wins
14- Villo 7 wins

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The above may be fact or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting. I am not sure, you have no chance.

11/15/2021 2:43 PM

Thisusernameisavailable wrote:

Does 5 wins win the championship is the big question..

21- Webb 8 wins
20- Tomac 7 wins
19- Webb 7 wins
18- Anderson 4 wins
...more

On average it takes 6.6 (7) wins to win the championship.

Again if we drop the biggest result and the smallest result, the mean average increases ever so slightly to 6.8 (still 7) wins to win the championship.

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The above may be fact or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting. I am not sure, you have no chance.

11/15/2021 3:05 PM

I say take the amount of wins he has by the superbowl and double it as a season total. If he gets off to a hot start and his head is in it all series long, he can go on a tear. If he starts poorly he'll be thinking about retirement and making more babies.

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11/15/2021 3:10 PM

Craziest part is Eli is known for having incredible speed and winning.
Yet Reed still has more wins and come through the era of RC4 & JS7 and was winning races all the way up to the Ryan's era.

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11/15/2021 3:41 PM

Love me some Tomac but he getting older.

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11/15/2021 3:53 PM

deanwhite51 wrote:

Craziest part is Eli is known for having incredible speed and winning.
Yet Reed still has more wins and come through the era ...more

Chad even won a race after RV was done

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Alright Lunger, Let's Do It

11/15/2021 4:00 PM

Thisusernameisavailable wrote:

2015 x 3 wins
2016 x 1
2017 x 9
2018 x 8
2019 x 6
2020 x 7
2021 x 3

That’s a mean average of 5.3 wins per year.

If we drop ...more

2014 x 0 wins

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11/15/2021 4:03 PM

Actually, I think he has a reasonable chance of passing them all.

It will depend on how the Yam deal goes. If there are some early wins and the vibes are good, I can see him sticking in there for a long time.

Lots of folks have had Eli on the brink of retirement for years, but I don't think he has ever looked at it that way.

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11/15/2021 4:34 PM
Edited Date/Time: 11/16/2021 8:37 AM

I think he’ll at least match RV’s wins.

He should’ve matched his titles too, but it wasn’t in the cards I guess. The bad nights really cost him

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11/15/2021 6:56 PM

He will never win another SX, but he will win the outdoors.

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11/15/2021 11:46 PM
Edited Date/Time: 11/16/2021 1:39 AM

Forty wrote:

He will never win another SX, but he will win the outdoors.

That sounds like a bet. I'm in for $50 if he wins a SX. I'll pay $50 if he retires without another SX win.

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11/16/2021 1:29 AM

twotwosix wrote:

I'd say he will pass up RV and CR next year. I see 8 wins coming on that new Star bike.

Not a stab at you, but the general perception;
I love how the Yamaha went from being a fat blue pig, to the best bike within a year..

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11/16/2021 1:55 AM
Edited Date/Time: 11/16/2021 1:56 AM

Johnny Ringo wrote:

What do you guys think the odds are he passes RV (41), Chad (44), or RC (48) by the time he calls it a career?

twotwosix wrote:

I'd say he will pass up RV and CR next year. I see 8 wins coming on that new Star bike.

blockhead17 wrote:

Not a stab at you, but the general perception;
I love how the Yamaha went from being a fat blue pig, to the best bike within a ...more

Me too. Goes to show you that winning on Sunday still sells on Monday.

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