Dungey - Tomac Points Difference

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3/17/2017 8:30 AM

Seeing as how there are 7 races left and Tomac has to make up 17 points to win the Championship (assuming he wins more races than Dungey), I was curious to see how many points Tomac has made up on Dungey over the last 7 races so I did a little digging.

After Anaheim 2, Dungey had 69 points and Tomac had 44 - a 25 point difference. 7 races later, after Daytona the points sit at 214 for Dungey and 197 for Tomac - a 17 point difference. That means Tomac has only made up 8 points on Dungey over the last 7 rounds. Granted, if you throw out Tomac's 15th place finish in Arlington, he probably would have made up way more points than he has.

Tomac definitely has a solid chance of gaining the 17 points on Dungey over the next 7 races but given Dungey's consistency my money is still on him for the title.

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3/17/2017 8:51 AM

dont let the atlanta falcons disctract you from the fact that donegy blew a 25 point lead...

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3/17/2017 8:57 AM

You can look at it a lot of difference ways. What has happened since Arlington for example? Tomac has gained 12 points on Dungey over the last 4 races. Tomac made up 7 points on Dungey at Daytona alone.

http://results.amasupercross.com/xml/SX/events/S1750/S1F1POINTS.pdf

All we can do is watch wait and see. I think the points favor Dungey for more reasons than the obvious. Tomac has no margin for error, and Dungey has a few races to get his shit together. Dungey wasn't happy with his last performance and I believe he will come back out swinging this weekend. Tomac has the pressure to win EVERY RACE while Dungey can take a lot of seconds, and a few wins and lock it up again.

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3/17/2017 9:22 AM

Im no scientist but Im pretty sure Dungey just needs to win a few races

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3/17/2017 10:48 AM

Say Tomac wins every race for the rest of the season and Dungey gets at least second every race (which from how the season has been going Dungey hasnt been getting seconds) anyway with this assumption Tomac would rack up 21 points on Dungey and be the 2017 Champ by 4 points. No this is far fetched and it would take some luck and Tomac to be riding a 100% to achieve this but its not impossible. If you look at Tomacs two bad races since he went on a role
1. Front brake broke
2. Bad start + tight track still got up to second place.

I think Eli is defiantly hungry enough to take this championship.

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3/17/2017 10:56 AM

Can Tomac win this title? Yes!
Can Dungey win this title? Yes!
Who will win this title? No one knows!

That right there is the best part!

Just for fun here is a little graphic of the points gap.
Photo

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3/17/2017 11:07 AM

rmoto003 wrote:

Im no scientist but Im pretty sure Dungey just needs to win a few races

Nope, if Tomac fumbles once....Dungey doesn't have to win.

If Tomac wins every race out, he wins.

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3/17/2017 11:08 AM

Ryan Dungey needs to get a few good starts and finish better than Eli
Actually beating Eli straight up would be ideal for him as well

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3/17/2017 11:11 AM

moto711 wrote:

Say Tomac wins every race for the rest of the season and Dungey gets at least second every race (which from how the season has been going Dungey hasnt been getting seconds) anyway with this assumption Tomac would rack up 21 points on Dungey and be the 2017 Champ by 4 points. No this is far fetched and it would take some luck and Tomac to be riding a 100% to achieve this but its not impossible. If you look at Tomacs two bad races since he went on a role
1. Front brake broke
2. Bad start + tight track still got up to second place.

I think Eli is defiantly hungry enough to take this championship.

I sure hope both guys make it out healthy. When points are getting close, these guys start pushing outside their comfort zone.

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3/17/2017 11:28 AM
Edited Date/Time: 3/17/2017 11:29 AM

WoodsRacer wrote:

Can Tomac win this title? Yes!
Can Dungey win this title? Yes!
Who will win this title? No one knows!

That right there is the best part!

Just for fun here is a little graphic of the points gap.
Photo

Atlanta didn't help. They would be tie.

The outcome will depend a lot on the starts and the track possibilities to pass. Tomac is faster right now and can as much get tie in 3 races as getting a bad start while Dungey holeshot and get a 10 seconds lead. Over 7 races, i think at least 1 race will be like that for both so the championship should be really tight!

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3/17/2017 11:29 AM
Edited Date/Time: 3/17/2017 11:32 AM

Shoot if Cole Seely wins out and Dungey finishes 4th on average and Tomac finishes 3rd on average.

Seely will be the champ.

Or if Musquin wins out and Dungey finshes 5th on average and Tomac finishes 3rd on average and Seely finishes 2nd on average. Then Musquin will be the champ.

Or if Anderson wins out and Dungey finishes 7th on average and tomac finishes 5th on average and Seely finishes 3rd on average and Musquin finishes 2nd on average. Then Anderson will be the champ.

And if Alessi wins out and Dungey/Tomac/Seely/Musquin/Anderson/Millsaps/Reed/Bagget/Wilson/Tickle/Grant/Brayton/Webb all DNF the series then Alessi is the Champ! Mike Alessi 2017 Supercross Champ Guys!!! Who knew it was possible!!! tongue laughing laughing laughing laughing w00t

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3/17/2017 11:31 AM

I think whoever has the most points after Vegas will most likely be the 2017 champ.

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3/17/2017 11:52 AM

SEE ARE125 wrote:

I think whoever has the most points after Vegas will most likely be the 2017 champ.

smile smile smile
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3/17/2017 12:31 PM
Edited Date/Time: 3/17/2017 12:31 PM

rmoto003 wrote:

Im no scientist but Im pretty sure Dungey just needs to win a few races

I AM a scientist, and I approve this message


(ok ok - I only play a scientist on tv...)

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3/17/2017 12:46 PM

SEE ARE125 wrote:

I think whoever has the most points after Vegas will most likely be the 2017 champ.

This is just crazy enough to work.

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3/17/2017 12:47 PM
Edited Date/Time: 3/17/2017 1:42 PM

There's only about a million different scenarios that can be possibly played out, so pick yours and see if you are feeling like Nostradamus.

We'll all see truth soon enough. I for one am really enjoying this contest.cool

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3/17/2017 2:35 PM

SEE ARE125 wrote:

I think whoever has the most points after Vegas will most likely be the 2017 champ.

[LINK TO IMAGE]
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3/17/2017 2:42 PM

jimmie wrote:

There's only about a million different scenarios that can be possibly played out, so pick yours and see if you are feeling like Nostradamus.

We'll all see truth soon enough. I for one am really enjoying this contest.cool

"enjoying this contest."...... Are you crazy? We need a chase. Right now!

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3/17/2017 3:53 PM

So what you are saying is if Chad Reed wins all the races and everybody else dosent show up he could win the title?

I will take those odds!

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3/17/2017 3:59 PM

WoodsRacer wrote:

Can Tomac win this title? Yes!
Can Dungey win this title? Yes!
Who will win this title? No one knows!

That right there is the best part!

Just for fun here is a little graphic of the points gap.
Photo

Nice graph. I'm hoping for another spike for it tomorrow night.

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3/17/2017 4:09 PM

Eli was down (if I remember correctly) 29 points after Arlington. To see him where he's at now, and the way he's riding...well, this ain't over yet.

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3/17/2017 4:22 PM

WoodsRacer wrote:

Can Tomac win this title? Yes!
Can Dungey win this title? Yes!
Who will win this title? No one knows!

That right there is the best part!

Just for fun here is a little graphic of the points gap.
Photo

Two thumbs up!

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3/19/2017 8:15 AM

GuyB wrote:

Eli was down (if I remember correctly) 29 points after Arlington. To see him where he's at now, and the way he's riding...well, this ain't over yet.

cool
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