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gt80rider
9/8/2020 9:04am
9/8/2020 9:04am
Edited Date/Time
9/27/2020 4:59am
And here is why- His Kawi seems on point, while his teammate constantly has bike issues, Marv isn't quite back to full conditioning yet, Zach seems to have lots of small mistakes, K-Roc took the summer off, and Webb has back issues. Lets face it, the 450 class is RIPE for the picking, especially by someone with AC's raw speed...
Btw... the last time I did a new thread like this was in the Fresh Dirt days when I posted that RC would win Daytona his rookie year in the 250s (2000)....
Btw... the last time I did a new thread like this was in the Fresh Dirt days when I posted that RC would win Daytona his rookie year in the 250s (2000)....
The Shop
And the best part is that none of them are on KTM's.. yet.
"If AC92 can stay healthy for the remaining rounds, he will continue to impress"
I am a fan, I would love to see him get a title. But he needs to reduce his mistakes, continue turning heads, and focus on a SX title in 2021.
AC is 42 points down to Zacho, which means he'll have to gain 43 points in 8 motos to take it. That means 5.4 points per moto, or approximately 3 positions at the sharp end of the pack. I don't see Adam winning every moto from here on out, so let's assume an average finish of 2nd; Zach would have to finish 5th or worse each time out.
A statistically more likely scenario has Marvin taking the title away from Zach with 29 points in 8 motos; that's 3.6 points per gate drop, or about 2 positions at the top part of the results. That would still require #25 to take 2nd place in every moto and Zach to finish 4th or worse.
Less statistically likely but arguably more probable is Eli Tomac winning all the remaining motos. He would need 5.9 points per moto, or about 3 positions ahead of Zach. Still 4th or worse for Osborne in EVERY moto going forward.
Pit Row
I still put my money on Zacho, though.
I didn’t think that AC had much of a chance when this thread was started, but with Osborne’s bad luck yesterday and AC’s speed the last couple of weeks, I think that he really could win the thing.
If AC rides like the last few weekends, he could beat anyone on the line easily. If he gets just a tiny lapse in concentration, though, he seems much more likely than the other top guys to yard sale out of contention.
Post a reply to: AC Will Win The 450 National Title This Year