Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/14/2020 9:55 PM

I'll check that out tomorrow. Computer is in the other room. Should be the same relative graph, even if the absolute numbers are not correct. Thanks for looking at it, I'll pull up the Excel sheet tomorrow.

Added reply in a thread Washougal Canceled? 8/14/2020 8:54 PM

The press release said new restrictions. I can’t find any new state restrictions today, nor could I find any for Clark County. I think that’s just a throwaway for not just wanting to say that it was too risky of a business decision. Which it probably ... more »

Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/14/2020 7:15 PM

I didn’t make anything up. I posted the data. Don’t blame me if you don’t have the ability to understand it. I may be an arrogant asshole on occasion, but I don’t lie. I develop my views based on facts and data, and that means looking deeper than a picture ... more »

Added reply in a thread Washougal Canceled? 8/14/2020 6:00 PM

I don’t think that there have been any new restrictions announced for WA or Clark County, certainly can’t find any mention of any changes since this morning. I actually do understand why the circus may not want to risk traveling up this way, but I wish ... more »

Added reply in a thread Washougal Canceled? 8/14/2020 5:38 PM

Yeah, since there’s only one stop light in that little village the odds of running in to trouble are just huge......

Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/14/2020 5:06 PM

Do you see any errors in the data? I like to dig into things like data rather than be spoon fed a graphic that may or may not be representative of facts. Please point out any errors in those graphs from the data available at the CDC link provided.

Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/14/2020 3:21 PM

Downloaded the data here and made the graphs. https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Weekly-Counts-of-Deaths-by-State-and-Select-Causes/muzy-jte6/data The first graph with the dates are the 2019 Saturday W/E dates, for 2020 Week 1 ended on Jan 6, not Jan 5 and so ... more »

Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/14/2020 10:29 AM

Peely, not sure where you are getting those numbers but there are a LOT more deaths than that in each of those months. Here are the graphics that show the total deaths from all causes, both weekly and cumulatively. These are the actual CDC numbers graphed

... more »
Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/14/2020 9:25 AM

According to the CDC site, they are actually up based on those 8 week estimates....

Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/13/2020 6:24 PM

The site says that it takes 8 weeks for the data to be compiled, so using the 32 week death number is fairly disingenuous at best. It would be far more accurate to see how many deaths have been confirmed through 24 weeks, obviously

Added reply in a thread Russia vaccine 8/13/2020 5:13 PM

Added reply in a thread Spill the beans 8/10/2020 5:44 AM

Honda may be the one making that decision in the first place.....

Added reply in a thread COVID thread 8/9/2020 9:08 AM

How can you believe that study? It’s based on those icky numbers that you hate so much!!!! 😉

Added reply in a thread Sturgis 8/8/2020 8:19 PM

4.2 is 40% higher than 3.0. That shouldn’t be a difficult concept to understand. 6 is 100% higher than 3. Does that help?

Added reply in a thread Sturgis 8/8/2020 7:56 PM

You’re missing the concept. You can try another approach. Because we’re using the 10M annual arrests as a comparison, divide that by 52 to get the average number of arrests per week. The end result is still the same, the arrest rate during Sturgis last ... more »

Added reply in a thread Sturgis 8/8/2020 7:33 PM

It was a shortcut to make it easier to understand, but the math ends up with the same result. If you have 400 arrests in a week, that extrapolates to 20,800 arrests per year. 20,800 divided by 490,000 attendance is 4.24%. 4.24% is 4.24 per 100. 3% is ... more »

Added reply in a thread Sturgis 8/8/2020 6:42 PM

4.2% is 40% higher than 3% is..... That’s a significant difference. Not to mention that we aren’t counting the 25M resident aliens or any tourists into the overall population, which would reduce the national rate even further.

Added reply in a thread Sturgis 8/8/2020 5:19 PM

That’s why you DO use that math. Because the arrest rate was brought up. In order to compare to any other rate, like the overall US arrest rate, you have to annualize it.

Added reply in a thread So I went riding again. Probably Shouldn't Have... 8/8/2020 4:28 PM

That makes sense, the mustard on the table was confusing me at first. Fire is owned by the same lady who owns Visconti’s (awesome Italian) in Wenatchee and Leavenworth. I’d highly recommend either of those next time you’re in the area. They also have ... more »

Added reply in a thread Sturgis 8/8/2020 4:06 PM

For a 1 week period, that’s pretty high. Multiply that by 52 to get the annualized rate and it’s significantly higher than the national rate.