Posts
6767
Joined
8/30/2008
Location
Stockholm
SE
Edited Date/Time
10/19/2013 11:44am
Prepare for headache/rant.
I'm one of those two-stroke Taliban supporters, so you know my bias, but I'm kind of open to logic if it doesn't butthurt my emotions too much. I read the ads in my neck of the wood regularly (Sweden), and what goes here doesn't necessarily translates anywhere else, we prefer cheaper smaller calls in Sweden, the more MPG the better, you hardly see those Heavy Dute pick-ups here, the few excising carry an embarrassment over them. Dunno if that has anything to do with it, but just bare that in mind.
Anyhow, looking at used bikes, like the YZ250 from 2005+ they are crazy expensive, while you can buy any four stroke Yamaha from the same year for way less, sometimes even half the money. So if you were to buy blue, if resale has any point it's madness to buy one with valves, but at the same time a KTM from the same years (smokers) are way cheaper. But a 2011 YZ and a 2011 KTM is kind of equal. Something happens with KTM when they grow older. Like the Yamaha, It's the same thing with an CR250, any 2007 left will kill any KTM from the same year in value. It's not a huge difference, but people dig old CRs still. Old CRFs are spitted at, you can buy a good running (it appears so) for less than 2k, and they cost 10 k new.
So the first BS though I have, is YZ benefitting by not changing design? I wouldn't touch a 2006 KTM SX250 with a ten feet pole, while I drool over a 2006 YZ250, but I kind of drool equally about the 2011 KTM and a newer YZ? If Yamaha had made a new version of the YZ, the 2006 might have been like the KTM? Since I see an steel frame 2004 YZ with the same KTM SX250 yawn.
Then the second though that I can't get out of my mind, I see you can buy 2010 250Fs for less than an RM250/YZ250 from 2005, and I can't fathom those buying a new 250F 2013 that cost about 10k here, only to know, he/she will loose about 6k in about 3-4 years, while being in the saddle for about 100 hours maximum (if you are a regular rider here with the winter etc).
I'm damn temped to buy one 250Fs from from 2010 or something that has evolved amazingly compared for an CR250 from 2004, or even an more expensive YZ250, but then I have that solid rooted fear that 250F that is an amazing bike on the track (that's a fact) could grenade any moment, which they rarely do, but "everybody" has the notion they will, because we all know of someone that was affected.
I figure it's stupid, we can buy amazing machines for pocket money, even two, maybe we can overcome the fear, but still the re-sale market is telling another story. People see used four strokes that has more than 60 hours like some hooker with HIV (Peelout will argue the hooker angle).
Also I don't get the market either, none of the smokers seems to go to the wreck yard, at least not the 2002+ u see totally restored 2002 smokers, so the new sales on smokers can't be that dandy either? I bough a clapped out 2006, made it "new" with pocket money, so I have no urge to buy a 2014 YZ125 and add 5k when that buys me a life time of pistons, bearings and spare parts. We don't have new smokers for 5k here...
I don't know if things are like they used to be, but the resale of bangers are mad, and people seems to be keen in reviving old smokers, while the few people taking racing seriously seems to be the only people feeding the market with newer used bikes?
I don't know bike sales in Sweden, maybe people are buying more bikes than ever, I doubt that, none has suggest that, but my way of thinking, how resale value decreased linear previously with smokers are now totally tilted with bangers? Again, my analyze, might not translate everywhere, but smokers are totally over prized. I will sell my YZ for more than I bought it, and I didn't put much cash into it. Any CRF I buy, if it's new it will cut me back 2 k every year, and if it's used about 1k sans valve job.
The sum of the above crap is that I think the OEM has missed an essential point. I'm not only as a rider I buy, I'm hobby mechanic as well. The whole point with motors and racing is also to wrench, the entry of four strokes killed that part. The previous glory in buying a bike, restore it, or buy a new, and restore it, show the creation and then race it was for many the essence. Not all agree, but how many people here rides, hasn't felt at least some appeal to do a top end job. Now, the fear of the complexity kills that. Some are ven hocked up with an PC on the track to change the engine maps, and sending the head away has no guarantee to be a success. If we get another season with the valves in spec, we are lucky. At least thats the feeling, our faith are in the hands of some guy (sorry, but most likely with ADHD) that we don't know, the only certainly is that it will cost us tons of money
I can buy any smoker in the world, without any knowledge, just using a Hanes manual I can restore it in a few weeks, with the four stroke I will only be able to do part of the job, and the major cost will added elsewhere, I have no clue if the bearings in valve train is crap, if the valve train is ok or the rest of the moving bits there work properly. Timing chain ok? When do timing chain sprockets go? That plastic thing pushing on chain, and the spring, they working? This leads to me not wanting to start a project despite the outcome with restoring a 2010 KX250F will be fun on the track. Screw that, I don't get them, I will newer feel the satisfaction of a restore other than forks, wheel bearings. Others just go for graphics and a new exhaust. Put in new bearing in the hubs? Whatever, I don't even know if the engine is ok.
So to bring back that, I would like to see a four stroke engine that would open up for mini dads and hobby mechanics to wrench on, and by that I mean do it all!!!
I don't know if this has anything to do with decline in sales, I don't know if there's decline in sales, but when I watch an ad of a bike I would love to ride, I stop looking if it's an four stroke with more than 20 hours, or if it's an two stroke with old design.
Yesterday ads:
CRF450 2002-2005 1-2k
CR250 2002-2004 3-4k
Flame on!
I'm one of those two-stroke Taliban supporters, so you know my bias, but I'm kind of open to logic if it doesn't butthurt my emotions too much. I read the ads in my neck of the wood regularly (Sweden), and what goes here doesn't necessarily translates anywhere else, we prefer cheaper smaller calls in Sweden, the more MPG the better, you hardly see those Heavy Dute pick-ups here, the few excising carry an embarrassment over them. Dunno if that has anything to do with it, but just bare that in mind.
Anyhow, looking at used bikes, like the YZ250 from 2005+ they are crazy expensive, while you can buy any four stroke Yamaha from the same year for way less, sometimes even half the money. So if you were to buy blue, if resale has any point it's madness to buy one with valves, but at the same time a KTM from the same years (smokers) are way cheaper. But a 2011 YZ and a 2011 KTM is kind of equal. Something happens with KTM when they grow older. Like the Yamaha, It's the same thing with an CR250, any 2007 left will kill any KTM from the same year in value. It's not a huge difference, but people dig old CRs still. Old CRFs are spitted at, you can buy a good running (it appears so) for less than 2k, and they cost 10 k new.
So the first BS though I have, is YZ benefitting by not changing design? I wouldn't touch a 2006 KTM SX250 with a ten feet pole, while I drool over a 2006 YZ250, but I kind of drool equally about the 2011 KTM and a newer YZ? If Yamaha had made a new version of the YZ, the 2006 might have been like the KTM? Since I see an steel frame 2004 YZ with the same KTM SX250 yawn.
Then the second though that I can't get out of my mind, I see you can buy 2010 250Fs for less than an RM250/YZ250 from 2005, and I can't fathom those buying a new 250F 2013 that cost about 10k here, only to know, he/she will loose about 6k in about 3-4 years, while being in the saddle for about 100 hours maximum (if you are a regular rider here with the winter etc).
I'm damn temped to buy one 250Fs from from 2010 or something that has evolved amazingly compared for an CR250 from 2004, or even an more expensive YZ250, but then I have that solid rooted fear that 250F that is an amazing bike on the track (that's a fact) could grenade any moment, which they rarely do, but "everybody" has the notion they will, because we all know of someone that was affected.
I figure it's stupid, we can buy amazing machines for pocket money, even two, maybe we can overcome the fear, but still the re-sale market is telling another story. People see used four strokes that has more than 60 hours like some hooker with HIV (Peelout will argue the hooker angle).
Also I don't get the market either, none of the smokers seems to go to the wreck yard, at least not the 2002+ u see totally restored 2002 smokers, so the new sales on smokers can't be that dandy either? I bough a clapped out 2006, made it "new" with pocket money, so I have no urge to buy a 2014 YZ125 and add 5k when that buys me a life time of pistons, bearings and spare parts. We don't have new smokers for 5k here...
I don't know if things are like they used to be, but the resale of bangers are mad, and people seems to be keen in reviving old smokers, while the few people taking racing seriously seems to be the only people feeding the market with newer used bikes?
I don't know bike sales in Sweden, maybe people are buying more bikes than ever, I doubt that, none has suggest that, but my way of thinking, how resale value decreased linear previously with smokers are now totally tilted with bangers? Again, my analyze, might not translate everywhere, but smokers are totally over prized. I will sell my YZ for more than I bought it, and I didn't put much cash into it. Any CRF I buy, if it's new it will cut me back 2 k every year, and if it's used about 1k sans valve job.
The sum of the above crap is that I think the OEM has missed an essential point. I'm not only as a rider I buy, I'm hobby mechanic as well. The whole point with motors and racing is also to wrench, the entry of four strokes killed that part. The previous glory in buying a bike, restore it, or buy a new, and restore it, show the creation and then race it was for many the essence. Not all agree, but how many people here rides, hasn't felt at least some appeal to do a top end job. Now, the fear of the complexity kills that. Some are ven hocked up with an PC on the track to change the engine maps, and sending the head away has no guarantee to be a success. If we get another season with the valves in spec, we are lucky. At least thats the feeling, our faith are in the hands of some guy (sorry, but most likely with ADHD) that we don't know, the only certainly is that it will cost us tons of money
I can buy any smoker in the world, without any knowledge, just using a Hanes manual I can restore it in a few weeks, with the four stroke I will only be able to do part of the job, and the major cost will added elsewhere, I have no clue if the bearings in valve train is crap, if the valve train is ok or the rest of the moving bits there work properly. Timing chain ok? When do timing chain sprockets go? That plastic thing pushing on chain, and the spring, they working? This leads to me not wanting to start a project despite the outcome with restoring a 2010 KX250F will be fun on the track. Screw that, I don't get them, I will newer feel the satisfaction of a restore other than forks, wheel bearings. Others just go for graphics and a new exhaust. Put in new bearing in the hubs? Whatever, I don't even know if the engine is ok.
So to bring back that, I would like to see a four stroke engine that would open up for mini dads and hobby mechanics to wrench on, and by that I mean do it all!!!
I don't know if this has anything to do with decline in sales, I don't know if there's decline in sales, but when I watch an ad of a bike I would love to ride, I stop looking if it's an four stroke with more than 20 hours, or if it's an two stroke with old design.
Yesterday ads:
CRF450 2002-2005 1-2k
CR250 2002-2004 3-4k
Flame on!
Personally, I can add a banger, but that goes with 10 years of knowledge, but again I hesitate.
The Shop
From 2011+, i'd pick a KTM over a Yamaha, unless I got a killer deal on the Yamaha.
On the other hand, Yamaha's 250F was old and antiquated, which would make it less desirable when it is re sold. Plus, I think anyone with some common sense see's a ragged out looking four stroke for sale they go running, since maintenance plays such a vital role in any bikes longevity.
moran
4T is way easier to ride no doubt. Controllable power to the ground. Especially MX. It is not however the whole picture as the jap factories have apparently concluded.
a) How's the sales tax (VAT, whatever) in Sweden? How about fuel taxes? These two factors no doubt have a lot to do with the buying trends in Sweden. I'm sure you know this. You can buy a new motorcycle in the USA and not pay any tax (not everywhere but it's possible).
b) I want to delicately remind you that one of the biggest dirt bike markets in the world is also sometimes the least rational one. I would advise against drawing any major conclusions from your immediate (and logical) surroundings (Sweden).
c) The "YZ" may benefit from not changing much over the years, but Yamaha does not "benefit". They benefit by reducing their costs, sure. But they aren't selling more 2014 YZ250s because of it. New bike sales are the only thing that can help the two stroke (we can argue about how best to improve these sales numbers but ultimately it's all about the new bike market). Again, I'm sure you know this.
d) One more thing I would like to bring up is the general movement (worldwide) away from repairable things, toward replaceable things. Whether it's a sewing machine, a power tool, a car, or just about anything else, it has become much more difficult to repair things. The build quality of assemblies has gone down too IMO (often but not always due to cheap labor in the third world). This is not something that is limited to the off-road motorcycle business. It is a worldwide trend and it is unlikely to change.
Sorry man. You can do your part by buying a new KTM or Husqvarna 2-stroke.
I figure Yamaha would increase sales on the yz250/yz125 if they made a new version, but obviously not enough it seems, or they would already be in that process. I don't get how it works, why KTM does it, build new versions all the time and get away with it though? It's all pretty simple business 101. Don't get why Yamaha still spits them out, while Honda ended? The business angle is impossible to get, no figures are there to absorb. Would be easy to compare KTM, Yamaha and Honda figures, see if actually KTM has benefitted by the void or not or if they spit out new smokers is some kind of goodwill and the bulk are the exc, sxfs.
Next new bike I buy (if ever) will be interesting, but no way on earth will it be the latest model int the local shop. People here buy containers from the US with left overs for 2k less. I can't justify buying a scooter for the same price as a decent family car. But I want to support KTM if I do, because they feel my needs since I want to be able to repair it myself.
I actually looking forward to electic bikes, simply solution, even less work, cheaper construction and hopefully more riding. Maybe those will make a rebirth of the sport?
Pit Row
Sorry for the bad news.
Motocross has always been motocross, wether you are on a 50 to a 500 whatever stroke it is.
I bought a 1936 south bend lathe 3 weeks ago because its a good machine, I use it, I appreciate it. I don't get on forums geared toward machining and scream how HAAS CNN is not the way to go and these manufactures are ruining the industry. Some of you jack asses should do the same and enjoy the sport how ever way you can.
Not saying you are wrong though...
https://youtu.be/_-JMm92BaSo
Thats a good point I haven't seen in words. Buying new tools for thumpers andkeeping up with the peculiarities of each new model year takes a toll. It's quite an investment.... Hobby mechanic defines me
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