2016 SX - Just some facts of what could happen

ocscottie
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Edited Date/Time 1/2/2016 6:45pm
This PR just hit, has some interesting tidbits of what could happen, If you are a SX/MX history nut, this is a pretty good one. (i know, its long)


Can Chad Reed make at least 14 starts to become only the third rider in supercross history to reach the 200 mark in the 450SX Class?

Can Reed claim five wins to get to 50 all-time 450SX Class victories?

Can Reed earn one podium to tie Kevin Windham for the second most 450SX Class seasons with at least one top three finish?

Reed will be 3rd all-time for 450SX Class seasons with a start by lining up on the gate at the Anaheim Opener.

Can Reed extend his record of consecutive seasons with a 450SX Class win? He currently has 11.

Can Ryan Dungey earn 12 top five finishes to finish the season with at least 100? Only four other riders in history have done this.

Can Dungey tie Ricky Carmichael for third on the all-time 450SX Class podium list by the end of the season? He'll need 14 podiums to do so.

Can Dungey duplicate his career high of eight wins in a season to reach 30 career 450SX Class wins? It would put him in 6th all-time.

Can Dungey keep his 54-race 450SX Class start streak alive?

Can Davi Millsaps win a 450SX Class race on a KTM to join Dungey and Ken Roczen as the only riders to earn a 450SX Class win for the Austrian manufacturer? Can Marvin Musquin or Dean Wilson do the same?

Can KTM earn a 450SX Class win for the fifth consecutive season? And can KTM win back-to-back 450SX Class titles for the first time?

Can Honda win the 450SX Class title for the first time in 12 seasons?
Carmichael won the title aboard his Honda in '03. For Yamaha, it has been eight seasons since Stewart won in '09; Suzuki hasn't won the trophy in seven seasons since Dungey's rookie year in '10, and Kawasaki is looking to Eli Tomac to take over where Ryan Villopoto left off, giving the brand four consecutive championships from '11-'14.

Can Tomac win to get Monster Energy Kawasaki back atop the podium? Last season marked the first time since 2004 that the Factory Kawasaki team went winless in the 450SX Class. It would be Tomac's second different brand to win a 450SX Class race with.

Will a Kawasaki rider earn a win to keep the brand's streak of 11 consecutive seasons with at least one 450SX Class victory alive? Reed gave Kawasaki its lone win in '15.

Tomac was runner-up in the '15 450SX Class championship. Five times in 450SX Class history the runner-up has gone on to win the championship the following season - Rick Johnson '88, McGrath '98, Reed '04 and '08, and Dungey '15.

Can Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for the third consecutive season? Only Jeremy McGrath has won three consecutive openers.

Can Dungey win the Anaheim Opener for the first time in his career?

Can James Stewart earn 12 podiums to pass Carmichael for third on the all-time 450SX Class podium list?

Can Stewart earn 11 top five finishes to pass Carmichael for fifth place on the all-time 450SX Class top five finishes list?

Can Stewart earn a 450SX Class win for the 11th season? Only Reed has reached that mark.

Can Stewart join Carmichael as the only riders to win a 450SX Class title on three different brands? Dungey, McGrath, and Stewart all have won 450SX Class titles on two brands.

Can rookies Marvin Musquin or Christophe Pourcel join Jean Micheal-Bayle as the only French riders to win a 450SX Class title?

Can Yamaha break its 58-race 450SX Class winless streak? The brand's last victory was with Stewart at Daytona back in '12.

Can Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win?

Can all six brands win a 450SX Class race? Four different brands have won a 450SX Class race six times since '05.

Who will become the 60th different rider to win a 450SX Class race?

Since '08, the 450SX Class season has had at least one first time winner a season. Two riders earned their first career wins in '15 - Tomac and Cole Seely.

If Stewart wins the title, it will be seven years between his most recent 450SX Class Championships, breaking Dungey's record of five years set last season.

Reed, who has finished second in the 450SX Class Championship six times, is the only rider in 450SX Class history to finish runner-up on three different brands.

Dungey, Reed, and Stewart are all active riders with two 450SX Class championships. Rick Johnson and Jeff Ward have also won two championships. Can Dungey, Reed, or Stewart earn a third 450SX Class Championship to join Bob Hannah and Jeff Stanton as three-time titleholders? Jeremy McGrath, Ricky Carmichael and Ryan Villopoto all surpassed that mark.
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enketchum
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12/30/2015 2:00pm
that's a lot to remember. I hope someone is counting
ocscottie
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12/30/2015 2:10pm
Couple i would like to see:

Can Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win?

Can Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for the third consecutive season? Only Jeremy McGrath has won three consecutive openers.


and Dungeys 54 race streak is pretty amazing considering how brutal SX is.

ando
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12/30/2015 2:15pm Edited Date/Time 12/30/2015 2:17pm
Just one error that I can see - Reed didn't win a 450SX main in 2010 so his streak is not 11, although he did win the MX opener at Hangtown.

If you count MX and SX, I think Reed has won at least one 250/450F race every year now since 2003 - 13 years.
philG
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12/30/2015 2:17pm
ocscottie wrote:
Couple i would like to see: [i]Can Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win? Can Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for...
Couple i would like to see:

Can Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win?

Can Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for the third consecutive season? Only Jeremy McGrath has won three consecutive openers.


and Dungeys 54 race streak is pretty amazing considering how brutal SX is.

i would add Reed winning a race every year there, and call it a wrap.

The Shop

40Plus_922mx
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12/30/2015 2:18pm Edited Date/Time 12/30/2015 2:20pm
Using the word "can" is too safe. Of course anything "can" happen. I replaced "can" with "will" as my prognostication.

Will Chad Reed make at least 14 starts to become only the third rider in supercross history to reach the 200 mark in the 450SX Class?
Yes.

Will Reed claim five wins to get to 50 all-time 450SX Class victories?
No.

Will Reed earn one podium to tie Kevin Windham for the second most 450SX Class seasons with at least one top three finish?
Yes.

Will Reed extend his record of consecutive seasons with a 450SX Class win? He currently has 11.
Yes.

Will Ryan Dungey earn 12 top five finishes to finish the season with at least 100? Only four other riders in history have done this.
Yes.

Will Dungey tie Ricky Carmichael for third on the all-time 450SX Class podium list by the end of the season? He'll need 14 podiums to do so.
Yes.

Will Dungey duplicate his career high of eight wins in a season to reach 30 career 450SX Class wins? It would put him in 6th all-time.
No.

Will Dungey keep his 54-race 450SX Class start streak alive?
Yes.

Will Davi Millsaps win a 450SX Class race on a KTM to join Dungey and Ken Roczen as the only riders to earn a 450SX Class win for the Austrian manufacturer? Can Marvin Musquin or Dean Wilson do the same?
No.

Will KTM earn a 450SX Class win for the fifth consecutive season? And can KTM win back-to-back 450SX Class titles for the first time?
Yes.

Will Honda win the 450SX Class title for the first time in 12 seasons?
No.


Will Tomac win to get Monster Energy Kawasaki back atop the podium?
Yes.

Will a Kawasaki rider earn a win to keep the brand's streak of 11 consecutive seasons with at least one 450SX Class victory alive?
Yes.

Will Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for the third consecutive season? Only Jeremy McGrath has won three consecutive openers.
No.

Will Dungey win the Anaheim Opener for the first time in his career?
No

Will James Stewart earn 12 podiums to pass Carmichael for third on the all-time 450SX Class podium list?
No.

Will Stewart earn 11 top five finishes to pass Carmichael for fifth place on the all-time 450SX Class top five finishes list?
No

Will Stewart earn a 450SX Class win for the 11th season? Only Reed has reached that mark.
Yes.

Will Stewart join Carmichael as the only riders to win a 450SX Class title on three different brands?
No.

Will rookies Marvin Musquin or Christophe Pourcel join Jean Micheal-Bayle as the only French riders to win a 450SX Class title?
No.

Will Yamaha break its 58-race 450SX Class winless streak? The brand's last victory was with Stewart at Daytona back in '12.
Yes.

Will Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win?
Yes.

Will all six brands win a 450SX Class race? Four different brands have won a 450SX Class race six times since '05.
No.


Stamp it.

51xc
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12/30/2015 2:35pm
their you have it. just give him the trophy.

Tomac was runner-up in the '15 450SX Class championship. Five times in 450SX Class history the runner-up has gone on to win the championship the following season - Rick Johnson '88, McGrath '98, Reed '04 and '08, and Dungey '15.
GD2
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12/30/2015 2:40pm
ocscottie wrote:
Couple i would like to see: [i]Can Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win? Can Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for...
Couple i would like to see:

Can Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win?

Can Roczen win the Anaheim Opener for the third consecutive season? Only Jeremy McGrath has won three consecutive openers.


and Dungeys 54 race streak is pretty amazing considering how brutal SX is.

If Anderson doesn't get at least 1 win I'll be shocked.
philG
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12/30/2015 3:38pm
GD2 wrote:
If Anderson doesn't get at least 1 win I'll be shocked.
You could almost see him doing a Milsaps... maybe not even win one but be right in the points chase for a long time
Rogue_10
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1/2/2016 5:18pm
The Reed consecutive seasons with a win is incorrect, he didn't win in 2010 and I think 2013?
IWreckALot
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1/2/2016 5:35pm
I thought dungey missed an sx start or two with a broken collar bone 2 years back. Is that when the start streak began?
hvaughn88
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1/2/2016 5:46pm
This list just further reinforced the fact that MC was a badass.
brimx153
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1/2/2016 5:48pm
Will Yamaha break its 58-race 450SX Class winless streak? The brand's last victory was with Stewart at Daytona back in '12.
Yes.

Will Jason Anderson or Pourcel give Husqvarna its first ever 450SX Class win?
Yes.

Will all six brands win a 450SX Class race? Four different brands have won a 450SX Class race six times since '05.
No.

Surely the two brands that are at the most risk of not winning are husqvarna and yamaha . tomac will win on kawi, Kroc and Stew will win for Suzuki, dungey will for Ktm and Trey will for honda . so who s not going to win out of that bunch .
tmx860
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1/2/2016 6:45pm
IWreckALot wrote:
I thought dungey missed an sx start or two with a broken collar bone 2 years back. Is that when the start streak began?
Yes he missed 5 races in 2012. This streak started at Seattle that year

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